The World Bank Report No: ISR10763 Implementation Status & Results Mexico MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: MX Urban Transport Transformation Progr (P107159) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 6 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 30-Jun-2013 Country: Mexico Approval FY: 2010 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 25-Mar-2010 Original Closing Date 30-Jun-2017 Planned Mid Term Review Date Last Archived ISR Date 28-Oct-2012 Effectiveness Date 15-Dec-2010 Revised Closing Date 30-Jun-2017 Actual Mid Term Review Date Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The objective of the Project is to contribute to the transformation of urban transport in Mexican cities toward a lower carbon growth path. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Capacity Building: Provision of TA and training to the Eligible Beneficiaries in the Participating Entities 10.00 Development of Integrated Transit Systems that reduce CO2 emissions: (i) Mass transit corridors and 340.00 ancillary investments; (ii) Low Project Management 0.00 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Public Disclosure Copy Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Unsatisfactory Overall Risk Rating Substantial Implementation Status Overview 1. The implementation status assessment of this project has to look two sides, the Bank-finance side, and the side financed by the counterpart. UTTP blends resources from the Clean Technology Fund (CTF), the World Bank, the Mexico Federal Support Program for MassTransit (PROTRAM), sub national governments, and the private sector. The Bank financed side accounts for a 13 percent of the total project amount. It finances two out of the three components, namely, capacity building, and development of Integrated Transit System that reduce CO2 emissions. The counterpart side finances the three components, which includes a project management component for subprojects. Both PROTRAM and Bank resources leverage resources from sub national governments and private sector resources. Page 1 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR10763 2. The counterpart side of the UTTP keeps a good performance. PROTRAM has a portfolio of 31 projects, out of which 18 are in pipeline and 13 have been approved. The pipeline includes 16 projects in preparation stage, a request request for a guarantee for a BRT project in identification, and a suburban rail project in prefeasibility stage. In addition, there are 13 projects approved. Among them there are two projects in operation (BRT projects in Puebla and Chimalhuacan), one guarantee and one project consisting in studies to Public Disclosure Copy improve urban transport in a city. The total portfolio with PROTRAM approved support accounts for 2.26 billion dollars of which PROTRAM will grant 897 million dollars and guarantee of 8.8 million dollars. All the portfolio is complying with World Bank safeguards. 3. On the Bank side, the infrastructure works for the Ecovia corridor in Monterrey are expected to successfully conclude in July 2013; the Bank has disbursed 97% of the approved loan. According to the Interim Financial Report (IFR) corresponding to the first quarter of 2013, the World Bank has disbursed 27.09 million USD out of which 15.44 million come from the CTF (TF-096291) and 11.65 million come from the IBRD loan (7883-MX). 4. On the Bank side performance prospects, we should raise three main issues regarding its promising pipeline. First, the team held a workshop in February with the counterpart aiming to identify problems with the implementation of the Bank side of the project; as a result, it seems to be an improvement in UTTP promotion and more cities have expressed interest in Bank’s funds. Second, an amendment to the project legal agreement was signed to allow the finances of the buses acquired by the private sector. Third, during the supervision mission in April, the team visited Mexico City, Oaxaca, Guadalajara and Monterrey and also meet with representatives of Puebla. The purpose of the mission was not only to supervise ongoing projects, but also to identify new ones. In this regard, the Bank identified possible subprojects requiring funding both for rolling stock and infrastructure. 5. The UTTP is therefore achieving its outcome indicators as expected. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Mexico Tamaulipas Tampico ✔ Mexico Mexico Santa Maria Chimalhuacan ✔ Mexico Mexico Santa Cruz Tecamac ✔ Mexico Puebla Puebla de Zaragoza ✔ Mexico The Federal District Mexico City ✔ Mexico Guerrero Acapulco de Juarez ✔ Mexico Mexico San Antonio Buenavista ✔ Public Disclosure Copy Mexico Baja California Tijuana ✔ Mexico Nuevo Leon Monterrey ✔ Mexico Baja California Mexicali ✔ Mexico Guanajuato Leon ✔ Mexico Chihuahua Chihuahua ✔ Mexico Aguascalientes Aguascalientes ✔ Page 2 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR10763 Results Project Development Objective Indicators Public Disclosure Copy Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Avoided CO2 emissions Number Value 0.00 1.96 Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Sep-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Implementation of sub- Value in million tons of CO2 projects is advancing. The task team developed a methodology to assess baseline and reductions of GHG based on data used in feasibility studies. The methodology was given to Banobras. Measurements of actual reductions will be made once projects become fully operationals. Integrated Mass Transit Corridors in operation Number Value 0.00 0.00 18.00 and daily ridership Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Sep-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments 0 both for the Corridors and Nine integrated mass transit 18 for the Corridors and 4 the passengers corridors are under million for the passengers construction. In 2013 6 will become operational, including the Ecovia in Monterrey. By 2013 the M&E framework says 6 projects should be operational. Investment leverage Amount(USD) Value 0.00 1650.00 2344.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments The 9 projects under Value in millions Public Disclosure Copy implementation have a cost of 1.65 billion dollars of which PROTRAM will finance 460 million, and local and private sector sources will finance the rest. According to the M&E indicators for the UTTP, between 2010 and 2012 the project should have leveraged 910 million dollars in counterpart financing. Hence Page 3 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR10763 the indicator is well exceeded thanks to the 9 projects under implementation. One of these projects is the Ecovia in Public Disclosure Copy Monterrey. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Integration of climate change mitigation in Number Value 0.00 9.00 8.00 Integrated Transport Plans Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Per PROTRAM guidelines, all projects it finances must have climate change considerations. Saved travel time Minutes Value 0.00 9.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Not applicable until subprojects begin to operate. % of users formerly private vehicle users Percentage Value 0.00 0.00 10.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Not applicable until subprojects begin to operate. Operating bus scrapping programs Number Value 0.00 2.00 5.00 Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Scrapping of old buses takes place routinely as most Mexican states have regulation for maximum useful life. As project is implemented, a number of Public Disclosure Copy buses is scrapped in the state. Monterrey and Puebla are examples. Deployment of low carbon vehicle technologies Number Value 0.00 2.00 5.00 by the private sector Date 25-Feb-2010 12-Oct-2012 30-Jun-2017 Comments Guadalajara and Mexico DF have deployed hybrid buses. Monterrey will deploy soon clean buses. Page 4 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR10763 Data on Financial Performance (as of 02-May-2013) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date Public Disclosure Copy P107159 IBRD-78830 Effective 25-Mar-2010 21-Jul-2010 15-Dec-2010 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 P107159 TF-96291 Effective 25-Mar-2010 21-Jul-2010 15-Dec-2010 30-Jun-2017 30-Jun-2017 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P107159 IBRD-78830 Effective USD 150.00 150.00 0.00 11.65 138.35 8.00 P107159 TF-96291 Effective USD 200.00 200.00 0.00 15.45 184.55 8.00 Disbursement Graph Public Disclosure Copy Key Decisions Regarding Implementation No key decision taken. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 22-Aug-2012, Level two Approved on 03-May-2013 Related Projects P106305-Mexico: Low carbon bus corridor project Page 5 of 5