Report No. 44350-CV Cape Verde Enhancing Planning and Control to Increase Efficiency of Public Spending Public Expenditure Review (In Two Volumes) Volume I: Synthesis February 2009 PREM 4 Africa Region Document of the World Bank Currency Equivalent Exchange Rate Effective as of February 2009 Currency Unity = Escudo (CVE) US$1.00 = CVE 86.4 Fiscal Year January 1––December 31 ACRONYMS ADP Water Company of Portugal AGECABO Agency for Promotion of Employment and Local Development ANMCV National Association of Cape Verdean Municipalities AP Public Administration APR Annual Progress Report ARE Economic Regulatory Agency ARM Multisectoral Regulatory Agency ASA Empresa Nacional de Aeroportos e Segurança Aérea (parastatal that manages airports) BCA Atlantic Commercial Bank BCN Business Bank of Cape Verde BCV Bank of Cape Verde BIA Inter-Atlantic Bank BT Treasury Bill CFAA Country Financial Accountability Assessment CME Machinery and Equipment Center CPAR Country Procurement Assessment Review COFOG Classification of the Functions of Government of the United Nations CPI Consumer Price Index CVE Cape Verde Escudos DGCI General Directorate for Income Tax DGCP General Directorate for Public Accounting DGO Budget General Directorate DGP General Directorate for Planning DGPE Directorate General for State Assets DGPOC General Directorate for Planning, Budgeting and Management DGT Directorate General of the Treasury DSP Directorate for Payment Services EDP Electricity Company of Portugal ELECTRA Electricity and Water Company EMPROFAC National Company of Pharmaceutical Products ENACOL National Fuel Company of Cape Verde ENAPOR National Port Authority EU European Union FAIMO Labor-Intensive Public Works FBL Framework Budget Law FEF Financial Equilibrium Fund fob Freight on Board GDP Gross Domestic Product GEP Directorate of Studies and Planning GoCV Government of Cape Verde HC Hidden cost ICAO International Civil Aeronautics Organization IGF General Inspectorate for Finances IMF International Monetary Fund INE National Statistics Institute i INFA National Institute of Financial Support to Agribusiness INPS National Institute for Social Protection INTERBASE Company for Sea Products Commercialization INTOSAI International Organization of Supreme Audit Institutions IPSAN International Public Sector Accounting Norms IT Information Technology MDG Millennium Development Goal ME Ministry of Education MFA Ministry of Foreign Affairs MFAP Ministry of Finance and Public Administration MH Ministry of Health MIT Ministry of Infrastructure and Transport MITM Infrastructure, Transport and Maritime Affairs MJIA Ministry of Justice and Internal Administration MFF Municipal Finance Fund MTEF Medium-Term Expenditure Framework NDP National Development Plan NIF Tax Identification Number NOSI Operational Nucleus for Information Systems O&M Operation and maintenance OECD Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development PETROGAL Petroleum Company of Portugal PIP Public Investment Program PIS Public Investment System PNCP Chart of Accounts (Plano Nacional de Contabilidade Pública) PRGF Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility PROMOTORA Venture Capital Stock Corporation PRSC Poverty Reduction Support Credit PSI Policy-Support Instrument QUIBB Questionário Unificado de Indicadores de Bem-Estar (Unified Survey of Well Being Baseline Indicators) RMF Road Maintenance Fund SDR Special Drawing Rights SIGOF Financial Management Integrated System SOE State-owned Enterprise SONANGOL National Fuel Society of Angola STAD Secretariado Técnico de Apoio ao Desenvolvimento (Technical Secretariat for Development Support) STASCO Shell International Trading and Shipping Company Limited TACV Airlines of Cape Verde TdC Tribunal de Contas (Court of Accounts) TRANSCOR Private Company of Municipal Transportation US-MCC US Millennium Challenge Account VAT Value-added Tax WTO World Trade Organization Vice President: Obiageli K. Ezekwesili (AFRVP) Country Director: Habib M. Fetini (AFCF1) Sector Director: Sudhir Shetty (AFTPM) Sector Manager: Antonella Bassani (AFTP4) Task Team Leader: Manuela Francisco (AFTP4) ii CONTENTS Introduction ............................................................................................................................... 1 Macroeconomic Background .................................................................................................... 2 Fiscal Performance.................................................................................................................... 3 Public Finance Management ..................................................................................................... 7 Decentralization ...................................................................................................................... 12 Infrastructure ........................................................................................................................... 14 Table 1: Summary of the Recommended Reform Measures in PER FY06 ................................ 18 Table 2: Summary of Recommendations PER FY08 .................................................................. 19 Annex 1: Matrix of the Issues / Recommendations ..................................................................... 20 i This PER Update was jointly prepared by the World Bank and the Cape Verdean Government. The World Bank team consisted of Manuela Francisco (TTL, AFPT4), Hélène Grandvoinnet (AFTPR), Daniel Benitez (FEU), Cecilia Briceno-Garmendia (AFTSN), Mafalda Duarte (EASPR), Hélio Tollini (Consultant, advisor of the Brazilian House of Representatives Budget Office), and Judite Fernandes (AFTP4). The Working Group within the Cape Verdean Government was under the responsibility of Celina Cruz (Head, Budget Monitoring Unit), Claudino Semedo (Budget Director), and António Pires (Economist, General Director of Planning). The working group included José Roberto (Advisor to the Brazilian Federal Budget Secretary), Paulo Feijó (Consultant, Brazilian Budget Association), and José Macamo Correia (Consultant, UNDP, Mozambique). José Roberto, Paulo Feijó, and José Macamo Correia were financed through the PRSP TF. The report was prepared under the supervision of Antonella Bassani, Sector Manager (AFTP4), who offered conceptual guidance, provided critical analytical advice, and ensured quality control and management support. From the Country Management Unit, Madani Tall (Country Director), Iradj Alikhani (Country Program Coordinator), and Joelle Dehasse (Senior Operations Officer), supported the overall process and the engagement with the authorities and provided valuable guidance on policy issues. The report benefited from comments and discussions with sectoral colleagues, particularly Kavita Sethi (AFTTR), Fernando Lecaros (LCSEG), Kai-Alexander Kaiser (PRMPS), Sherri Archondo (AFTFP), and Soukeyna Kane (AFTFM). The report also benefited from discussions with the IMF team: Maitland MacFarlan, Lamin Leigh, Nils Maehle, Eduardo Castro, and Marcio Ronci. Celina Cruz (Head, Budget Monitoring Unit) provided excellent support to the missions. The Report also benefited from comments from participants in the PER Workshop which took place in Praia in August 2008. ii 1. Following a decade of robust growth and prudent macroeconomic policies, Cape Verde graduated to middle income status in January 2008. A key challenge facing the country going forward is how to sustain its high economic growth and dynamism in a context of a possible decline in concessional aid and remittances, increasing income inequality and island disparities, and full reliance on oil imports. These challenges highlight the importance of: (i) enhancing public financial management systems to improve efficiency and effectiveness in the use of public resources at large; (ii) strengthening fiscal decentralization mechanisms and accountabilities to meet local needs and address regional disparities; and (iii) addressing growing infrastructure needs resulting from the booming tourism sector. 2. A Public Expenditure Review Update was conducted in 2006 which highlighted: (i) the large and increasing weight of non-discretionary expenditures in the total budget; (ii) the importance of improving coordination among the various planning instruments; (iii) the need to strengthen public finance management; (iv) the fiscal risks that emerge from the energy sector; and (v) the need to further progress with the pension reform. During 2006-07 the Government implemented several of the 2006 PER Update recommendations. These include debt and exchange rate management, clearance of arrears, and some public finance management reforms, while slower progress was made in addressing tariff related issues and pension reform (see Table 1 for a list of 2006 PER Update recommendations and their status of implementation). 3. Building on the findings of the 2006 PER Update, in mid 2007 the Government and the World Bank decided to prepare jointly an updated PER that would inform the preparation of the second Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (GPRSP-2) and the CAS. The objectives of the PER were to: (i) examine recent macro and fiscal developments (chapter 1 and 2); (ii) provide an update of the strengths and shortcomings of the public finance management system, following the recent reforms implemented in this area and the new emerging challenges (chapter 3); (iii) conduct an analysis of the fiscal decentralization issues, with particular emphasis on the municipalities’ resources, expenditures, budget processes, capacity and systems, and accountability to the citizens (chapter 4); and (iv) examine public expenditure issues in infrastructure, focusing on issues of adequacy, allocation and efficiency of spending in electricity, water, roads, air transportation, and ports (chapter 5). 