2010 69862 Brazil Low Carbon Case Study Technical Synthesis Report WASTE Coordination: João Wagner Silva Alves, CETESB Christophe de Gouvello, The World Bank Technical Team: João Wagner Silva Alves, Bruna Patrícia de Oliveira, George Henrique C. Magalhães Cunha. Tathyana Leite Cunha Alves, Francisco do Espírito Santo Filho, CETESB. Marcos Eduardo Gomes Cunha, THE WORLD BANK Eduardo Toshio, Ciclo Ambiental Engenharia Ltda. 2010 Brazil Low Carbon Case Study Technical Synthesis Report WASTE Coordination: Synthesis Report | WASTE João Wagner Silva Alves, CETESB Christophe de Gouvello, The World Bank Technical Team: João Wagner Silva Alves, Bruna Patrícia de Oliveira, George Henrique C. Magalhães Cunha. Tathyana Leite Cunha Alves, Francisco do Espírito Santo Filho, CETESB. Marcos Eduardo Gomes Cunha, Eduardo Toshio, Ciclo Ambiental Engenharia Ltda. © 2010 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington DC 20433 Telephone: 202-473-1000 Internet:www.worldbank.org Email: feedback@worldbank.org All rights reserved 4 This volume is a product of the staff of the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank. The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this volume do not necessarily reflect the views of the Executive Directors of The World Bank or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work and accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence of their use. 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For more information on the Low Carbon Growth Country Studies Program or about ESMAP’s climate change work, please visit us at www.esmap.org or write to us at: Synthesis Report | WASTE Energy Sector Management Assistance Program The World Bank 1818 H Street, NW Washington, DC 20433 USA email:esmap@worldbank.org web: www.esmap.org TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. Executive summary ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 13 2. Introduction ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 3. Treatment of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) --------------------------------------------------------- 19 5 3.1.1.Sanitary landfills ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------20 3.1. Treatment methods -------------------------------------------------------------------------------19 3.1.2.Incineration ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------22 3.2.1.Municipal Solid Waste ---------------------------------------------------------------------------24 3.2. Reference scenario - solid waste----------------------------------------------------------------24 3.2.2.Calculation methods-----------------------------------------------------------------------------32 3.2.3.Composting ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------33 3.2.4.Estimated GHG emissions from landfill disposal -------------------------------------------34 3.2.5.Estimate of GHG emissions from incineration ----------------------------------------------36 3.2.6.Results ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------37 3.2.7.Other Technologies and Events ----------------------------------------------------------------37 3.2.8.Uncertainties (MSW) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------41 3.3.1.Reducing waste generation at source---------------------------------------------------------42 3.3. Other mitigation options -------------------------------------------------------------------------42 3.3.2.Composting ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------43 3.3.3.Biogas collection and burning -----------------------------------------------------------------43 3.3.4.Other benefits-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------44 3.4.1.Low Carbon Scenario for the MSW sector ----------------------------------------------------47 3.4. Low Carbon Scenario - solid waste -------------------------------------------------------------46 3.4.2.Consolidation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------47 3.4.3.Results ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------50 3.4.4.Barriers and proposed solutions --------------------------------------------------------------52 4. Sewage and effluent treatment ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 55 4.1.1.Anaerobic lagoons -------------------------------------------------------------------------------56 4.1. Treatment modes ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------55 Synthesis Report | WASTE 4.1.2.Anaerobic digesters -----------------------------------------------------------------------------56 4.1.3.Anaerobic reactors ------------------------------------------------------------------------------57 4.2.1.Domestic sewage ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------58 4.2. Reference Scenario - sewage and effluent treatment --------------------------------------58 4.2.2.Industrial effluents ------------------------------------------------------------------------------59 4.2.3.Calculation Methods -----------------------------------------------------------------------------59 4.2.4.Estimate of GHG emissions from sewage and effluent treatment ------------------------60 4.2.5.Results ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------61 4.2.6.Uncertainties related to the estimates for the domestic sewage sector-----------------62 4.3.1.Other benefits-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------64 4.3. Mitigation options ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------63 4.4.1.Low Carbon Scenario for domestic sewage --------------------------------------------------65 6 4.4. Low Carbon Scenario - sewage and effluent treatment -----------------------------------65 4.4.2.Low Carbon Scenario for Industrial Effluents -----------------------------------------------67 4.4.3.Consolidation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------68 4.4.4.Barriers and proposed solutions --------------------------------------------------------------71 5. Consolidation of Low Carbon Scenario ---------------------------------------------------------------- 72 5.1.1.Results according to states ---------------------------------------------------------------------73 5.1. Synthesis of Low Carbon Scenario--------------------------------------------------------------72 5.2. Economic analysis ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------74 5.3.1.Solid waste ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------77 5.3. Costs and benefits ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------76 5.3.2.Incineration ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------79 5.3.3.Domestic sewage and industrial effluent ----------------------------------------------------80 5.4.1.Marginal abatement cost -----------------------------------------------------------------------83 5.4. Marginal abatement costs and Break Even Carbon Price ---------------------------------82 5.4.2.Break Even Carbon Price ------------------------------------------------------------------------85 5.5. Financing requirements--------------------------------------------------------------------------86 6. Conclusion --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 88 7. Annexes ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 90 7.1.1.Salvador -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------90 7.1. Metropolitan regions------------------------------------------------------------------------------90 7.1.2.Fortaleza -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------90 7.1.3.Recife -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------91 7.1.4.Belo Horizonte------------------------------------------------------------------------------------91 7.1.5.Rio de Janeiro -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------92 7.1.6.São Paulo ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------92 7.1.7.Curitiba --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------93 Synthesis Report | WASTE 7.1.8.Porto Alegre ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------93 7.2. CDM projects in the waste and effluents sector in Brazil ----------------------------------94 7.3. Government programs, plans and actions in the waste sector ------------------------ 105 7.4. Brazilian regulatory framework for the waste sector (in force in 2009)------------ 110 8. Bibliography ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------112 Equation 1 -Variation of Lo from 1970 to 2005-----------------------------------------------------------------------30 LIST OF EQUATIONS Equation 2 - CH4 emission by First Order Decay Method (FOD) – Tier 2 ----------------------------------------34 Equation 3 - Normalization factor for the sum ----------------------------------------------------------------------35 Equation 4 - Quantity of waste buried --------------------------------------------------------------------------------35 Equation 5 - Potential generation of CH4 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------35 7 Equation 6 - Degradable organic carbon -----------------------------------------------------------------------------35 Equation 7 - Fraction of decomposable DOC -------------------------------------------------------------------------36 Equation 8 - Estimate of CO2 emissions from solid waste incineration -----------------------------------------36 Equation 9 - Estimate of N2O from solid waste incineration ------------------------------------------------------36 Equation 10 - Estimate of CH4 emissions from anaerobic treatment of sewage and effluents --------------60 Equation 11 - Estimate of total organic sewage and effluent ------------------------------------------------------60 Equation 12 - Estimate of total organic sewage and effluent ------------------------------------------------------60 Equation 13 - Estimate of emission factor for sewage and effluents ---------------------------------------------61 Equation 14 - Weighted mean of MCF ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------61 Table 1 - Reference Scenario: Emissions resulting from treatment of effluents -------------------------------25 LIST OF TABLES Table 2 - Variation of L0 from 1970 to 2005 in Brazil’s large geographic regions and estimated median L0 for whole country-----------------------------------------30 Table 3 - IPCC (2000) default data for Methane Correction Factor (MCF) --------------------------------------31 Table 4 - Scenario versus technology or event -----------------------------------------------------------------------38 Table 5 - Estimate uncertainties in the MSW sector ----------------------------------------------------------------42 Table 6 - Low Carbon Scenario: Avoided MSW emissions ---------------------------------------------------------52 Table 7 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to sanitary landfills -------------------------------------------52 Table 8 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to incineration ------------------------------------------------53 Table 9 - Reference Scenario: Emissions due to sewage treatment ----------------------------------------------62 Table 10 - Estimate uncertainties in the domestic sewage sector ------------------------------------------------62 Table 11 - Estimate uncertainties in the industrial effluent sector-----------------------------------------------62 Table 12 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to effluent treatment ---------------------------------------71 Table 13 - Low Carbon Scenario: Total emissions from waste, sewage and effluent treatment -------------72 Table 14 - Low Carbon Scenario: Emissions from waste, sewage and effluent treatment (by State) -------73 Synthesis Report | WASTE Table 15 - Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) -Sanitation (2007) ---------------------------------------------75 Table 16 - Investment costs related to systems for mitigating emissions of CH4 in sanitary landfills in Brazil (2005) -----------------------------------------------78 Table 17 - Per capita cost (US$) of installing sanitary landfills (at 2030 adjusted prices) --------------------78 Table 18 - Investment costs related to MSW incineration systems (2008) -------------------------------------80 Table 19 - Per capita costs (US$) of installing incinerators in Brazil (at 2030 adjusted prices) -------------80 Table 20 - Cost of installing sewage treatment ----------------------------------------------------------------------81 Table 21 - Investment costs of mitigating CH4 emissions in ETEs in 2008--------------------------------------82 Table 22 - Costs of installing sewage treatment (at 2030 adjusted prices) -------------------------------------82 Table 23 - Current abatement costs: 2030 Low Carbon Scenario ------------------------------------------------84 Table 24 - Marginal abatement costs, Break Even Carbon Price and scale of investment for 2030 Low Carbon Scenario ----------------------------------------------------85 Table 25 - CDM sanitary landfill projects -----------------------------------------------------------------------------95 8 Table 26 - CDM composting projects ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------97 Table 27 - CDM liquid effluents projects ------------------------------------------------------------------------------98 Table 28 - CDM rural waste projects -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------98 Table 29 - Government programs, plans and actions in the waste sector -------------------------------------- 105 Table 30 - Federal level legal rulings applicable to the waste sector -------------------------------------------- 110 Figure 1 - General strategy employed in elaborating the LIST OF FIGURES 2030 scenario for GHG emissions in the waste, sewage and effluents sectors ---------------------------------14 Figure 2 - Population growth according to PNE (National Energy Plan) 2030 ---------------------------------15 Figure 3 - Low Carbon Scenario: total emissions from waste, sewage and effluents treatment ------------16 Figure 4 - Greenhouse gases produced by the treatment and disposal of solid waste ------------------------19 Figure 5 - Main components of a biogas collection system --------------------------------------------------------21 Figure 6 - Example of a fluidized bed incinerator -------------------------------------------------------------------23 Figure 7 - Scenario 1-A: Reference Scenario for the MSW sector -------------------------------------------------25 Figure 8 - Precipiation levels in Brazil3--------------------------------------------------------------------------------26 Figure 9 - Total Population Growth in Brazil 1950-2050 ----------------------------------------------------------27 Figure 10 - Total population growth according to the PNE 2030 -------------------------------------------------27 Figure 11 Waste Production by municipality (quantity of trash in 2010, 100 tons) --------------------------28 Figure 12 - Waste generation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------29 Figure 13 - Potential generation of CH4 – Lo -------------------------------------------------------------------------30 Figure 14 - Fraction of fossil carbon in waste ------------------------------------------------------------------------31 Figure 15 - Operating standardes of landfills in Brazil from 19790-2030 --------------------------------------32 Figure 16 - General strategy employed in elaborating the 2030 scenario for GHG emissions caused by waste treatment ---------------------------------------------------32 Figure 17 - Scenario 3-A CH4 burning at 75 percent collection efficiency in landfill -------------------------37 Synthesis Report | WASTE Figure 18 - Scenario 2-A: 20 percent increase of waste mass arriving at landfill ------------------------------39 Figure 19 - Scenario 4A: Incineration of 100 percent of solid waste in municipalities with populations of over 3 milliion inhabitants ---------------------------------40 Figure 20 - Scenario 5-A: Reduction by 20 percent of quantity of waste delivered to landfills --------------40 Figure 21 - Scenario 6-A: Incineration of 100 percent of waste produced in municipalities with over 3 million inhabitants; CH4 burning in landfills in municipalities with population between 100,000 and 3,000,000 ---------------------------------41 Figure 22 - Example of passive drainage well ------------------------------------------------------------------------43 Figure 23 - Example of a forced exhaustion drainage well system -----------------------------------------------44 Figure 24 - Example of a forced exhaustion system (equipment) ------------------------------------------------44 Figure 25 - Scenario 3-A: CH4 burned with 75 percent collection efficiency in landfills ---------------------47 Figure 26 - Reference Scenario: MSW services provision ---------------------------------------------------------48 Figure 27 - Low Carbon Scenario: MSW services provision -------------------------------------------------------49 9 Figure 28 - Reference Scenario: Percentage distribution of MSW treatment services -----------------------49 Figure 29 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of MSW treatment services ---------------------50 Figure 30 - Low Carbon Scenario 2010-2030------------------------------------------------------------------------50 Figure 31: Emission from Waste Mt CO2e, by Municipality – Reference Scenario 2030----------------------51 Figure 32: Emissions from Waste, Mt CO2e, by Municipality – Low Carbon 2030 -----------------------------51 Figure 33 - Sources of GHG emissions caused by effluent treatment --------------------------------------------55 Figure 34 - Sources of sewage and effluents, treatment systems and potential CH4 emissions-------------56 Figure 35 - Upflow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket Reactor (UASB) ---------------------------------------------------57 Figure 36 - Scenario 1-B or Reference Scenario for Domestic Sewage ------------------------------------------58 Figure 37 - Scenario 1-C or Reference Scenario for Industrial Effluents ----------------------------------------59 Figure 38 - General strategy for elaborating the 2030 Scenario regarding GHG emissions caused by effluent treatment -----------------------------------------------59 Figure 39 - Reference Scenario for Domestic and Industrial Effluent Emissions ------------------------------61 Figure 40 - Anaerobic lagoon with biogas collection ---------------------------------------------------------------63 Figure 41 - Scenario 2-B: 50 percent of domestic sewage collected and treated anaerobically without burning CH4 --------------------------------------------------------66 Figure 42 - Scenario 3-B: collection and burning of biogas generated in some of the domestic sewage treatment systems from 2010-2030 -----------------------------66 Figure 43 - Scenario 2-C: 50 percent of domestic sewage collected and treated anaerobically without burning CH4. -------------------------------------------------------67 Figure 44 - Scenario 3-C: Burning CH4 generated by treatment of industrial effluents 2010-2030 -------68 Figure 45 - Low Carbon Scenario: Domestic sewage treatment systems ---------------------------------------68 Figure 46 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of domestic sewage treatment systems ------69 Figure 47 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of industrial effluent treatment systems -----70 Figure 48 - Low Carbon Scenario: treatment of sewage and effluents-------------------------------------------70 Synthesis Report | WASTE Figure 49 - Low Carbon Scenario: Total emissions from treatment of waste, sewage and effluents -------72 Figure 50: Total Emissions (MT CO2e) from Solid Waste, and Sewage and Effluents -------------------------74 Figure 51 - Cost of landfill impelementation (R$/inhabitant) in the state of Minas Gerais ------------------77 Figure 52 - Marginal Abatement Costs --------------------------------------------------------------------------------84 Figure 53 - Break Even Carbon Prices ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------86 Figure 54 - Scale of Investment -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------87 10 Synthesis Report | WASTE Acronyms ABRELPE - Associação Brasileira de Empresas de Limpeza Pública e Resíduos Especiais (Bra- zilian Association of Public Cleansing and Special Waste Companies) CETESB - Companhia de Tecnologia de Saneamento Ambiental (Environmental Sanitation Technology Company) 11 CDM - Clean Development Mechanism BOD - Biochemical Oxygen Demand EFDB - Emission Factor Database (IPCC-Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change ) EPA - Environment Protection Agency (US) FOD - First Order Decay GHG - Greenhouse Gases IBGE - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (Brazilian Geography and Statistics Institute) ICGCC - Brazilian Interministerial Commission on Global Climate Change (Comissão Intermin- isterial de Mudança Global do Clima) INMET - Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (National Meteorological Institute) IPCC - Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change MCIDADES - Ministério das Cidades (Ministry of Cities) MCT - Ministério da Ciência e Tecnologia (Ministry of Science and Technology) MMA - Ministério do Meio Ambiente (Environment Ministry) PAC - Programa de Aceleração do Crescimento (Growth Acceleration Program) PDD - Project Design Document PLANSAB - Programa Nacional de Saneamento Básico (National Basic Sanitation Program) PNE - Plano Nacional de Energia (National Energy Plan) PMSS - Programa de Modernização do Setor de Saneamento (Sanitation Sector Modernization Program) PNMC - Plano Nacional de Mudança do Clima (National Climate Change Plan) PNSB - Pesquisa Nacional de Saneamento Básico (National Basic Sanitation Survey) UNDP - United Nations Development Program PPA - Plano Plurianual (Multi-Year Plan) PROSAB - Programa de Pesquisas em Saneamento Básico (Basic Sanitation Research Program) MSW - Municipal Solid Waste SMA - Secretaria Estadual do Meio Ambiente de São Paulo (São Paulo State Environment Sec- retariat) SNIS - Sistema Nacional de Informações de Saneamento (National Sanitation Information System) SSE - Secretaria Estadual de Saneamento e Energia (State Sanitation and Energy Secretariat) tCO2e - Ton of CO2 equivalent UNFCCC - United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Synthesis Report | WASTE Acknowledgments This report synthesis the findings for the waste sector of a broader study, the Brazil Low Carbon Study, which was undertaken by the World Bank in its initiative to support Brazil’s integrated effort towards reducing national and global emissions of greenhouse gases while promoting long term development. The study builds on the best available knowledge and to this effect the study team undertook a broad consultative process and surveyed the copious 12 literature available to identify the need for incremental efforts and centers of excellences. It was prepared following consultations and discussions on the scope of the work with the Min- istries of Foreign Affairs, Environment and Science and Technology. Several seminars were also organized to consult with representatives of Ministries of Finance, Planning Agriculture, Transport, Mines and Energy, Development, Industry and Trade. Several public agencies and research centers participated or were consulted including EMBRAPA, INT, EPE, CETESB, INPE, COPPE, UFMG, UNICAMP and USP. The Brazil Low Carbon Study was prepared by a team lead by Christophe de Gouvello, the World Bank and covers four key areas with large potential for low-carbon options: (i) land use, land-use change, and forestry (LULUCF), including deforestation; (ii) transport systems; (iii) energy production and use, particularly electricity, oil and gas and bio-fuels; and (iv) solid and liquid urban waste. The present document is supported by more than 15 technical reports and four synthesis reports for the four main areas. This study was supported by the World Bank through funds made available from the Sustainable Development Network for regional climate change activities and through support from the World Bank Energy Sector Management As- sistance Program (ESMAP). This synthesis report on Waste Treatment was prepared by a team coordinated by João Wag- ner Silva Alves, CETESB and Christophe de Gouvello, the World Bank, and composed of João Wagner Silva Alves, Bruna Patrícia de Oliveira, George Henrique C. Magalhães Cunha, Tathyana Leite Cunha Alves, Francisco do Espírito Santo Filho, Josilene Ticianelli Vanuzzini Ferrer, Fáti- ma Aparecida Carrara, Rosimeire S. Magalhães Molina, CETESB, Marcos Eduardo Gomes Cunha and Eduardo Toshio, Ciclo Ambiental Engenharia Ltda. The World Bank supervision team of the whole Low Carbon Study included Christophe de Gou- vello, Jennifer Meihuy Chang, Govinda Timilsina, Paul Procee, Mark Lundell, Garo Batmanian, Adriana Moreira, Fowzia Hassan, Augusto Jucá, Barbara Farinelli, Rogerio Pinto, Francisco Sucre, Benoit Bosquet, Alexandre Kossoy, Flavio Chaves, Mauro Lopes de Azeredo, Fernanda Pacheco, Sebastien Pascual and Megan Hansen. Synthesis Report | WASTE 1. Executive summary The following report on the 2030 Low Carbon Scenario for the waste management sector in Brazil is divided into seven sections. The first section describes the context in which the report was prepared. Cooperation between the World Bank and CETESB (Companhia de Tecnologia 13 de Saneamento Ambiental / Environmental Sanitation Technology Company) made it possible for some of the material assembled for the Reference Report on greenhouse gas emissions of Brazil’s waste sector between 1990 and 20051 to be usefully employed in the preparation of the 2030 scenario. The CETESB website (www.cetesb.sp.gov.br/biogas) contains key data obtained during this exercise. The information is available for public viewing and can be published if required. During the preparation of the CETESB Reference Report, a permanent Inventory Network was established. The network assists with providing relevant data and continues to make a valuable contribution to the online discussion forum coordinated by the CETESB technical team. The second section of the report addresses the Reference Scenario and the Low Carbon Scenario for 2030 for the solid waste sector, possible ways of mitigating GHG, and the technologies employed in the different scenarios. The maintenance of the existing conditions in the solid waste Reference Scenario, with the addition of the capture and burning of landfill CH4, basically defines the Low Carbon Scenario of the solid waste sector. Other technologies, such as incineration or reduction of the amount of waste liable for disposal in landfills, are also discussed, together with estimates of the emissions produced. In addition to Low Carbon Scenario considerations, the technologies for reducing GHG emissions are discussed in detail in order to enable readers to assess the impact of the individual technologies on greenhouse gas generation. The third section addresses the Reference Scenario and 2030 Low Carbon Scenario of the domestic sewage and industrial effluents sectors. The maintenance of the present conditions described in the sewage and effluents sector Reference Scenario, together with the installment of anaerobic treatment systems (anaerobic digestion) endowed with devices for capturing and burning CH4, basically define the Low Carbon Scenario for the sewage and effluents treatment sector. Anaerobic digestion can be deployed with the use of anaerobic lagoons, anaerobic upflow reactors, sludge blanket digestion or other processes which work on the basis of absence of oxygen. The remaining technologies for reducing GHG emissions are considered separately. The benefits associated with low carbon waste management practices (for solid waste, domestic sewage and industrial effluents) are listed in Sections 2 and 3. The fourth section discusses the projected Low Carbon Scenario for 2030, the various hypotheses posited, and the key results. This section also contains an economic cost analysis and examines the Break Even Carbon Price and other financial aspects of the implementation of the Low Carbon Scenario in the solid waste and domestic sewage and industrial effluents Synthesis Report | WASTE sectors. The fifth section of the report presents the main conclusions of the study, while the sixth and seventh sections contain bibliographical references and annexes respectively. The method employed for elaborating the Low Carbon Scenario in the solid waste sector and the domestic sewage and industrial effluents sectors is illustrated in Figure 1. A series of 1 The Reference Report on countrywide greenhouse gas emissions produced by waste and effluent treatment in the period 1990-2005, was prepared by CETESB In cooperation with the Ministry of Science and Technology and the United Nations Development Program (UNDP). The Report forms part of the National Communication on GHG emissions. predominantly linear mathematical models played a major role in estimating GHG emissions, employing data which recorded the past behavior of the following: the quantities of solid waste and sewage generated on a per capita basis, industrial effluent loads, the composition of solid waste, sewage and industrial effluents, quality standards of landfill operations, treatment technologies employed, levels of methane recovery, etc. This data was used in accordance with the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) (2000) method for estimating emissions in the Low Carbon Scenarios. 