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Page  3
ACTED 
 
Agency of Technical Cooperation and 
Development Aid (French) 
(
)
AKF 
Agha Khan Foundation 
BP 
Bank Procedures 
CAS 
Country Assistance Strategy 
CAWMP 
 
Community Agriculture and  Watershed 
Management Project 
CIDA 
 
Canadian International Development 
Agency 
CSF 
Collective and State Farm  
.
DFID 
 
Department for International Development 
(British) 
(
)
EA 
Environmental Assessment 
EMF 
Environmental Management Framework 
FAO 
Food and Agriculture Organization 
FIAS 
Farm Information and Advisory Service 
FPSP 
Farm Privatization Support Project 
FPPO 
Farm Privatization Policy Office 
FTC 
Farmer Training Center 
GAA 
German Agro Action 
GDP 
Gross Domestic Product 
GEF 
Global Environment Facility 
GP 
Good Practice 
GRT 
Government of the Republic of Tajikistan 
Ha /
Hectare /
IDA 
International Development Association 
IFAD 
International Fund for Food and Agriculture 
IPM 
Integrated Pest Management 
IRR 
Internal rate of return 
.
MCI 
Mercy Corps International 
MOA 
Ministry of Agriculture 
MIWR 
Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources 
MSDSP 
 
Mountain Societies Development Support 
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NBFO 
Non Bank Finance Organization 
NPV 
Net Present Value 
OP 
Operational Policy 
PMP 
Pest Management Plan 
.
PMU 
Project Management Unit  
PRSP 
Poverty Reduction Support Program 
RIRP 
 
Rural Infrastructure and Rehabilitation 
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RLRO 
Regional Land Registry Office 
SLC 
State Land Committee 
SCNP 
State Committee for Nature Protection 
SIDA 
Swedish International Development Agency 
SLSC 
State Level Steering Committee 
TOR 
Terms of reference 
UNDP 
United Nations Development Program 
UPN 
Universal Parcel Number 
USAID 
 
United States Agency for International 
Development 
UTM 
Universal Transverse Mercator 
WUA 
Water User Association 
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E-mail: <r_center@Tajnet.com>; <FPSP@Tajnet.com> 
(
IDA FYs/US$M):
 
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2004 
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19
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23
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1990 
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2003 
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110 
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27
2:
 
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.
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P058898 20 
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2000
 
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2002 
.
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P057883 17 
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18 
2002 
.
,
P040544 14.7 
IBRD/IDA 
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1997 
.
,
P005902 24.7 
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1997 
.
,
P055021 30 
IBRD/IDA 
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2001
 
.
,
P049719 9.42 
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Page  73
65
0.35 0.35 0.30  0.35 
50% 55%  60%  55% 
:
-PEP SME
 
2003 
.
,
,
.
,
45% 
.
,
,
.
.
5% 
2003 
.
(
6) 
,
,
.
6%.
 
,
.
(
10% 
50% 
)
–
35% 
.
(
,
,
)
25%, 
10%. (
5% 
10% 
). 
(
)
,
.
6. 
(
)
2003 
(
.
/
)
286  390 292 334 
(
.
/
)
582  578 516 534 
(
.
/
)
354  391 375 350 
600  605 553 565 
Page  74
66
(
.
/
)
%
,
(
.
/
)
3% 5% 7% 6% 
:
-PEP SME
 
2003 
,
3% 
,
.
.
,
.
,
,
.
,
(
)
15% 
,
.
,
,
.
,
,
.
,
35% (
), 
(25%) 
,
.
10%.
 