4. Since its inception, this PER was designed and conducted under the leadership of the Cape Verdean authorities, which helped ensure the criticality and internalization of the reports’ diagnosis and recommendations. This volume (volume I) summarize the main findings and recommendations presented in this PER (Table 2 and Annex 1) and volume II presents a detailed analysis of each of the topics referred above. The Authorities intend to prepare an Action Plan to follow up on the PER recommendations and mobilize donors’ technical assistance for their implementation during the multi-donor budget support mission planned for November 2008. 1 5. Cape Verde continued to experience robust growth over the last years, moderate inflationary pressures and a narrowing external current account deficit. GDP growth averaged 6.3 percent over the period 2002-2006, with real GDP growth in 2006 reaching almost 11 percent. The fast economic growth allowed for a significant improvement in the average standards of living, as shown by the increasing GDP per capita. This strong performance paved the way for the country’s graduation to middle income status in January 2008. Consumer inflation has been moderate, bolstered by the firm monetary policy and the exchange rate peg to the Euro. However, in 2006 inflation reached approximately 5.4 percent, largely reflecting supply shocks (poor rainfall drove up domestically produced food prices). The recent increase in international food prices has not yet had an impact on domestic prices (GPRSP-2), owing to the large stocks of cereals. As these stocks are reduced, prices may increase, but this is not likely to threaten fiscal or external stability in the short term given the fiscal space and comfortable level of international reserves. Inflation over the medium term is expected to stabilize at around 2 percent consistent with the currency peg. 6. Both monetary and fiscal policies are consistent with the fixed exchange rate regime. Monetary policy has focused on strengthening the sustainability of the exchange rate peg by steadily building up reserves and being responsive to signs of sustainable trends in international reserves and prices. As a result, reserves coverage increased steadily reaching 3.6 months of prospective imports by the end of December 2007. However, in the first semester of 2008, the rate of accumulation of reserves slowed down due to a decline in external current transfers as well as private debt repayments by some private companies. The slowdown in remittances reflects the depreciation of the dollar against the euro as well as the global economic slowdown. Furthermore, the global financial crisis is affecting some of the countries that are investing in Cape Verde, with repercussions on the FDI volume. 7. Fiscal policy has been prudent. The fiscal deficit remains contained, reflecting improvements in both tax collection and expenditure control. Furthermore, significant progress has been achieved with debt management. Both external debt and domestic debt have been declining sharply since 2005. According to a joint WB-IMF DSA, undertaken in December 2007, the risk of debt distress remains low. The analysis concludes that, despite the likely gradual reduction in access to concessional loans, all external debt indicators would remain below the relevant thresholds under the baseline and alternative scenarios. The most extreme scenario is a hypothetical 30 percent devaluation of the exchange rate in 2008. It causes a one-off increase of 7 percent of GDP in the NPV of the debt to GDP ratio. Even in this scenario, the external debt ratios remain below the threshold. In sum, the debt sustainability analysis concluded that the risk of debt distress is low. 2 8. Cape Verde has experienced substantial fiscal consolidation but further reforms are necessary in order to meet the GPRSP’s development objectives. Improvements in both tax collection and expenditure control resulted in a reduction of the fiscal deficit (including grants) from 15.6 percent of GDP in 2000 to 5.6 in 2001 and this has remained under control since then (it averaged 3.6 percent of GDP, including grants, during 2002-2006). Furthermore, tax reform was revamped in January 2004 with the introduction of the VAT and the streamlining of international taxes. Other areas where progress was made include debt management and clearance of arrears. Nevertheless, further reforms are needed to increase the mobilization of domestic revenues and enhance the efficiency, effectiveness and transparency in the use of public resources. Also, given the high vulnerability of the Caper Verdean economy, it is important to create a cushion to help protect the country from external shocks (such as food and oil price increases) that could jeopardize the GPRSP implementation. Critical areas for reform are: (1) on the revenue side, building capacity in financial programming, further streamlining of tax exemptions and incentives, and further strengthening of the tax administration; (2) on the expenditure side, ensuring tight control of non-discretionary spending (whose share of the recurrent expenditures during 2002-06 averaged 83 percent) and open-ended commitments, restraining recruitment of civil servants and better controlling salary increases; and (3) on the planning side, ensuring that the GPRSP, MTEF and the annual budgets are adequately coordinated. 9. Revenue performance has continued to be strong, reflecting the successful introduction of the VAT in 2004 and ongoing improvements in tax administration . The share of total revenue to gross domestic product (GDP) for the period 2002-06 shows a stable trend, despite the decline in revenue performance during 2003 and 2006 largely due to a decrease in foreign aid. Tax revenue performance has been strong, supported by the tariff reforms and the introduction of the VAT in early 2004, whose doubling has contributed since then to approximately 25 percent of the tax revenues. Recurrent revenues have shown an ascending trend, whereas capital revenues (consisting mainly of foreign aid) have shown annual fluctuations highlighting the ever-present uncertainty attributable to this source of income. With its graduation to the status of middle-income country, foreign aid and concessional funds are expected to decrease over time, making it even more important for the country to create fiscal space. Importantly, even though total revenues projections have been close to revenues outturns, this hides significant individual deviations. Non-fiscal revenues and foreign aid present great overestimations, while revenues from VAT and international transactions have been largely underestimated. In this regard, staff from the Ministry of Finance and Public Administration is being trained to build capacity in financial programming. 10. Taxes on international transactions have declined in importance as a result of a sweeping tax reform in 2004. Import tax revenues have declined in importance as, in early 1 The data used in this analysis are classified as official information of the Ministry of Finance and Public Administration. The information corresponds to data concerning the definitive state accounts for the years 2002 through 2005; temporary accounts for the year 2006; and the approved budget for 2007. 3 2004, the Government implemented a radical fiscal reform, eliminating most of the taxes and contributions administered by Customs, reducing the number of tariff brackets to seven (from 64) and leveling the maximum tariff at 50 percent (from 250 percent). A new Customs Code, expected to be approved by the National Assembly in 2008, will provide progressive liberalization of import rules and procedures. 11. Tax revenues can increase further if tax exemptions and incentives are streamlined, tax evasion is curbed and additional tax administration reforms take place. Direct taxes are below their potential, owing to the extended system of fiscal exemptions, and to wide-ranging massive fiscal evasion that contributes to the narrow and skewed nature of the taxpayers’ base. Preliminary data for 2006 suggests that revenue lost because of fiscal exemptions corresponds to 12 percent of fiscal revenues. A law to rationalize exemptions and fiscal incentives is being drafted and is expected to be submitted to Parliament in 2008. Turning to tax evasion, the enactment of Decree-Law nº 35/2003 endowed the DGCI with the power to affect compulsory collection through confiscation of assets and bank accounts. However, only in 2007 the DGCI started applying fully this Decree-Law. To continue combating fraud and fiscal evasion it is important to strengthen tax administration, particularly by introducing IT supporting infrastructure, reinforce inspections related to high-risk tax-payers, and train technicians in the area of tax evasion. Furthermore, additional improvements in tax revenue collection are expected through the introduction of the fiscal identification number, the ongoing activities to automate revenue management and taxpayer current account management, the revision of legal texts, and the end of the agreement with BCA as the sole tax collector in 2006. 12. Public spending has been contained but continues to be marked by high non- discretionary expenditures. Public spending has been contained to an average 22 percent of GDP during the 5 years period under analysis. On average, 64 percent of resources financed recurrent expenditures, while the remaining resources funded the public investment program (PIP). The unpredictable execution of the PIP causes annual variations that affect this broad distribution. The expenditures pattern for the period 2002–2006 highlights the continuous dominance of nondiscretionary expenditure. The nondiscretionary expenditure represented on average 83 percent of the total recurrent expenditures and 53 percent of the total expenditures. The large share of non-discretionary expenditures is a source for concern, especially given expectations of future increases. The non-discretionary expenditures have caused high variability in the execution rate of discretionary expenditures (69 percent in 2002; 92 percent in 2005; and 70 percent in 2006). Furthermore, non-discretionary expenditures are expected to increase in the near future as a result of the recent decree (Decree-Law 21/2006) approved on pensions increases significantly the responsibilities of the state as an employer and contributes to an increase in the salaries and benefits’ share of the budget; the new local finances law, and; the potential increase in interest rates based on the possibility of a decline in non-concessional financing after the graduation. The large share of the non-discretionary expenditures is of even higher concern, given that under the fixed exchange rate regime, fiscal policy is the primary instrument of macroeconomic management. Therefore, it is critical to ensure tight control of non-discretionary spending and open-ended commitments, helping to create fiscal space (especially because of the recurrent costs that will emerge from the major infrastructure 4 investment plans in the pipeline) and to ensure some margin of safety against shocks. At the same time, the Government should restrain recruitment of civil servants and better control salary increases. 