14 The IPCC method also provided default emission factors when these could not be located in the relevant Brazilian technical literature. Estimates of the behavior of the same retrospective data were then formulated for the period between 2010 and 2030. These data and assumptions provided the basis for this study’s definition of the Reference and Low Carbon Scenarios of the waste sector in Brazil. Figure 1 - General strategy employed in elaborating the 2030 scenario for GHG emissions in the waste, sewage and effluents sectors General data on Estimate of population, MSW GHG generation per emissions for capita, sewage and years 1990 - effluent generation 2005. Definition of Estimate of Low retrospective future Emission behavior behavior Scenarios tool models models Delphi survey or other technique for defining Synthesis Report | WASTE scenarios The data employed in the preparation of this scenario were obtained from locally available literature wherever available. The first factor considered was population growth. The Brazilian Ministry of Mines and Energy estimates, for example, that by year 2010, 168 million people will be living in urban areas in Brazil (see Figure 2), rising to 210 million by 2030. Based on this official data, a year-by-year estimate was made of the population and examined other key features (where available in the literature) for each of the approximately 5,500 municipalities. Figure 2 - Population growth according to PNE (National Energy Plan) 2030 15 Source: IBGE, 1970, 1980, 1991 e 2000 e PNE, 2007 On the basis of the road map depicted in Figure 1, the models tracking the behavior of variables which influenced past emissions and which impact current sanitation policies were defined. It is expected that behavior models over the next few decades will also be affected by population growth, urbanization, rates of per capita waste generation, composition of waste, etc. Estimates were made of GHG emissions relating to waste management in Brazil over the past 20 years. Using Figure 1 again, together with some of the data from Figure 2, projections were made of the waste, sewage and effluents sector Reference Scenario. Estimates were also made of the possible GHG emissions resulting from the different technologies employed and, finally, once the Low Carbon emissions had been identified, the costs and investment requirements for introducing GHG abatement methods were examined. The relevant values were calculated on the basis of a discount rate of 8 percent or 12 percent a year. The results in Figure 3 below show that the total GHG emissions of the waste sector could reach, according to the Reference Scenario, around 99.26 MtCO2e/year by 2030, representing an increase of over 40 percent in the level of emissions observed for year 2010. However, if the proposed Low Carbon Scenario is successfully adopted, 75 percent2 of the emissions from landfills could be abated by simply installing collection and burning systems, while a further 5 percent of the emissions could be avoided by constructing anaerobic systems for treating sewage by collecting and destroying CH4. The result would be an overall reduction of emissions in the waste sector from 99.26 MtCO2e/ year to under 18.36 MtCO2e/ year by 2030. Synthesis Report | WASTE 2 According to the MDL landfill projects (MCT, 2009), biogas capture efficiency is of the order of 75 percent. Figure 3 - Low Carbon Scenario: total emissions from waste, sewage and effluents treatment 16 The majority of emissions in the solid waste sector arise from current waste management methods. Seventy eight percent of such emissions are avoidable (in all, 962.69tCO2e can be avoided at a cost of US$1.3/tCO2e). On the other hand, the emissions that can be avoided as a result of the treatment of domestic sewage and industrial effluents account for 22 percent of the total, amounting to 30.40 tCO2e and 238.35tCO2e respectively. However, compared to the low costs associated with the installation of CH4 collection and burning systems in landfills, the costs of installing anaerobic systems for sewage/effluent CH4 collection and methane burning are estimated at around US$930.38/tCO2e for domestic sewage and approximately US$103.30/tCO2e for industrial effluent treatment. These costs do not take into account the benefits associated with the reduced pollution resulting from the non- dumping of substantial organic loads into water bodies. Water pollution caused by raw sewage and industrial effluents is widespread in Brazil and will inevitably continue if the Reference Scenario is maintained, involving the non-treatment and collection of around 50 percent of all the domestic sewage and industrial effluents produced. Among the alternatives considered for for the future waste management scenario in Brazil, an increase in the quantities of waste for disposal in landfills was included, at levels over and Synthesis Report | WASTE above the ones indicated in the Reference Scenario. This could result from a rise in income levels of the population leading to increased consumption levels and consequently higher levels of waste generation. Increased landfill disposal could also result from heavier government investment in the sanitation sector aimed at expanding waste collection and other services. According to ABRELPE (2008) 15 percent of waste is currently not collected. Increases in waste collection and disposal using current practices would produce higher GHG emissions (see Figure 18). The suggested Low Carbon Scenario which maintains the conditions defined in the Reference Scenario, and adds the burning of CH 4, could combine some of the downside factors considered in this report (e.g. increased quantities of waste for landfill disposal) with more positive sanitation and environmental benefits. While the Low Carbon Scenario draws on projections of specific waste management behavior patterns likely to influence GHG emissions, the scenario also reflects the beneficial outcomes which could emerge from the implementation of the Federal Government’s current public policies, programs, and plans in the waste management area. Finally, consideration is given to some of the obstacles and facilitating 17 mechanisms impacting the waste sector developments between 2010 and 2030. Synthesis Report | WASTE 2. Introduction The purpose of the present report is to assist in the preparation of public policy proposals regarding greenhouse gas emissions and the additional financial resources necessary. With the support of a waste sector-related Inventory Network (see www.cetesb.sp.gov.br/ 18 biogas for more details), CETESB has developed tools for estimating GHG emissions produced by waste treatment. With a view to better evaluate the behavior of the variables used in the IPCC (2000) method, the resulting data is still the subject of discussion by the above mentioned network. The GHG produced by waste treatment consists of CH4 from the anaerobic digestion of organic material contained in solid wastes, domestic sewage and industrial effluents, CO2 from the fossil fraction of incinerated solid waste, and from N20, also produced by waste incineration. The estimated scenarios draw upon a number of factors such as the evolution of the variables involved (which have a bearing on past emission estimates), current sanitation policies, anticipated demographic growth, the spread of urbanization and rising levels of per capita waste and its components over the next 20 years. The main purpose of the scenarios is to provide an evaluation of the GHG emissions arising from the different approaches and methods for treating waste and to ensure that important environmental aspects are taken into account when key decisions are being made on the waste treatment technologies to be applied in Brazil. For the 2030 Low Carbon Scenario on waste treatment, the PNE (Plano Nacional de Energia / National Energy Plan) (2030) urban population projections were used. The PNE (2007) estimated that the country’s urban population in 2005 was 154,343,300 and forecasts an urban population of 209,918,700 by 2030- representing demographic growth of 36 percent over the 25-year period. The scenario also reflects the possible results of the Federal Government’s current policies, programs, and plans in the waste management sector. Obstacles and facilitating mechanisms likely to influence developments in the country’s waste sector between 2010 and 2030 were also taken into consideration. Synthesis Report | WASTE 3. Treatment of Municipal Solid Waste (MSW) The various technical methods for waste treatment mentioned in this report represent only a sample of the numerous ways of treating solid waste available in the scientific literature. The descriptions in this study relate only to those municipal solid waste treatment technologies for which the IPCC (2000 and 2006) methods provide data and/or guidance for calculating GHG emissions, and where the existence of default values can be verified, and therefore pre- 19 established emission factors for each type of waste treatment technology can be calculated. The treatment technologies considered in this study are outlined below. 3.1. Treatment methods According to the IPCC (2000) burying and incinerating solid wastes produces GHG emissions(see Figure 4). Other alternative methods such as recycling, increasing collection frequency, etc. involve increased or reduced waste deposited either in landfills or incinerated. Composting is considered to be one of the methods for mitigating or sequestering GHG. The possibility also exists of treating MSW with anaerobic digestion in sanitary landfills or through high temperature thermal treatment. Incineration is the most commonly used method in Brazil. As for anaerobic digestion in sanitary landfills, the decomposition of organic waste material and the possibility of using the CH4 for power generation purposes is discussed. The IPCC (2006) method covers the following types of incineration: continuous, semi-continuous and batch load (batelada) employing grid or fluidized bed technologies. ‘Continuous’ incineration involves the use of incinerators which do not require switching on and off on a daily basis. On the other hand, ‘semi-continuous’ or batch load incinerators must usually be switched on and off at least once a day. The operational differences among the three types of incinerators explain why each of them produces different GHG emissions data. Figure 4 illustrates the alternatives considered which provide the basis for estimating the amounts of GHG emitted (or avoided) in the 2030 Scenario. Figure 4 - Greenhouse gases produced by the treatment and disposal of solid waste MSW Reduction Recycling Synthesis Report | WASTE Incineration (1) Sanitary landfill (2) Composting Uncollected emits emits no emissions no method Fossil CO2 and N2O CH4 Comment: (i) The incineration techniques are listed according to the equipment employed, as follows: - continuous grate or fluidized bed incinerator (fossil CO2 and N20 emissions) - semi-continuous grate or fluidized bed incinerator (fossil CO2 and N20 emissions) - batch load grate or fluidized bed incinerator (fossil CO2 and N20 emissions). (ii) In addition to disposal in a sanitary landfill or treatment in an aerobic reactor for subsequent landfill disposal with a reduction of the Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD) of the MSW: - anaerobic digestion (emission of CH4). 3.1.1. Sanitary landfills The Brazilian Technical Norms Association (ABNT) defines a sanitary landfill for municipal solid waste as follows: 20 “… a sanitary landfill is a method for disposing of MSW in the ground without causing hazards or risks to public health and safety, minimiz- ing environmental impacts. This method employs engineering princi- ples in order to restrict the waste to the smallest area possible and to reduce it to the lowest permissible volume, thereafter covering it with a layer of earth at the end of each working day or at shorter intervals (ABNT NBR 8419, 1984). if necessary…� Treatment of municipal solid waste in sanitary landfills is based upon the anaerobic (oxygen free) digestion of the organic material present through bacteriological processes leading to decomposition. Anaerobic digestion of waste produces biogas - a mixture of different gases: CH4, carbon dioxide (CO2), hydrogen (H2) and sulphuric acid (H2S). The CH4 component represents on average between 50 percent and 80 percent of the total volume of gas, while carbon dioxide gas accounts for between 5 percent and 20 percent. The composition of the purified biogas is similar to natural combustible gas and is therefore a worthwhile alternative for use as a source of energy (ALVES, 2000). According to the IPT/CEMPRE (2000), sanitary landfills can be classified into three different types depending on the way in which they are constructed: 1) the “trench� or “ditch� method where the waste is deposited in open trenches at the disposal site. It is usually employed in areas where the subsoil can be easily excavated; 2) the progressive slope or “ramp� method, based upon excavation of an access ramp and the disposal of waste, which is subsequently compacted by tractor and then covered with earth. This method is used in areas which can be exca- vated and where soil can be used to provide a covering layer; and 3) the “area� method, used in places with flat topography and a shallow water table. According to IPT/CEMPRE (2000) the operating sequence of a sanitary landfill commences with garbage trucks being weighed at the site entrance. After weighing, the trucks are subjected Synthesis Report | WASTE to an inspection of their loads and then directed to the disposal position depending on the zoning arrangements in the landfill. Finally, the trucks are weighed again at the exit. After the waste is deposited, compacting and leveling the waste should be done by crawler tractors or landfill tractors with compaction wheels. At the end of the working day the deposited waste must be covered with an appropriate layer of earth which on average should be 0.2m thick. The combination of the layer of waste and the soil cover is called a “cell�. The aim of covering the waste with a layer of soil is to avoid the proliferation of disease-carrying insects, to facilitate movement by the various vehicles and other machines on the site, and to render the surface of the landfill more impermeable to prevent rainwater from affecting the layers of waste underneath (CEMPRE, 2000). In order to ensure ideal operating conditions, a sanitary landfill must possess drainage systems for rainwater, percolated liquids, and biogas. The purpose of the rainwater drainage system is to stop it from infiltrating into the waste. This type of system normally comprises a network of concrete channels and pipes designed to collect the water in the appropriate places. The drainage system for percolated liquids is designed to collect and channel liquids for 21 appropriate treatment. The latter can be done in a treatment station on the landfill site itself or in off-site facilities. The aim of this type of system is to prevent percolated liquids from leaching into and contaminating the water table and nearby water bodies. The system basically consists of rows of small channels dug directly into the ground or located on an impermeable layer in the landfill and filled with filtering material (CEMPRE, 2000). According to the PROSAB (2003), a biogas drainage system is used to collect and treat the biogas generated by the anaerobic decomposition of the organic material present in the waste. It also aims to minimize potential fire risks and bad odors caused mainly by the presence of sulphidric gas in the biogas. The gases are captured by means of vertical extraction pipes rising from the bottom of the landfill and discharging the biogas at an exit point above the top layer of earth. Similar to chimneys, these drains are basically rows of perforated pipes surrounded by sleeves of gravel of an equal thickness to that of the diameter of the tubes used (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000). The employment of these vertical extraction pipes is the simplest and most common way of capturing biogas, although Henriques (2004) claims that an alternative method is to collect the biogas through horizontal ‘drains’ installed at the time of laying down the different levels of waste. The main advantage of this process is that biogas can be collected from the beginning of the waste disposal operation (from the lowest layers of the landfill upwards) without the operators having to wait for the landfill to be completely covered (CEMPRE, 2000). Brazil possesses only two sanitary landfills which use biogas CH4 for burning and energy generation. The most common practice at present is to allow the gas to escape directly into the atmosphere through collector drains. A standard biogas collection system is based upon three key components: collection shafts and conductor pipes, a compressor and treatment system, as illustrated in Figure 5. The majority of energy recovery systems possess a burner used for flaring off excess gas or for use during equipment maintenance periods (MUYLAERT et. al., 2000; OLIVEIRA, 2000). Figure 5 - Main components of a biogas collection system Synthesis Report | WASTE The collection pipes have their upper ends connected to horizontal tubes which transport the biogas to a main collector. The biogas is pumped out of the landfill cells and then forced by the compressor through the transmission tubes to the power generation plant (WILLUMSEN, 2001). The compressor is used to transfer the biogas from the collection pipes and is also normally employed to compress the gas before it enters the energy recovery system. The treatment system is also designed to capture and discard the condensate which forms in the collection system. When the hot biogas produced by the sanitary landfill passes through the 22 system, it cools and forms a condensate which, if not removed, can block the collection system and reduce the efficiency of the energy recovery process. Control of the condensate normally begins in the collection system, where descending tubes and connectors are used to drain it into tanks or collection traps. The condensate is then generally discharged into the public wastewater network, into a local treatment system or recirculated within the landfill itself (MUYLAERT et. al., 2000). As for the CH4, when this has been correctly treated it is considered to be ready for consumption. 3.1.2. Incineration Incineration is a waste treatment technology (known as thermal treatment) involving the combustion of organic waste materials for conversion into less bulky, toxic or atoxic substances, or in certain cases for eliminating it altogether (CETESB, 1993). According to Lora (2002) one of the advantages of incineration compared to MSW treatment using sanitary landfills is that, unlike the latter, it avoids the problems caused by the generation and treatment of leachates and permanent gaseous emissions. On the other hand, the disadvantages of this type of waste treatment include the need for larger start-up investments and higher ongoing operating costs. Employing incineration for waste disposal requires the installation of systems to deal with the polluting gases generated as a result of the combustion process of certain components in the solid waste. In the majority of cases electrostatic or fabric filters are used to counter these emissions ( LORA, 2002). Grate incinerators Grate incinerators are used for burning MSW either in its raw or “treated� state. The latter is the result of a process involving the separation of recyclable MSW aimed at removing hazardous, bulky or recyclable materials (similar to that employed in composting). This produces a less bulky and more uniform material than the original raw waste and is easier to incinerate (IPT/ CEMPRE, 2000). Synthesis Report | WASTE A plant containing grate incinerators normally is comprised of two or three combustion units operating in parallel, each with a capacity of between 50 to 100 tons per day. These facilities are assembled on-site and modern versions possess a combustion chamber lined with water-wall tubes, used for recovering energy, and gas-cleaning systems (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000). The MSW incineration process involves the following (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000): the MSW, after being weighed, is tipped into a pit where it is thoroughly mixed and blended by a series of waste grabs suspended on overhead gantries. These grabs are also used for loading the material into the feeder silo, from where it is loaded by means of hydraulic pistons into the incinerator combustion chamber. The moving (descending) grate propels the waste through the combustion chamber, allowing for efficient and complete combustion at high temperatures. During its transit through the boiler the material heats up and dries out at the same time as it loses volatile organic compounds, before traveling down to the pit at the other end where a small quantity of organic material is generally still present in the form of ash. This type of grate can operate with different- sized materials, which makes it appropriate for incinerating MSW in its raw state. Around 60 percent of the combustion air is supplied through the grate from below and the 23 remainder enters the boiler and is applied to the burning waste through nozzles over the grate. The airflow entering from below serves to cool the load and assist in drying and burning the waste. Meanwhile, the air injected at high pressure from above facilitates complete combustion of the flue gases by introducing rapid turbulence for better mixing of the combustion gases and fumes generated during the process of thermal decomposition. The temperature in the area over the grate can reach around 1200°C, leading to the destruction of most of the components in CO2 and water. The high-temperature flue gases are then cooled in heat exchangers, which convert the heat into steam, which can then be used for electricity generation or heating purposes. The flue gases, cooled to around 250°C , are then dispatched to the flue gas-cleaning systems where acid gases, particulates, dioxins, heavy metals and furans are removed. On exiting the grate the organic fraction of the MSW should be almost totally burned, leaving a predominantly inorganic fraction called ‘incinerator bottom ash’. In practice a small organic fraction is contained within this ash in the form of carbon. The bottom ashes are extinguished in a water lock and then dispatched for final disposal in landfills. The steam generated in this way can be used as a source of heat for generating steam-based power and/or electricity. The system involving dual steam and electrical energy generation is known as ‘co-generation’. A fluidized bed incinerator consists of a combustion chamber, a porous plate or distributor, a Fluidized-bed incinerators waste feeder system, and an auxiliary fuel system, illustrated in Figure 6 (OLIVEIRA, 2007). Figure 6 - Example of a fluidized bed incinerator Synthesis Report | WASTE Source: Adapted from Theodore and Reynolds, 1987 According to the IPT/CEMPRE (2000), in fluidized-bed incinerators an inert material such as aluminized sand or calcium carbonate is kept suspended by a powerful pumped airflow (‘fluidization air’) injected into the base of the sand bed. The suspended sand layer behaves like a liquid and at the beginning of the operation is heated by auxiliary burners located above the bed. When the temperature reaches around 400°C a ‘fluidized bed’ is created, and waste can be introduced either from above or within the bed. The intense mixing and churning in the bed has the effect of distributing the solid waste uniformly throughout the furnace. The small particles of solid waste are affected by the intense heat of the sand (which constitutes 95 percent of the 24 mass of the bed), which heats, drys and combusts rapidly. When the operating temperature of around 600°C is reached, the auxiliary burners are switched off and the operation from that point onwards primarily consists of ensuring a continuous supply of waste and continuously removing the ash generated by the process. The ash produced by incineration is collected in gas-cleaning systems or removed at regular intervals from the base of the bed. Harder materials such as metals are also removed at regular intervals from the base together with other ash clinker. The organic compounds removed from the bed either in solid or gaseous form are burnt in the upper area of the sand bed. This area acts as an after-burner, with secondary air injected at high pressure to cause significant turbulence for burning the remaining organic compounds, with gas temperatures rising to around 900°C. The ratio of secondary to primary air is generally of the order of 2/1. The bed temperature is maintained at around 600°C in order to avoid problems with the fusion and agglomeration of individual sand particles. After the gases pass through the upper area they move to the energy recovery and gas treatment systems. While fluidized bed incinerators are widely used to burn municipal, agricultural, petrochemical and medical waste (OLIVEIRA, 2007) their most common application is the incineration of sewage sludges. This equipment has a number of drawbacks such as the need for waste to be pre-sorted, either by sifting or milling, in order to reduce the components to a maximum particle size of 2.5cm. Operational problems also tend to occur given the constant need to replace the inert substances due to particulate fouling on the sand layer. Fluidized bed incinerators do, however, offer a number of advantages: high gas-to-solid ratios, high bed-to-surface heat transfer coefficients, high turbulence levels both at the gas and solid interaction phases, uniform temperatures in the incinerator furnace and the potential for neutralizing acid gases on-site with carbonate or lime. 3.2. Reference scenario - Solid Waste Synthesis Report | WASTE The MSW treatment Reference Scenario was estimated based on forecast population growth, future rates of per capita waste generation, changes in waste composition over the years and localized regional disparities. All these subjects are dealt with in detail under Item 3.2.1 below. 3.2.1. Municipal Solid Waste The MSW waste sector Reference Scenario presupposes that Brazil’s current sanitation situation remains unchanged. In this report attention is drawn to the various initiatives, mainly taken at the federal level, to improve the present situation. It is clear that these measures will take time to be implemented and for this reason the Reference Scenario in this study is based upon the assumption that current conditions will continue. The Reference Scenario is based upon the hypotheses described below and illustrated by Figure 7, which provides an estimate of the emissions likely to occur. It can be seen that CH4 emissions increase from approximately 55,000 tCO2e in year 2010 to over 73,000 tCO2e by 2030. This increase reflects population growth in urban areas as projected by the Ministry of Mines 25 and Energy (PNE, 2007). Figure 7 - Scenario 1-A: Reference Scenario for the MSW sector Table 1 below lists the GHG emissions of the MSW sector Reference Scenario for the years 2010, 2015, 2020, 2025 and 2030. In the 20-year period from 2010 to 2030 the emissions are expected to increase by 35.6 percent. Table 1 - Reference Scenario: Emissions resulting from treatment of effluents Year Emissions from MSW treatment (1000tCO2e) 2010 54,200 2015 58,732 2020 63,630 Synthesis Report | WASTE 2025 68,610 2030 73,473 The Reference Scenario for GHG emissions in the solid waste sector was estimated by considering the variables employed by the IPCC (2000) method. The following are examples of data examined: urban population (IBGE, Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística / Brazilian Geography and Statistics Institute and EPE), the per capita rate of collected waste (ABRELPE), the quality of local waste disposal operations, waste composition, climate (INMET- Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia / National Meteorological Institute) and IPCC default emission factors. A substantial amount of information relevant to the discussion of waste management was not used since it was decided that this was unlikely to contribute objectively to the IPCC-related estimates (e.g. composting, the influence of scavenger cooperatives, at-source waste reduction, reuse of waste materials, recycling campaigns, etc). In addition to the MSW sector Reference Scenario, simulations were constructed of certain other treatment modes or technologies. A simulation was done, for example, of increased 26 quantitative waste collection possibly flowing from improvements in local authority collection services or from increased personal consumption levels unaccompanied by effective programs to encourage the reduction of at-source waste generation. A simulation was also done of the larger quantities of waste which could arise from worsening of waste collection services or the introduction of successful selective collection, recycling, or composting programs. A further simulation concerned the introduction of incinerators in a number of Metropolitan Regions. Finally, the Low Carbon Scenario dealt solely with the collection and burning of CH4 in cities throughout the entire country under the same conditions as defined in the Reference Scenario. The Reference Scenario was based on variables according to the IPCC (2000) method explained under item 3.2.2 (calculation methods) below. K and A are variables that depend on climate. The IPCC (2006) default data are the most Decay potential -�k�. appropriate for estimating emissions in Brazil. Two standard data elements were used for k as suggested by Jensen and Pipatti, (2002) apud IPCC (2006), based upon a weighted mean of MSW composition where degradation was different for each type of waste and also differed in the mixture of wastes. Given the scarcity of data about waste composition in the Brazilian literature and its effect on k, default emission factors for mixed residues were adopted and estimated according to climatic zone and average precipitation levels. In order to identify the rainfall situation in different areas of Brazil, INMET data were employed based on 1960-1990 records for the municipal areas listed in Annex 1. Figure 8 - Precipiation levels in Brazil3 Synthesis Report | WASTE 3 Annual accumulated rainfall for the period 1961-1990 Figure 8 shows rainfall data for Brazil’s five large geographic regions: North Region: MAP (mean annual precipitation) > 1000mm/yr, therefore k = 0.17. • Northeast Region: varies where MAP < 1000mm/a is equal to 0.065 and MAP>1000mm/yr, therefore k = 0.17. • Center-West Region: MAP>1000mm/yr, therefore k = 0.17. Southeast Region: MAP>1000mm/yr, therefore k =l 0.17. • South Region: MAP>1000mm/yr, therefore k = 0.09. 