The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Implementation Status & Results Kazakhstan KAZSTAT: Strengthening the National Statistical System of Kazakhstan (P120985) 0 o Operation Name: KAZSTAT: Strengthening the National Statistical System of Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 6 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 05-Aug-2014 Kazakhstan (P120985) Country: Kazakhstan Approval FY: 2011 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA Lending Instrument: Adaptable Program Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 31-Mar-2011 Original Closing Date 30-Apr-2017 Planned Mid Term Review Date 20-Oct-2014 Last Archived ISR Date 26-Feb-2014 Effectiveness Date 24-Feb-2012 Revised Closing Date 30-Apr-2017 Actual Mid Term Review Date Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The main objective of the project is to improve efficiency and effectiveness of the national statistical system to provide relevant, timely and reliable data in line with internationally accepted methodology and best practices. The project will upgrade the conceptual, methodological and analytical skills of the ASRK and other data producer and user agencies of the country. This will position the ASRK to respond quickly and effectively to the new needs and priorities that will arise in the future. The main beneficiaries ofthe project outcomes are the ASRK, the Government and the general public as well as international development partners. The principal outcome of this project will be an improved national statistical system that can inform the Government#s decision-making processby providing timely and accurate economic and social data. It will also help Government monitor progress towards national development goals. The specific outputs of the project are:improved institutional framework that will encourage statistical development; improved information technology (IT) infrastructure; strengthened human resources through training in statistical operations; improved statistical infrastructure through application of internationally accepted methodologies and data quality standards; developed statistical production system that continuously adapts to evolving needs of the society and economy through user-producer dialogues; institutionalized core statistical activities, including poverty monitoring;increased output of reliable statistics by consolidating andstrengthening existing surveys and administrative sources, and by designing and conducting new data-generating activities; and timely dissemination, information-sharing, and the use of data for policy decisions. c. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? 0 0 Co 0 Yes @No P Page 1 of 11 ( The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Improvement of the Institutional Framework and Operations of the Statistical System 1.21 Improvement of Information and Communication Systems and Physical Infrastructure 6.16 o Improvement of Human Resources 0.70 (D D Improvement of Statistical Infrastructure, Standards and Methodology 1.59 Improvement of user, provider and statistical agency relations 1.25 iz Improvement of Individual Subject Matter Programs and Methodologies 8.44 Project Management 0.42 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating Low Low Implementation Status Overview This ISR is submitted following the supervision implementation visit in May 2014. The mission had meetings with the Agency of Republic of Kazakhstan on Statistics (Agency) management, project component leaders and relevant staff as well as the Project Implementation Working Group (PIWG) to discuss the progress and next steps. It was observed that the Agency management, project component leaders and relevant staff have very much involved in project activities and strong ownership of the project continues. The implementation of the project is moving on schedule as planned. So far 31 percent of activities have been completed as part of the technical assistance provided by the consortium. Given that the project has three years until the closing date, this is a good indicator that the remaining activities could easily be completed on time before the closing of the project. Consortium requested active role from PIWG reporting the decisions on selected issues also establish general periodic deadline for the provision of ToR to help planning and finding experts and create output monitoring to link the inputs/activities carried out with the results achieved. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Kazakhstan Not Entered Baykonyr Kazakhstan Not Entered Astana 0 Kazakhstan Not Entered Almaty T) Results C Project Development Objective Indicators Page 2 of 11 ( The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target User satisfaction rates have significantly Percentage Value increased by the closing date Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 30-Apr-2017 Comments ASRK has been conducting One consulting mission and 2 80% of users are satisfied by (3 user satisfaction surveys study visits by experts for the ASRK products. since 2008 with questions agency staff have been mainly about the type of completed on the subject. organization (state 61%, During the study visit held on business 13%, education December 01-08, 2013, the a 13%, other 12%); satisfaction ARKS specialists has studied .0 with the volume of published the procedure to measure the statistics (85.7%); satisfaction burden on respondents based with presentation of statistics on the experience of the (good 44.4%, bad, more Statistical Office of Germany. analytics needed 47.1, more The ARKS specialists have graphics needed); reliability of acquired methodological statistical data 33.2% trust knowledge and practical skills fully,74% trust to 75%;, in measuring the burden on preferred way of receiving respondents. statistical information - direct access to DB including via Internet (66.2%); usage ofwebsite (yes 51.31%/no 48.9%); availability of needed information (yes 50%/no); and suggestions for improvement. It contains no question about DATA QUALITY. Statistical products are easily accessible in Years Value relevant media with metadata and Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 