13. Open-commitments continue to constitute a major fiscal risk. These concern state enterprises, autonomous institutions, funds and simple services liabilities. Treasury has often assumed debts from autonomous institutes, State Owned Enterprises (SOEs) and Government agencies. The major source of fiscal risks is Electra, the para-statal Water and Electricity Company, which faces a critical financial situation.2 Since April 2006, there is a clear policy of not subsidizing oil-related products (and thus the budget does not provide for those). However, subsidies do exist, but are not recorded in the budget. For example, in September 2007, Electra’s treasury filed a request for an urgent payment of the tariff deficit for the period May 2006- February 2007, amounting to 550 CVE million (US$6.3 million), which was financed but not recorded in the budget. During the period in analysis (2002-2006) oil subsidies were often not recorded as subsidies, but rather as “extraordinary expenditures” – the practice was to pay the subsidies in the following year, deducted by the direct taxes. Other times the subsidies’ payments were not registered at all in the budget, as payments due to the oil companies were converted in protocols, a common practice in Cape Verde. Therefore, actual payments of oil subsidies are much higher than those presented in the budget.3 As a result, the current fiscal position is understated, and the budget did not provide adequate support for planning current year spending against current year resources. 14. The PIP programming has been overoptimistic, with the highest execution during the period in analysis being 81 percent in 2006 and the lowest 59 percent in 2003 . The execution rate of recurrent expenditures, typically more than 90 percent of the originally approved budget, is much higher than that of capital expenditures, which averaged a 69 percent execution rate during 2002-2006. This variable performance is largely due to the fact that the PIP implementation depends to a large extent on foreign aid materialization, with issues related to: (i) the nature of aid (project versus budgetary aid); and (ii) delays related to donor or recipient political or policy implementation processes. In the case of very large investments, whenever there are delays in the disbursement of external funds or in the case that these funds do not materialize, implementation suffers delays or remains incomplete. However, in the case of projects with an important social dimension, the Treasury has mobilized funds in the past to bridge the financing gap until the foreign aid arrives. However, aid predictability has improved as budget support has gained prominence during the last years, thanks to the creation of the Budget Support Group. During the 2005-2007, around 25 percent of foreign aid was in the form of budget support. 2 There are several reasons that underpin its critical financial situation: lack of investments, difficulties with billing collection especially from municipalities, and tariff setting below costs (chapter 5, volume II). 3 The 2006 PER estimates that the amount of subsidy to Electra (subsidy that aims to cover the difference between the regulated price and the Electra price of CVE 37.9/liter) in 2005 reached CVE 382 million. The subsidy to the oil companies in 2005 (due to the lag in the adjustment of prices) is CVE 1,347 million. 5 15. The Ministry of Finance and Public Administration (MFAP) is clearly dominant in terms of expenditure spending, representing on average 43 percent of total expenditure . A significant part of these expenditures is related to restructuring costs from privatizations, payment of oil subsidies, payment of arrears and interest rate payments. The high shares of the ministries of Education and Health (accounting on average for 24 and 8 percent, respectively, of the total recurrent expenditure from 2002 through 2006) supports the assertion that growth and poverty reduction had been a national priority even before the adoption of GPRSP-I in 2004. However, more than 60 percent of those recurrent expenditures consist of salaries and public administration benefits. The expenditure level of the Ministry of Internal Administration, being estimated at 6.4 percent of total expenditure for 2007, has increased within the last few years, a result of new recruitments in the area of security. 16. The budget allocations are not consistently in line with the GPRSP-1 priorities. The GPRSP-1 financial programming suggests that infrastructure is a clear priority, by allocating more than 60 percent of the resources to Pillar IV (Infrastructure). In both years, 2005 and 2006, infrastructure had the largest share of public expenditures (around 40 percent), however, not as high as intended under the GSPRS-1. On the other hand, allocations for Pillar I (good governance) and Pillar III (human capital) were more than twice the allocations proposed by the GPRSP-1. Furthermore, the financial programming of GPRSP-1 proved to be overly ambitious. As compared to an average annual execution of PIP of CVE 8.9 billion during 2002–04, the GPRSP-1 program presents an investment budget of 14.2 billion CVE for 2005.4 Furthermore, the budget allocation (CVE 16.5 billion) went beyond both the GPRSP-I and the MTEF (CVE 13.5 billion). As a result, the execution rate of the PIP was about 70 percent, with the obvious implications of not completing, delaying, or cancelling some of the planned projects. 17. Furthermore, the MTEF and GPRSP-1, both covering the period 2005-07, did not seem to be totally consistent - while the GPRSP consists of pillars and objectives, the MTEF is prepared according to a classification that is a mix of administrative functions and objectives. The authorities prepared the first global MTEF in 2004, which covers 2005–07, the same period as the GPRSP-1. However, these two exercises were prepared on different tracks with limited coordination. The comparison is difficult but it can be observed that, with regard to priority sectors such as education and health, the GPRSP-1 differs from MTEF projections, suggesting that the MTEF did not guide the GPRSP-1 preparation. Furthermore, annual budget allocations consistently surpassed MTEF projections - approximately 14 percent and 36 percent, on average, for recurrent and investment budgets, respectively. In sum, the global MTEF was not used as an instrument that conveys the overall fiscal strategy by disciplining public expenditure planning during 2005-06. In addition, in 2004 four line ministries started preparing sectoral MTEFs with international technical assistance (Health; Education; Agriculture, Fisheries and Environment; and Social Protection), but only one finalized the MTEF with success (Education). The difficulties in preparing the sectoral MTEFs resulted largely from lack of capacity and shortage of human resources at the sectoral level. 4 Investment Budget MTEF: 2005, CVE 13.5 billion; 2006, 15 CVE billion; and 2007, CVE 15.5 billion. 6 18. The authorities have just completed the second GPRSP and are currently finalizing the MTEF for 2008-2010, which they plan to revise on a rolling basis. Furthermore, several sectors are preparing their sectoral MTEFs. To ensure the effectiveness of both the global and the sectoral MTEFs it is critical to move forward with the legislation that supports their implementation (Budget Framework and Budget Planning Law) and to build capacity at the sectoral level for MTEF preparation. It is recommended that the GPRSP-2’s priorities be reflected into the annual budgets in order to achieve the proposed GPRSP-goals. To support this effort, effective integration of the GPRSP-2, the MTEF and the budget preparation and execution is needed. 19. Despite recent improvements in the public finance management system, challenges remain in ensuring that the GPRSP goals are achieved through adequate budgeting, planning and monitoring. Progress has been achieved in the area of budget monitoring thanks to the development of the integrated financial management system, tax collection, and decentralization of the budget execution, among others. However, financial programming and debt sustainability analysis are still incipient, the external and internal auditing is limited, and the budget is not comprehensive. Going forward, in support of the implementation of the GPRSP, it is important to strengthen financial and budget programming, improve debt sustainability analysis (in order to assess the impact of future borrowing, especially if under non-concessional terms), and enhance control mechanisms (in order to ensure adequate use of resources). In this respect, it will be important to complete the ongoing upgrading of the budgeting legal framework, notably through the adoption of the budget framework law, the re-drafting of the budget planning law and the implementation of the public chart of accounts. 