27 • • Quantity of waste collected – Rx The Rx was estimated on the basis of IBGE population census data for 1970, 1980, 1991, and 2000. The population projection for 2005-2030 was taken from the PNE 2030 figures (2007). The intermediate years between 2001 and 2004 were estimated assuming uniform exponential growth in the period between the 2000 Census and PNE figures for the year 2005. Figure 9 - Total Population Growth in Brazil 1950-2050 Source: IBGE, 2007 It can be observed in Figure 9, that in year 2030 a total population of around 220 million is projected according to IBGE. Meanwhile, PNE 2030 has estimated an urban population of 209,918,900 for the same year (Figure 10). Figure 10 - Total population growth according to the PNE 2030 250 2030; 210 200 2020; 191 Synthesis Report | WASTE 2025; 201 2010; 168 2015; 180 150 2005, 154 100 50 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 Source: IBGE (1970, 1980, 1991 and 2000) and PNE 2007 The estimate of waste generation in Brazil was done using per capita waste generation data Waste generation-MSW provided by CETESB/SMA (Secretaria Estadual do Meio Ambiente de São Paulo / São Paulo State Environment Secretariat)(1998) and ABRELPE (2008) for the period between 1970 and 2005. The later years were estimated on the basis of a continuing rate of growth for per capita waste generation and an increased urban population in each of the municipalities. Waste produced by municipality in 2010 is shown in Figure 11. 28 Figure 11 – Waste Production by municipality (quantity of trash in 2010, 100 tons) The outlined circles correspond to values equal to or above 1,000 This scenario presupposes that measures undertaken for encouraging at-source waste Source: CETESB, World Bank Brazil Low Carbon Case Study generation reductions, such as environmental education programs, changes in household waste disposal, or programs aimed at promoting recycling, could result in an overall reduction in waste generation of around 10 percent. On the other hand, improved waste collection services could in practice increase the present quantity of MSW collected (85 percent) by up to Synthesis Report | WASTE 15 percent (ABRELPE, 2007). Other factors, such as increased personal incomes or enhanced consumption patterns, could also contribute to boosting the amount of waste collected. Figure 12 below depicts the historical data for waste generation from 1970-2005, and the tendential trajectory veresus a 10 percent increase and decrease in waste generation. Figure 12 - Waste generation 29 According to PNSB (2000) data, 80 Mt/year of urban waste was collected in Brazil in 2000, amounting to 1.6 kg/per person/per day. This information was updated on the basis of surveys done by the Ministry of Cities and the Brazilian Environment Ministry. A set of data produced by ABRELPE in 2007 assessed the quantity of collected waste per capita at 0.9 kg/per person/per day. The latter took into account the rolling surveys and studies undertaken by both the above ministries and are regarded as more reliable than the above-mentioned PMSB figures. These were adopted as a basis for the Scenario. CETESB data for the 1970s (between 0.4 and 0.7 kg/per person/per day) was also used, and for the period between 1970 and 2005 the linear variation of the CETESB rate was estimated, while in subsequent years the higher quality ABRELPE4 data was used. Determination of the variation of CH4 generation potential was done on the basis of a Potential for generating CH4-Lo sample of 95 analyses of the composition of waste collected in different municipalities between 1970 and 2005. This data provided the basis for estimating changes in the behavior of waste components over time. The variation is illustrated by Figure 13. The Reference Scenario is represented by the continued reduction of this potential verified between 1970 and 2005. Factors such as the reduction of the proportion of waste components responsible for generating CH4 in the MSW or an increase in the number of inert substances causing this reduction could accelerate reduction by around 10-20 percent. The latter estimated reduction was a result of in- house discussion by experts involved in preparing the Reference Scenario, and such a figure has not appeared in any other publication. Synthesis Report | WASTE 4 The MSW rate for the year 2005 was estimated only for the 5 macro regions in the country: Angular Coefficient Linear Coefficient North 0.000433 0.5064 Region Northeast 0.000254 0.7054 Southeast 0.000216 0.5864 Midwest 0.000384 0.6136 South 0.000357 0.5015 Source: ABRELPE, 2007. Figure 13 - Potential generation of CH4 – Lo 30 On the basis of the aforementioned data, the variation of L0 between 1970 and 2005 for the country’s five large geographic regions was estimated on the basis of the equation below. Equation 1 – Variation of Lo from 1970 to 2005 Where: L0 (t)=Angular coefficient . t + Linear coefficient L0(t) Estimate for L0 variation over time [GgCH4/GgMSW t Estimate year [year] Angular coefficient Angular coefficient [GgCH4/GgMSW.year] Linear coefficient Linear coefficient [GgCH4/GgMSW] Table 2 represents the application of the above equation to Brazil’s five large geographic regions for the years 1970-2005. Table 2 - Variation of L0 from 1970 to 2005 in Brazil’s large geographic regions and estimated median L0 for whole country Region Angular coefficient Linear coefficient North -0.0009474001 1.9768323166 [GgCH4/GgMSW.yr] [GgCH4/GgMSW] Southeast -0.0006538087 1.3855212029 Synthesis Report | WASTE South -0.0007001260 1.4758037577 Northeast -0.0001240116 0.3212859891 Center-West +0.0012000000 2.2899000000 Brazil -0.0005687632 1.2147400398 On the assumption that the evolution of the L0 for the Center-West region was based on only three items, it was decided to employ the median regression of the entire country covering all the data referring to the remaining regions. The above table provided the basis of estimating CH4 emissions arising from MSW disposal in landfills during the 15- year period from 1990 to 2005. Fraction of carbon fossil waste - CCW. FCF Using the same set of data employed for determining L0, it was possible to determine the fraction of carbon fossil waste for the years 1970 to 2005. Future evolution was based simply on assuming the continuity of past trends. Higher concentrations of carbon fossil fractions can 31 be verified as a result of increased use of packaging, more intensive distribution of food and beverages, reductions in the price of consumer products manufactured by the petrochemical industry, or by the straightforward reduction of the portion of waste that could be described as biomass. Figure 14 - Fraction of fossil carbon in waste Methane Correction Factor - MCF The MCF varied according to the operating quality standards of the MSW disposal sites. Table 3 shows the IPCC (2000) default data on which (from a brief description of the disposal sites) the MCF can be estimated. Table 3 - IPCC (2000) default data for Methane Correction Factor (MCF) Type of MSW disposal site MCF Sanitary landfill 1.0 Synthesis Report | WASTE Unmanaged landfill of over 5m deep 0.8 Unmanaged landfill of under 5m deep 0.4 Disposal of unclassified trash 0.6 Source: IPCC, 2000 In the Reference Scenario it was estimated that municipalities with under 200,000 inhabitants in 2030 will continue to run unmanaged waste disposal sites of up to 5m deep (MCF = 0.4). The remaining municipalities with populations of over 200,000 in 2030 had a methane correction factor which evolved from 1970 (the worst situation) to an ‘intermediate’ status in 1990 and, finally, to a proper sanitary landfill from 2010 onwards. In this respect the Reference Scenario estimate differed from that outlined in the IPCC method. It was assumed that the transition from one situation to another occured in a gradual fashion and continued over the years, although this was not taken into account in the above method. On a year-on-year basis the MCF increased from 0.82 to 1.0 without any estimate being made of intermediate data between one estimate and another. See Figure 15. 32 Figure 15 - Operating standards of landfills in Brazil from 19790-2030 3.2.2. Calculation methods The elaboration of the GHG low emission scenario for the year 2030 (Scenario 2030) for waste treatment employed the IPCC (2000) international inventory method and the method described below for defining the Low Emission Scenario. This latter method was adapted and applied as follows. Figure 16 - General strategy employed in elaborating the 2030 scenario for GHG emissions caused by waste treatment General data Estimate of onpopulation, MSW GHG generation per capita emissions for MSW 1990-2005 Synthesis Report | WASTE Definition of Estimate of Low retrospective future Emission behavior behavior Scenarios tool models models Delphi survey or other technique for defining scenarios As can be observed in Figure 16, the construction of Scenario 2030 began with the definition of models illustrating behavioral patterns in the recent past which appeared to be relevant to the present study. These were mainly linear regression models focused on waste generation rates per urban resident, waste composition, CH4 generation capacity per unit of waste mass, and fossil carbon fractions, providing a benchmark for evaluating the behaviors most likely to characterize this scenario. 33 The method employed for estimating the GHG emissions arising from waste treatment in Estimate of GHG emissions resulting from waste treatment Scenario 2030 was also used in the preparation of the Reference Report on waste sector GHG emissions contained in the National Communication. The GHG estimate was obtained using the IPCC (2000) method. The model developed by CETESB for defining the quantities of GHG susceptible to mitigation Waste treatment or disposal methods and the additional resources needed for achieving the Low Carbon Scenario is described below. The CETESB model applies the IPCC (2000) method for estimating GHG emissions. The activities related to the treatment and disposal of gas-generating solid waste and effluents are appropriately identified. The model used in this study (based on the IPCC 2000 method) considers the following sites for the disposal of solid waste: MSW disposal sites which could be classified as ‘sanitary’ landfills, ‘unmanaged’ landfills of over 5m deep and ‘unmanaged’ landfills of under 5 m deep. In all these sites the organic material contained in the waste continued to produce CH4 for between 30 and 50 years (the most common occurrence in Brazil). A waste disposal method which further breaks down the waste is incineration, but this is done on an insignificant scale in Brazil. Incineration can be accompanied (or not) by employing heat recovery and electricity generation technologies. Generation of waste can of course be reduced by introducing programs to encourage a lower level of waste at-source generation or by boosting recycling and composting programs. MSW is not fully collected in all the municipalities, which makes it difficult to maintain minimum public health standards in Brazilian towns and cities. However, improvements in the country’s sanitary conditions have led to larger quantities of waste being deposited in more suitable places, therefore alleviating some of the problems arising from the pollution caused by uncollected waste. On the other hand, improvements in the operation of disposal sites can bring about an increase in GHG. According to the IPCC (2000), greenhouse gas emissions from an identical quantity of waste in an unmanaged landfill of under 5m deep are reduced by 40 percent and, in a landfill of over 5m deep, by 80 percent. This does not mean that ‘unmanaged’ landfills are more desirable than ‘sanitary’ landfills. Rather, it means that improvements in the disposal sites must Synthesis Report | WASTE be accompanied by measures which make it viable to collect and destroy the GHG emitted by such sites. 3.2.3. Composting GHG emissions from composting are not addressed by the IPCC (2000) method, which was adopted for elaborating the Low Carbon Scenarios and is also being used as a basis for assessing GHG inventories in Brazil. The most commonly-used composting method for treating municipal and household waste is the ‘aerobic composting technique’ which involves decomposition by microorganisms which survive only in the presence of free oxygen. In other words, the aerobic composting process calls for forced aeration (natural and/or artificial ventilation) with the presence of oxygen (O2) but without the presence of GHG anthropogenic emissions in the digestion process. Composting, an alternative that leads to removing organic material from landfills, presents an excellent opportunity to produce high-quality organic compost. Given that this is an aerobic process, no greenhouse gases are produced and the emission of CH4 (normally generated in a landfill over a 34 period of some decades) is avoided. The method defined by the IPCC (2000) provides no guidance on the estimation of emissions arising from composting. Although IPCC (2006) suggests a method, it is not being utilized, since it does not to conform to the National Inventory which is based on two methods: the 1996 IPCC Revised Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories and the IPCC (2000) version of the same document. Other waste management methods include practices for reducing waste generation at source by controlling waste items and changing consumption patterns and habits, or reusing and recycling material – all of which could contribute significantly to reducing the need for energy imputs, raw materials, and natural resources while simultaneously reducing environmentally-hazardous pollutants. 3.2.4. Estimated GHG emissions from landfill disposal In this scenario the method utilized for estimating emissions arising from landfills is the First Order Decay (FOD) method, explained in the IPCC Good Practices Guide published in 2000. The equation used in the IPCC guidelines for estimating CH4 emissions of the decay method (Tier 2) is described below (Equations 2 - 7). Equation 2 - CH4 emission by First Order Decay Method (FOD) – Tier 2 [( Q = ∑ A.k .RSUt.RSUf .L0 .e − k (t − x ) − R .( − O 1 X ) )] where: Q = Quantity of CH4 generated per year [GgCH4/yr] A = Normalization factor for the sum [dimensionless] Synthesis Report | WASTE K = Decay constant [1/ yr] MSWt = Total quantity of waste generated [GgMSW/ yr] = Potential generation of CH4 MSWf = Fraction of waste to be disposed of in landfill [dimensionless] L0 [GgCH4/GgMSW] = CH4 recovery T = Year of calculation [yr] R [GgCH4/ yr] OX = Oxidation factor [dimensionless] The estimate of A employed in Equation 2 can be explained as follows : Equation 3 - Normalization factor for the sum 1 − e−k A= k The estimate of the quantity of waste for disposal in landfills (Rx), was calculated on the basis of the product between MSWt and MSWf and the product between rate MSWf and Popurb. 35 MSWt . MSWf = Rx2 = rateMSW . Popurb Equation 4 - Quantity of waste buried where: rateMSW Rx = Quantity of waste buried [GgMSW/yr] = Collected waste per capita [kgMSW/inhab.day.] The estimate of L0 employed in Equation 2 is explained as follows: Popurb = Urban population [inhab] Equation 5 - Potential generation of CH4 L0 = MCF . DOC . DOCf . F . 16/12 where: MCF = Methane correction factor related to disposal site management [dimensionless] DOC = Degradable organic carbon [gC/gRSU] = Fraction of CH4 in the landfill DOCf = Fraction of the DOC subject to decomposition [dimensionless = Carbon conversion ratio (C) to (CH4) F [dimensionless3] The estimate employed in Equation 5 can be explained as follows: 16/12 [dimensionless] Equation 6 - Degradable organic carbon where: DOC = (0,4 . A) + (0,17 . B) + (0,15 . C) + (0,3 . D) 0,4. = Degradable organic carbon of the fraction of waste related to paper and textiles [gC/gMSW] Synthesis Report | WASTE = Degradable organic carbon of the fraction of waste originating in gardens, 0.17 [gC/gMSW] parks and other putriscible non-food sources 0.15 = Degradable organic carbon of the fraction of food-waste [gC/gMSW] 0.3 = Degradable organic carbon of the fraction of waste from wood and straw [gC/gMSW] A = Fraction of waste from paper and textiles dimensionless B = Fraction of waste originating in gardens, parks and other putriscible non-food sources dimensionless C = Fraction of food-waste dimensionless D = Fraction of waste from wood and straw dimensionless The estimate of the DOCf employed in Equation 5 is explained as follows: Equation 7 - Fraction of decomposable DOC where: 36 DOCf = 0.014.T + 0.28 T = Temperature [°C]4 3.2.5. Estimate of GHG emissions from incineration Equation 8 - Estimate of CO2 emissions from solid waste incineration where: QC O 2 = ∑ i ( I i .CCWi .FCFi .E i 4 / 1 ) W F 2 QC 2 = quantity of carbon dioxide during per year [GgCO2/yr] O i = MSW: Domestic solid waste HW: Hazardous waste MW: Medical waste SS: Sewage sludge IW = Mass of waste incinerated by type i [GgMSW/yr] CCW = Carbon content of the type i [gC/gMSW] FCF = Fraction of fossil carbon in type i waste dimensionless EF = Burning efficiency of the incinerators of type i waste dimensionless 44/12 = Conversion of C to CO2 dimensionless Equation 9 - Estimate of N2O from solid waste incineration where: QN 2O = ∑ i ( I i .E i ).1 W F 0 −6 Q N 2O = Quantity of nitrous oxide generated per year [GgN2O/yr] i = MSW: Domestic solid waste Synthesis Report | WASTE HW: Hazardous waste MW: Medical waste SS: Sewage sludge IW = Mass of waste incinerated by type i [Gg/yr] As is well known, solid waste management can be undertaken using different technologies EF = Emission factor i [kgN2O/Gg] in addition to landfill disposal or the incineration methods addressed in this report. These technologies can also produce GHG emissions. Elaboration of this scenario using the IPCC 2000 inventory method considered the technologies contained in that document. The 2000 method (together with the 1996 method) is employed by countries throughout the world to gauge local GHG emissions. 3.2.6. Results 37 Scenario 3-A: Burning CH4 with a 75 percent collection efficiency in all landfills The practice of burning CH4 in Brazil began once the Kyoto Protocol entered into force in Brazil (previously CH4 was not burned). In April 2009, 30 CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) projects using this method were being dealt with in Brazil´s Inter-Ministerial Global Climate Change Commission. The remaining features of the Reference Scenario have been retained with the exception of the destruction of landfill CH4 increasing to 75 percent of collection capacity. This is a guideline being applied to CDM projects, even though no national publications confirm this information. As can be expected, GHG emissions were reduced by 75 percent from the verified total in the scenario without CH4 burning, and the emissions curve increased in line with population growth and the other variables contained in the Reference Scenario. This scenario forecasts reductions from 73 to18 Mt CO2e in year 2030, corresponding to 75 percent burning capacity. Figure 17 - Scenario 3-A CH4 burning at 75 percent collection efficiency in landfill Synthesis Report | WASTE 3.2.7. Other technologies and events In this section the GHG emissions arising from the use of four different waste management technologies or possible events in Brazil are discussed and estimated. The tool used for elaborating scenarios can be accessed on the CETESB website (www.cetesb.sp.gov.br/biogas), and these documents discuss the four scenarios that show the impacts of these alternatives. For example the possible increase in the amount of waste deposited in landfills, which could be caused by improved delivery of municipal sanitation facilities or by increases in family incomes leading to higher consumption and consequent higher waste generation, is estimated. Addtionally, the possible reduction of waste is estimated, due to the possible decline of sanitary services or the reduction of income, consumption and therefore waste. Waste reductions could also result from environmental education programs designed to 38 encourage waste reduction, reuse and recycling at source. Given the increasing limitations on waste disposal sites in large cities, the possible effects of installing incinerators is also estimated. Finally, assuming that the conditions outlined in the Reference Scenario are maintained, the effects of CH4 landfill burning are estimated. Discussion of the scenarios in Table 4 below will hopefully provide a clearer idea of the effects of introducing the four different alternatives. Table 4 - Scenario versus technology or event Scenario Technology or event 1-A Reference Scenario 2-A Increase of 20 percent in the waste mass arriving at landfill Low Carbon Scenario of the solid waste sector–burning of CH4 at 3-A 75 percent collection efficiency in 100 percent of the landfills in Brazil 4-A Incineration of 100 percent of waste in MR with populations of over 3 million 5-A Reduction of 20 percent of quantities of waste for disposal in landfills Incineration of 100 percent of the waste in MRs with a population of over 3 million, burning 6-A of CH4 in landfills in municipalities with populations of between 100,000 and 3,000,000 These technologies or events are considered independently given that in most of the results presented there is no simultaneity of events. The main aim is to permit evaluations of the GHG emissions of the different possible alternatives vis-à-vis the Reference Scenario. The estimates of emissions take into account all the remaining original conditions defined in the Reference Scenario. Scenario 2-A: An increase of 20 percent in the waste mass delivered to landfills According to ABRELPE (2008) 15 percent of Brazil´s MSW is uncollected. The first item to Synthesis Report | WASTE be evaluated involves possible increases in the waste mass earmarked for disposal in landfills (practically the only waste disposal method used in Brazil today). This situation could actually deteriorate as the result of higher levels of efficiency employed by the municipal services responsible for collecting waste. As already mentioned, 15 percent of waste today in Brazil is not collected. A further factor that could influence higher levels of landfill waste is the possible increased prosperity of the population and a consequent increase in the levels of consumption and generation of waste. An increase of GHG generated by landfills from 73 to 89 Mt CO2e by year 2030 is entirely foreseeable. Figure 18 - Scenario 2-A: 20 percent increase of waste mass arriving at landfill 100 Scenario 2-A: 20% increase in the quantity 90 of waste 80 Scenario 1-A 39 Reference Scenario 70 Emissions (million t CO2e/yr) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 2-A Scenario 1-A Scenario 4-A: Incineration of 100 percent of waste in MR with populations of A further consideration is the imminent exhaustion of sites in the large Metropolitan Regions over 3 million for installing landfills. Therefore, one alternative that needs to be considered is waste incineration. As can be seen in Figure 14, the concentration of fossil materials9 in waste has continued to increase over recent years - from 3 percent in 1970 to 15 percent in 2005. Scenario 4-A considers that this upward trend will continue and that the fossil fraction in waste will continue to increase in a linear, uniform rate up to year 2030. The increased levels of GHG emissions observed during the early years following the installation of incinerators and closure of landfills in the Metropolitan Regions can be explained by the scale of emissions caused by burning waste and by the continuing emissions from landfill sites. Landfill waste is likely to affect the atmosphere for some decades after the landfills have been taken out of operation. On a more positive note, at the end of the 6th year following the installation of incineration technology, the Scenario 4-A emissions (see Figure 19) equalled those of the Reference Scenario, and in subsequent years a reduction of the emissions was observed. While a reduction from 73 to 66 Mt of CO2e is estimated for year 2030, this rate of reduction will tend to narrow as the result of the higher concentrations of fossil fractions in the waste being incinerated. Synthesis Report | WASTE Figure 19 - Scenario 4A: Incineration of 100 percent of solid waste in municipalities with populations of over 3 million inhabitants 80 Scenario 1 -A Reference Scenario 70 40 60 Scenario 4 -A : 100% incineration Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) of solid waste in municipalitites with over 3 million inhabitants 50 40 30 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 4 -A Scenario 1 -A A further possibility is to seek to reduce actual waste generation. Natural reduction could be Scenario 5-A: Reduction of 20 percent of quantities of waste for disposal in landfills brought about by (i) an economic crisis which would lower levels of consumption and, as a result, reduce MSW generation, (ii) the spread of environmental education programs aimed at reducing waste generation at source, (iii) upscaling waste separation and recycling practices at source or (iv) providing incentives for sustainable consumption whereby people adopt environmentally- friendly habits in their daily routines and are persuaded to generate smaller amounts of waste. All this could lead to a reduction in the quantity of waste for disposal in public landfill sites. Figure 20 illustrates an estimated reduction of around 20 percent of disposable landfill waste in 2030, which would result in a reduction of emissions from 73,000 to 59,000 Gt CO2e that year. The initiatives described above could be widely adopted in all the municipalities. Figure 20 - Scenario 5-A: Reduction by 20 percent of quantity of waste delivered to landfills 80 Scenario 1-A Reference Scenario 70 60 Scenario 5-A: Progressive reduction (up to 20%) of solid waste delivered Synthesis Report | WASTE 50 to land�ll sites Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) 40 30 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 5 -A Scenario 1 -A Scenario 6-A: Incineration of 100 percent of the waste in MRs with a population of over 3 million, burning of CH4 in landfills in municipalities with populations of between 100,000 and 3,000,000 The scenario, illustrated in Figure 21 estimates an incineration rate of 100 percent of all the waste in the Metropolitan Regions of Brazil with populations of over 3 million (as in Scenario 4-A) and in cities with populations of between 100,000 and 3 million, where CH4 would be 41 burned in landfills at 75 percent efficiency rate. This would result in a reduction of emissions from 73 to 17.7 Mt CO2e in year 2030. In addition to the above considerations, 100 percent of fossil5 waste would be recycled. Figure 21 - Scenario 6-A: Incineration of 100 percent of waste produced in municipalities with over 3 million inhabitants; CH4 burning in landfills in municipalities with population between 100,000 and 3,000,000 80 Scenario 1 -A Reference Scenario 70 60 50 Emissions (million t CO2e/y r) 40 Scenario 6 -A : Incineration 30 of 100% of waste in MRs with populations of over 3 million 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 6 -A Scenario 1 -A Source: ESSENCIS, 2004 Finally, it should be remembered that the adoption of the different technologies or events assume the same hypotheses as posited in the Reference Scenario. 