7. 
EIRR 26% 
FIRR 21% 
NPV
 (
)
@
12%
 2,330,290
NPV
 (
)
@
12%
 1,402,010
/
(
)
1.40 
/
(
)
1.21 
 
,
.
,
.
,
3
.
,
“
”
,
(
,
)
.
,
,
.
Page  75
67
1% 
,
.
,
3%. 
,
.
.
15% 
,
.
.
,
.
,
,
,
3% 
.
8
,
.
8. 
(
)
/
:
10,642 
9,186 
1,456 
 
  
  
  
 
8,084 6,657 
-1,427 
-1,427
1,427
2,513 
2,513   
  
  
  
  
 
46 
17 
-29 
  
-29 
  
29 
:
-7,623 
-7,623  
  
  
  
  
 
:
3,019 1,563 
-1,456 
-1,427
-29 1,427
29 
/
1.40 
1.21 
  
  
  
  
  
,
,
.
.
,
,
,
.
.
25% 
,
.
9: 
NPV EIRR 
FIRR 
B/C 
$2,330,290 26% 
21%  1.40 
1. 
(
1
)
$1,862,693 20% 
14%  1.39 
2. 
(
2
)
$830,002 15%  11% 1.39 
3. 
$2,065,246 25% 
16%  1.27 
Page  76
68
(
15%)
 
4. 
(
25%)
 $1,326,585 
20% 
12% 
1.17 
5. 
10%
 $2,010,925  25% 
17% 
1.29 
6. 
15%
 $2,029,769  23% 
14% 
1.23 
.
.
,
,
,
.
,
,
.
–
,
,
,
,
.
.
.
.
.
,
,
,
,
.
,
,
.
Page  77
69
10: 
.
(
)
.
.
,
,
.
.
,
,
.
,
,
,
,
.
.
,
,
.
.
,
,
,
.
.
.
.
-
1
,
.
,
-
1.  
.
.
:
·
.
,
,
.
,
Page  78
70
,
“
”, 
.
:
(
)
,
(
)
-
,
,
.
·
.
.
,
,
.
(
,
)
,
.
,
,
,
.
.
.
·
:
.
-
1
.
-
1
,
.
·
.
,
,
,
,
,
.
,
,
.
.
.
,
.
-
.
-
.
.
,
/
,
-
.
Page  79
71
.
,
-
,
,
.
.
-
,
.
,
(
,
,
,
)
,
-
(
-
1), 
.
.
2004 
,
,
,
,
,
.
Page  80
72
11: 
29 
2004 
CD  
10 
2004 
QAG
 
-1  
9
2004 
,
21 
2004 
PID
 
PIC 22 
2004 
ISDS
 
PIC 
22
2004 
26 
2004 
1
2004 
/
RVP 
14 
2004 
31 
2005 
15 
2008 
30 
2010 
:
,
:
.
.
ECSSD 
,
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
.
ECSSD 
ECSSD 
ECSPS 
ECSPS 
LEGCF 
LOAG1 
ECSSD 
(
)
ECSSD 
(
)
ECSSD 
(
)
LCSER 
(
)
.
ARD 
(
)
Page  81
73
,
,
(
)
:
:
:
$
60000
 
:
1. 
:
:
2. 
:
Page  82
74
12: 
·
,
ECSSD
,
,
19 
1999 
·
,
ECSSD, 
,
25
2000 
·
,
ECSSD
,
,
2004 
·
,
2
2003 
·
,
31 
2002 
·
,
7
2004 
·
,
,
2003 
·
,
2004
·
10 
2004 
,
ECSSD 
·
:
·
,
ECSSD
,
3
2004 
·
,
17 
2004 
,
ECSHD 
·
,
,
,
·
:
,
,
2004 
·
:
.
6
2004 
·
:
,
2004 
·
,
,
2004 
·
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,
2004
 
·
,
,
2004 
·
,
,
200
4
·
UNIFEM
 “
”
,
2002 
Page  83
75
·
:
,
,
2003 
–
2004 
·
:
“
:
.”  
,
,
2003 
·
(
), 
,
,
2004 
.
FAO
:
“
”
(
,
2004 
)
Page  84
76
13: 
 
 
.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ID 
IBRD IDA 
SF 
GEF Cancel. 
. 
Orig. 
Frm. Rev’d 
P077454 2004 
0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.73 
0.00 
0.00 
P081159 2004 
(GEF) 
0.00 0.00 0.00 4.50 0.00 4.50 
0.00 
0.00 
P069055 2003 
.
0.00 
13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.71 
0.00 
0.00 
P075256 2002 
.
.
.
0.00 
10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.14 
-4.46 
0.00 
P008860 2002 
  