20. Cape Verde has embarked on deep reforms including the budget framework law, the budget planning law and the public chart of accounts, leading to a comprehensive legal framework. However, the budget planning law (approved by the Council of Ministers in April 2006), which introduces the MTEF, has been withdrawn from the Parliament. The revision of the law was brought about by a debate about critical concepts, such as decentralization and regionalization. With regard to the budget framework law (approved by the Council of Ministers in April 2006), the Parliament approved all but one article (the implementation calendar) in October 2007. This law is critical for the implementation of the chart of accounts and to introduce program-budgeting. Therefore, it is recommended to move forward with the process leading to the adoption of this law and to the re-drafting of the budget planning law. 21. The budget elaboration cycle is carried out according to a reliable schedule, while the existent recurrent budget constitutes what is internationally known as an “entry budget.” The budget framework law mentions the existence of a recurrent budget and multi-year PIP. With regard to the recurrent budget, represented by activity inputs, it classifies expenses according to their nature, paying no attention to results and, as such, it is difficult to evaluate 7 sector objectives and goals. However, the transition between an entry budget and program budget is not simple and requires a number of conditions: a monitoring and evaluation system in place, changes to the IT system, definition of implementation methodologies, and capacity building, among others. To facilitate the transition, the Government could undertake a pilot exercise of program budgeting in two ministries with the 2009 budget. With regard to the PIP, it is prepared on an annual basis and included in the budgetary law with a common designation of “investment budget.” The PIP should derive from the GPRSP and the MTEF, however during the period in analysis there is a clear departure from those two instruments. 22. The Government undertook some steps to unify the budget preparation process under the current legal framework, which should be an important task going forward in addition to implementing the General Directorates for Planning and Budgeting (DGPOGs) in the remaining line ministries. Presently, different directorates at the MFPA may prepare recurrent or capital budgets almost autonomously. Such duality compromises the global vision required when preparing the budget. MFAP is engaged in efforts to pursue internal coordination, so that the definition of ceilings can happen under the rationale of a unified budget. Furthermore, the line ministries are currently unifying their planning and budgeting units which contribute to the unification of the process of budget preparation. 23. The budget should be more comprehensive, as some revenues and expenditures are not included in it. Some autonomous institutes do not include their own revenues and the expenditures financed with those in the budget. This is against the budgetary principles of universality and non-earmarking of revenues. Moreover, revenue collection institutions directly deduct part of the outlays related to salaries, underestimating the overall envelope of revenues and expenditures with personnel. 24. DGCI manages the fiscal revenue collection process through a specific payment form, in which the taxpayer defines the payment amount and includes the economic classification of the revenue. Payments are made in the commercial banks, which send daily to DGCI detailed revenue maps of fiscal and customs revenues collected in the previous business day. Despite modern payment methods, the taxpayer can still pay without providing the classification code, thus duplicating the work of DGCI, which must rely on hardcopy receipt of the payment invoices to identify the revenue and send the detailed maps to the treasury. Regarding DGA, revenues are filed directly in the customs offices (fiscal houses) for daily consolidation and deposit into the Treasury account. Deposits are made in a temporary bank account of the Treasury for various types of customs revenues. Twenty-five percent of the revenues collected remain in a specific DGA account and is not included in the state budget. 25. The current process of revenue collection comprises both advanced and old payment forms and should be upgraded. It currently includes manual processes for revenue identification and reporting on collected revenues. The upgrading of such models should happen jointly with the implementation of the accounting, treasury and revenue management modules in SIGOF. The fundamental premise is that the collection of all Government revenues must happen through the banks, consistent with the principle of account unification and standardization. Going forward the following measures are recommended: (i) Government revenues and expenses 8 must be collected and paid through commercial banks; and (ii) a manual must be prepared that includes all revenue collection rules to be applied by the accredited commercial banks, allowing the provision of revenue collection services only to those that are in a position to comply with the rules. 26. Even though legislation determines the centralization of available funds in the Government account, in practice, the centralization of available funds in the Treasury Single Account (TSA) determined by Decree-Law 29/1998 applies only to treasury resources. The sovereign entities and autonomous institutes still maintain balances in commercial bank accounts. Therefore, under the current situation, the treasury may be issuing debt due to a cash-flow shortage, while there are available resources on commercial bank accounts. Furthermore, most grants are kept in specific bank accounts without Government control, and specific accounts for earmarked revenues or foreign currency are opened in the Central Bank. As next step, all Government entities’ commercial bank accounts should be mapped, the balances should be transferred, and the accounts closed, except in cases in which the specific operational characteristics do not allow them to be. The General Directorate of the Treasury (DGT) has the legislation and IT system necessary for the effective control of resources, but the Financial Management Integrated System (SIGOF) needs to incorporate the accounting and treasury management modules, which should be prioritized. Thereafter, the origin of the resources, their transactions, the breakdown of the daily balances by funding source, and the units responsible for those transactions will be accessible not only by the central government but also by the autonomous institutes and sovereign bodies. 27. Because a TSA is not yet in place in SIGOF, DGT ends up being involved in operational activities of expenditure payment. Once a TSA is set up, decentralization of the payment can be implemented, leaving DGT with the sole responsibility of matching credits and debits. DGT would establish withdrawal limits for line ministries, which would issue payment orders against the TSA. SIGOF can perform this whole process, containing all data needed to credit the beneficiary’s account, and thus, transforming payment orders into electronic checks. The replacement of the checks by electronic payment orders would be done with the generation of files for each beneficiary banking institution; and after the elimination of checks and the direct transfer of the collection, the Treasury participation in the clearinghouse could stop. SIGOF should adopt several payment order modalities, according to the needs of each manager and the payment modality selected, while treasury participation in the clearinghouse should be evaluated, given the proposed reforms on revenue collection and expenditure execution. Because the treasury does not have any agency, it must continue to use the accredited banking institutions for payment orders to reach the final beneficiaries. The validation of the beneficiary’s bank account data should occur in real time, concomitant with its registration. The system should include the intra-SIGOF payments option, whenever a government unit has to make a payment to another government unit. Regarding treasury participation, given that the existence of clearinghouses in a payment system aims at reducing the liquidity risk of participants, it is unlikely to affect the treasury because its programming will ensure a sufficient positive balance in the TSA. 9 28. Debt management has always been the responsibility of MFAP, with DGT centralizing management of its own issued total debt, both domestic and external. The Central Bank also issues public securities for monetary policy purposes, and supports the DGT in operations related to debt administration (all debt is under Central Bank custody). Treasury bonds debt is almost entirely prefixed, and there are no securities indexed to exchange or inflation rates. The liquidity reserve, kept in the Central Bank to administer debt-related obligations, does not generate returns to the Treasury. In 2004, the DGT started using specific software for registering public debt, even though several technical problems have occurred limiting the usefulness of the software. The software permits estimates of debt service payments, generating quarterly data, and contributes to the budget preparation process. At present, only the DGT has access to the software, and the debt has not been registered with regard to accounting. Currently, the DGT is inserting the data related to domestic debt, after which it will be able to evaluate debt sustainability. Analysis on debt sustainability is of critical importance, especially in the context of the coming large infrastructure investments and possible use of non-concessional financing. 