30-Apr-2017 interpretation of findings Comments ASRK has a website that Based on the results of the Number of visits to the web- includes some metadata and mission, ARKS proposed to site of the Agency will reach can track how many time their have "Designing corporate 800 000 a year. o website was accessed. The style and improving standards website needs significant for formatting/publishing improvement as well as the statistical publications" within production of data and the available KAZSTAT publications in electronic project resources. Proposals format (CD). to reallocate resources and 2 amend the KAZSTAT Work 25 Plan have been agreed with n.. the DESTATIS experts and the ARKS management. Page 3 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Consulting mission has been conducted in March 2014 on the topic "Web-portal" by experts from the Korean office (Kostat). As soon as the o recommendations provided by the experts are approved by the ARKS management, it is planned to improve the main page of the ARKS's web portal. -) Moreover, based on the experience of the KOSTAT, it is planned to develop visualized statistical contents at the ARKS's web portal. Internationally accepted statistical techniques Years Value in collection, compilation, and authenticity Date 17-Mar-2011 15-Nov-2013 30-Apr-2017 verification are applied and regular validations are carried out for data sources and statistical Comments ARKS complies with the In this area, 8 consulting 100% of standards and products international standards and missions and 6 study visits classifications fully comply bring its methodology into line have been completed. 46 with the international with up-to-date international employees of the regional standards standards with certain delay statistical offices have been (usually one year) trained on the theme "Quality Assurance Basics: Experience of the Statistical Office of Germany". Statistical outputs are released within the time Percentage Value limits and with frequency meeting SDDS Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 30-Apr-2017 requirements Comments In majority, ASRK meets the The work in this area has All Statistical outputs are requirements of SDDS already started and moving as released on internationally planned. The target of 40 % is accepted time line. achieved. 0 o Intermediate Results Indicators -a Page 4 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Mechanisms for effective inter-agency Text Value coordination are established and operational. Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 Comments ARKS coordinates statistical Inter-agency Working Group Effective inter-agency O activities and collection of is having regular meetings coordination is in place. official data. But, there was and functioning well. no comprehensive evaluation of existing departmental and centralized statistical L) reporting conducted in terms of usefulness of data collected, identification of unnecessary information and duplication. Mechanisms for effective dialogue with the Text Value data users and providers are operational Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 Comments Underdeveloped. No user Four consulting missions and Effective dialog between needs survey was conducted. 1 study visit were conducted. users and producers of Consulting mission on statistical data is in place. "Business register", "Population and housing stock" have been conducted in October/November 2013. Currently, the ARKS is undertaking the following activities: integration with the administrative sources, search for new attributes from the administrative data, accumulation of information in the register systems. Based on the recommendations provided by the international o experts, the methodological guidelines for maintaining the Statistical Population Register were revised in 2013. ARKS central and local level structure Text Value C optimized and staff trained including staff from Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 30-Apr-2012 relevant ministries and agencies. Comments Optimization was not The ARKS employees who 100% of local and regional n. conducted. Local level staff is were trained on the Page 5 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 trained by central office staff. "Presentation, facilitation and offices are optimized and staff In some cases, some consultation skills for trained. personnel at both central and statistical trainers" are local levels were trained by scheduled to take the international organizations. advanced course later this o year. English language courses are currently being arranged. Pursuant to the Order of theAgency of the Republic of Kazakhstan for r-) Statistics dated March 28, -) 2014, No.60, the staff of the Central Office of the ARKS increased by 11 employees (due to transferring 11 employees from the territorial bodies to the central office). Registers are compiled and being maintained. Text Value Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 Comments Takes place, but, there are Consulting mission on All registers are properly problems of register "Business register", maintained and used for actualization, use of data for "Population and housing sample surveys. the surveys. stock" have been conducted in October/November 2013. The Statistical Business Register at ARKS is in a good state. Its advantages are good administrative sources and structure. The process for building up the register-based population and housing statistics database is in the very beginning in the ARKS. The starting point for this work is a good one because all the U basic elements exist. Internationally accepted classifications Text Value o standards and methodologies are adapted and Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 U used in data production. Comments Introduction of changes into A number of consulting ARKS is in full compliance o internationally accepted missions, training and study with the international classifications is needed. visits have been conducted. classification and standards. Consulting missions on topics of Financial Accountsand Page 6 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Improvement of generating supply/use table were