 2 
 
0.00 13.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.22 
2.10 
0.00 
P057883 2002 
 
0.00 
17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.42 
6.00 
0.00 
P049894 2000 
. 
. 
0.00 5.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.01 
0.99  -0.26 
P067610 2000 
 
 
 
0.00 0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37 
0.27 
0.09 
P058898 2000 
.
.
.
0.00 
20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.13 
5.25  -2.21 
P059755 
1999 
IBTA 
2 
0.00 6.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 
0.42  -0.41 
P049718 1999 
 
 
0.00 
20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.45 
-0.09 
0.34 
 
:
0.00 
 111.37 
   0.00 
   4.50 
   0.00 
 90.32 
  9.68 
- 2.45 
’
s
«
»( 
Portfolio) 
.
 
 
. 
Quasi Partic. 
Quasi Partic. 
2003 
0.00 
3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 
2002 
 
4.50 
3.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.50 0.00 0.00 
2002 
SEF 
FOM 
0.50 
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 
2000 SEF
 
0.08 
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 
2002 SEF
 
 
0.25 
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 
 
 
 
:
5.33 
  6.50 
   0.00 
   0.00 
   0.33 
   6.50 
   0.00 
   0.00 
, 
 
. 
 
.
. 
 
.
 
 
:
0.00 
   0.00 
   0.00 
   0.00 
Page  85
77
14: 
Europe &
POVERTY and SOCIAL
Central
Low-
Tajikistan
Asia
income
2001
Population, mid-year 
(millions)
6.2
475
2,511
GNI per capita 
(Atlas method, US$)
180
1,960
430
GNI 
(Atlas method, US$ billions)
1.1
930
1,069
Average annual growth, 1995-01
Population 
(%)
1.1
0.1
1.9
Labor force 
(%)
2.8
0.6
2.3
Most recent estimate (latest year available, 1995-01)
Poverty 
(% of population below national poverty line)
83
..
..
Urban population 
(% of total population)
28
63
31
Life expectancy at birth 
(
years)
69
69
59
Infant mortality 
(
per 1,000 live births)
37
20
76
Child malnutrition 
(
%
of children under 5)
..
..
..
A
ccess to an improved water source 
(% of population)
5
1
9
0
7
6
Illiteracy 
(% of population age 15+)
1
3
37
G
ross primary enrollment  
(% of school-age population)
9
5
1
02
9
6
Male
97
103
103
Female
94
101
88
KEY ECONOMIC RATIOS and LONG-TERM TRENDS
1981
1991
2000
2001
GDP 
(US$ billions)
..
4.5
0.99
1.1
Gross domestic investment/GDP
..
19.1
14.0
..
Exports of goods and services/GDP
..
33.2
79.9
61.7
Gross domestic savings/GDP
..
20.1
9.8
..
G
ross national savings/GDP
.
.
.
.
7
.6
.
.
C
urrent account balance/GDP
.
.
.
.
-
6.4
-
6.8
Interest payments/GDP
..
..
1.2
3.2
T
otal debt/GDP
.
.
.
.
9
2.0
8
2.9
Total debt service/exports
..
..
6.7
14.4
Present value of debt/GDP
..
..
68.6
71.3
Present value of debt/exports
..
..
85.8
115.5
1981-91
1991-01
2000
2001
2001-05
(average annual growth)
GDP
0.6
-7.2
8.3
10.2
..
GDP per capita
-2.3
-8.4
8.1
9.2
..
E
t
f
d
d
i
3
3
17.0
17.7
STRUCTURE of the ECONOMY
1981
1991
2000
2001
(% of GDP)
Agriculture
..
37.9
19.4
24.4
Industry
..
37.5
25.7
23.6
Manufacturing
..
26.5
22.6
20.7
Services
..
24.6
54.9
52.1
Private consumption
..
70.8
82.0
..
General government consumption
..
9.1
8.2
8.8
Imports of goods and services
..
32.2
84.2
73.8