29. The reform of the accounting system started with Law 29/2001 and was further enhanced with the Law 96/2006, which establishes the implementation of a chart of accounts (PNCP) - fundamental in the reform of state administration and organization of public accounts. The new legislation establishes that the PNCP should adopt the double-entry accounting method from 2009 onward, and allow (i) the periodic preparation of statements of accounts, assets, operational, financial, budgetary balances; (ii) the organization of the annual consolidated general balance; and (iii) the integration of other economic and financial data of the public sector in the national accounts. Even though the legislation was passed in 2006, implementation is pending (it is now expected for 2009). Changes in the state organizational structure and its competencies, and the integration of the accounting module in SIGOF, must follow the reforms. Furthermore, it is recommended that the proposal for the PNCP structure follow International Public Sector Accounting Norms (IPSAN), which aims at harmonizing the criteria for recognition of revenues and expenditures, assets and liabilities. 30. The legal framework regulating the mandate and activities of the Inspectorate General of Finance (IGF) was revamped in 2005, with the approval of a new organic Law. Even though resource allocation has increased since then, it has not addressed fully the larger financing needs that resulted from the enlargement of IGF’s work scope. The IGF was able to start the financial control of laws, decrees, and resolutions of the Cabinet, observing compliance with normative instructions and determining to what extent the finance interests are protected. Financial restrictions and the limited staff prevent IGF from making more than 40 inspections a year, jeopardizing the principle of permanent internal auditing and concentrating IGF’s activities in the city of Praia because of travel costs. Moreover, inspections to the line ministries are seldom, because of the large scope of the IGF mandate and the IGF does not have historical 10 indicators of the incidence of irregularities by sector that could help establish priorities for the line-ministries inspections. Finally, even though the 2005 organic law introduces better articulation between the IGF and the Court of Accounts (TdC), further improvements are required. 31. Delays in juridical processes undermine the usefulness of IGF audits, and the issues of legality and punctuality of the documents submitted is still the core of the inspections . The PGR does not investigate in a timely manner the facts raised by the audits, thus jeopardizing the effectiveness of the system and generating a perception of impunity. Given the lack of verification by PGR of the allegations contained in the writ, the accused may manage to reverse the situation instead, accusing IGF of frivolous behavior, affecting the morale of the inspectors. In 2007, IGF undertook for the first time and in an incipient manner a results audit on the programs for combating AIDS and poverty. A good internal control system should include administrative, budgetary, economic, financial, equity, normative, and management dimensions along with evaluation of programs and projects. 32. In 2004, the Court of Auditors (TdC) prepared and submitted to the Government a proposal for changing its organic law. After three years, the Council of Ministers approved the draft law and submitted it to Parliament, where it awaits discussion and voting. The main changes included in the proposal relate to the: (a) introduction of flexibility in the ex-ante control; (b) adoption of economic, productivity, and convenience criteria in the control; (c) introduction of successive inspections for the whole public sector; (d) categorization of financial irregularities; (e) restructuring of auditing reports; and (f) assessment of the General State Accounts. Furthermore, it establishes that the government will have 12 months after the end of the fiscal year to submit the General State Accounts to the Parliament. The National Assembly would then send them to the TdC within five business days, and the TdC would have three months to provide an assessment regarding their legality and financial compliance, as well as recommendations to the National Assembly or Government, whenever necessary. 33. The TdC is undertaking efforts to update the auditing of the General State Accounts. In December 2007, the TdC submitted the 2001 to 2005 accounts to the Parliament, thus becoming current on the audit of accounts. This achievement was possible thanks to the technical assistance received, financed by the EU and the World Bank. The remaining challenge is the audit of the municipalities for which TdC will need technical and financial assistance. The lack of budgetary resources threatens TdC’s formal independence from the Executive Branch. Donors’ external funds or TdC fees have to finance travel costs, as budgetary resources cover only staff remunerations and office rent. Another critical factor limiting the effectiveness of the TdC is the absence of a representative from the Public Prosecutor’s Office (PGR) in its plenary sessions despite several requests by the TdC. In the current situation PGR can take several years before issuing an opinion, resulting in many cases in the prescription of the penalty. This impunity promotes a feeling of frustration in the judges and technical staff of the TdC. 11 34. Decentralization is a recent development in Cape Verde. It was launched in 1989 with the Law 17/III/89 creating the “decentralized territorial activities”. It provides an important instrument to reduce disparities, improve service delivery at the local level and increase accountability in the use of public resources, as highlighted in the GPRSP. Because decentralization is in its early stages and mechanisms to boost revenue are still incipient (and because some municipalities are relatively small), most municipalities are very dependent on central government transfers to fund their activities and investments. In addition, financial difficulties of municipalities have been passed on several times to the central administration, with the treasury assuming some of their debts. In 2005 Local Finances Law opened the possibility for municipalities to borrow, in order to provide short-term facilities or to invest (the latter requiring the guaranty of the central government). While this facility can unknot municipalities’ capacity to pursue investments, it can also create a significant fiscal risk if adequate oversight is not ensured. In addition, ex-post control is limited because IGF and TdC do not have sufficient funds to inspect municipalities and because most municipalities do not complete and make available the financial tables that are required by the 2005 Local Finances Law. As decentralization moves forward the role of municipalities in providing services will be strengthened with the consequent increase in financing needs. To this end, critical priorities for policy reform are to provide municipalities with appropriate tools to boost tax collection, strengthen auditing controls and clarify their roles and responsibilities. 35. The analysis on decentralization could not be based on a consolidated set of data – which only exists for the period 1996-2002 – but uses field data collected in five diverse municipalities representing more than half of the population. It combines general considerations on the rules and their applications regarding municipal finances, and examples from data and information collected during the field visits in November 2007: two “small” municipalities, Mosteiros (Fogo island) and Santo Domingos (Santiago islands), one medium- sized municipality, Santa Cruz (Santiago island) and the two largest municipalities in the country, Praia (Santiago) and São Vicente (São Vicente). Since only data on central government transfers are readily available for all municipalities, it was not possible to give a consolidated picture of municipal finances as a whole (a rather comprehensive but now outdated study on municipal finances from 1996 to 2002 is the only document that attempted to synthesize and collect municipal budgets so far). However, the five municipalities visited represent a wide variety of contexts and more than half of the total population. 36. Regarding fiscal decentralization, in Cape Verde municipalities are very dependent on the central government for their finances. The main criteria to assess the degree of autonomy of municipal finances is the proportion of revenues coming from the municipal own sources of revenues. In Cape Verde, similarly to many other countries where decentralization is relatively recent, and where most municipalities are relatively small, central government transfers represent a significant source of revenues for municipalities. Since the municipalities are dependent on the central government for their finances, it will be important to support the municipalities in diversifying their sources of incomes. To this end, it will be important to build their capacity to collect and manage local taxes, since this task is a mandate of the municipalities. 12 37. Municipalities’ own-revenues come mostly from local taxes. Most municipalities have not been able to strengthen their tax unit (staff and tools), and thus cannot exploit the whole tax potential in their municipality. Local taxes have successfully boosted revenues in some municipalities which have a broader tax basis and took measures to strengthen their tax collection department through additional staff and IT. In smaller municipalities, they remain a difficult task to manage, and do not contribute much to the total budget. In all municipalities visited, local taxes represent no more than 10 percent of revenues. 