conducted. To move to SNA2008, the other changes in the volume of assets o 0 accountand the revaluation account are currently being compiled, and the compilation of the capital account is currently being improved. Indicators of the financial -) sector have been estimated in accordance with the SNA2008 subsectors. The specialists of the Current Accounts Division have filled in the form of the Tabular Approach for the following activities: agriculture, industry. The specialists are currently filling in the form of the Tabular Approach for transportation and warehousing. Currently, the specialists of the Current Accounts Division are updating the estimations on illegal production of alcoholic beverages, as well as on consumption of alcoholic beverages by households. The output matrices and the intermediate consumption matrices for each institutional sector generated based on the data for the year 2012 have been presented to the expert for further recommendations. Moreover, - the Input-Output Tables have been compiled using two a methods: the method based on the industry technology assumption and the method based on the product Page 7 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 technology assumption. Methodological Guidelines for Formulating Price Index in Housing Market, No.34 has been approved on December o 19,2013. In December 2013, the ARKS prepared Methodological Guidelines for Formulating R&D and Innovation Statistics Indicators. The Social and -) Demographic Statistics Department of the ARKS is currently revising the Methodological Guidelines for Collecting MigrationStatistical Data. To improve the methods of estimating labour costs index of Kazakhstan, the ARKS shall prepare quarterly tables ofworking days in Kazakhstan. The calendar and seasonal adjustments of the LCI time series have been implemented. Quarterly tables ofworking days in Kazakhstan will be prepared; based on the data provided during the next mission (October 2014), calendar and seasonal adjustments of the LCI time series will be implemented. Standard questionnaires for surveys developed Text Value and applied. Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 0 Comments Was not developed. Based on the Standard All existing questionnaires International Energy Product and official statistical forms Classification (IRES, 2011), are reviewed and revised. - the Statistical Energy Product Classification has been a prepared with direct involvement of the Consortium experts. The Ministry of Environment and Page 8 of 11 The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Water Resources of the Republic of Kazakhstan (MEWR) has agreed and approved the Questionnaire to survey enterprises with o facilities powered by renewable energy sources. Moreover, the MEWR's list of the facilities powered by renewable energy sources has been used for -) comparison when preparing a listof respondents for this survey. Introducing the CATI- based primary statistical data collection in agricultural sector", statisticalsurveys which will be involved for pilot CATI-based data collection have been defined. As of today, the draft modular questionnaires for the statistical forms selected for the pilot project have been prepared; the methodological guidelines for telephone surveys in agricultural statistics is being drafted using the materials provided by the expert. A Study Visit on "International experience insurveying living standard", which included a training course, has been carried out by ARKS specialists in 0 November 2013 in Finland.2. The activity has been included in the Action Plan for launching the computer - assisted personal interviewing in surveying living standards a- of households (tentative testing date within the pilot project is June 2014). Page 9 of 11 ( The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 ICT Capacity for operations is adequate and Text Value well maintained. Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 29-Apr-2017 Comments Some of the workstations are 3 consulting missions were ICT network was installed and outdated ICT needs done so far. ARKS has operational o - improvement. prepared a technical specification for purchasing the services to draft terms of reference for designing CATI. The study visit identified the r- best practices of -) telecommunication system and data communication network. With the organizational assessment of Classification and IT department (CITD), influential factors of IT unit were derived based on the study of the ARKS' internal and external environment, current organizational structure and functions, and interviews with team heads and directors. Based on the assessment, additional missions were required. The ARKS will be upgrading its network and security system in order to support its statistical system in a stable manner. All relevant staff at ARKS have workstations Percentage Value with access to databases for analysis and Date 17-Mar-2011 15-May-2014 30-Apr-2017 tabulations. Comments Needs improvement. The Agency plans to arrange All staff have workstations courses for statisticians on and able to use them U the relevant thematic issues effectively. through electronic public procurement using the funds allocated for professional development of the employees. . Data on Financial Performance (as of 11-Jul-2014) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Page 10 of 11 ( The World Bank Report No: ISR15247 Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P120985 IBRD-80230 Effective 31-Mar-2011 26-Aug-2011 24-Feb-2012 30-Apr-2017 30-Apr-2017 Disbursements (in Millions) o Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed 0 (D P120985 IBRD-80230 Effective USD 20.00 20.00 0.00 6.57 13.43 33.00 ( Disbursement Graph - Original ---- Formally Revised -- Actual 7- 6- 5- 4 r% M/ M L Key Decisions Regarding Implementation To improve the project management structure and strengthen the coordination in the project, the partners agreed to add a position to support the ARKS coordinator and Long-Term Adviser position has been tendered. 0i Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. o U Related Projects n There are no related projects. 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