1981-91
1991-01
2000
2001
(average annual growth)
Agriculture
-3.7
-4.6
12.4
..
Industry
3.8
-14.3
13.5
1.4
Manufacturing
4.6
-11.9
10.2
..
Services
2.1
3.5
5.1
4.7
Private consumption
2.3
-3.5
20.6
..
General government consumption
3.0
-14.1
-10.6
18.8
Gross domestic investment
-10.7
-16.6
-15.3
..
Imports of goods and services
..
0.6
20.3
-6.5
*
The diamonds show four key indicators in the country (in bold) compared with its income-group average. If data are missing, the diamond will be incomplete.
-40
-20
0
20
40
96
97
98
99
00
01
GDI
GDP
Growth of investment and GDP (%)
T
ajikistan
L
ow-income group
Development diamond*
Life expectancy
A
ccess to improved water source
GNI
p
er
capita
Gross
primary
enrollment
-25
0
25
50
96
97
98
99
00
01
Exports
Imports
Growth of exports and imports (%)
Tajikistan
Low-income group
Economic ratios*
Trade
Domestic
savings
I
nvestment
Indebtedness
Page  86
78
Tajikistan
P
RICES and GOVERNMENT FINANCE
1
981
1
991
2
000
2
001
D
omestic prices
(% change)
Consumer prices
..
203.6
60.6
12.5
Implicit GDP deflator
..
99.7
24.0
26.2
Government finance
(% of GDP, includes current grants)
Current revenue
..
..
13.6
15.2
Current budget balance
..
..
2.1
2.9
O
verall surplus/deficit
.
.
.
.
-
0.6
-
0.1
TRADE
1981
1991
2000
2001
(US$ millions)
Total exports (fob)
..
..
788
652
A
luminum
.
.
.
.
4
24
3
98
C
otton Fiber
.
.
.
.
9
2
7
2
Manufactures
..
..
49
..
Total imports (cif)
..
..
834
773
Food
..
..
68
..
Fuel and energy
..
..
302
198
Capital goods
..
..
53
..
Export price index 
(1995=100)
..
..
79
71
Import price index 
(
1995=100)
..
..
98
98
T
erms of trade 
(
1995=100)
.
.
.
.
8
0
7
3
BALANCE of PAYMENTS
1
981
1
991
2
000
2
001
(
US$ millions)
Exports of goods and services
..
..
792
652
Imports of goods and services
..
..
834
780
Resource balance
..
..
-42
-128
Net income
..
..
-58
-28
Net current transfers
..
..
37
84
Current account balance
..
..
-63
-72
F
inancing items (net)
.
.
.
.
9
2
8
0
C
hanges in net reserves
.
.
.
.
-
29
-
8
Memo:
Reserves including gold 
(US$ millions)
..
0
87
96
Conversion rate 
(DEC, local/US$)
..
3.04E-5
1.8
2.4
EXTERNAL DEBT and RESOURCE FLOWS
1981
1991
2000
2001
(US$ millions)
Total debt outstanding and disbursed
..
..
911
876
IBRD
..
..
0
0
IDA
..
..
143
172
Total debt service
..
..
53
94
IBRD
..
..
0
0
IDA
..
..
1
1
Composition of net resource flows
Official grants
..
..
33
81
Official creditors
..
..
11
30
Private creditors
..
..
-11
-31
Foreign direct investment
..
..
24
9
Portfolio equity
..
..
0
0
World Bank program
Commitments
..
..
26
53
Disbursements
..
..
23
35
Principal repayments
..
..
0
0
Net flows
..
..
23
35
Interest payments
..
..
1
1
Net transfers
..
..
22
34
Development Economics
9/16/02
-15
-10
-5
0
95
96
97
98
99
00
01
C
urrent account balance to GDP (%)
0
250
500
7
50
1,000
95969798990001
Exports
Imports
Export and import levels (US$ mill.)
0
500
1,000
1
,500
2
,000
2
,500
96
97
98
99
00
01
GDP deflator
CPI
Inflation (%)
G: 63
D: 58
C: 110
B: 172
F: 60
E: 413
Composition of 2001 debt (US$ mill.)
A
-
IBRD
B
-
IDA    
C
-
IMF
D
-
Other multilateral
E
-
Bilateral
F
-
Private
G
-
Short-term
Page  87
79