The World Bank Report No: ISR12237 Implementation Status & Results Mexico Support to Oportunidades Project (P115067) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: Support to Oportunidades Project (P115067) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 9 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 10-Nov-2013 Country: Mexico Approval FY: 2009 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: LATIN AMERICA AND CARIBBEAN Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 09-Apr-2009 Original Closing Date 31-Dec-2010 Planned Mid Term Review Date Last Archived ISR Date 13-Apr-2013 Effectiveness Date 01-Sep-2009 Revised Closing Date 31-Dec-2013 Actual Mid Term Review Date Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The proposed project would support Mexico's conditional cash transfer (CCT) program, Oportunidades, which serves slightly more than 5 million poor families. About 70 percent of these families are in rural areas, 16 percent live in semi-urban areas, with the remaining 14 percent in urban areas. The principal Project Development Objectives are: -Increase capacities in health, nutrition and education of poor families through human capital investment by promoting regular health check-ups, improving health status, and raising school enrollment and attendance rates. -Build sustainable connections between Oportunidades and other social lprograms of the Government of Mexico in order to improve health and educaiton outcomes for Program participants. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Support to the Continuation of the Oportunidades Program 1498.50 Technical Assistance to Oportunidades 1.50 Overall Ratings Public Disclosure Copy Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Low Implementation Status Overview The Additional Financing in the amount of US$ 1.250 billion for the Support to Oportunidades Project is now being implemented. As of June 2013, 5,554,461 families were participating in the Program. The National Coordination developed a proposal to redesign some aspects of the Program. The redesign emphasized the following areas:(a) implementation of an improved nutrition strategy; (b) promotion of linkages between the Program and possible productive and employment-related activities, in particular labor Page 1 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR12237 intermediation and related employment services for secondary school graduates;(c) a unification of the Nutrition Assistance Program and Oportunidades; (d) measures to support the achievement of better results in secondary education completion rates, including a change in the structure of educational transfers for that level and the possibility of recognizing additional secondary school modalities for the purposes of the transfer; and (e) a renewed emphasis on strategies to improve coordination with the health and education sectors, as well as other sectors which are likely to gain more importance in the re-design (National Employment Services, for example). The Program is also going to pilot an early child Public Disclosure Copy development initiative. The Project is expected to disburse the funds remaining before the closing date of December 31, 2013. Locations No Location data has been entered Results Project Development Objective Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target % of families complying with health conditions Text Value 98.0% (2007) Children <5 96.19 Original: Children <5: 99.1% (with breakdowns for pregnant women and 98.9% (2006) Pregnant Pregnant women: 99.0% children , 5 and for indigenous and non- women: 98.99% (2006) AF revised target: 96% indigenous) Date 30-Dec-2007 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments AF: Include only families. Refers to families. Slight AF: Include only families. Detailed breakdown no longer decline is probably related to Detailed breakdown no longer available the larger share of urban available population in Program, where generally there are more problems with compliance. % of children complying with education Text Value Primary: 98 % (2005) 97.64% (primary) Primary: 98.0% Secondary: conditions by age. Secondary: 94.3% (2005) 97.17% (secondary) 98.4% Media Superior: Media Superior: 95.6% (2005) 91.84% (media superior) 98.46% Date 30-Dec-2005 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments Reason for drop in education As revised in AF. compliance rates for upper secondary will be discussed with counterparts, but Public Disclosure Copy suggests importance of expanding the set of secondary education modalities which are recognized by the Program for the education transfer. % of students who transition from primary to Text Value 82.3% (2006) 89.00% 85.7% lower secondary school. Date 30-Dec-2006 31-Dec-2012 31-Dec-2013 Comments As revised in AF. Page 2 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR12237 % of students who transition from lower to Text Value 55.82% (2006) 65.91% 57.2% upper secondary school. Date 30-Dec-2006 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments As revised in AF. Public Disclosure Copy Number (and %) of Oportunidades schools Text Value 24,955 (2006) 23% (2006) 33.026 (28.17%) 40,000 (22%) participating in the Programa Escuelas de (2011-2012 school year) Calidad (PEC). Date 30-Dec-2006 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments As revised in AF. Number (and %) of Oportunidades Text Value 36,941 (15.4 %) 62,245 (19.37%) 90,000 (20%) beneficiaries with PRONABES scholarships. Date 30-Dec-2007 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments 2011-2012 year As revised in AF. Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Number of municipalities, localities, families Text Value 2,445 municipalities 95,819 2,450 municipalities Maintain at least at current and children in Oportunidades. localities 5,049,206 families 104,140 localities level 7,222,855 children (age 0-19 5,554,461 families years) 11,602,278 children Date 30-Dec-2008 28-Jun-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments No of exits of participants by type of exit. Text Value 45,011 exiting families 23,266 n/a exiting temporarily 21,745 exiting permanently Date 30-Dec-2008 30-Jul-2010 30-Dec-2010 Comments AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. Implementation of PEI-CONAFE pilot with Text Value Pilot started. Proportion of Impact evaluation survey for indigenous and non-indigenous families. Oportunidades beneficiaries data collection regarding participatingin PEI-CONAFE nutritional & development identified. indicators from the children and their mothers interviewed Public Disclosure Copy in the baseline survey; Summer 2011; Analysis of the impact evaluation survey data. End of the pilot study. Date 30-Dec-2008 31-Dec-2012 31-Dec-2013 Comments Page 3 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR12237 Implement madrinas Pilot. Text Value 2 municipalities in Guerrero n/a 438 pregnant women Date 30-Dec-2008 30-Jun-2011 30-Dec-2010 Public Disclosure Copy Comments AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. Implement AGE with Telesecundaria Pilot. Text Value Pilot started. Analysis of the 2nd follow up survey data (effects estimation). End of the pilot study. Date 30-Dec-2008 31-Dec-2012 31-Dec-2013 Comments Increase number of beneficiaries with Seguro Text Value Identify proportion of n/a Popular. Oportunidades beneficiaries enrolled in Seguro Popular. Date 30-Dec-2008 30-Jun-2011 30-Dec-2010 Comments AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. AF: Dropped indicator. Data on Financial Performance (as of 24-Jun-2013) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P115067 IBRD-77080 Closed 09-Apr-2009 25-Apr-2009 01-Sep-2009 31-Dec-2010 31-Dec-2010 P115067 IBRD-79680 Effective 09-Nov-2010 02-Dec-2010 21-Dec-2010 31-Dec-2013 31-Dec-2013 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P115067 IBRD-77080 Closed USD 1,503.76 1,503.76 0.00 1,503.76 0.00 100.00 P115067 IBRD-79680 Effective USD 1,250.00 1,250.00 0.00 963.37 286.63 77.00 Public Disclosure Copy Disbursement Graph Page 4 of 5 The World Bank Report No: ISR12237 Public Disclosure Copy Key Decisions Regarding Implementation None. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 13-Jul-2010, Level two Approved on 22-Nov-2011, Level two Approved on 08-Oct-2012 Related Projects P122349-Additional Financing for the Support to Oportunidades Public Disclosure Copy Page 5 of 5