3.2.8. Uncertainties (MSW) Regardless of the uncertainties that could arise from the life expectancy of the CH 4 Synthesis Report | WASTE generation process (k), overall uncertainty regarding GHG emission estimates in this study of MSW is of the order of 41 percent. The set of uncertainties considered in this report with regard to each of the variables contained in the IPCC (2000) method is listed in Table 5 below. 5 Fossil waste comprises different types plastic, foams, polythene, automo- tive parts, rubber, candles and paraffin. Table 5 - Estimate uncertainties in the MSW sector Estimates of the uncertainties associated with default parameters in the FOD method for Data on emissions and emission Uncertainties emissions of CH4 in the LDRSM factors Specific to each municipality: Total of municipal solid waste >±10% (<-10%, >+10%. The absolute value of the uncertainty 42 (MSWT) and fraction of the MSW interval is over 10%) for municipalities with better quality data. sent to LDRSM In places with poor quality data uncertainty can be more than double. (MSWF ) Employed in this estimate = 10% Degradable Organic Carbon -50%, +20% (DOC) In this estimate = 35% Fraction of degradable organic -30%, +0% carbon DOCf = 0.77 Employed in this estimate = 15% Correction factor of the CH4 (MCF) -10%, +0% = 1.0 -30%, +30% = 0.4 –50%, +60% = 0.6 Employed in this estimate = 5% Fraction of CH4 generated in -0%, +20% landfills (F) = 0.5 Employed in this estimate = 10% Uncertainty will depend on how the quantity of recovered and flared CH4 is estimated but uncertainty tends to be relatively minor Recovered CH4 (R) in comparison with other uncertainties if measured in situ. Employed in this estimate = 0% OX included in the uncertainty analysis in cases where different from zero data is used for OX. In this case the justification for Oxidation Factor (OX) different from zero data must include uncertainty considerations. Employed in this estimate = 0% -40%, +300% Half life (k) = 0.05 Employed in this estimate = 0% In addition to the alternative proposed in the Low Carbon Scenario, other technologies can 3.3. Other mitigation options be employed for mitigating GHG emissions caused by waste treatment such as the reduction of waste generation at source and composting. Synthesis Report | WASTE 3.3.1. Reducing waste generation at source is a key consideration in terms of sustainability. This Reducing waste generation at source mitigation option is highly desirable and tends to be linked to socio-cultural factors which do not depend exclusively on technical, economic or isolated environmental solutions. Reduction of waste generation at source is the ideal scenario which could be encouraged in parallel with the option identified in the Low Carbon Scenario. Recycling, for example, must be considered in this context as a valuable mitigation option. 3.3.2. Composting The use of composting is a mitigation alternative which should be considered, mainly in the case of municipalities with populations of under 100,000. This practice calls for the introduction of environmental education initiatives to encourage users to separate waste and for the authorities to undertake selective collection at the lowest possible cost while ensuring maximum quality of the compost produced. Composting is a simple aerobic process which produces no CH4 emissions. The IPCC (2006) method estimates the N2O emissions resulting 43 from composting, but the IPCC (2000) method which was used for preparing the scenario contained no emissions estimates. Composting employed in CDM projects is considered to be responsible for a reduction of GHG emissions, given that the MSW which would normally be deposited in landfills and which over the years would emit CH4 into the atmosphere, is disposed of elsewhere. 3.3.3. Biogas collection and burning The collection and burning of biogas avoids CH4 emissions. Biogas can be burned in a variety of equipment including heaters, dryers, ovens, boilers, motors, lamps, gas fridges, etc. The process requires a collection system which can be one of two types: forced flow or passive flow exhaustion. In the passive system the biogas is directly flared at the head of the extraction wells with a combustion efficiency of up to 90 percent. The biogas entering these wells is located around the structure and drained off naturally. Figure 22 below illustrates the area of influence (the ‘bulb’) of the flu within the waste mass. The destruction efficiency of biogas varies from 5 percent to 20 percent of the total gas produced in the landfill, always depending on the type and conditions of the area (whether in operation or not). This method is employed in Brazil. Figure 22 - Example of passive drainage well Synthesis Report | WASTE Source: ESSENCIS, 2004 In the forced exhaustion system the biogas is collected by a series of extraction blowers installed within the system. The landfill can be covered with PVC or a similar impermeable material to prevent the biogas from escaping from the surface of the landfill. The collection efficiency can be between 70 percent and 80 percent of the total of gas produced in the landfill depending on the type and conditions of the area (in operation or not). Furthermore, burning efficiency is as high as 98/99 percent. Figure 23 below illustrates the ‘bulb’ of influence when this system is used. Figure 23 - Example of a forced exhaustion drainage well system 44 Source: ESSENCIS, 2004 The forced exhaustion collection system requires the following: 1. A series of vertical extraction wells installed in a regular pattern in the landfill which serve to extract the biogas by forced exhaustion (negative pressure) with extraction blowers; 2. A piping network connected to the top end of the wells for transporting the biogas to the treatment unit; 3. A moisture separator to remove moisture from the biogas before it reaches the extraction blowers and is subsequently flared; 4. The possible installation of some form of impermeable material such as PVC to cover the waste mass. Figure 24 - Example of a forced exhaustion system (equipment) Synthesis Report | WASTE 3.3.4. Other benefits The Low Carbon Scenario outlined in this report foreshadows a series of economic, environmental, social and health benefits. Other benefits resulting from the correct management of municipal waste could be also simultaneously adopted within the Low Carbon Scenario: (i) Waste collection services benefit the country’s entire population. According to the PMSS II (Programa de Modernização do Setor de Saneamento / Sanitation Sector Modernization Program) (2003), waste collection is considered to be “universal� when it is provided for all domestic, government, commercial, industrial and service sector premises, etc. Universally available municipal cleansing services and basic sanitation have a major and direct impact on the health conditions of the population. In the specific case of waste management, appropriate collection and disposal practices aim to control improper disposal of 45 waste in water bodies, streets and elsewhere. These measures should prohibit, for example, the dumping of waste into water catchment facilities or down storm water culverts, all of which can have a deleterious effect on the physical environment. (ii) Improving the operational aspects of public landfills and ensuring compliance with original system design are basic requirements for ensuring high landfill site operating standards. Good management practices are needed in order to avoid the risk of contaminating the soil and underground water sources with percolated liquids as well as to minimize fire risks from CH4 spontaneous combustion. The practice of biogas recovery and flaring distinguishes well-operated landfills from those which have not achieved this level of technical quality and efficiency, placing them in a separate class of operation. (iii) The reduction of waste generation at source forms part of a wider set of anti-pollution measures. The main thrust of this approach is to minimize waste generation rather than to focus on “end-of-line� methods concerned only with the technical operations employed for the final disposal of waste. Measures to reduce waste generation at source include using more efficient packaging compatible with the various alternatives for treating MSW, as well as the adoption of clean technologies in manufacturing processes (CEMPRE, 2000). According to Kiely (1997), waste reduction at source is the most effective way to minimize waste generation overall and should be regarded as an essential first step. Incentives to encourage source reduction could result in cheaper overall treatment and disposal costs, minimization and control of waste, and avoidance of fines in cases where emission standards fail to comply with the law. (iv) The reuse and reutilization of waste materials is a cost-effective measure which avoids the need for certain types of waste to be deposited in landfills etc. Many products can be adapted for uses for which they were originally intended (CEMPRE, 2000) and reused. One example is the reuse of glass drink bottles which are collected, correctly washed, refilled with liquids and returned to the consumer market. On the other hand, recycling is the result of a series of activities involving the collection, separation and processing of waste items to serve as raw material for manufacturing new products (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000). According to CEMPRE (2000), recycling can be subdivided into internal or external Synthesis Report | WASTE recycling. ‘Internal’ recycling involves materials being returned to the original manufacturing process, e.g. pre-consumption paper scraps in paper-making factories to be reprocessed in the manufacturing chain rather than being discarded. ‘External’ recycling involves the transformation of certain discarded materials or products by a given industrial process in order to produce new items which can serve an identical function or some other purpose. Examples of this are PET bottles and aluminum cans which can be recycled to make new cans and even T-shirts. These three measures share similar environmental benefits given that they can reduce the wastage of natural resources, avoid incineration and avoid occupying valuable space in disposal sites. At the same time, reusing and recycling materials can produce additional economic and social benefits such as the generation of direct and indirect jobs and concomitant opportunities for the social inclusion of poorer people. (v) Composting is a biological process involving the decomposition of organic material contained in animal or vegetable waste. The process produces organic compost which can be applied to soil, improving it without incurring risks to the environment (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000). Numerous advantages can be obtained from composting such as a reduction in the volume of 46 waste for disposal in sanitary landfills, use of the organic material for agricultural purposes and the elimination of pathogens. (vi) Thermal treatment with or without energy generation involves ‘high’ or ‘low’ temperature processing. The first process, in which temperatures of over 5000C are reached, is used mainly to destroy or remove organic fractions from the waste. Furthermore, high- temperature thermal treatment produces significant reductions in both waste mass and volume, as well as sterilization. Low-temperature thermal treatment involves temperatures of approximately 1000C and is used mainly for sterilizing waste. The mass and organic fraction remains practically unaltered although the volume of waste can be significantly reduced (IPT/CEMPRE, 2000). The main advantages of thermal waste treatment are linked to a significant reduction in both mass and volume of the waste, sterilization and neutralization of hazardous materials and the possibility of using the heat generated for producing energy. (vii) Generating energy with recovered CH4 can be done in sanitary landfills or in wastewater treatment plants. Anaerobic digestion of the organic material contained in waste and effluents takes place in these two places. Biogas, given its high concentration of CH4, can potentially be used as a fuel for power-generating purposes. CH4 possesses the potential to negatively impact the environment and affect global climate change given that it is 24 times more noxious than carbon dioxide gas. Thus flaring biogas for energy purposes is better than discharging it in its raw state into the atmosphere, and it can also produce significant economic benefits, as waste facility operators can produce energy for on-site consumption or sell excess gas to third parties. 3.4. Low Carbon Scenario - Solid Waste While the waste sector Low Carbon Scenario presented in this report refers to one particular technical option - the collection and burning of CH4, other practices can and should be implemented in the management of MSW, e.g. reduction of waste generation at source, selective collection, recycling, reuse, composting, universalization of waste services or thermal destruction of waste. The Low Carbon Scenario addresses CH 4 burning on landfill sites. However, it is not Synthesis Report | WASTE recommended to rule out other waste management practices. Under Item 3.2.7 above the contribution to a Low Carbon Scenario by certain other technologies was considered. It is hoped that in practice various alternatives, with different impacts on GHG emissions, can be applied simultaneously. GHG emissions caused by waste incineration are estimated in Item 3.2.7, Other Technologies and Events. Meanwhile, burning fossil waste, if applied indiscriminately throughout the country, could involve increased emissions over the short term. Over the next 20 years GHG emissions from this source could be reduced but care needs to be taken since the increased fossil concentration in waste (as can be observed in Figure 14) could actually result in this practice being as disadvantageous in terms of GHG emissions as the current practice defined in the Reference Scenario (see Figure 7). 3.4.1. Low Carbon Scenario for the MSW sector Burning CH4 is a practice which has only begun to be followed in Brazil since the entry into 47 force of the Kyoto Protocol. Previously CH4 was not burnt in landfills in Brazil. As of April 2009 a total of 30 CDM projects involving this method were being addressed in the CIMGC. All the other items in the Reference Scenario are maintained, with the exception of CH4 destruction at 75 percent landfill collection capacity. This guideline is currently applied to the CDM projects but has yet to be confirmed in Brazilian publications. Figure 25 below indicates that GHG emissions could be reduced over the next 20 years by 75 percent of the total verified (without this practice) in the Reference Scenario. Over the same period the Reference Scenario, emissions tend to increase in line with population growth and the other features defined in Item 3.2 of this Scenario. In the Low Carbon Scenario GHG emissions reduce from 73 Mt CO2e to 18 Mt CO2e in 2030, through the possible application of this burning method in all landfills throughout Brazil, with or without use of the energy6 produced by CH4. Figure 25 - Scenario 3-A: CH4 burned with 75 percent collection efficiency in landfills 80 70 60 Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) 50 40 30 Scenario with MSW 20 treatment in sanitary land�lls and with methane burning at 10 75% collection efficiency 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 - Scenario 3 A - Scenario 1 A 3.4.2. Consolidation The Reference Scenario for the MSW sector considers the situation of Brazil in 2007 as Synthesis Report | WASTE described in IBGE, ABRELPE and Ministries of Cities/Environment literature and raises a number of probable outcomes for the period 2010-2030 which can be interpreted as representing the 2030 Reference Scenario for the waste sector with a fair degree of accuracy. According to ABRELPE (2008) around 15 percent of all waste generated in Brazil is not collected. Notwithstanding the reasons for this, it is considered that during the period up to 2030 this percentage will remain constant - as shown in the Reference Scenario at Figure 26 below. 6 1GW is equivalent to burning .0026 Mt CH4 or .055 Mt CO2e. Also according to ABRELPE (2008), 38.6 percent of the solid waste collected in 2007 ended up in sanitary landfills while 31.8 percent was dispatched to controlled landfills and 29.6 percent to garbage dumps (lixões). From 2005 onwards promising measures taken by the Federal Government indicate a genuine and growing concern with the country´s waste situation and with proposals to improve operating conditions in the landfills, mainly in those serving cities with populations of over 50,000. Thus the Reference Scenario considers that between 2010 and 2030 all cities with populations of over 200,000 will possess sanitary landfills (see Table 3). On the other hand, it is reckoned that cities with a population of under 200,000 will 48 not be served by sanitary landfills. The Reference Scenario therefore assumes that the solid waste generated in smaller municipalities with under 200,000 inhabitants will be disposed of in ordinary garbage dumps throughout the entire 2010 through 2030 period. According to IBGE (2000) the total amount of waste incinerated and composted is under 1 percent of the total of municipal solid waste collected (i.e. insignificant). In the same way, as can be observed in Figure 26, the waste sector Reference Scenario uses an identical percentage figure for incineration and composting and assumes that this will remain unaltered between 2010 and 2030. Figure 26 - Reference Scenario: MSW services provision 120,000 100,000 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 The waste sector Low Carbon Scenario maintains all the hypotheses adopted in the Uncollected Open air Land�lls Land�lls Reference Scenario, with the exception of the practice of collecting and burning CH4 in sanitary landfills - an increasingly common practice which, it is estimated, will be employed in 100 percent of the sanitary landfills in Brazil by the year 2030. It was deemed that this increase will occur in linear fashion, commencing at 0 percent in 2010 and finishing at 100 percent in 2030. The Low Carbon Scenario in no way disregards other technologies for reducing emissions Synthesis Report | WASTE such as efforts to introduce environmental education programs aimed at reducing waste generation, recycling and reuse at source, and composting and technologies that promote the use of more environmentally friendly products. A reality in the major Metropolitan Regions is the decreasing availability of sites for installing new landfills. Disposal of MSW in public landfills is increasingly restricted by environmental licensing and stricter controls over the operation of the existing sites. In this regard, some public health specialists believe that the adoption of capture and burning of CH4 in the largest cities is inevitable over the next few years. Figure 27 (Low Carbon Scenario) does not cover this technique but aims to gauge the impacts of the adoption of CH4 burning. Item 3.2.7 covers other technologies that could possibly be used. Figure 27 - Low Carbon Scenario: MSW services provision 120.0 49 100.0 MSW (millio n t / day) 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 - 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Open Land�lls Land�lls with gas recapture Landills w/o gas recapture Some idea of the percentage distribution of the sanitation services in the MSW sector in the Reference and Low Carbon Scenarios can be gathered from Figures 28 and 29. Small variations can be seen in the quantities of MSW for disposal in landfills. These variations are caused by the parallel growth of the population, MSW generation, replacement of garbage dumps by landfills and the quantities of waste that are not collected (estimated on the basis of the CETESB model). Figure 28 - Reference Scenario: Percentage distribution of MSW treatment services 100% 90% 80% Waste distribution per centage 70% 60% Synthesis Report | WASTE 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Land�lls w/o gas recapture Uncollected Figure 29 reaffirms the pattern adopted in the Reference Scenario (Figure 28). The difference between the two situations is in the capture and destruction of CH4 in the landfills, which in year 2030 will possess 100 percent collection and burning systems. Figure 29 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of MSW treatment services 50 100% 90% 80% 70% Waste distribution per centage 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Land�lls with gas recapture Land�lls w/o gas recapture Uncollected 3.4.3. Results The results of the Low Carbon Scenario for the MSW sector are presented in Figure 30.The number of systems for capturing and burning CH4 increases, resulting in emission reductions over five year segments. This means that in 2030, 100 percent of all landfills would possess CH4 capture and destruction systems and the total emissions in the waste sector Reference Scenario would be reduced by 75 percent. Figures 31 and 32 compare the emissions produced in each municipality in the Reference Scenario and the Low Carbon Scenario. Figure 30 - Low Carbon Scenario 2010-2030 100 100% Synthesis Report | WASTE 90 80 80% 70 m illion t CO2e/y r 60 60% 50 40 40% 30 20 20% 10 0 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Emissions from waste treatment % of implementation of collection and burning system Figure 31: Emission from Waste Mt CO2e, by Municipality – Reference Scenario 2030 51 The outlined circles correspond to values equal to or above 1,000 Source: CETESB, World Bank Brazil Low Carbon Case Study Figure 32: Emissions from Waste, Mt CO2e, by Municipality – Low Carbon 2030 Synthesis Report | WASTE The outlined circles correspond to values equal to or above 1,000 Source: CETESB, World Bank Brazil Low Carbon Case Study The avoided emissions in the Low Carbon Scenario (zero in 2010) increase to 18GtCO2e in 2015, 29GtCO2e in 2020, 41GtCO2e in 2025 and 55GtCO2e in 2030, effectively corresponding to 75 percent of the landfill emissions indicated in the Reference Scenario. Table 6 - Low Carbon Scenario: Avoided MSW emissions Year Emissions avoided with respect to the Reference Scenario or 1-A 52 (1000tCO2e) 2010 0 2015 17,620 2020 28,633 2025 41,166 2030 55,105 3.4.4. Barriers and proposed solutions The principal barriers and preventive/corrective initiatives for overcoming them in the environmental sanitation sector for the Low Carbon Scenario are summarized in Table 7 below. The barriers include a range of problems, from the technical and operational constraints experienced by municipalities in the public landfills to major problems caused by the shortage of sites for building new landfills requiring appropriate environmental licensing. The following table sets out a number of preventive, corrective and governances aspects intended to provide guidance for the authorities and other interested parties. Table 7 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to sanitary landfills Mitigation actions Preventive Corrective Governance Technical-environmental barriers Municipalities lack staff Repair and Environmental licensing and technical skills calling environmental recovery regularization of active Capacity Building for regional technical- of inadequate active MSW sanitary landfills to bring operational support disposal sites. them fully up to standard. programs. Reduction and To encourage the use of a Socio-environmental reutilization of waste Availability of range of techniques (e.g. analysis of sitesselected through separation and environmentally suitable aerobic composting) in for waste treatment and selective collection, sites order to treat the organic disposal. particularly of the fossil fraction present in waste. components of waste. Synthesis Report | WASTE Ensuring compliance Exchange of experiences Constructing efficient with technical norms by between specialized Application of techniques and effective systems environmental bodies and bodies operating similar for capturing, burning, with a view to ensuring agencies responsible for systems (private local recovering and/or using economic viability executing and operating firms, international CH4 for energy purposes and environmental systems in accordance companies, government sustainability . with environmental bodies, NGOs etc ). licensing procedures. Economic-legal Mitigation actions Preventive Corrective Governance Control and supervision Upgrading and of the acquisition and Substantial and procurement of weight application of financial Shortage of investments systematic increase in calibration/verification resources for government and funding investment over the next systems) and gravimetric plans and programs. 20 years. characterization of waste. 53 Integration of the institutional development Proposal to introduce To alter the taxing and mechanisms of Legal mechanisms for new measuring and charging mechanism government sectors facilitating taxation and tracking mechanism for in respect of waste concerned with (i) charging quantifying per capita collection and treatment sanitation, environment, waste generation. services. water resources and (ii) energy and climate change questions. Socio-cultural Introduction of tax- Promotion of ecologically Substantial upscaling of exempt mechanisms for aware consumption, selective waste collection the entire lifecycle chaing selective collection and through systematic of selective collection reverse logistics in the forging of partnership services and reverse context of the waste arrangements with logistics, particularly lifecycle generation cooperatives and NGOs regarding fossil-related stream. over the next 20 years. waste components. Table 8 below lists the various barriers and possible preventive, corrective and mitigation actions that could be taken with regard to the potential installation of incineration technology in the country’s largest Metropolitan Regions. Table 8 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to incineration Mitigation actions Preventive Corrective Governance Technical-environ- mental barriers Synthesis Report | WASTE Knowledge and capacity build- Opinion formers and ing for agents and stakeholders Environmental and licens- sector specialists still in the application and operation ing agencies to pay close lack technical know- of the relevant incineration attention to technical as- i. Lack of technical how and familiarity systems, paying particular at- pects of incineration and know-how with the environmental tention to the adverse effects on to analyze prospects for its spin-offs of incinerator environmental and public health sustainability in MRs and operating systems. of atmospheric emissions carry- other large cities. ing possibly toxic substances. Economic-legal Mitigation actions Preventive Corrective Governance Expand long-term planning and project development capacity in municipalities. Feasibility studies for Proposed installation of high Expand both public and 54 waste treatment em- technology devices in incin- private sector capacities/ ii. Substantial ploying incineration eration systems, introducing working knowledge of investment can only be justified highly efficient systems to existing legal structures, costs in urban areas with control and mitigate gases and regulations and procedures populations of over 3 atmospheric effluents. required for access to avail- million. able financing resources (i.e. within appropriate stipulated timeframes, etc.) Incentives to be provided Proposal to introduce for institutional involve- iii. Legal mecha- a new measuring and Alteration of the taxation and ment in shared manage- nisms for facili- tracking mechanism for charging system for waste col- ment based on concession tating taxation quantifying per capita lection and treatment services. systems and/or PPPs with and charging waste generation. contracts of over 30 years. Socio-cultural Introduction of mecha- Promotion of eco- nisms designed to exempt Substantial upscaling of selec- logically aware con- from taxation the entire tive waste collection through sumption, selective productive chain utilizing systematic forging of partner- collection and reverse selective collection services ship arrangements with coop- logistics in the context and reverse logistics , par- eratives and NGOs over the next of the waste generation ticularly in the fossil-relat- 20 years. stream. ed waste components. Synthesis Report | WASTE 4. Sewage and effluent treatment The technical alternatives for treating effluents addressed in this section are, similarly to the solid waste emission treatment scenario, only some of the many effluent treatments available in the literature. We describe only those technologies for which the IPCC (2000 and 2006) methods contain data and/or guidance for calculating GHG emissions, where default existence is verified (and therefore pre-established emissions factors for each type of technology of 55 effluent treatment). The model developed for defining the quantities of GHG that can be mitigated and for calculating the additional resources needed for a successful Low Carbon Scenario is described below. The IPCC (2000) method is employed for estimating emissions. The modes of treating and disposing of gas-producing waste and effluents are identified in Item 4.1. Wastewaters are divided into domestic sewage and industrial effluents. The model also considers the sources of GHG emissions caused by effluent treatment (that can also be differentiated by type of treatment and type of greenhouse gas), as illustrated in the following figure. Figure 33 - Sources of GHG emissions caused by effluent treatment Effluent Reduction Recycling Anaerobic Aerobic treatment Disposal treatment without treatment No emissions Emissions of Emissions of CH4 CH4 Synthesis Report | WASTE 4.1. Treatment modes The types of anaerobic treatment of effluents proposed by the IPCC (2000) are listed in Figure 34. Figure 34 - Sources of sewage and effluents, treatment systems and potential CH4 emissions Domestic and industrial effluents 56 Collected Not collected Not treated Treated Treatment in, Not treated latrines and septic tanks tratado Stagnant in Disposed of ETE sewerage Spread on soil Disposed in rivers and network of in lakes and sea rivers sea and lakes Aerobic Anaerobic and sea c Reactor Lagoon Sludge Anaerobic Soil digestion applications Note: The italicized text in bold squares indicates a possible source of CH4 emissions Source: IPCC, 2000 4.1.1. Anaerobic lagoons The anaerobic lagoon is an alternative form of waste treatment where the existence of stringent anaerobic respiration conditions is essential. This system has been used widely as a primary treatment for predominantly organic sewage and high BOD industrial wastewaters such as those originating from meat, dairy, beverages, paper and cellulose. Anaerobic lagoons are usually deep (over 2m) and utilized together with aerobic systems such as ‘optional lagoons’ (the Australian system) or biological filters and activated sludges. Detention time varies between three to six days and the volumetric metric load between 0.1 and 0.3 kgBOD/m3.day (VON SPERLING, 1998). 