38. Following an agreement concluded in 1998, municipalities in Cape Verde collect their own taxes, but the delegation also had some downsides, and has, at least initially, created difficulties. The decision to delegate tax collection to municipalities has the advantage of avoiding delays and potential conflicts between the center and local governments regarding the amounts effectively perceived and reversed. Furthermore, it can also act as a strong incentive for municipal services to strengthen their tax collection capacity. The main difficulties that arose were from the lack of preparation for this delegation, and the fact that the voluntary transfer of tax collection personnel to municipalities was not successful. The latter left municipalities without skilled staff to exercise their new mandate. Another important issue is linked to a structural constraint: most land registries, at least at the time of the transfer of tax collection, were outdated, and there was no clear rule for evaluating the value of the existing patrimony, thus making the property tax, an important potential source of revenue, difficult to collect. To date, the state of the land registry or the tax payers registries vary greatly from one municipality to the next, thus increasing the discrepancies between their ability to raise their own revenues. Municipality efforts dedicated to strengthening their fiscal unit and computerization can help in substantially raising their own revenues. 39. Another important source of own-revenues is land sales. Land sales may represent a significant share of an annual budget. Various countries have turned to land sales and leasing for infrastructure finance and, from a local perspective, this has the advantage of being free from the intergovernmental restrictions that require higher-level approval for increases in local tax rates or user fees and that restrict local government borrowing. However, this form of financing creates special risks, not recognized in most intergovernmental fiscal frameworks: (i) the use of proceeds to finance operating budgets; (ii) risk exposure is exaggerated by the highly volatile nature of urban land markets, and (iii) the greatest financial sector risk stems from municipal borrowing based on inflated land values offered as collateral to banks. Sound intergovernmental fiscal management will require tighter regulation of municipalities and financial leveraging of land sale revenues to avoid excessive risk-taking by local governments. Another issue is the sale of some land that has no clear legal status. 40. Other sources of revenues include borrowing, decentralized cooperation and the sharing of centrally collected taxes. The 2005 Local Finances Law opened the possibility for municipalities to borrow, either for resolving short-term difficulties or for investment purposes. Opening this possibility for local governments creates a fiscal risk that the central government must minimize through proper oversight. Proceeds from decentralized cooperation – twinning agreements with local governments from foreign countries- may represent an important part of municipalities’ budget, but, from a fiscal decentralization viewpoint, these external resources come with some caveats, like poor accountability in the budget, poor communication with the central administration on the central government’s expected follow up role, and the creation of 13 dependency and economic vulnerabilities. A draft law is trying to clarify the modalities and exchanges of information that need to accompany decentralized cooperation. Another source of revenues for the municipalities comes from a few taxes, centrally collected, that are then reversed to them – like the 50 percent share of the rent for the use of airport zones and the Ecological Tax. However these transfers suffer from delays and clear legal agreements, technological capabilities, and judicious oversight need to be in place to allow the timely transfer of centrally collected taxes- alternatively the possibility of having the municipalities directly collecting these taxes should be evaluated. 41. Central government transfers are composed of two instruments: the formula-based transfer and "contracts-programs". The formula-based transfer, reformed in 2005, guarantees neutrality and predictability and seems to satisfy most actors. The “contracts-programs”, a more ad-hoc way to promote investments in selected municipalities, needs to be more transparent. The contract-programs are criticized since the absence of conditions and criteria for their use. The draft law on decentralization gives a lot of details on the types of “conventions” that will be signed for future transfers, but it is not clear whether these criteria will apply to all new contracts-programs. Some clarity would be needed to first move away from the perception that the contracts-programs are politically used, and second give municipalities more predictability for their planning purposes. Beyond these needed clarifications, municipalities should also be encouraged to develop public-private partnerships in order to maintain, upgrade and extend their infrastructure. 42. Responsibilities in the purview of municipalities are very broad in Cape Verde and there is not a clear delineation of roles and responsibilities between central government and municipalities. As a result, it becomes difficult to define adequate levels of expenditure and revenue assignment, while accountability also suffers. Municipalities can engage in all the areas identified as “local”; however, they have been constrained in doing so because of scarce resources and poor coordination/collaboration with central administrations. The process of transfer of responsibilities has occurred in a rather ad-hoc manner. Hence, one priority is to better define respective responsibilities, to assess past transfers and to plan further transfers. The draft law on decentralization is attempting to address some of these issues. Municipal accountability is also weakened by relatively poor financial reporting and financial management at the local level. Despite a set of rules that provide for detailed information on municipal finances, most municipalities do not present their budget in a form that allows scrutiny. 43. As described in the GPRSP, Cape Verde aims at expanding and improving infrastructure significantly in the near future. The tourism sector in Cape Verde is growing very rapidly and the existent infrastructure constitutes a bottleneck to the development of the sector. Furthermore, the authorities aim at expanding the access to electricity, water and sanitation in the rural areas. However, budget constraints, limited planning and evaluation, and technical capacities are still challenges to overcome in view of the GPRSP implementation. Within the context of a tight budget, the sustained increase in public investment will require the creation of fiscal space in order to not prejudice the sustainability of the country’s fiscal position. Furthermore, investments in infrastructure need to be framed in a medium term context, as investments are likely to generate future expenditures, and must be subject to a rigorous cost- 14 benefit analysis. In addition, it is critical to provision adequately in the budget recurrent expenditures that emerge from capital investments and to strengthen technical capacity on project evaluation and implementation. 44. Cape Verde’s geography has contributed to the relatively high cost of infrastructure services and access limitations in the archipelago, but the authorities has recognized the crucial role of infrastructure and is committed to improving sector performance and investments in the forthcoming years. A low and dispersed population results in an extended infrastructure network, with the decentralized and very fragmented provision of utility services hardly benefiting from economies of scale and posing an enormous challenge when deciding best technology and optimal scale of operation. Nevertheless, driven by a strong commitment to offer access to basic services to the whole population, infrastructure delivery has come a long way. Cape Verde access rates compare favorably with similar countries, outperforming on road density but underperforming on sanitation facilities (this reflects the policy decision of targeting high accessibility even in low density areas). The challenge ahead is to keep up with the growing needs accentuated by the fast-growing tourism industry and to ease constraints imposed by expensive infrastructure. However, as more (scarce) resources are going to be deployed, a better management of the existing assets should be ensured. This is not an easy task, as many of the fiscal gains depend on costly investments. 45. In their efforts, authorities should first focus on identifying and reducing inefficiencies as a practical and realistic approach to make more resources available for better infrastructure. While it might well be the case that Cape Verde needs to allocate more resources to infrastructure by increasing the sector budget envelope, it is difficult to assess allocative efficiency issues and therefore argue increased allocations to infrastructure at the expense of other sectors without a more comprehensive analysis of cross-sector dynamics. From a sector perspective, there are three salient areas where Cape Verde can look for efficiency gains. First, for both central government and SOEs –that equally share the responsibility of investments, a revision of the public investment system is of great need. Secondly, more specifically for state-owned enterprises, most pressing issues relate to the functioning of the network, therefore the primary focus is to look at financial viability of state-owned enterprises and operational enterprise efficiency. To this end, a careful assessment of the viability of SOEs should be undertaken. Finally, conditions should be in place for SOEs to be run in commercial terms, without depending on state subsidies. 46. In addition, a careful assessment to evaluate the feasibility (market prospects) of expanding infrastructure delivery must take place in planning new investments. The authorities have sometimes adopted the strategy of creating infrastructure in order to create demand. There are risks in that approach as demand may not materialize as expected – detailed analysis of market prospects should be undertaken before pursuing such investments. This is particularly important, as Cape Verde already devotes a substantial amount of public resources for infrastructure, at levels higher than those of countries with higher income per capita (measured on an execution basis, infrastructure spending in Cape Verde is extremely high, US$401 per capita in 2006)– and although the adequacy of the overall spending does not seem to be an issue, concerns arise from the efficiency of the spending, given the low (or lack of) economies of scale and large sunk costs among other factors. It must also be noted that the room for increasing prices or tariffs is limited. 