4.1.2. Anaerobic digesters Anaerobic sludge digesters are used principally for stabilizing primary and secondary sludges generated by sewage treatment and for treating industrial effluents with a high Synthesis Report | WASTE concentration of suspended solids. The digesters are usually constructed in reinforced concrete in the form of covered circular tanks with diameters varying from 6m to 38m and with depths of between 7m and 14m depending on the existence of mixing equipment and the number of stages. Three main types of digesters are common: (i) low-rate anaerobic digester; (ii) single-phase high-rate anaerobic digester; and (iii) two-phase high-rate anaerobic digester (CHERNICHARO, 2000). 4.1.3. Anaerobic reactors Anaerobic reactors are used for the primary treatment of specific, predominantly organic sewage and industrial effluents with high levels of BOD from products such as meat, milk, beverages, paper, and cellulose. A number of different types of anaerobic reactors exist of which the most commonly used 57 are of the fixed (anaerobic filters), rotary (anaerobic bio disc), expanded or fluidized bed type. The fluidized bed anaerobic reactor (FBR) is an anaerobic treatment process involving bacterial adhesion and growth on solid surfaces and the creation of a uniform biofilm around each particle or support material, with high volumetric loads of between 20 and 30 kgDQO/m3. The use of Upflow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket Reactors (UASB) is currently widespread. The process consists of an ascending hydraulic flow of sewage passed through a blanket of dense sludge, to be degraded by intense and dispersed bacterial activity. Settlement of the organic material occurs in the reaction zones (bed and sludge blanket) with mixing induced by the ascending flow of sludge and gas bubbles. The sludge enters the system at the bottom and the effluent is discharged through an internal decanter located at the top end of the reactor. A device for separating gases and solids located beneath the decanter ensures the correct conditions for the sedimentation of particles which become detached from the sludge blanket, enabling these to return to the digestion chamber instead of being expelled by the system. As can be seen from Figure 35, biogas is generated by the system. Figure 35 - Upflow Anaerobic Sludge Blanket Reactor (UASB) Biogas exit Exit Sedimentation Three- compartment phase separator Synthesis Report | WASTE Sludge bed Access port for raw sewage Withdrawal of excess sludges (compacted and stabilized) Source: Chernicharo, 2000 4.2. Reference Scenario - sewage and effluent treatment The Reference Scenario for the treatment of sewage and effluents was estimated taking into account the same considerations and assumptions regarding population growth mentioned under Item 3.2.1. The Reference Scenarios for the sewage and effluents sectors can be described as follows: The generation of organic load in sewage produced by human beings is unlikely to vary as a 58 result of income or regional variations. In Brazil’s case, the variables applied to this process are (i) the collection rate, (ii) the type of technology employed to treat collected sewage, and (iii) the employment (or not) of facilities for containing and destroying the CH4 generated by anaerobic processes. The generation of organic load in effluents generated by industrial processes varies, although it is difficult to define a particular model that can represent this variation over time. Each case possesses peculiarities and it is not possible, given the level of information currently available, to define a mathematical model to simulate the technological variations and their potential for generating organic load or CH4 by the treatment process accompanying the manufacturing process. Scenarios 1-B and 1-C (see Figures 36 and 37) represent the Reference Scenarios for the domestic sewage and industrial effluents sectors respectively. 4.2.1. Domestic sewage The Reference Scenario shown in Figure 36 below reflects the deployment of the Federal Government´s basic sanitiation plans for the universalization of sewage collection and treatment services up to year 2030. Collection figures for 2010 are in the region of 50 percent, while sewage treatment does not exceed 10 percent of the amount actually collected (PNSB, 2000). These figures, taken together with forecast population growth, form the basis of the Reference Scenario in the study. Note that the expansion of the sewage treatment services has been conceived on the basis of technical solutions employing a combination of activated sludge systems and anaerobic reactors for treating sewage. This means that 33 percent of the organic load must be removed through an aerobic process and the remaining 67 percent by the anaerobic process in a sludge reactor. The sludges from both processes, once stabilized, are then delivered to sanitary landfills for final disposal. The emissions in this Reference Scenario can thus be estimated. Figure 36 - Scenario 1-B or Reference Scenario for Domestic Sewage 100 80 Synthesis Report | WASTE Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) 60 40 Reference Scenario: Domestic Effluents 20 Total Emissions in 2030 = 10.8 million tCO2e/yr 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 4.2.2. Industrial effluents In the treatment of industrial effluents the organic load varies considerably depending on the type of activity pursued by a given firm. Food and beverage manufacturers have been burning CH4 from biogas through anaerobic treatment facilities since the 1980s. The Reference Scenario shown in Figure 37 reflects the assumption of the continuation of 59 generation and burning of CH4 from industrial effluents, with anaerobic treatment indices of around 20 percent (PNSB, 2000). Figure 37 - Scenario 1-C or Reference Scenario for Industrial Effluents 100 80 Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) 60 40 Effluents Reference Scenario: Industial = Total emissions in 2030 15 million t CO2e/yr 20 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 4.2.3. Calculation Methods The elaboration of the 2030 Low Carbon Emissions Scenario for the treatment of effluents was defined by utilizing the international inventory method of the IPCC (2000) and the method described as follows. This second method mentioned above was adapted and applied as described below. Figure 38 - General strategy for elaborating the 2030 Scenario regarding GHG emissions caused by effluent treatment Estimate of GHG General data on e.g. emissions for population, sewage and 1990-2005 effluent generation etc. Synthesis Report | WASTE Definition of Estimate of retrospective future behavior Low Emission behavior models models Scenarios tool Delphi survey or other technique for defining scenarios As can be observed from the above, estimating the 2030 scenario begins with a definition of relevant behavior evolution models for the study of the recent past. These models are regressions, for the most part linear, of the per capita evolution of organic load generation, effluent treatment technologies etc. Once these models are defined, the possible alternatives of evolution are considered and 60 analyzed with respect to the possibility of occurrence in the study’s scenario. 4.2.4. Estimate of GHG emissions from sewage and effluent treatment The method employed for estimating GHG emissions caused by sewage and effluent treatment in the 2030 Scenario was the same as that employed for elaborating the Reference Report (included in the National Communication) on GHG emissions in the waste sector. The IPCC (2000) method was used to obtain this estimate. The scenario includes the estimate of CH4 emissions produced by anaerobic degradation of organic loads that occurs in sewage treatment stations (ETEs) using anaerobic reactor and lagoon processes or in plants employing aerobic/anaerobic processes such as anaerobic sludge digesters. No estimate was done of the emissions generated by anaerobic degradation of sea, river and lake organic loads or those produced by domestic/localized treatment processes such as latrines and septic tanks. The models employed for estimating GHG emissions, adopted from the IPCC (2000) and employed for this scenario are described below. Equation 10 - Estimate of CH4 emissions from anaerobic treatment of sewage and effluents Emissions = TOW . EF –R = Quantity of CH4 generated per year where: Emissions [GgCH4/yr] TOW = Total sewage or organic effluent [kgBOD/ yr] TOWdom = Total organic domestic sewage [kgBOD/ yr] TOWind = Total organic industrial effluent [kgBOD/ yr] Equation 11 - Estimate of total organic sewage and effluent TOWdom= P.Ddom where: Synthesis Report | WASTE P = Population5 [1.000 persons] Ddom = Degradable organic component of domestic sewage [kgBOD/1,000persons yr] Equation 12 - Estimate of total organic sewage and effluent TOWind = Prod.Dind Prod = Industrial production [ product/yr] [kgBOD/product/yr] or Dind = Degradable organic component of industrial effluent [kgDQO/product] Equation 13 - Estimate of emission factor for sewage and effluents EF = B0.Weighted mean of the MCF = Maximum capacity of production of CH4 where: B0 [kgCH4/kgBOD] or [kgCH4/kgDQO] 61 Equation 14 - Weighted mean of MCF Weighted mean of the MCFi = ∑ (W S x i,x .MCFx ) where: Weighted mean of the MCF = Fraction of BOD degradable anaerobically [dimensionless] = Conversion factor of CH4 of the “x� system treating “i� sewage or effluent WSi,x = Fraction of type “i� sewage or effluent treated using the “x� system [dimensionless] MCFx [dimensionless] R = Recovery of CH4 [GgCH4/yr] 4.2.5. Results The Reference Scenario for emissions caused by domestic and industrial effluent treatment is represented by Figure 39 below. The total emissions increase from just over 9,174,000 tCO2e in 2010 to over 25,792,000 tCO2e in 2030. Figure 39 - Reference Scenario for Domestic and Industrial Effluent Emissions 100 90 80 70 Em issions MCO 2e 60 50 40 Reference Scenario - Domestic sewage and industrial effluents Total emissions in 2030: 25,792,000 tCO2e 30 Synthesis Report | WASTE 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Table 9 below summarizes the evolution of emissions between 2010 and 2030. The emissions virtually triple during this period. Year Emissions from domestic sewage and industrial effluents treatment Table 9 - Reference Scenario: Emissions due to sewage treatment (1,000 tCO2e) 2010 9,174 2015 12,612 2020 12,505 2025 20,886 2030 25,792 62 4.2.6. Uncertainties related to the estimates for the domestic sewage sector Uncertainty regarding the estimates of GHG emissions in the domestic sewage sector is on the order of 42 percent and in the effluent sector around 63 percent. Both are defined by the IPCC (2000) method according to the default data presented in Tables 10 and 11. Table 10 - Estimate uncertainties in the domestic sewage sector Estimates of the uncertainties linked to defaults and parameters for the emission of CH4 in domestic sewage treatment systems. Emissions data and factors Uncertainties ± 5% Human population Used in this estimate: 5% ±30% DQO/per capita Used in this estimate: 30% Maximum capacity of CH4 (B0) ±30% production Used in this estimate: 30% Uncertainty must be judged by specialists, given that this is a Fraction treated anaerobically fraction and that uncertainties cannot fall outside an interval of between 0 to 1. Source: Adapted from IPCC (2000) Table 11 - Estimate uncertainties in the industrial effluent sector Estimates of the uncertainties linked to defaults and parameters for the emission of CH4 in domestic sewage treatment systems. Emissions data and factors Uncertainties ± 25 percent. Specialist appraisal required to confirm the quality of the Industrial production data source and determine more accurate uncertainty intervals. Used in this estimate: 25 percent This data is relatively uncertain given that the same sector may use dif- ferent effluent treatment procedures in different countries. The product Synthesis Report | WASTE Effluent/productive unit of the parameters should possess less uncertainty. The uncertainty data DQO/unit of effluent can be attributed directly to kg DQO/t of product. -50 percent, 100 per- cent is suggested. Used in this estimate: 50 percent Maximum capacity of CH4 ±30 percent (B0) production Used in this estimate: 30 percent Fraction treated anaerobi- The uncertainty must be determined by specialists, given that this is a frac- cally tion and that the uncertainties cannot fall outside the interval of 0 to 1. Source: Adapted from IPCC (2000) 4.3. Mitigation options When using anaerobic lagoons for treating liquid effluents a common practice is to cover the entire system with a PVC or PEAD membrane in order to contain gases and to assist the collection and burning of CH4. The system has proved to be of low efficiency for capturing biogas (less than 30 percent) and has led to gases escaping during operations. A number of CDM private sector projects in industries with high strength organic load rates have been the subject of validation and registration in the UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate 63 Change). Figure 40 illustrates an anaerobic lagoon with the biogas collection system covered with a PVC membrane. Figure 40 - Anaerobic lagoon with biogas collection Source: ECOINVEST, 2006 Liquid effluent anaerobic reactors, sludge anaerobic digesters, and waste anaerobic digesters require biogas collection plants, normally consisting of the following components: 1. Collection pipes at the head of each anaerobic digestion system 2. Valves to alleviate pressure and vacuum 3. A gas collector for collecting gas from lagoons, digesters and/or reactors and supplying the burner 4. Gas seal pots Synthesis Report | WASTE 5. A sediment separator 6. A flame shut-off valve 7. A control, measuring and regulation unit 8. An open and/or enclosed burner 9. A well-head burner The pipes that collect the gas at the well head should allow for the installation of a manhole for inspection purposes. The material used in the collectors can be PVC, PP, PAD or metal. At the biogas exit points in each digestion system a seal pot must be installed in order to allow gas to pass in only one direction, thereby preventing interlinking of the gaseous phases. This device (manufactured from stainless steel) must be installed at the head of the system. In order to eliminate scum,7 sediments or other materials that can be sucked into the biogas, steps must be taken to install a sediment separator in the principal collector, to include a siphon, drain 64 valve and an instrument for checking levels. This system must be constructed of 100 percent stainless steel. After passing through the sediment separator, the biogas passes to the combustion area. The collector must be totally aerial and slope towards the separator or sealing pot of the burner. It must not have low points where condensate could accumulate. The most efficient burner in terms of H2S, NH3, mercaptans, volatile organic compounds and CH4 is the ‘enclosed’ type. In this type of burner combustion occurs in a thermically isolated closed chamber and under controlled temperature conditions. By maintaining a constant combustion temperature of over 800°C (by controlling the amount of excess air entering the system) and a residence time of over 0.5 seconds, all the compounds are converted into oxides and water thereby eliminating disagreeable odors. Given the normal destruction efficiency of higher than 99 percent, this type of burner is preferred in CDM projects. 4.3.1. Other benefits The suggested Low Carbon Scenario in the present report is likely to produce economic, environmental, health and social benefits. A number of the benefits related to sewage and effluent management that could be provided by these practices and which are not comprised in this Low Carbon Scenario but which should be adopted simultaneously, are listed below. i. Sewerage services have a direct impact on health. For example improvements in the various systems can avoid the dissemination of disease-causing insects. Furthermore, using correct treatment systems for sewage and effluent pre- serves the quality of water sources for public supply. ii. Operational improvements in the effluent treatment systems involve the de- velopment of better techniques ensuring that sewage is treated more safely and efficiently. iii. Increased effluent generation calls for the construction of new treatment fa- cilities or extensions to the operational capacity of existing facilities, involving significant public and private investments. It is preferable to invest in efflu- ent generation reduction at the source, which can have a positive benefit on Synthesis Report | WASTE the treatment systems (lower operational costs) and the public water supply (better quality water). iv. Water recycling. According to Mierzwa and Hespanhol (2005), certain activi- ties tolerate water of a non-potable grade or of a lower quality than that used in many industrial processes. In this respect water reuse can be a worthwhile 7 Scum: a layer of grease that forms and floats on the surface of sewage and effluent treatment systems management practice which can reduce pressure on water resources, togeth- er with the adoption of practices to reduce water use at source. The use of treated or untreated effluents for irrigation, industrial or non-potable water purposes is one of the aspects of water and effluent management and can be a useful instrument for preserving natural resources and controlling pollution (MIERZWA and HESPANHOL, 2005). v. Generating energy from recovered CH4 can also be applied to effluent treat- 65 ment systems. 4.4. Low Carbon Scenario - sewage and effluent treat- ment The Low Carbon Scenario for the sewage and effluent treatment sector assumes an increase in the scale of collection and anaerobic treatment as systems for collecting and burning CH4 are gradually introduced. Selection of technologies for treating sewage and effluent is done according to environmental, technical, operational and economic criteria. In addition to anaerobic technology, aerobic processes or a combination of anaerobic/aerobic methods can be employed for sewage and effluent treatment. It is widely known that biogas from sewage and effluent treatment is only produced by anaerobic processes, given that aerobic processes do not include methanogenic bacteria and therefore do not produce the biogas CH4. The use of other technologies (non-anaerobic) has been discarded for the Low Carbon Scenario because they are not responsible for significant greenhouse gases. Moreover they are not considered by the IPCC (2000) method. The Reference Scenario for the domestic sewage sector (1-B) has been shown in Figure 36 and the Reference Scenario for the industrial effluent sector (1-C) in Figure 37. The Low Carbon Scenario for the domestic sewage sector (3-B) is shown in Figure 45 and the Low Carbon Scenario for the industrial effluents sector (3-C) can be seen in Figure 47. The Low Carbon Scenarios involve the introduction of anaerobic treatment with the capture and burning of 100 percent of the CH4 generated, which results in higher quantities of waste treated with total abatement of emissions. 4.4.1. Low Carbon Scenario for domestic sewage The domestic sewage treatment sector Low Carbon Scenario presupposes that the Synthesis Report | WASTE Reference Scenario assumptions are retained i.e. universal delivery by 2030 of 100 percent domestic sewage collection and treatment services. In addition to subscribing to the Reference Scenario in these terms the Low Carbon Scenario also incorporates systems for capturing and burning the biogas generated as a result. In Scenario 2-B (in Figure 41) the Reference Scenario assumptions are retained. In addition to continuing to subscribe to the Reference Scenario, Scenario 3-B also includes the installation of biogas capture and burning systems for burning around 50 percent of the biogas generated. The burners used in these systems possess a methane burning efficiency of 90 percent. Figure 41 - Scenario 2-B: 50 percent of domestic sewage collected and treated anaerobically 100 90 66 Em issions (m il lion t CO2e/y r) 80 70 60 50 40 30 Reference Scenario: Domestic Effluents million tCO2e/yr Total Emissions in 2030 = 10.8 20 10 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 3-B (Low Carbon – Figure 42) mirrors the Reference Scenario, with the Scenario 2 -B Reference Scenario universalization of domestic sewage collection and treatment provision, including the installation of systems for collecting and burning biogas at an estimated burning efficiency level of 90 percent in all the sewage treatment systems. Emission reductions will as a result be achieved progressively (as the installations are gradually introduced) from 0 percent in 2010 to 100 percent in 2030. Anaerobic sludge digesters possess a burner which operates at a methane burning efficiency level of 90 percent, which implies a residual emission of 10 percent of the total methane emitted in the Reference Scenario. This constitutes the Low Carbon Scenario for the domestic sewage sector. Figure 42 - Scenario 3-B: collection and burning of biogas generated in some of the domestic sewage treatment systems from 2010-2030 100,000 100% 90,000 80,000 80% 70,000 60,000 60% Synthesis Report | WASTE 50,000 40,000 40% 30,000 20,000 20% 10,000 0 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Cenário 3 B % implementation of capture and burn systems 4.4.2. Low Carbon Scenario for Industrial Effluents The industrial effluents treatment sector Low Carbon Scenario presupposes that the Reference Scenario assumptions are retained i.e. growth of industrial production by 3 percent per annum up to year 2030, with 50 percent of industrial effluents treated anaerobically. In addition to subscribing to the Reference Scenario in these terms the Low Carbon Scenario also incorporates systems for capturing and burning around 50 percent of the biogas generated as a result. 67 In Scenario 2-C (Figure 43) the Reference Scenario assumptions are retained. In addition to continuing to subscribe to the Reference Scenario, Scenario 2-C also includes the installation of biogas capture and burning systems for burning around 50 percent of the biogas generated. The burners used in these systems possess a methane burning efficiency of 90 percent. Figure 43 - Scenario 2-C: 50 percent of industrial effluents collected and treated anaerobically 100 90 80 Emiss ions (mill io n t CO2e/yr) 70 60 50 40 30 Reference Scenario: Domestic Effluents Total Emissions in 2030 = 15 million tCO2e/yr 20 10 0 In Scenario 2-C, which can be interpreted for any fraction of treated sewage by the anaerobic 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Reference Scenario Scenario 2-C process, 100 percent of the CH4 generated is destroyed. Scenario 3-C (Figure 44) represents the Low Carbon Scenario of the industrial effluents sector (3-C). This scenario assumes the installation of anaerobic digestion systems with the capture and burning of CH4. Installation of these systems increases by a factor of 20 percent up to 2014, 40 percent between 2014 and 2018, 60 percent between 2018 and 2022, 80 percent up to 2026, and finally 100 percent by 2030. Synthesis Report | WASTE In Scenario 3-C the Reference Scenario assumptions are retained. In addition to continuing to subscribe to the Reference Scenario, Scenario 3-C also includes the installation of biogas capture and burning systems for burning around 100 percent of the biogas generated. The burners used in these systems possess a methane burning efficiency of 90 percent. The first Low Carbon Scenario simulated for the industrial effluents sector suggests a significant increase in CH4 emissions. 100,000 100% Figure 44 - Scenario 3-C: Burning CH4 generated by 90,000 treatment of industrial effluents 2010-2030 80,000 80% 70,000 60,000 60% 68 50,000 40,000 40% 30,000 20,000 20% 10,000 0 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Scenario 3 - C % implementation of capture and burn systems 4.4.3. Consolidation The sewage and effluents Reference Scenario takes into account Brazil’s situation in 2007 according to information issued by IBGE and the Ministries of Environment and Cities. The Reference Scenario also contains a number of considerations for the period between 2010 and 2030 which are assumed to be the most “probable� and which represent more accurately the 2030 scenario. According to the IBGE National Basic Sanitation Survey (PNSB) around 60 percent of all sewage is not collected but discharged directly into water bodies or treated in systems such as pits or latrines. While the remaining 40 percent is collected only 14 percent of this is treated aerobically or anaerobically. In accordance with the PLANSAB, the PAC and a series of other guidelines established by the Federal Government at the end of the first decade of the 21st century, the universalization of the the collection and treatment of all urban domestic sewage is assumed to be achieved between 2010 and 2030, implying the collection and treatment of 100 percent of the sewage generated in Brazil´s urban areas. The Low Carbon Scenario adds the capture and burning of methane gas to the assumptions of the Reference Scenario at an efficiency level of 90 percent. Figure 45 represents the Low Carbon Scenario. This is in step with the Reference Scenario except for the amount of methane emitted. Figure 45 - Low Carbon Scenario: Domestic sewage treatment systems 45,000,000 40,000,000 Synthesis Report | WASTE 35,000,000 30,000,000 25,000,000 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 - 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Collected and Treated Collecteed but untreated The sewage and effluents Low Carbon Scenario represented in Figure 46 below maintains all the hypotheses adopted in the Reference Scenario with the exception of the installation in the sewage treatment plants of systems for collecting and burning biogas at an efficiency level of around 90 percent. These installations will be introduced progressively, from 0 percent in 2010 to 100 percent by 2030. The Low Carbon Scenario does not in any way rule out the other technologies for reducing emissions such as introducing environmental education programs aimed at water reutilization 69 and reduced ‘at source’ emissions generation. Figure 46 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of domestic sewage treatment systems 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Collected and Treated Collecteed but untreated The Low Carbon Scenario for the industrial effluents sector, similarly to the data survey included in the Reference Report of Brazil’s GHG emissions from this sector in 1990-2005, does not cover all the country’s economic activities. The IPCC (2000) method recommends that three of the main activities that generate organic load should be selected and that a survey of data should be confined to these activities for defining the Brazil´s emissions. Furthermore, it is considered that according to law all effluents that are generated are treated by aerobic or anaerobic processes. While the Reference Scenario is represented by these two processes, incorporating biogas collection and burning, the Low Carbon Scenario only incorporates the expansion of treatment by anaerobic processes together with biogas collection and burning. No increase or reduction of greenhouse gases is involved since, according to CETESB, such methane emissions do not occur at present. Synthesis Report | WASTE Figure 47 - Low Carbon Scenario: Percentage distribution of industrial effluent treatment systems 100% 90% 70 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Uncollected Collected but untreated Collected and treated aerobically Collected and treated anaerobically The sewage and effluents Reference Scenario is summarized in Figure 48. The increase observed in the emissions of the Reference Scenario simply reflects Brazil’s economic and population growth. Introduction of the Low Carbon Scenario results in a reduction of emissions as a result of the anaerobic treatment of domestic sewage and the recovery and burning of CH4 generated by this practice. Figure 48 - Low Carbon Scenario: treatment of sewage and effluents 100,000 90,000 80,000 Emissions (10 00 tCO2e/y r) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 Reference Scenario Total emissions in2030: 25,792,000 tCO2 30,000 Synthesis Report | WASTE 20,000 10,000 Low Carbon Scenario Zero emissions 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 The emissions observed in 2010 of around 7 MtCO2e could be reduced to zero in 2030 even Reference Scenario Low Carbon Scenario while taking into account forecasted expanded economic activity and population growth. 4.4.4. Barriers and proposed solutions Table 12 summarizes the main barriers and the preventive, corrective and governance actions aimed at mitigation in the environmental sanitation sector related to the Low Carbon Scenario. 71 Table 12 - Barriers and mitigation actions related to effluent treatment Mitigation actions Preventive Corrective Governance Technical- environmental Exchange of experiences Operation of efficient Environmental and Application of between specialized and effective licensing agencies to techniques for bodies operating similar systems with a pay close attention collecting, burning systems (private local view to ensuring to technical aspects recovering and/or firms, international economic viability of effluent treatment using CH4 for energy companies, government and environmental in compliance with purposes . bodies, NGOs etc ). sustainability . standard procedures. Economic-legal Application of new Control and supervision approaches to collection, Substantial and in the procurement and Increased burning, recovery and / systematic increase application of financial investments and or CH4 energy-producing in investment over resources earmarked for financial resources methods in systems the next 20 years. government plans and currently involving gas programs. emissions generation. Introduction of Substantial increase Water recycling and use of mechanisms to provide in water loss control cleaner technologies with tax incentives to firms and rationalization Socio-cultural a view to enhancing the and others which of water use aimed at supply capacity of water employ water recycling improved resource bodies. techniques and cleaner sustainability. production methods. Synthesis Report | WASTE 5. Consolidation of Low Carbon Scenario 5.1. Synthesis of Low Carbon Scenario The Low Carbon Scenario for GHG emissions caused by waste treatment, depicted in Figure 49 is projected on the basis of simply burning CH4 emissions through the anaerobic treatment of 72 the organic content of municipal waste, domestic sewage, and industrial effluents. If the practice of waste disposal in landfills is maintained, the CO2 emissions resulting from incineration of the fossil component of municipal waste and the N2O emissions caused by waste incineration can be regarded as ‘avoided’. In Figure 19 (Section 3.2.6) it is possible to gauge the level of N2O and (mainly) CO2 emissions produced by municipal waste. Figure 49 - Low Carbon Scenario: Total emissions from treatment of waste, sewage and effluents 100,000 Reference Scenario Total emissions in 2030: 90,000 99,266,000 tCO2 80,000 Em issions (1 000 t CO2e/y r) 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 Low Carbon Scenario Total emissions in 2030: 30,000 18,368,000 tCO2 Reduction of 81% 20,000 10,000 0 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Table 13 - Low Carbon Scenario: Total emissions from waste, sewage and effluent treatment Total emissions from waste, sewage Emissions avoided vis-à-vis Year and effluent treatment Reference Scenario (1000tCO2e) 2010 63,798 0 2015 46,894 24,451 2020 39,465 40,670 2025 30,034 59,462 Synthesis Report | WASTE 2030 18,368 80,897 According to the data in Table 13 the practice of collecting and burning CH4 in landfills and ETEs could produce emissions savings in 2030 of around 3400 tCO2e, equivalent to a 1.5GWe power output. 5.1.1. Results according to states Table 14 summarizes the total GHG emissions, by state, resulting from waste in years 2010 and 2030. In 2010, total emissions of the states in the north region amount to 2,212 tCO2e (4.8 percent), while the total emissions of the combined states of the northeast are 8,010 tCO2e (17.4 percent). The emissions for the center-west are 3,139tCO2e (6.8 percent), for the southeast region 29,255tCO2e (63.5 percent) and for the south region 3,454tCO2e (7.50 percent). The state of São Paulo alone is responsible for 39.5 percent of all Brazil’s emissions. The combined emissions of 73 the states of São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais account for 62.8 percent of Brazil’s total emissions. Table 14 - Low Carbon Scenario: Emissions from waste, sewage and effluent treatment (by State) Emissions by state Percentage of Emissions State 2010 2030 2010 2030 (1000 t CO2e) % AC 52 25 0.1% 0.1% AL 842 299 1.6% 1.6% AM 986 315 1.8% 1.7% AP 62 31 0.1% 0.2% BA 2,484 1,016 4.6% 5.5% CE 1,716 705 3.2% 3.8% DF 1,763 601 3.3% 3.3% ES 371 176 0.7% 1.0% GO 1,329 461 2.5% 2.5% MA 759 308 1.4% 1.7% MG 3,628 1,160 6.7% 6.3% MS 166 63 0.3% 0.3% MT 435 141 0.8% 0.8% PA 1,171 400 2.2% 2.2% PB 853 316 1.6% 1.7% PE 1,473 603 2.7% 3.3% PI 462 187 0.9% 1.0% PR 1,851 597 3.4% 3.2% RJ 9,015 2,776 16.6% 15.1% RN 592 245 1.1% 1.3% RO 120 51 0.2% 0.3% Synthesis Report | WASTE RR 36 19 0.1% 0.1% RS 1,582 551 2.9% 3.0% SC 630 231 1.2% 1.3% SE 244 102 0.4% 0.6% SP 21,405 6,918 39.5% 37.7% TO 175 71 0.3% 0.4% Total 54,200 18,368 100.0% 100.0% Finally, Figure 50 shows the reduction of GHG emissions from the Reference to the Low Carbon Scenario for waste treatment. São Paulo, Rio de Janeiro, Minas Gerais and Bahia produce the largest quantities of emissions. Figure 50: Total Emissions (MT CO2e) from Solid Waste, and Sewage and Effluents 74 5.2. Economic analysis As can be observed in Table 15, and according to the Ministry of Cities (2008), municipalities with populations of over 100,000 account for the highest levels of public expenditure in the waste sector. Table 16 shows the expenditure earmarked for the sanitation sector by the Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) in 2007 - at least R$40 billion for the years 2007-2010. Synthesis Report | WASTE Table 15 - Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) -Sanitation (2007) Federal Resources Allocated Disbursed Item’ (R$) (%) (R$) (%) Capital Financing 1.356.682.425,97 570.331.986,50 75 Water supply Public budget 1.302.562.980,27 25,96 445.539.053,57 28,79 Total 2.659.245.406,24 1.015.871.040,07 Capital Financing 2.494.808.061,55 515.480.031,47 Sewerage Public budget 1.374.614.778,70 37,77 179.654.162,18 19,70 Total 3.869.422.840,25 695.134.193,65 Capital Financing 725.272.894,66 54.048.762,42 Urban Public budget 211.676.587,17 9,15 187.237.245,59 6,84 Drainage Total 936.949.481,83 241.286.008,01 Capital Financing 17.664.400,00 25.373.699,61 MSW Public budget 70.214.971,00 0,86 35.447.731,68 1,72 Total 87.879.371,00 60.821.431,29 Capital Financing 247.524.345,42 492.629.982,12 Inteted Public budget 769.530.290,90 9,93 256.317.187,11 21,22 Sanitation Total 1.017.054.636,32 748.947.169,23 Public budget 1.108.337.717,61 565.756.657,47 10,82 16,03 program Total 1.108.337.717,61 565.756.657,47 Pró-municípios Capital Financing 462.483.737,59 60.299.337,71 Others Public budget 103.574.951,54 5,53 140.665.224,35 5,70 Total 566.058.589,13 200.964.562,06 Total 10.244.948.142,38 100,00 3.528.781.061,78 100,00 Source: Ministry of Cities (‘Results, Projections and Actions – 2008’) Considerable amounts of investment are still needed in Brazil for collecting and treating domestic sewage. It is estimated that R$94 billion will be needed over the next 20 years in the domestic wastewaters collection and treatment area compared with approximately R$6 billion called for in the significantly expanded collection and treatment of MSW. Investment by the private sector will vary depending on corporate policies adopted by the manufacturing sectors. Private initiatives have invested in the treatment of industrial effluents as a result of command and control actions from the environmental agencies, and above all, voluntary efforts have been made to attend the requirements of environmental management Synthesis Report | WASTE systems, social-environmental responsibility and CDM projects, which have contributed to the cash flow of such projects. Abatement costs for the Low Carbon Scenario in the waste sector are estimated on the basis of the costs involved in introducing per capita (inhabitant) mitigation alternatives according to surveys conducted in official bodies and studies recently undertaken by the private and public sectors. Estimated investment costs (with O & M costs accounting for around 10 percent of the total) were employed to estimate the costs of treating and abating greenhouse gases in the Reference and Low Carbon Scenarios. Analyzing the results of the marginal abatement costs and of the scale of investment capital required, we confirm our view that relatively higher levels of investment need to be devoted to the treatment of domestic sewage than to solid waste treatment or the treatment of industrial 76 effluents. 5.3. Costs and benefits The most recent and reliable data available under national literature was used to arrive at the cost and benefit’s figures. However there was a lack of sufficient data, preventing as rigourous and detailed cost and benefit survey as done for the estimation of GHG emissions. The following comments about costs and benefits of the application of a Low Carbon Scenario highlight three items: 5.3.1 (solid waste), 5.3.2 (incineration) and 5.3.3 (domestic sewage and industrial effluents). Data on costs and benefits do not cover the indirect benefits8 linked to improvements in sanitary conditions. These indirect benefits are important but the relevant data in the local literature is too sparse to warrant their inclusion. Within the Low Carbon Scenario certain benefits arise from activities flowing directly or indirectly from the National Sanitation Policy, such as: • Initiatives to provide appropriate sanitation services throughout the country (‘universalization and equality’), ensuring service provision for all consumers/users, particularly in the domestic waste area; • Efforts to increase investments. Given the shortage of public investment capacity to satisfy demand, opportunities for establishing public-private partnerships and concessions for the sanitation sector need to be explored. The role of the authorities would be to regulate and supervise these activities; • New facilitating mechanisms to reduce the negative externalities of the sanitation sector over the short to medium term; • Initiatives to improve community wellbeing and quality of life; • Upgrading the technical efficiency of the sanitation sector by introducing systems to ensure sustainability and promote technological innovation; and • Upgrading service quality relating to each treatment system through better management and administration. The benefits arising from the application of economic resources in the Low Carbon Scenarios for the waste sector can be seen as particularly efficacious instruments for incorporating the costs of the services and environmental damage into the prices of the goods, services and Synthesis Report | WASTE activities which cause them. Overall, environmental policies would be integrated with economic policies, and the principal of “polluter pays� would gain currency. These actions should provide incentives for consumers and producers to modify behaviors 8 In a study undertaken in Baixada Santista (Rio de Janeiro), by Cetesb in the 90s, a community was divided into two: one with piped sewage and another with open air sewage. Records of diseases, medical consultations, exams, hospitalizations, medicine used and related health costs were kept. It was estimated that the costs associated with health problems in the community with open air sewage far outweighted the costs associated with the implementation of piped sewage system. by encouraging more efficient and ecologically friendly use of resources by encouraging innovation and structural changes and strengthening compliance with existing laws. Moreover, the appropriate actions could generate funds that could be used for environmental purposes or for reducing taxes on capital, labor, and savings. They could also become efficient policy instruments for dealing with current environmental priorities such as the need to address “diffuse� sources of pollution, including GHG emissions. 77 5.3.1. Solid waste While a clear need exists to increase investments over the next 20 years in the solid waste sector, the values projected by the PAC/Sanitation Program are nevertheless insufficient. A reasonable assessment of the costs involved has been provided by a study undertaken by the MMA (Ministério do Meio Ambiente / Environment Ministry) in Minas Gerais: The average costs of replacing a below-standard solid waste disposal site to comply with all the technical and legal requirements applicable to a modern MSW waste treatment facility amounts to between $4.59 and $6.8 per inhabitant, depending on the size of the municipality. Considering the average present investment cost readjusted for 2030 (R$13.6/inhabitant), installation of modern MSW disposal sites would cost around R$1.8 billion in 2030, on the basis of a sample of around 140 million inhabitants. In other words, in 20 years time annual investment in such facilities would be a minimum of R$91 million/year, without taking into account spending on collection, training, education, etc. In short, upgrading substandard waste disposal sites throughout the country would call for an average investment of RS$13.9 per inhabitant. Figure 51 - Cost of landfill impelementation (R$/inhabitant) in the state of Minas Gerais 45 42,74 C ost/inhabitant (R$/inhabitant) 30 20,57 13,38 15 11,25 9,34 6,42 5,21 5,09 4,26 4,11 4,36 4,6 0 Synthesis Report | WASTE 1000 10000 100000 1000000 10000000 população (hab) Inhabitants Source: MMA/GTZ/CEF/CETEC. On the other hand, upgrading the MSW treatment systems in terms of mitigation and sequestration, the investment costs relate to systems for collecting, burning, recovering and utilizing landfill CH4 for energy generation purposes. Table 16 is based on data assembled from the day-to-day experience of CDM projects in Brazil. 9 Exchange rate used of 2.2R$/USD Two landfills in the municipality of São Paulo were considered - the Aterro Bandeirantes which in 2007 received 6,000 tMSW/day, and the Aterro São João landfill which receives approximately 7,000 tMSW/day. These two landfills installed collection, burning, recovery and CH4 energy providing systems. 78 Table 16 - Investment costs related to systems for mitigating emissions of CH4 in sanitary landfills in Brazil (2005) Equivalent population Per capita investment Per capita investment cost of collection and recovery and using Investment cost of Quantity of MSW in collection and Investment cost CH4 fur energy burning of CH4 cost of energy burning CH4 disposed of generation generation Incineration (US$) (US$) (t/day) (inhab) (US$/inhab) (US$/inhab) Bandeirantes 10,773,644 20,738,636 6,000 5,000,000 2.15 4.15 São João 6,365,754 19,409,091 7,000 6,000,000 1.06 3.24 (*) Data acquired from CDM projects in the sanitary landfils of São Paulo (Bandeirantes and São João). The average investment for installing landfills with CH4 collection and burning systems would be around US$1.76 billion in 2030 (for a sample of around 140 million people), in order to meet future demand, without including resources needed for technology transfer, training, and education. This considers that the net average current costs adjusted to 2030 prices is US$96.8/inhabitant for installing collection and burning systems without landfill recovery and CH4 energy generation, and including in this investment the costs required for bringing landfills up to standard. The average costs of installing landfills with systems for collecting, burning, recovering and using CH4 for power generation is in the range of US$3.53 billion in 2030 (for around 140 million inhabitants). This figure considers average net present values adjusted to 2030 prices of US$11.8/inhabitant for the installation of systems for collection and burn of CH4 as well as the costs of bringing sanitary landfills up to standard, and excluding landfill recovery and power generation costs. These figures do not include funds needed for technology transfer, training and education. Table 17 depicts the average costs of installing disposal and treatment facilities for MSW in Brazil’s sanitary landfills. Synthesis Report | WASTE Table 17 - Per capita cost (US$) of installing sanitary landfills (at 2030 adjusted prices) System Cost (US$/inhab) Conventional sanitary landfill 13.6(1) Landfill with system for collecting and burning CH4 5.9(2) Landfill with a system for collecting burning, recovery and energy generation from CH4. 11.8(2) (1) Data provided by MMA/GTZ/CAIXA/CETEC The shortage of space for installing landfills is one of the greatest challenges facing the solid (2) Data acquired from CDM projects in sanitary landfills of São Paulo (Bandeirantes and São João). waste management area in Brazil’s large cities, particularly in the Metropolitan Regions. The large cities in Brazil have grown in a disorganized way, producing glaring contrasts between the central and peripheral areas which lack basic infrastructure and urban services. In 2009, no free areas existed which were suitable for garbage disposal within a radius of 20km from the downtown area of the country’s larger cities. The obstacles imposed by physical structures, designated protection areas, and rigid land use legislation have forced the municipal authorities and private businesses into long-haul and high-cost export of solid waste well beyond city limits (25+ km). 79 The most serious situation concerns the Metropolitan Regions and other large cities in view of the large quantity of waste generated. The establishment and expansion of many of Brazil’s main cities occurred in an unplanned way. The city fringes, originally used for activities requiring larger areas of land such as factories, freight terminals, wholesale fruit markets and sanitary landfills, continue to be pushed further and further away from the city proper. In short, areas that could be used for installing solid waste treatment or disposal sites face physical restrictions and environmental and economic constraints arising from the lack of suitable space, and as a result, waste has to be deposited in increasingly remote areas. 5.3.2. Incineration Another way of treating waste is to incinerate it and make use of the energy produced. Non- recyclable waste is reused for producing energy. In the European Union this form of treatment is accompanied by both recycling and composting and results in extremely low levels of landfill deposit. Most of the ash from the incinerated materials can be used as a raw material in the building industry. Various methods also exist to recycle or compost waste or use it for energy generation purposes. Each method may possess a specific advantage depending on the quality of the selective collection service and the resulting materials. In order to manage waste efficiently from an environmental point of view, waste reduction and the establishment of an efficient collection system are recommended for subsequent use of waste as an energy and manufacturing input. However, cost constraints and the need for changes in the public’s waste-related attitudes suggest that this stage is only possible when accompanied by ongoing improvements in the municipal waste systems. Before 2009 the use of incineration technology in Brazil was confined to medical waste. As of 2009, there was only one MSW incinerator in operation (as a pilot project) on the Rio de Janeiro Federal University campus. Unfortunately data on the investment and operational costs of the system is not available, and even if it were the information would not be appropriate for using in this Scenario which is concerned only with incineration systems in municipalities with populations of over 3 million. The São Paulo State program for using MSW and other waste for energy purposes, under Synthesis Report | WASTE the aegis of a working group created by Joint Resolution SSE/SMA 49/2007, prepared a study (Executive Summary, July 2008) which benefited directly from the results of the Technical Cooperation Agreement signed between the State of São Paulo and Bavaria (Germany), coordinated on the Brazilian side by the São Paulo Environment Secretariat. This study examined grid or fluidized bed type incineration systems with a throughput of 2,400 tons/day. The investment costs can be seen in Table 18 below. Per capita Per capita Table 18 - Investment costs related to MSW incineration systems (2008) Investment cost Investment investment cost investment cost of incineration cost of Equivalent of incineration of incineration without incineration with population without with cogeneration of cogeneration of cogeneration of cogeneration of energy energy energy energy Incineration (1,000,000 US$)(1) (1,000,000 US$)(1) (1,000 inhab ) (US$/inhab) (US$/inhab) 80 01 module 103.3 98.0 750 137.9 130.6 (600t/day) 02 modules 184.5 174.9 1,500 123.0 116.6 (1,200t/day) 04 modules 329.4 312.3 3,000 109.8 104.1 (2,400t/day) (1) Data from SSE/SMA initial study, July 2008. With the average present investment costs adjusted at 2030 prices to US$227.3/inhabitant for installing CH4 energy-producing incineration systems, the average investment for installing such systems would be US$12.3 billion in 2030 (for a sample of approximately 50 million inhabitants representing the population of the 8 Metropolitan Regions under consideration) in order to satisfy demand - without taking into account the need for resources to be spent on technology transfer, training and education. The average costs of installing MSW incineration can be seen at Table 19. Table 19 - Per capita costs (US$) of installing incinerators in Brazil (at 2030 adjusted prices) Cost System (US$/inhabitant) Incineration without energy cogeneration 204.5(1) Incineration with energy cogeneration 227.3(1) Incineration with energy cogeneration and fossil waste recycling 250 1) Data from SSE/SMA initial study in July , 2008. 5.3.3. Domestic sewage and industrial effluent Over the next 20 years priority should be given to increasing investments for treating domestic sewage. Table 20 shows that the expenditure necessary on sewage treatment will be between US$45.4 to US$90.9/inhabitant at 2030 prices depending on the size and technical design of the system used. Synthesis Report | WASTE The following table lists the cost of installing sewage treatment systems by region. These numbers were prepared by the JNS/AQUAPLAN with the support of the UNDP (United Nations Development Program) and the World Bank (UNDP/World Bank Program for Sanitation Sector Modernization- PMSS) “... assessing the investment requirements for universalizing water supply and sewage treatment collection/treatment in Brazil�. Table 20 - Cost of installing sewage treatment10 Average Treatment Price (US$/inhab) State Small Medium Large Acre 45.9 71.9 97.5 Amapá 40.5 62.5 84.2 Amazonas 45.8 73.8 101.4 81 Pará 40.2 62.7 84.8 Rondônia 49.6 79.4 108.6 Roraima 48.0 82.1 112.8 Tocantins 47.3 78.6 108.6 Alagoas 39.0 61.6 83.8 Bahia 41.9 66.0 89.6 Ceará 36.6 57.8 78.3 Maranhão 40.7 63.2 85.3 Paraíba 39.7 63.7 87.3 Pernambuco 40.3 65.6 90.6 Piauí 35.9 58.6 80.8 Rio Grande do Norte 38.9 62.6 85.7 Sergipe 40.5 62.9 84.6 Espírito Santo 38.4 61.0 83.1 Minas Gerais 39.1 65.2 90.7 Rio de Janeiro 45.6 73.1 100.1 São Paulo 44.5 73.4 101.5 Paraná 41.9 73.7 104.0 Rio Grande do Sul 46.5 74.3 100.8 Santa Catarina 43.9 72.7 100.7 Distrito Federal 41.3 68.4 94.7 Goiás 47.0 75.4 102.9 Mato Grosso 41.9 72.5 102.4 Mato Grosso do Sul 43.8 71.7 98.9 (*)Study by JNS/Acquaplan consortium. Considering the costs of installing sewage treatment systems of the combined biological Source: PMSS II (2003) “anaerobic and aerobic� type, the average investment per inhabitant at 2030 prices throughout Brazil will need to be approximately US$181.8. The total cost of this type of undertaking would be around US$38.2 billion in 2030 assuming total waste treatment coverage, without taking account of the costs of waste collection, training and education. To arrive at the costs of CH4 collection and burning systems in sewage treatment plants, information was secured on similar types of systems currently operating in Brazil from the publication Projects with Federal Public Funding (Pró-Saneamento, PRODES and Caixa Synthesis Report | WASTE Econômica Federal). The figures in Table 21 below are provided by the municipality of Campinas (in São Paulo state) which recently installed a CH4 collection and burning system in its ETEs. 10 The price includes the treatment plant, interceptor pipes and lifting equipment. For small municipalities the costs of treatment of installation of an anaerobic reactor with lagoons were estimated. In the larger municipalities the cost corresponds to the installation of a treatment plant using activated sludges with conventional aeration. For medium-sized municipalities a median value was estimated, using combined anaerobic/aerobic systems. Investment cost of a system for Equivalent Per capita investment cost of a system Table 21 - Investment costs of mitigating CH4 emissions in ETEs in 2008 ETE collection and burning CH4 population for collection and burning CH4 (US$) (1000 inhab) . (US$/inhab). Capivari 1 195,454.50(1) 50 3.9 82 Campinas – SP (1) Data from suppliers of FOKAL equipment (www.fokal.com.br). Assuming an investment cost of R$16.00/inhabitant in 2003, the average cost of installing collection and burning systems without landfill CH4 recovery and energy use would be around R$3.36 billion in order to meet future demands, without taking into account the resources needed for technical transfer, training, and education. The average investment costs needed in Brazil to install sewage treatment equipment of the combined “anaerobic + activated sludges� type can be seen in Table 22. Table 22 - Costs of installing sewage treatment (at 2030 adjusted prices) Systems Investment (US$/inhab) ETE “ Anaerobic Reactor + activated sludges � 181.8(1) ETE “Anaerobic Reactor + activated sludges � with collection and burning of CH4 7.3(2) (1)Data from MSS II (2003) –assembled by JNS/Acquaplan consortium. (2)Data from suppliers of FOKAL equipment (www.fokal.com.br) The abatement costs for the Low Carbon Scenario in the wastes sector are estimated based on the per capita costs of employing mitigation methods according to surveys undertaken in official bodies and data from recent public and private sector projects. These investment costs were used (allowing for 10 percent expenditure on O&M) for estimating the abatement costs. The investment costs for the treatment systems and GHG emissions abatement of the Reference and Low Carbon Scenarios were estimated in the same way. 5.4. Marginal abatement costs and Break Even Carbon Price An economic analysis of the Low Carbon Scenario is desirable in order to inform government and society of the costs and benefits of minimizing GHG emissions. An analysis can also help to clarify the types of sequestering and mitigation methods to be implemented. However, the Synthesis Report | WASTE following points are worth considering: No single method exists for preparing an economic analysis of these options: a number of different methods can be adopted for each Low Carbon Scenario to reflect the different viewpoints and economic concerns of government, society and/or the private sector. Two approaches were chosen: i. A microeconomic evaluation of the costs and benefits of introducing seques- tering and mitigation measures; and ii. A macroeconomic evaluation of the same measures to reflect government pol- icies and the relevant legal regulations applied to the sector. A combined evaluation of the measures in the different areas is not a simple task. Many of the measures considered are implemented in different contexts, e.g. some can apply in the federal or local public sector economic context while others are specific to the private sector. Given that the public and private sectors understandably adopt different economic and management 83 approaches, a two-pronged cost/benefit analysis procedure was adopted for informing decision makers - the first from a “social� and the second from a “private� viewpoint. The “social� approach tends to provide a basis for sectorial cross-referenced comparison for the Low Carbon Scenarios. The marginal abatement cost is therefore calculated using a social discount rate of 8 percent. In order to facilitate the comparison, the Marginal Abatement Costs of all the mitigation and sequestering measures proposed was arrived at by grouping together in one simple diagram (i) the official data on investment costs available in the sanitation sector with (ii) the data on GHG emissions abatement potential. The “private sector� approach focuses on measures that could be attractive to economic agents in terms of possible investment in the sector in view of the ‘carbon component’ in the Reference Scenario. In this respect the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) Projects for the sector inspired by the Kyoto Protocol are important, and possible additional recipes for facilitating the implementation of the mitigation and sequestering measures outlined here. The private sector approach would basically involve encouraging economic agents to assess the profit potential of investing in a Low Carbon Scenario, with the financial carbon market providing real incentives in terms of a Minimum Break Even Carbon Price expressed in US$ per ton of CO2 equivalent. Other economic mechanisms could also be employed as incentives for decision makers to implement the Low Carbon Scenario proposed in this report, (e.g. the potential profits from converting biogas as an energy source). 