15 47. As the Government retains a key role in the provision of infrastructure (despite past attempts to open for private participation), going forward partnering with the private sector should be seen as a way to reduce fiscal risks and free-up public resources. Nowadays, electricity, water, air transport, port and airport are publicly managed and financed. Telecom is the sector in which the private sector remains as a main actor. ELECTRA, the incumbent public operator supplies electricity to the whole country and water to the islands of Sao Vicente, Sal, Boavista, and the city of Praia. Municipalities provide water to the remaining islands and cities of Santiago Island. In 1999, ELECTRA became a Public-Private Partnership but as a result of a series of failed negotiations between the private stakeholders and the Government, in July 2006 the State regained the position of major shareholder. Furthermore, since May 2008 there is no private capital in Electra. Private sector’s concerns were about the sustainability of the business and the lack of cost recovery tariffs whereas authorities’ concerns were about the lack of cost saving investments. Going forward, the participation of the private sector could bridge the gap between available and required funding. The partnership with the private sector would allow the sharing of the risk, and would free-up scarce public resources for sectors where the private sector has no interest, such as social projects. For a successful implementation of Public Private Partnerships (PPP), regulation should be strengthened and PPP should operate under market setting price rules. 48. With regard to electricity and water, tariffs in Cape Verde are among the highest for African countries, and water provision resources are limited. During the period 2001-06, electricity production and connections grew rapidly, while operational capacity decreased. As a result, blackouts were more frequent in duration and quantities – the number of power outages and losses due to power outages in Cape Verde are high when compared with its peers. Some generation still depends on diesel plants, which is very costly for a country dependent on oil. With regard to water, underground water resources are limited as the islands are in the semi-arid Sahel region. Water resources exist or are not scarce only in the islands of Santo Antão and Fogo. In Sub-Saharan Africa, only Djibouti has lower water resources per capita than Cape Verde. Increasingly, Cape Verde has had to rely upon desalination plants for water (accounting for about 85 percent of production) and only to a very limited extent upon extraction from underground sources (over the last 40 years, rainfalls have sharply decreased by about 54 percent). 49. Cape Verde also has a dense road network difficult to maintain, while the air transportation (critical in providing connectivity in this island economy) faces issues regarding the sustainability of the publicly owned airline. Road density is higher than the comparator countries. The dense road network is justified by principles of equity and social justice, seeking to offer access to health, education, and other basic services to all the population. The objective is also to attempt to connect the domestic market. However, approximately 60 percent of the roads are in bad condition - quality varies considerably across the country. This suggests that the policy of extending the network to low density areas, where economic returns are low, may have raised the maintenance costs to an unsustainable level, or that maintenance has not been planned and accounted for. With regard to air transportation, the Government has systematically channeled significant financial and human resources to the aeronautical sector. Domestic and international flights are offered by the Cape Verdean Airlines (TACV). The company remains publicly owned with a private management. According to the Transports 16 Strategy Report, while international flights are break-even flights, inter islands are non- profitable. 50. Future planning of infrastructure investments should be framed in the context of a MTEF for infrastructure. Over the past few years, various measures have been taken to modernize the budget process, adapt it to international norms and make it more efficient. A MTEF that includes infrastructure will be an important tool to galvanize discussions around policy priority options and to encourage consultation with stakeholders during the planning and budgeting phases. Empirical evidence in other countries indicates that medium-term projections under the MTEF process are a good guidance for annual budgets if fully integrated into the budget formulation process. 51. In addition, new projects should be subjected to a rigorous cost-benefit analysis by a specialized unit that will also ensure consistency with debt sustainability. The Ministry of Finance should have a unit with the mandate of conducting cost-benefit analysis and ensuring consistency with debt sustainability. The establishment of this unit, or reinforcement of an existent unit (with additional staff and broadening of its mandate) as, for example, the mobilization of resources unit that is responsible for collecting the infrastructure investment needs from the sectors and for securing financing, could prevent the misuse of scarce resources. Furthermore, this unit, which should work closely with the treasury with regard to financing, could avert the launching of projects that cannot be concluded, whether this is due to lack of resources, social or environmental implications. 17 Reform Measures Within 12 months Status Comments 12 months to 3 years Fiscal/Macroeconomic Stability Increase foreign exchange coverage to further X X Progressing well strengthen The credibility of the peg Reduce domestic borrowing Progressing well X X Control mandatory expenditures X X Mixed results Interest rate payments have decreased but transfers have increased Rationalize the currently fragmented system of tax Draft law is expected to be incentives and exemptions Not implemented submitted to the X Parliament by December 2008 Streamline import tariffs X Progressing well New customs code is expected by approved in 2008 Progress towards alignment of the budget towards X Not implemented PRSP objectives Implemented Sign the protocol with BCA X Public Finance Reforms Completion of the legal framework X Progressing slowly Strengthen the relation between MTEF and budget X Not implemented preparation X Strengthen the capacity on MTEF preparation X Progressing slowly New accounting system implemented X X Not implemented Clearance of arrears X Progressing well Record domestic debt on the CS-DRMS X Progressing well Develop software to have daily, weekly, monthly, Progressing well and annual treasury plans X Law on competences of the TdC submitted to the X Implemented Awaits discussion in Parliament Parliament Clearance of the backlogs of public accounts by the Implemented TdC Energy Sector Adjustment in electricity and water tariffs further as X Partial adjustment suggested by ARE model only Application of the adjustment mechanism for X Partly The mechanism has been petroleum products as defined implemented implemented but has not been consistently applied Implementation of the adjustment mechanism for X Partly The mechanism has been water and electricity implemented implemented but has not X been consistently applied Implement measure to alleviate the impact of the Not implemented elimination of the subsidy on kerosene Pensions Progressing Further progress with pension reform X Slowly 18 Fiscal/Macroeconomic Stability Continue building up foreign exchange reserves to further strengthen the credibility of the peg Continue monitoring interest rates differentials with the Euro area and USA Continue reducing domestic debt Fiscal Management Control non-discretionary expenditures, especially wage bill Finalize the draft law on tax exemptions Register all expenditures and gross revenues in the budget Eliminate open-ended commitments Prepare MTEF on a rolling basis, by reviewing annually, and ensure adequate integration between MTEF and budget Correct dichotomy between GPRSP and Public Investment Program Public Finance Management Systems Move forward with the process leading to the adoption of the Budget Framework Law Implement the new chart of accounts Collect all revenues through banks Enforce the model of a single treasury account Adopt a risk based approach when preparing the working program for IGF Move forward with the process leading to the adoption of the draft of the Organic Law for the TdC Fiscal Decentralization Provide clarity on roles and responsibilities of the municipalities Provide municipalities with appropriate tools to boost tax collection Regulate land sales and borrowing Solve the arrears problem Provide clarity on the “contracts-programs” allocation criteria Strengthen controls from IGF and TdC Public Spending on Infrastructure Screen and evaluate infrastructure projects Conduct in-depth market studies Collect data regularly to help the decision process Strengthen technical capacity Strengthen regulation Prepare MTEF for infrastructure Provision in the budget for infrastructure maintenance 19 Areas for improvement Recommendations /Specific proposed actions Fiscal Policy / Fiscal Management Vulnerability to external shocks - Continue the prudent fiscal policy management in order to create space to absorb potential shocks and preserve the low risk of debt distress - Monetary policy should continue being oriented toward further accumulation of foreign exchange reserves to consolidate the credibility of the