5.4.1. Marginal abatement cost The marginal abatement cost indicates the difference between normal waste treatment costs and the total costs when the costs of the GHG emissions mitigation projected in the Low Carbon Scenario are incorporated. The marginal abatement cost was estimated at a discount rate of 8 percent, while the break even cost was estimated at 12 percent. Both were defined on the basis of the current situation in Brazil. The average current cost of abating emissions for the period between 2010 and 2030 in the Low Carbon Scenario is presented in Table 23 and illustrated in Figure 52. In Table 24 the figures in the end column indicate that the average cost of abatement is US$1.33/tCO2e for the MSW Low Synthesis Report | WASTE Carbon Scenario, US$1.33/tCO2e for the domestic sewage scenario and US$103.30/tCO2e for the industrial effluents scenario. The significant difference between these numbers is due to the high investment costs needed to construct ETEs when compared to the large quantities of CH4 generated in the landfills and the costs of burying, capture and burning the CH4 generated in the landfills. Table 23 - Current abatement costs: 2030 Low Carbon Scenario abatement between to receive services Urban population Current median Current median abatement cost abatement cost 2010 and 2030 Potential gross Mitigation or sequestering options 84 (106.hab) (106.US$) (106.tCO2e) (US$/tCO2e) Reference Scenario for MSW 138.54(1) - - - Low Carbon Scenario for MSW with methane 138.54(1) 2,763.88 962.69 2.87 flaring and 75% collection efficiency of CH4 Reference Scenario of domestic sewage 209.91(2) - - - Low Carbon Scenario for domestic sewage 209.91(3) 1,204.01 115.77 10.40 with 100% CH4 collected and burned. Reference Scenario for industrial effluent 93.58(4) - - - Low Carbon Scenario for industrial effluent 467.90(5) 24,622.25 238.35 103.30 with 100% CH4 collected and burned. Obs: US dollar exchange in 2009 R$2,20/US$. (1) 66 percent of urban population in 2030 benefiting from MSW treatment. (2) 10 percent of urban population in 2030 benefiting from sewage treatment. (3) 100 percent of the urban population in 2030 benefiting from sewage treatment. (4) Population equivalent to liquid effluent polluting load originating in the manufacturing and similar setors (5) Population equivalent to liquid effluent polluting load originating in the growth projection of manufacturing and similar sectors Figure 52 below gives an idea of the large quantity and the low cost of destroying GHG represented by the 2030 Low Carbon Scenario. The gross abatement potential is around 73.1 percent of the mass of MSW - related CO2e avoided. Approximately 8.8 percent of the mass of CO2e is avoided in the treatment of sewage and the remaining 18.1 percent avoided in industrial effluent treatment. Figure 52 - Marginal Abatement Costs Marginal Abatement Cost (US$/tCO 2e) Discount Rate ( 8 %) 120.00 $103.30 Synthesis Report | WASTE 3 100.00 1 - Capture and burn of methane in sanitary land�lls. 80.00 2 - Capture and burn of methane from domestic US$/tCO 2 e effluents. 60.00 3 - Capture and burn of methane from industrial 40.00 $10.40 20.00 2 $2.87 1 - 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 106x tCO2e 5.4.2. Break Even Carbon Price The Break Even Carbon Price is the term used in the Low Carbon Scenario for describing the costs of the incentive that enables the proposed mitigation measure to generate a return that is equal to or greater than the benchmark Internal Rate of Return (IRR) required by the private sector. The Break Even Carbon Price was estimated with a discount rate of 12 percent (Benchmark 85 IRR) in order to represent a figure that was closer to reality in the financing and development of projects concerned with legal modalities involving Public and Private Partnerships (PPPs). The current Break Even Carbon Price values are summarized in Table 24: (i) US$6.94/tCO2e for the MSW sector; (ii) US$33.05/tCO2e for the domestic wastewater sector; and (iii) US$250.69/ tCO2e for the industrial effluents sector. The substantial difference between these values is due to the relatively low costs involved in installing equipment to capture and burn biogas in sanitary landfills, while the sewage anaerobic treatment systems need to take into account the higher costs of construction, operation and maintenance of the entire sewage treatment system including capture and burning of biogas and dealing with sludges (part and parcel of the treatment process). A different situation can be observed with respect to the industrial effluents, where a significant segment of the manufacturing sector already possesses treatment systems currently in operation, and where investment needs to be more directed towards the installation of equipment to capture and burn biogas. This should take into account the increased load resulting from economic and manufacturing development. Table 25 contains a summary of the marginal abatement costs with a discount rate of 8 percent and an indication of the scale of investment required. Table 24 - Marginal abatement costs, Break Even Carbon Price and scale of investment for 2030 Low Carbon Scenario Values (US$/tCO2e) Potential gross Marginal Mitigation options Break Even Scale of abatement costs of Price investment between abatement (i = 12%) 2010 and (i = 8%) 2030 Incremental Incremental MSW Low Carbon Scenario with landfill burning of CH4 at 75% 962.69 2.87 6.94 3.85 collection efficiency rate. Domestic sewage Low Carbon Synthesis Report | WASTE Scenario with 100% of the biogas 115.77 10.40 33.05 13.85 captured and burned. Industrial effluents Low Carbon Scenario with 100% of the biogas 238.35 103.30 250.69 122.74 captured and burned. Key: i = discount rate The variations in the CO2e. break even and incremental incentive prices are presented in Figure 53. Figure 53 - Break Even Carbon Prices 2e) Carbon Incentive (US$/ton.CO ( Discount Rate 12%) 300 .00 86 $250.69 250 .00 1 - Capture and burn of methane in sanitary land�lls. 200 .00 2 - Capture and burn of methane from domestic effluents. US$/tCO2 e 150 .00 3 - Capture and burn of methane from industrial effluents. 3 100 .00 $33.05 50 .00 1 $6.94 2 1,28 - 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 106 x tCO 2 e 5.5. Financing requirements Solid waste is responsible for over 80 percent of gross potential GHG emissions. The remaining 20 percent is accounted for by sewage and effluents. However, in cost-benefit terms, better value carbon mitigation benefits can be obtained by installing sanitary landfills to capture and burn CH4, as indicated by Figure 54 below. While the waste sector calls for substantial financing by Brazilian development agencies, the prospect of funding by international or multilateral agencies should not be discarded. The scale of investment in the waste sector is linked to the capacity of the public and private sectors to achieve the ‘universalization of sanitation services’ projected in the National Sanitation Policy. It follows that the amount of investment in the alternative technologies presented by the Low Carbon Scenario can be seen as an achievable objective within the time horizon of the Scenario. Figure 54 indicates the scale of investment for the waste sectors divided into MSW, domestic sewage, and industrial effluents. This figure indicates that a need exists for investment to flow from a range of public policies - which should be pursued preferably in conjunction with private Synthesis Report | WASTE sector initiatives. The investment costs in this report are based upon official data issued by the Federal Government. The Low Carbon Scenario will certainly contribute to ensuring that the required investments are made in the sector by 2030. Figure 54 - Scale of Investment Capital Intensity (US$/tCO2e) 400.00 2 Investment Intensity 87 350.00 (US$/tCO 2e) 1 - Capture and burn of methane in sanitary landfills. 300.00 Investment Intensity 2 - Capture and burn of methane from domestic Incremental approach 250.00 (US$/tCO 2e) effluents. US$ / tCO2e 3 - Capture and burn of methane from industrial 200.00 effluents. 3 150.00 3 100.00 50.00 1 2 3,85 - 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 106x tCO e 2 Synthesis Report | WASTE 6. Conclusion The Reference Scenarios for GHG emissions in the waste sector show an increase in emissions from 63 to 99.2 MtCO2e between 2000 and 2030, signifying a percentage increase of around 57 percent. The Low Carbon Scenario shows that it is possible to avoid emissions in 88 year 2030 by reducing the projected 99.2 to 18.10 MtCO2e - a reduction of just over 80 percent in emissions. Burning CH4 generated by sanitary landfills will be the most important development, involving a potential reduction of the order of 55.10 MtCO2e. The Low Carbon Scenario for solid waste, domestic sewage and industrial effluents sector foreshadows an expansion of anaerobic systems for treating domestic sewage and industrial effluents and burning all the CH4 generated, reducing to zero the emissions resulting from sewage and effluent treatment. We have also considered events (not included in the Reference Scenario) such as the possibility of increased quantities of waste for depositing in landfills. This could be caused by several factors, one of them being the expansion of collection services which could be regarded as an improvement in public health terms but which in the longer term could lead to an increase in greenhouse gas emissions. Also considered is a possible reduction of waste quantities for landfill disposal. This could result from, for example, stepped-up environmental education programs, greater public awareness of environmentally friendly practices to reduce waste generation at source, and reusing/recycling waste materials. Despite being highly recommendable from all points of view, the latter cannot be regarded as the most efficient in terms of GHG reduction. Incineration results in an increase in GHG emissions during the first years of its implementation, which would indicate this option may call for compensatory measures to be taken to counter the possible GHG emissions. Of all the environmental practices concerned with waste treatment the most interesting is that which predicates zero generation of waste – in other words the most desirable option for the environment would not be CH4 collection in the sanitary landfills but the non-generation of waste itself. Since such a scenario is improbable the most interesting of the alternatives evaluated has to be the recovery and burning of CH4. The co-benefits produced by disposing of MSW in sanitary landfills and burning CH4, and using anaerobic methods to treat sewage and effluents, are calculated in the economic evaluation of the scenarios. Moreover, the sanitation costs spreadsheets do not quantify (i) the economic advantages resulting from avoiding diseases or (ii) improvements in the quality of life for the population. Substantial investments are required in Brazil to deal with the collection and treatment of effluents. Given the nonexistence of the required infrastructure, the abatement costs involved in treating effluents are higher than those for solid waste. Synthesis Report | WASTE The various estimate uncertainties outlined in chapters 3.2.8 and 4.2.6 arise from the scarcity of data in the relevant Brazilian scientific literature. In addition, the unquantified uncertanties relating to the hypotheses raised in the Reference and Low Carbon Scenarios encompass the greatest fragility of the study. The uncertanty related to the cost and benefit data was not quantified, however, the data research strategy deployed helped ensure the utilization of the best available information. It is estimated that in the waste sector investments of around R$6 billion are needed over the next 20 years for the collection and treatment of solid waste and R$94 billion in the domestic sewage collection and treatment area. New investments by the private sector could vary substantially, depending on the corporate policies adopted by the manufacturing sector, but it can already be affirmed that the CDM projects will make a substantial contribution to increasing project cash flows. A program of incentives in the context of a Low Carbon Scenario would help to focus more investment on the waste sector, particularly for developing new technologies designed to lower carbon emissions and to convert waste into energy. 89 Synthesis Report | WASTE 7. Annexes 7.1. Metropolitan regions Given the high costs of installation and O&M, incineration is only economically viable 90 in large-scale projects in large cities with populations of over 3 million generating at least 2400 tons/day of MSW. According to IBGE11 (2008) the total population of urban areas of this kind is 54.728.762. Eight large urban areas have been identified in Brazil which possess a population of over 3 million as follows: 7.1.1. Salvador Municipalities Total population Salvador Camaçari Lauro de Freitas Simões Filho Candeias Dias d’�vila Vera Cruz São Francisco do Conde 3.799.589 Itaparica Madre de Deus Mata de São João São Sebastião do Passé Pojuca 7.1.2. Fortaleza Municipalities Total population Fortaleza Caucaia Aquiraz Pacatuba Synthesis Report | WASTE Maranguape Maracanaú Eusébio 3.517.375 Guaiúba Itaitinga Chorozinho Pacajus Horizonte São Gonçalo do Amarante 11 Population estimates for 1 July 2008 (PDF). Brazilian Geography and Statistics Institute (IBGE) (29 August 2008). Page visited on September 9th, 2008. 7.1.3. Recife Municipalities Total population Recife Jaboatão dos Guararapes Olinda Paulista Abreu e Lima 91 Igarassu Camaragibe Cabo de Santo Agostinho 3.731.719 São Lourenço da Mata Araçoiaba Ilha de Itamaracá Ipojuca Moreno Itapissuma 7.1.4. Belo Horizonte Municipalities Total population Baldim Belo Horizonte Betim Brumadinho Caeté Capim Branco Confins Contagem Esmeraldas Florestal Ibirité Igarapé Itaguara Itatiaiuçu Jaboticatubas Juatuba Lagoa Santa 5.031.438 Mário Campos Mateus Leme Matozinhos Nova Lima Nova União Pedro Leopoldo Raposos Ribeirão das Neves Rio Acima Rio Manso Sabará Santa Luzia São Joaquim de Bicas Synthesis Report | WASTE São José da Lapa Sarzedo Taquaraçu de Minas e Vespasiano 7.1.5. Rio de Janeiro Municipalities Total population Belford Roxo Duque de Caxias Guapimirim Itaboraí Itaguaí 92 Japeri Magé Mangaratiba Maricá Mesquita Nilópolis 11.812.482 Niterói Nova Iguaçu Paracambi Queimados Rio de Janeiro São Gonçalo São João de Meriti Seropédica Tanguá 7.1.6. São Paulo Municipalities Total population Arujá Barueri Biritiba-Mirim Caieiras Cajamar Carapicuíba Cotia Diadema Embu Embu-Guaçu Ferraz de Vasconcelos Francisco Morato Franco da Rocha Guararema Guarulhos Itapevi Itapecerica da Serra Itaquaquecetuba Jandira Juquitiba Mairiporã 19.616.060 Mauá Mogi das Cruzes Osasco Pirapora do Bom Jesus Poá Ribeirão Pires Rio Grande da Serra Synthesis Report | WASTE Salesópolis Santa Isabel Santana de Parnaíba Santo André São Bernardo do Campo São Caetano do Sul São Lourenço da Serra São Paulo Suzano Taboão da Serra Vargem Grande Paulista 7.1.7. Curitiba Municipalities Total population Adrianópolis Agudos do Sul Almirante Tamandaré Araucária Balsa Nova 93 Bocaiúva do Sul Campina Grande do Sul Campo Largo Campo Magro Cerro Azul Colombo Contenda Curitiba Doutor Ulysses Fazenda Rio Grande 3.260.292 Itaperuçu Lapa Mandirituba Pinhais Piraquara Quatro Barras Quitandinha Rio Branco do Sul São José dos Pinhais Tijucas do Sul Tunas do Paraná 7.1.8. Porto Alegre Municipalities Total population Alvorada Cachoeirinha Campo Bom Canoas Estância Velha Esteio Gravataí Guaíba Novo Hamburgo Porto Alegre São Leopoldo Sapiranga Sapucaia do Sul Viamão Dois Irmãos Eldorado do Sul Glorinha Ivoti 3.959.807 Nova Hartz Parobé Synthesis Report | WASTE Portão Triunfo Charqueadas Araricá Nova Santa Rita Montenegro Taquara São Jerônimo Arroio dos Ratos Santo Antônio da Patrulha Capela de Santana 7.2. CDM projects in the waste and effluents sector in Brazil The examples of projects being implemented in Brazil are confined to the private sec- tor and PPPs. Data on the mitigation projects for sanitary landfills that are being implemented can be observed in Tables 25, 26,27 and 28 below, containing UNFCCC data. In early 2009 94 a total of 25 CDM projects had been recorded of which 20 projects deal with collection and burning systems and the other five with recovery and energy generation. At the beginning of 2009 a total of 6 CDM project activities focused on composting were at the validation stage. These projects did not require the use of MSW. Incineration is currently used for treating hazardous waste. A number of private indus- trial incinerators are in operation. These provide incineration for third parties, with the majority of them located in the states of São Paulo (average capacity of 26,000 t/ year), Rio de Janeiro (average capacity of 11,500 t/year), Bahia (average capacity of 14,400 t/year) and Alagoas (average capacity of 11,500 t/year). The private sector is undertaking over 50 CDM project activities in the effluents treat- ment sector which are either already registered or at the validation stage. The following list of CDM projects was available on the UNFCCC site in May 2009. Synthesis Report | WASTE Tabela 25 – CDM Sanitary landfill projects Name of project State Status Type/Subtype Methodology ktCO2 (*) Salvador Da Bahia landfill gas management project (NM4) BA Registered Biogás/ Flare AM2 6667 Onyx landfill gas recovery project - Trémembé, Brazil (NM21) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare AM11 701 Caieiras landfill gas emission reduction SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 2441 ESTRE’s Paulínia Landfill Gas Project (EPLGP) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare AM3 1488 Project Anaconda SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 699 Canabrava Landfill Gas Project BA Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 1321 Aurá Landfill Gas Project PA Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 1981 Central de Resíduos do Recreio Landfill Gas Project (CRRLGP) RS Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 647 ESTRE Itapevi Landfill Gas Project (EILGP) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 486 Quitaúna Landfill Gas Project SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 581 SANTECH – Saneamento & Tecnologia Ambiental Ltda. SC Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 153 CTRVV Landfill emission reduction project ES Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 455 Probiogas - JP-João Pessoa Landfill Gas Project PR Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1+ACM2 1039 Proactiva Tijuquinhas Landfill Gas Capture and Flaring project SC Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 574 Estre Pedreira Landfill Gás Project (EPLGP) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1+ACM2 866 Terrestre Ambiental Landfill Gás Project SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1+ACM2 487 Embralixo/Araúna - Bragança Landfill Gas Project (EABLGP) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1+ACM2 331 URBAM/ARAUNA - Landfill Gas Project (UALGP) SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 571 Alto-Tietê landfill gas capture project SP Registered Biogás/ Flare ACM1 2323 Manaus Landfill Gas Project AM Validation Biogás/ Flare ACM1+ACM2 3808 Natal Landfill Gas Recovery Project RN Validation Biogás/ Flare ACM1 498 Laguna Landfill Methane Flaring SC Validation Biogás/ Flare ACM1 67 Marilia/Arauna Landfill Gas Project SP Validation Biogás/ Flare ACM1 170 CGR Guatapará landfill Project SP Validation Biogás/ Flare ACM1 181 Brazil NovaGerar landfill gas to energy project (NM5) RJ Registered Biogás/Energy generation AM3 2937 Landfill gas to energy project at Lara landfill, Mauá SP Registered Biogás/Energy generation AM3 4726 Brazil MARCA landfill gas to energy project ES Registered Biogás/Energy generation AM3 1728 Bandeirantes Landfill Gas to Energy Project (BLFGE). SP Registered Biogás/Energy generation ACM1 9494 São João Landfill Gas to Energy Project SP Registered Biogás/Energy generation ACM1 3766 Feira de Santana Landfill Gas Project BA Registered Biogás/Energy generation ACM1+ACM2 194 Projeto de Gás de Aterro TECIPAR – PROGAT SP Validation Biogás/Energy generation ACM1 350 95 Synthesis Report | WASTE 96 Synthesis Report | WASTE Name of project kCERs kCERs Expected (**) Emissions Success Date of Registration Installed Energy (***) Salvador Da Bahia landfill gas management project (NM4) 46 591 8% 15/08/2005 Onyx landfill gas recovery project - Trémembé, Brazil (NM21) 84 141 60% 24/11/2005 Caieiras landfill gas emission reduction 103 553 19% 09/03/2006 ESTRE’s Paulínia Landfill Gas Project (EPLGP) 251 229 110% 03/03/2006 Project Anaconda 22 126 18% 15/12/2006 Canabrava Landfill Gas Project 9 174 5% 08/04/2007 Aurá Landfill Gas Project 30/04/2007 Central de Resíduos do Recreio Landfill Gas Project (CRRLGP) 31/12/2006 ESTRE Itapevi Landfill Gas Project (EILGP) 30 40 75% 17/08/2007 Quitaúna Landfill Gas Project 27/05/2007 SANTECH – Saneamento & Tecnologia Ambiental Ltda. 19/02/2009 CTRVV Landfill emission reduction project 28/05/2008 Probiogas - JP-João Pessoa Landfill Gas Project 30/01/2008 Proactiva Tijuquinhas Landfill Gas Capture and Flaring project 13/08/2008 Estre Pedreira Landfill Gás Project (EPLGP) 40 49 82% 12/02/2008 Terrestre Ambiental Landfill Gás Project 26 32 80% 06/05/2008 Embralixo/Araúna - Bragança Landfill Gas Project (EABLGP) 15/10/2007 URBAM/ARAUNA - Landfill Gas Project (UALGP) 14/10/2007 Alto-Tietê landfill gas capture project 29/05/2008 Manaus Landfill Gas Project 18,0 Natal Landfill Gas Recovery Project Laguna Landfill Methane Flaring Marilia/Arauna Landfill Gas Project CGR Guatapará landfill Project Brazil NovaGerar landfill gas to energy project (NM5) 67 887 8% 18/11/2004 12,0 Landfill gas to energy project at Lara landfill, Mauá 303 1076 28% 15/05/2006 10,0 Brazil MARCA landfill gas to energy project 23/01/2006 11,0 Bandeirantes Landfill Gas to Energy Project (BLFGE). 2868 5113 56% 20/02/2006 22,0 São João Landfill Gas to Energy Project 528 914 58% 02/07/2006 20,0 Feira de Santana Landfill Gas Project 12/07/2008 (*) In 2012. Projeto de Gás de Aterro TECIPAR – PROGAT 6,5 (**) Defined as the CERs emitted due to the number of CERs expected in the sam e period.. (***) At end 2012. Table 26 – CDM Composting projects Installed kCERs Emission Date of Name of project State Status Type/Subtype Methodology ktCO2(*) kCERs Energy Expected(**) Success Registration (***) Biogás/ Lixo Zero Composting Project RJ Validation AM25 312 Composting Organoeste Dourados & Andradina MT e Biogás/ Validation AMS-III.F. 108 Composting Project SP Composting Organoeste Apucarana & Mandaguaçu Biogás/ PR Validation AMS 84 Composting Project Composting Organoeste Aracruz Composting Biogás/ ES Validation AMS 89 Project Composting Organoeste Contenda & Campo PR e Biogás/ Validation AMS 82 Grande Composting Project MS Composting VCP Jacareí Sludge Composting Biogás/ (*) In 2012. SP Validation AMS 75 Project Composting (**) Defined as the CERs emitted due to the number of CERs expected in the sam e period.. (***) At end 2012. 97 Synthesis Report | WASTE 98 Table 27 – CDM Liquid effluents projects Synthesis Report | WASTE Installed ktCO2 kCERs Emission Date of Name of project State Status Type/Subtype Methodology kCERs Energy (*) Expected(**) Success Registration (***) GHG emissions reductions from improved industrial wastewater MG Validation Biogás/Energy AMS-I.D.+ generation 34 treatment in Embaré AMS-III.H. Irani Wastewater Methane Avoidance SC Registered Agriculture/ Biogás AMS-III.I. 278 19/01/08 Project BRASCARBON Methane Recovery SC, SP Registered Agriculture/ Biogás AMS-III.D. 189 16/03/09 Project BCA-BRA-01 e MG Project JBS S/A – Slaughterhouse SP Validation Agriculture/ Biogás AMS-III.H. 128 Effluent Treatment – Andradina Unit Project JBS S/A – Slaughterhouse Wastewater Aerobic Treatment – RO Validation Agriculture/ Biogás AMS-III.I. 122 Vilhena Unit JBS S/A – Slaughterhouse Wastewater Aerobic Treatment – Barra do Garças MT Validation Agriculture/ Biogás AMS-III.I. 176 Unit Vinasse Anaerobic Treatment Project - PR Validation Agriculture/ Biogás ACM14 404 Cooperval Ltda Table 28 - CDM rural waste projects Type/sub- ktCO2 Name of project State Status Methodology type (*) Agriculture/ Perdigão Sustainable Swine Production 01 – Methane capture and combustion GO and RS Request review AMS-III.D. 230 Biogas Agriculture/ GHG capture/combustion from swine manure man. systems at Faxinal dos Guedes and Toledo PR Registered AM6 218 Biogas Agriculture/ Granja Becker GHG mitigation project (NM34) MG Registered AM16 43 Biogas flare Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-01, Minas Gerais Brazil MG Registered AM16 465 Biogas MG, GO and Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-03 Registered AM16 1426 MT Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-02, Minas Gerais / São Paulo MG and SP Registered AM16 1192 Biogas PR. SC and Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-04, Paraná, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul Registered AM16 717 RS Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-05, Minas Gerais and São Paulo MG and SP Registered AM16 572 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-07, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, and Goiás MS, MG Registered AM16 1112 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-09 GO and MG Registered AM16 383 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-06, Bahía BA Registered AM16 100 Biogas AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-10, Minas Gerais, Goias, Mato Grosso, and Mato Grosso MG, GO and Agriculture/ Registered AM16 654 do Sul MT Biogas PR, SC and Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-08, Paraná, Santa Catrina, and Rio Grande do Sul Registered AM16 110 RS Biogas MT, MS and Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-11, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais and São Paulo Registered AM16 463 SP Biogas AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-12, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais and MT, MS, MG Agriculture/ Registered AM16 475 São Paulo and SP Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-13, Goias, Minas Gerais GO and MG Registered AM16 838 Biogas ES, MG and Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-14, Espirito Santo, Minas Gerais, and São Paulo Registered AM16 356 SP Biogas AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-15, Paraná, Santa Catarina and PR, SC and Agriculture/ Registered AM16 305 Rio Grande do Sul RS Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-16, Bahia, Goiãs, Mato Grosso etc SP Registered AM16 593 Biogas flare Agriculture/ AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-17. Espirito Santo, Mato Grosso do Sul, and Minas Gerais ES and MT Registered AM16 271 Biogas ECOINVEST – MASTER Agropecuária – GHG capture and combustion from swine farms in Agriculture/ GO Registered AM6 426 Southern Brazil Biogas AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-24, Mato Grosso and Agriculture/ MS Registered AMS-III.D. 137 Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-23, Mato Grosso and Goias, Brazil MT and GO Registered AMS-III.D. 84 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-19, Goias, Brazil GO Registered AMS-III.D. 128 Biogas AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-18, Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina, PR, SC and Agriculture/ Registered AMS-III.D. 148 Brazil RS Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-21, Goias, Brazil GO Registered AMS-III.D. 115 Biogas 99 Synthesis Report | WASTE 100 Synthesis Report | WASTE Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-25, Minas Gerais, Brazil MG Registered AMS-III.D. 181 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-22, Minas Gerais, Brazil MG Registered AMS-III.D. 82 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-20, Minas Gerais, Brazil MG Registered AMS-III.D. 67 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-26, Minas Gerais, Brazil MG Registered AMS-III.D. 67 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-27, Goias, Brazil Goiás Registered AMS-III.D. 60 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-29, Sao Paulo, Brazil SP Registered AMS-III.D. 122 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-28, Santa Catarina, Brazil SC Registered AMS-III.D. 23 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-30, Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil MT and MS Registered AMS-III.D. 50 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-33, Minas Gerais and Sao Paulo MG and SP Registered AMS-III.D. 41 Biogas BA, ES, MG Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR07-S-34, Bahia, Espirito Santo, Minas Gerais, and Sao Paulo Registered AMS-III.D. 41 and SP Biogas AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR07-S-31, Mato Grosso do Sul, Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, and MT, PR, SC Agriculture/ Registered AMS-III.D. 75 Santa Catarina and RS Biogas Agriculture/ COTRIB� Swine Waste Management System Project RS Registered AMS-III.D. 61 Biogas PR, SC, RS, Agriculture/ Amazon Carbon Swine Waste Management System Project 02 Registered AMS-III.D. 84 GO and MT Biogas Type/sub- Name of project State Status Methodology ktCO2 type Agriculture/ GHG Capture and Combustion From Swine Manure System n.a. Validation AM6 322 Biogas SADIA OWNED FARMS - GHG capture and combustion from swine manure management PR, SC, RS Agriculture/ Validation AM6 438 systems in Brazil. and MG Biogas Agriculture/ Ecoinvest – Agroceres PIC – GHG capture and combustion from a swine farm in Southeast Brazil MG Validation AMS-III.D. 23 Biogas Agriculture/ AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-32, Minas Gerais and São Paulo, Brazil MG and SP Validation AMS-III.D. 63 Biogas Agriculture/ Project of treatment and swine’s’ manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 1 SC Validation AMS-III.D. 135 Biogas AMS- Agriculture/ Perdigão Sustainable Swine Production 02 – Methane capture and combustion GO and SC Validation I.D.+AMS- 233 Biogas flare III.D. Agriculture/ BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-03 MG Validation AMS-III.D. 184 Biogas flare Agriculture/ BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-08 SP and PR Validation AMS-III.D. 184 Biogas flare Agriculture/ BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-02 SP Validation AMS-III.D. 188 Biogas flare Agriculture/ BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-05 MS Validation AMS-III.D. 182 Biogas flare Agriculture/ BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-07 MT and MS Validation AMS-III.D. 183 Biogas flare Agriculture/ Project of treatment and swine’s manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 4 MG Validation AMS-III.D. 126 Biogas Agriculture/ Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon – Swine Culture Nº 2� SC Validation AMS-III.D. 117 Biogas Agriculture/ Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 3� SC Validation AMS-III.D. 146 Biogas Agriculture/ Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon – Swine Culture Nº 5 SC Validation AMS-III.D. 125 Biogas Agriculture/ Amazon Carbon Swine Waste Management System Project 03 MS Registered AMS-III.D. 58 Biogas Agriculture/ Mitigation of the environmental passive through the management of the swine manure and SC Validation Energy ACM10 598 renewable electricity generation generation Biogas/ Carroll’s Foods do Brasil & LOGICarbon – GHG Emission Reductions from Swine Manure MT Validation Energy ACM10 255 Management System, Diamantino, MT generation Biogas/ Batavo Cooperativa Agroindustrial: Greenhouse emission reductions on swine production by PR Validation Energy AMS-II.D. 45 means the installation of better waste management systems. (*) In 2012. generation (**)Defined as the CERs emitted due to the number of CERs expected in the same period. (***) At end 2012. 101 Synthesis Report | WASTE 102 Synthesis Report | WASTE kCERs Installed expected Emissions Date of energy Name of project kCERs (**) success Registration (***) Perdigão Sustainable Swine Production 01 – Methane capture and combustion GHG capture/combustion from swine manure man. systems at Faxinal dos Guedes and Toledo 30/01/06 Granja Becker GHG mitigation project (NM34) 3 11 29% 9/12/2005 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-01, Minas Gerais Brazil 54 172 31% 29/12/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-03 175 607 29% 16/10/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-02, Minas Gerais / São Paulo 124 482 26% 18/06/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-04, Paraná, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul 62 295 21% 9/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-05, Minas Gerais and São Paulo 81 245 33% 9/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-07, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, and Goiás 180 462 39% 25/05/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-09 23 119 19% 18/06/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-06, Bahía 2 15 15% 8/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-10, Minas Gerais, Goias, Mato Grosso, and Mato Grosso do Sul 48 248 19% 9/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-08, Paraná, Santa Catrina, and Rio Grande do Sul 10/9/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-11, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais and São Paulo 29 147 20% 9/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-12, Mato Grosso, Mato Grosso do Sul, Minas Gerais and São 57 76 75% 11/9/2006 Paulo AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-13, Goias, Minas Gerais 121 301 40% 09/0706 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-14, Espirito Santo, Minas Gerais, and São Paulo 35 97 36% 09/0706 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-15, Paraná, Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul 23 95 24% 9/7/2006 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-16, Bahia, Goiãs, Mato Grosso etc 59 205 29% 15/07/06 AWMS GHG Mitigation Project BR05-B-17. Espirito Santo, Mato Grosso do Sul, and Minas Gerais 30/09/06 ECOINVEST – MASTER Agropecuária – GHG capture and combustion from swine farms in Southern 29/09/06 Brazil AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-24, Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil 1/2/2008 kCERs Installed expected Emissions Date of energy Name of project kCERs (**) success Registration (***) AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-19, Goias, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-18, Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, and Santa Catarina, Brazil 5/6/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-21, Goias, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-25, Minas Gerais, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-22, Minas Gerais, Brazil 7/4/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-20, Minas Gerais, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-26, Minas Gerais, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-27, Goias, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-29, Sao Paulo, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-28, Santa Catarina, Brazil 1/2/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-30, Mato Grosso and Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil 17/03/08 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-33, Minas Gerais and Sao Paulo 10/4/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR07-S-34, Bahia, Espirito Santo, Minas Gerais, and Sao Paulo 10/4/2008 AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR07-S-31, Mato Grosso do Sul, Parana, Rio Grande do Sul, and 5/6/2008 Santa Catarina COTRIB� Swine Waste Management System Project 12/1/2009 Amazon Carbon Swine Waste Management System Project 02 10/3/2009 GHG Capture and Combustion From Swine Manure System SADIA OWNED FARMS - GHG capture and combustion from swine manure management systems in Brazil. Ecoinvest – Agroceres PIC – GHG capture and combustion from a swine farm in Southeast Brazil AWMS Methane Recovery Project BR06-S-32, Minas Gerais and São Paulo, Brazil Project of treatment and swine’s’ manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 1 Perdigão Sustainable Swine Production 02 – Methane capture and combustion BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-03 103 Synthesis Report | WASTE 104 Synthesis Report | WASTE kCERs Installed expected Emissions Date of energy Name of project kCERs (**) success Registration (***) BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-02 BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-05 BRASCARBON Methane Recovery Project BCA-BRA-07 Project of treatment and swine’s manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 4 Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon – Swine Culture Nº 2� Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon - Swineculture Nº 3� Project of treatment and pig manure utilization at Ecobio Carbon – Swine Culture Nº 5 Amazon Carbon Swine Waste Management System Project 03 10/3/2009 Mitigation of the environmental passive through the management of the swine manure and 1,0 renewable electricity generation Carroll’s Foods do Brasil & LOGICarbon – GHG Emission Reductions from Swine Manure Management 1,8 System, Diamantino, MT Batavo Cooperativa Agroindustrial: Greenhouse emission reductions on swine production by means (*) In 2012. the installation of better waste management systems. (**)Defined as the CERs emitted due to the number of CERs expected in the same period. (***) At end 2012. 7.2. Government programs, plans and actions in the waste sector Table 29 below summarizes the main current government programs, plans, and actions in the waste sector being undertaken in 2009. 7.3. Brazilian regulatory framework for the waste sector (in force in 2009) Table 29 - Government programs, plans and actions in the waste sector Reference Management Description The Basic Sanitation Pact is in keeping with the 105 general thrust of the PLANSAB (Programa Nacional Ministry of Cities– de Saneamento Básico / National Basic Sanitation Basic Sanitation Pact National Environmental Program) in terms of content, assumptions, main Sanitation Secretariat challenges, structural elements, themes and priority goals of this Plan. The Ministry of Cities opened a public bid (for pro- posals to be sent by 30 March 2009) for the elabora- tion of a study on the Outlook for Basic Sanitation in Brazil. This study should contain a diagnosis of the Ministry of Cities– Terms of Reference–Outlook sanitation situation in Brazil related to the four basic National Environmental for Basic Sanitation in Brazil components, and is intended to serve as a basis, Sanitation Secretariat together with the Basic Sanitation Pact, for formulat- ing the PLANSAB. The deadline for completion of the study is six months from the date of signature of the contract. The aim of this program is to increase the coverage and improve the quality of environmental sanitation services in urban areas, focused on water supply, sewerage, upgrading administrative capacities of service providers (working in the Program), health Ministry of Cities– and environmental education, capability building for Social Action in Sanitation National Environmental environmental entities and support for studies relat- Program (PASS-BID) Sanitation Secretariat ed to the development of policies for the sanitation sector. International financing resources are targeted at small and medium-sized municipalities in the north, northeast, centre-west regions, plus Espirito Santo and the north of the state of Minas Gerais - all of which have serious basic sanitation deficits. The Programa Saneamento para Todos aims to improve health and quality of life conditions of the population through actions targeted at reducing deficits in the basic sanitation sector in urban areas. The program provides funding for undertakings in the areas of water supply, sewerage, integrated sanitation, institutional development, rain water management, solid waste management, handling of construction and demolition rubble, conservation and recovery of water sources and, finally, studies Programa Saneamento para Ministry of Cities– and projects. The resources for contracting this work Synthesis Report | WASTE Todos (“Sanitation Program National Environmental originate with the FGTS, on the basis of Normative for All�) Sanitation Secretariat Directive 33 dated 1 August 2007, which provides the regulatory basis for the procedures and mea- sures relating to credit operations within the context of the Programa Saneamento para Todos/ Mutuários Privados e Mutuários Sociedades de Propósito Espe- cífico, formed by Resolution nº 476 of 31 May 2005, modified by Resolution nº 491 of 14 December 2005 -both under the aegis of the Supervisory Council (Conselho Curador) of the Length of Service Guaran- tee Fund (FGTS). Reference Management Description The PEAMSS embraces the principles, guidelines and action lines for guiding the interventions concerned with environmental education and social mobiliza- tion with regard to sanitation. The aim of the pro- Environmental Education Ministry of Cities– gram is to encourage liaisons among different stake- and Social Mobilization National Environmental holders including public authorities, institutions, In Sanitation Program Sanitation Secretariat the private sector, universities, and members of civil 106 (PEAMSS) society who will undertake activities targeted at developing sanitation-related environmental educa- tion in response to the federal government programs and investments. The PMSS program is designed to train technical staff, control water losses, improve the effectiveness of public sanitation service providers, and contribute to broadening coverage of water and sewage servic- es, as well as to undertake studies targeted at estab- lishing the National Sanitation Information System (SNIS). Funding, provided by the World Bank, the Federal Government, and Sanitation Service Provid- Modernization Program Ministry of Cities– ers, is targeted at municipalities, states, water and for the Sanitation Sector National Environmental sewage companies and regulatory agencies. In May (PMSS) Sanitation Secretariat 2003, a study called “Assessing the scale of invest- ment needs for universalizing water supply and sew- age collection/treatment in Brazil� was published and disseminated. The estimates were calculated on the basis of data for year 2000 and future projections have been made for 2010, 2015 and 2020. The de- mand for sanitation services together with estimates of associated costs were surveyed state-by-state and for the five large geographic regions of Brazil The aim of this program is to provide support for the installation and extension of water supply and Ministry of Cities– Urban Water and Sewage sewage collection/treatment systems in municipali- National Environmental Services Program ties with populations of over 50,000 inhabitants. Sanitation Secretariat Financing is provided within the General Budget of the Union (OGU). Synthesis Report | WASTE The PAT PROSANEAR aims to prepare and execute studies and projects in the environmental sanita- Technical assistance project Ministry of Cities– tion area and to focus on training and institutional for PROSANEAR (PAT PRO- National Environmental development, social strengthening, enforcement and SANEAR) Sanitation Secretariat evaluation in a quest for improving the living condi- tions in slums. Reference Management Description The PNCDA involves a partnership between stake- holders in the sanitation sector, NGOs, normative entities (ABNT, INMETRO, etc.), manufacturers of Ministry of Cities– materials and equipment, service providers in both National Anti-Water Waste National Environmental the public and private sectors, universities, research Program (PNCDA) Sanitation Secretariat centers, and other bodies at the federal level, with 107 the aim of undertaking water conservation measures and improving the energy supply efficiency of sanita- tion systems. This manual contains the guidance needed for the process of presentation, selection and analysis of proposals for interventions in slums, which is one of the priority investment projects (PPI) of the Federal Ministry of Cities– Government’s Growth Acceleration Program (PAC). Priority Investment Proj- National Environmental These interventions are targeted at undertaking the ects– PPI – for interventions Sanitation Secretariat/ activities needed for land and property ownership in slums National Housing Secre- regularization, improving safety, health and living tariat conditions of people living in substandard accommo- dation in unsuitable areas, with a view to improving conditions in situ or relocating people from such areas employing integrated housing, sanitation and social inclusion initiatives. The MSW Program provides support for undertaking studies and design plans, projects, and for install- ing, extending or improving services concerned with urban cleansing, collection, treatment and final Ministry of Cities– disposal of MSW. The program involves improv- National Environmental ing or establishing sanitary landfills, recycling and Sanitation Secretariat composting centers, providing equipment for waste MSW (RSU) Program together with other collection and handling, improving dumpsites, boost- ministries, BNDES and ing social insertion for waste scavengers, organizing FUNASA. trash worker cooperatives, and undertaking associ- ated social work, capacity building and institutional development in the sanitation field. Financing is provided within the General Budget of the Union (OGU). This project is targeted at 200 of the most densely populated municipalities in Brazil, housing over half of the country’s population and responsible for around 60 percent of all municipal solid waste. Synthesis Report | WASTE Project activities are focused on contributing to the Ministry of Cities– sustainable development of urban areas, employing CDM project for reducing National Environmental the CDM as a useful tool for undertaking economic, gas emissions generated in Sanitation Secretariat / social and environmental programs. The program solid waste disposal Environment Ministry/ also focuses on using biogas produced by landfills World Bank for power generation, eradication of garbage dumps, actions to bolster social inclusion and to free families from waste scavenging, providing environmental and social benefits to those involved in this occupation. Funding for this project was provided by the World Bank and the Japanese Government. Reference Management Description The purpose of this program is to undertake or improve infrastructural work in small, medium and large municipalities in terms of urban infrastruc- ture, water supply, sewage networks, drainage, “Pró-Municípios� program Ministry of Cities elaboration of urban development master plans, improving urban traffic conditions, producing or acquiring housing units, and upgrading slums. Fi- 108 nancing is provided within the General Budget of the Union (OGU). The National Environment Fund (FNMA) was estab- lished 19 years ago and is currently Brazil’s main source of financing for environmental purposes and an important partner for Brazilian society in the quest for quality of life and environmental im- provements. Supporting efforts by civil society and governmental entities and organizations targeted National Environment Fund Environment Ministry at recovering, conserving and preserving the en- (FNMA) vironment, the FNMA has become a reference for the transparent and democratic process involved in selecting projects. Its decentralized management procedures provides a trickle-down effect which has had a positive impact on the treatment of environ- mental problems throughout the country including those involving solid waste. The PRODES provides financial encouragement for installing new sewage treatment plants or extending existing ones. This program pays by results, remu- nerating service providers who dispose of and treat sewage according to the conditions set forth in the Payment for Treated Sewage That. Program to de-pollute River Environment Ministry/ Basins (PRODES) National Water Agency- “Brasil Joga Limpo� is a Federal Government-run ANA program aimed at implementing projects under the aegis of the national environmental policy accord- ing to the criteria and measures established by the National Environment Fund (FNMA). The program operates with funds provided by the OGU, allocated “Brasil Joga Limpo� Program Environment Ministry to municipalities and state and municipal concession holders in accordance with work stages executed and proven. The main objectives of the program are to elaborate the Integrated Management Plan for Solid Waste (installing sanitary landfills, treatment units, final disposal works and encouraging selective collection and dump site renewal). The principal aim of the PAC is to provide a boost to development, promote economic growth, job genera- tion and improve living conditions of the Brazilian Synthesis Report | WASTE population. The ‘sanitation’ theme forms part of the investments scheme of the PAC under the social and urban infrastructure rubric. The PAC-Sanitation Growth Acceleration Pro- Planning, Budget and segment is targeted at improving and broadening gram (PAC) Management Ministry access by the Brazilian population to basic sanitation services by introducing institutional type changes, improving management mechanisms and increasing infrastructure investments. The target of the PAC is to provide water supply to 7 million households, sewage to 7.3 million and improved solid waste col- lection for 8.9 million households. Reference Management Description The efforts of this ministry are directed towards economic feasibility studies related to developments concerned with the treatment of solid waste and to provide financial subsidies for forming cooperatives Organization and develop- Ministry of Labor and working in the solid waste environment. The aim is ment of solid waste coop- Employment also to encourage initiatives for building coopera- eratives tive ventures in the context of the production chains 109 related to solid waste and to liaise with other minis- tries with a view to avoiding overlapping activities and to ensure optimum use of resources. The goal of this research program is to support the undertaking of research on different technologies Ministry of Science and in the areas concerned with water supply, sewerage Basic Sanitation Research Technology /Studies and and solid waste which are easy to apply at low cost Program (PROSAB) Project Financing Organ in terms of installation, operation and maintenance (FINEP) and which can result in improved living conditions for the Brazilian population, especially the poorest members. This FUNASA program (using funds provided under National Health Founda- the PAC, prioritizes sanitation improvements for tion/Ministry of Cities/ municipalities with populations of up to 50,000 FUNASA/PAC National Integration and targets initiatives for improving water supply Ministry systems and solid waste and sewage collection and disposal for households. This program aims to support public or private investment projects aimed at the universalization of access to basic sanitation services and the recovery of environmentally degraded areas by encouraging integrated management of water resources and the Environmental sanitation National Social and adoption of river basins as basic planning units. In- and water resources proj- Economic Development vestments are directed to the following areas: water ects undertaken by BNDES Bank supply, sewage, industrial effluent and waste treat- ment, solid waste treatment, water resources ad- ministration, recovery of environmentally degraded areas and the de-pollution of water basins in areas where the appropriate committees have already been established. This is a set of projects covering planning and opera- tions by municipal agents in a number of different sectors with a view to contributing to solving struc- tural problems in urban centers. The projects to be National Social and financed by BNDES can also be targeted at specific Integrated Urban Multisec- Economic Development sectors such as transport or sanitation, providing Synthesis Report | WASTE toral Projects (PMI) Bank these fall within the broader plans of the municipal authorities. Among projects eligible for financing are those related to environmental sanitation (water supply, sewerage, solid waste treatment and urban drainage). Law 11.478 of 29.5.2007, published in the Official Gazette of 30.5.2007, established the FIP- IE, “Fundo de Investimento em Participações em Infra-Estrutu- ra “ (Infrastructure Investment Fund). 7.4 Brazilian regulatory framework for the waste sector (in force in 2009) Legal rulings Description Table 30 - Federal level legal rulings applicable to the waste sector 1988 Federal Constitution Federal Constitution of Brazil 110 Sets forth national guidelines for basic sanitation; modifies Laws 6.766 of 19 December 1979, 8.036, of 11 May 1990, 8.666 of 21 June 1993 and 8.987 of 13 February 1995; repeals Law Law 11.445 of 5.1.2007 6.528 of 11 May 1978; and makes other provisions. published in the Official Gazette Received vetoes. (DOU) of 8.1.2007 Decree Memorandum of 6.8.2007 provides regulatory framework for the law (still not issued). Bills and legal opinions required prior to final approval Establishes the National Solid Waste Policy and makes other Bill 1.991-2007 provisions. Explanation of reasons. Deals with general norms for contracting public consortia and Law 11.107 of 6.4.2005 makes other provisions. published in the Official Gazette Received vetoes. (DOU) of 18.1.2007 Decree 6.017 of 17.1.2007 regulates Law 11.107. Legal Opinions. Law 11.079 of 30.12.2004 Sets forth general public sector norms for bidding and published in the Official Gazette contracting PPPs. (DOU) of 31.12.2004 Received vetoes Law 10.257 of 10.07.2001 Cities Statute - regulates Articles 182 and 183 of the Federal Constitution and sets down general guidelines for urban policy, published in the Official Gazette and makes other provisions. (DOU) of 11.07.2001 Received vetoes Addresses creation of the National Waters Agency - ANA, Law 9.984 of 17.7.2000 a federal body designed to implement the National Water Resources Policy and coordinate the National System for Water published in the Official Gazette Resources Management, and introduces other measures. (DOU) of 18.7.2000 Received vetoes. Law 9.795 of 27.04.1999 Addresses question of environmental education, establishes Synthesis Report | WASTE the National Environmental Education Policy and provides for published in the Official Gazette other measures. (DOU) of 28.01.1999 Received vetoes Establishes the National Water Resources Policy, creates Law 9.433 of 8.1.1997 the National System for Water Resources Management and regulates Clause XIX of Article 21 of the Federal Constitution, published in the Official Gazette and modifies Article 1º of Law 8.001 of 13 March 1990, which (DOU) of 9.1.1997 updated Law 7.990 of 28 December 1989. With vetoes Legal rulings Description Law 9.074 of 7.7.1995 Establishing norms for awarding and extending concessions and permits for delivering public services, and a series of other published in the Official Gazette measures. (DOU) of 8.7.1995 – Extra Ed. Received vetoes. republished on 28.9.1998 Text compiled. 111 Law 8.987 of 13.2.1995 Deals with the regime for awarding concessions and permits for public services delivery foreshadowed under Article 175 of published in the Official Gazette the Federal Constitution, and a series of other measures. (DOU) of 14.2.1995 and republished Received vetoes. in the DOU of 28.9.98 Text compiled. Law 8.666 of 21.6.1993 Regulates Article 37, Clause XXI, of the Federal Constitution, published in the Official Gazette sets forth norms for public administration bidding and (DOU) of 22.6.1993 contracts and a series of other measures. Received vetoes. and republished in the DOU of Text compiled. 6.7.1994 Law of the SUS, covering conditions for health promotion, Law 8.080 of 19.9.1990 protection and recovery, as ell as the organization and published in the Official Gazette functioning of relevant services, and establishes a series of (DOU) of 20.9.1990 other measures Received vetoes. Law 8.078 of 11.9.1990 Consumer Protection Code and other measures. With vetoes. published in the Official Gazette Text compiled . (DOU) of 12.9.1990 - Extra Ed. Decree 5.903 of 20.9.2006 regulates the Law Law 7.797 of 10.7.1989 Establishes the National Environmental Fund and published in the Official Gazette recommends a series of other measures. (DOU) of 11.7.1989 Deals with the National Environment Policy: its aims and Law 6.938 of 31.8.1981 application/formulation mechanisms, and introduces a series of other measures. Synthesis Report | WASTE published in the Official Gazette Text compiled . 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