peg Tax exemptions/incentives account - Finalize the draft on tax exemptions for important revenue loss Wide-ranging tax evasion contributes - Develop a legal and strategic action framework to ensure operability of tax inspections and its link to other competent to the narrow nature of tax-payers institutions involved in criminal research database - Develop and implement IT supporting projects, and programs for tax management inspection - Reinforce inspections related to high risk tax-payers and critical areas Preeminence of nondiscriminatory - Continue restraining the wage bill expenditures - Greater control of transfer effectiveness Budget does not include all - Record all expenditures and gross revenues in the appropriate category in the budget, in the year they are relative to expenditures (and revenues), namely - Reduce open-ended commitments because there is no provision for such - Apply the adjustment mechanism for petroleum products and utility tariffs as stated by law expenditures (eg. oil subsidies) Variability in public investment - Prepare multi-annual framework with donors as part of the MTEF process program execution rate due to the - Encourage partners to provide updated data on projects unpredictability of foreign aid The first MTEF did not set up the - Move forward with the process leading to the adoption of the budget framework law in order to institutionalize the MTEF overall fiscal strategy, therefore - Prepare MTEF on a rolling basis, by reviewing it annually, and assure adequate integration between MTEF and budgetary producing very limited results - Build capacity on MTEF methodology Budget allocations are not - Correct current dichotomy between GPRSP and Public Investment Program for better conversion of GPRSP objectives into consistently in line with GPRSP actions objectives Budget preparation is prepared on a - Unify the coordination process of the budget preparation at the DGO and implement DGPOG’s in all sectors dual track The functional classification in - Update the functional classifier of expenditure according to COGOF. accordance with international standards Expenditures are sometimes - Establish a mandatory economic classification in a single payment form for all Government revenues. Collection should be classified incorrectly, which compels undertaken by accredited commercial banks (comply with the rules in the provision manual to provide revenue collection the SIGOF to do dual reclassification services) 20 Areas for improvement Recommendations /Specific proposed actions Fiscal Policy / Fiscal Management The process of revenue collection - Update the DGAs recollection procedures to the use of more automatic and reliable methods comprises both advanced and old payment forms The treasury does not know the - Enforce the model of single treasury account overall position of the availabilities - Map and transfer accounts of Government entities, including institutes and sovereign organs to the single account, except because resources are spread out where specific operational characteristics do not allow the use of a single account through several commercial banks The DGT continues to process most - Replace checks with electronic payments issued by the SIGOF and create records for each of the benefited financial of its payments through the issuance institutions of checks. Provide information on the -Publish an annex in the Budget Law that specifies the guarantees provided (including estimation of the amount) guarantees that the Treasury grants to the other public entities Increase the transparency in the -Clarify the relationship between Treasury and Central Bank with respect to remuneration of reserves and services provided relation between Treasury and - Centralize the issuance of titles at the Treasury, with the Central Bank participating in the secondary market for monetary Central Bank policy purposes The accounting system used is still - Develop specific software and undertake the inventory of the assets of the State composed of independent and - Implement the new chart of accounts, including the patrimonial flows disintegrated elements based on a simple-entry method SIGOF only registers budget - Register in SIGOF documents representing acts and facts that have budgetary, financial, equity, economic or management execution, without recording implications. accounting movements Delays in Juridical processes - The final inspection reports that detect some administrative irregularity or crime should be systematically sent to the TdC or undermines the usefulness of IGF PGR, respectively reports Due to lack of resources IFG cannot - Increase the resources of IGF so that it can fulfill effectively its mandate ensure permanent auditing IFG working program is not prepared - Adopt a risk management strategy, including development of historical trend series pinpointing public administration sectors on a risk base approach that have irregularities more frequently The draft of the organic law of the - Decrease from one year to six months the time for the executive power to submit national accounts to the General Assembly TdC is waiting for discussion in the Parliament for almost a year. 21 Areas for improvement Recommendations /Specific proposed actions Fiscal Policy / Fiscal Management TdC’s lack of access to SIGOF - Provide access to judges, auditors and technical personnel with access to SIGOF for consulting makes difficult the fulfillment of its mandate Fiscal Decentralization Knowledge on municipal finances is - Collect, analyze and disseminate annual consolidated data missing Insufficient knowledge about the tax - Assist municipalities in updating/establishing their land and taxpayers registries, and provide them with tools/methodologies basis to evaluate property value Land sale are used by some - Regulate the use of land sale proceeds and restrict or forbid use of land sales to finance operating expenditures municipalities as an important source of revenues Municipalities do not know in a - Improve communication of amounts to be transferees for a next fiscal year – even if based on estimates timely manner how much next year transfers will be Resources from decentralized - Implement mechanism of control in the management of contractos-programa cooperation should be maximized Borrowing is increasing - Ensure that the uses of borrowing comply with regulations and an adequate evaluation of the fiscal risks Lack of information and difficulties - Request update information regarding grants from the donors and record it in the budget in accounting for decentralized cooperation grants Some shared revenues suffer from - Continuation of the efforts to accelerate the circuit of transfers delays The situation of debts from - Clarify concession contract with Electra and protocols with other Institutions that provide goods and services to the municipalities towards public administration enterprises is far from resolved IGF inspected all the municipalities - Ensure that IGF continues to regularly inspect all municipalities for the first time in 2007 - Introduce internal and quality audit units at the municipalities Weak control from the TdC, which - The TdC should concentrate on certifying municipal accounts for the past two years, and external support should be has not certified municipal accounts contracted to review all past accounts in 7 years - Municipalities that do not transmit their accounts in time should be sanctioned Most municipalities do not comply - Central Government and municipalities should agree on mechanisms to comply with the law (Local Finances Law) with requirements on accounts presentation Municipalities suffer from weak - Conditions should be provided for the implementation of strategies and plans for the capacity development at the local level capacity 22 Areas for improvement Recommendations /Specific proposed actions Fiscal Policy / Fiscal Management Executed expenditures deviates - Improve planning instruments, including the preparation of MTEF significantly from budget expenditures Deficiencies in the processes of - Train local staff on the application of the Procurement Code (with the involvement of local training institutions) acquiring goods and services Public Spending on Infrastructure There is no MTEF for infrastructure - Prepare a MTEF for infrastructure to plan expenditures in a systematic way and in line with the budget Screening and evaluation of - Conduct cost-benefits analysis for the next budget cycle for projects above a certain amount infrastructure projects is deficient Insufficient information about the - Revision and evaluation of projects in execution (identification of the reasons for delays and evaluation of the economic projects in execution rationality) Many investments are delayed, - Prepare the Budget on the basis of a rolling MTEF cancelled or incomplete because of - Rationalize the portfolio the no materialization of aid - Identify by sector the reasons for the low execution rate (procurement, budget, absorption capacity) - Coordination of budget cycles - Develop a system of information that evaluates realistically the financing conditions including direct contributions Erratic performance and operational - Develop a system to monitor the performance of state companies on a regular basis (including the publication of annual efficiencies of some state companies reports) Lack of financial independence of - Transfer on a regular basis the fuel levy to the road maintenance fund the maintenance road fund - Improve the regularity and consistency of the transfers The definition of outcomes for - Review the indicators of output and outcome at different levels (project, company, region and country) that are measurable infrastructure is deficient, because of and possible to monitor over time the poor monitoring and evaluation - Include indicators of outcome in the updated logic framework system - Collect data regularly to inform decisions - Define standard for the publication of the performance of state companies. - Strengthen the monitoring and evaluation system 23