The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) AFRICA | Rwanda | Education Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AFCE2 | Responsible Unit: GED01 IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2018 | Team Leader(s): Ruth Karimi Charo Seq No: 4 | ARCHIVED on 22-Apr-2019 | ISR36021 | Created by: Ruth Karimi Charo on 08-Feb-2019 | Modified by: Belinda Mutesi on 12-Apr-2019 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) The Program Development Objective is to expand opportunities for the acquisition of quality, market-relevant skills in selected economic sectors. The selected economic sectors include Energy, Transport and Logistics, and Manufacturing (with a focus on ‘Made in Rwanda’ products such as construction materials, light manufacturing and agro-processing). Building skills to advance the country’s economic agenda is a key priority of the GoR’s ongoing Economic Development and Poverty Reduction Strategy-2 (EDPRS 2) launched in 2013. EDPRS 2 builds on the country’s Vision 2020 which seeks to transform the country by raising its per capita GDP to middle-incomelevel by 2020. The Program is grounded in the Government of Rwanda’s (GoR) National Employment Programs (NEP) approved by Cabinet in 2014. NEP was designed to address the employment challenges in Rwanda and equip its population with the skills required to supporteconomic development. The main results areas of the operation are: (i) reinforcing governance of the skills development system; (ii) ensuring provision of quality training programs with market relevance; (iii) expanding opportunities for continuous upgrading ofjob-relevant skills for sustained employability; and (iv) capacity building for implementation. The Program will disburse against achievement of specific Disbursement Linked Results (DLRs) in these results areas Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions Program implementation is progressing well. Most of the outstanding issues are resolved. Completion of these preliminary activities was critical to facilitate progress towards achievement of Disbursement Linked Results (DLRs). Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P252350 IDA-61190 Effective USD 120.00 120.00 0.00 53.71 68.39 44% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P252350 IDA-61190 Effective 05-Jul-2017 17-Jul-2017 26-Oct-2017 30-Sep-2020 30-Sep-2020 4/22/2019 Page 1 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Program Action Plan Action Description Provision of advice on change management to heads of the institutions that will undergo restructuring Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 31-Aug-2018 Revised Date Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Train a cadre of project management staff to better understand best practice, procedures and systems Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client Due Date 28-Sep-2018 Revised Date Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Technical expertise to be engaged in the areas of curriculum, pedagogy, assessment, ICT and management Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Recurrent Continuous In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Upgrade the quality and number of instructors at TVET level Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Recurrent Continuous In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Increased capacity required in quality assurance and regulation of institutions 4/22/2019 Page 2 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Recurrent Continuous In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Partner with an international apex institution to understand the role of an apex body Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Due Date 29-Jun-2018 In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Development and operation of a student loan MIS Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Due Date 31-Dec-2018 Revised Date Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Development of a M&E system to be undertaken considering multiple agencies Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client CESB Due Date 31-Aug-2018 In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Strengthen inspection and monitoring of tertiary institutions Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status DLI 6 Client-CESB Recurrent Continuous In Progress 4/22/2019 Page 3 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Completion Measurement Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance Low Low Low Macroeconomic Low Low Low Sector Strategies and Policies Moderate Moderate Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program Substantial Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability Substantial Moderate Moderate Fiduciary Moderate Moderate Moderate Environment and Social Moderate Moderate Moderate Stakeholders Moderate Moderate Moderate Other -- -- -- Overall Substantial Substantial Substantial RiskComments Comments No changes Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Ensure provision of quality training programs with market relevance IN00669911 ►New or updated programs accredited for occupations in at least one of the selected economic sectors (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 13.00 13.00 17.00 46.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 This indicator is on track. Four programs were finalized and accredited( 3 UR degree programs and I RP Comments TVET program). 4/22/2019 Page 4 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Expanding opportunities for continuous upgrading of job relevant skills for sustained employability IN00669912 ►Percentage of SDF supported trainees employed/self-employed 6 months after graduation(% of female graduates:34) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 This indicator is on track. About 5, 875 are recruited under the ‘first call’ for the SDF. These will complete training from July 2019 onwards. The tracer studies for the 'first call' cohort will therefore be conducted from Comments January 2020. IN00669913 ►Improved sustainability of financing for long term training programs as measured by student loan recovery(percentage) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 16.00 16.00 19.00 27.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 The BRD is continuing to strengthen the EFMIS and its functionality. According to BRD, 7,197 student loan beneficiaries have been traced through the new system, and approximately US$ 4,255,847 recovered from Comments these students. Capacity building for implementation IN00669910 ►Capacity Building for targeted entities in five areas, each with progress milestones, is completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 This indicator is on track. RDB-CSO prepared a consolidated 3-year plan with milestones (training targets), Comments which was verified by the OAG and accepted by the Bank. Implementation of the plan is ongoing. Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Reinforce governance of the skills development system IN00669914 ►Strengthened Pillar 1 (skills development) of the NEP, as evidenced by the implementation of a JPC that integrates the results of the sector level action plans (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 Skills assessments for the additional two sectors, Transport & Logistics (T&L) and Manufacturing (agro- Comments processing) is complete. RDB-CSO will develop NEP JPC for FY 2019/20 reflecting key elements from the action plans for these two sectors. 4/22/2019 Page 5 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) IN00669918 ►Action plans for specialized technical and professional skills development are formulated for the selected economic (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 Skills assessments and related action plans for two sectors, Transport & Logistics (T&L) and Comments Manufacturing (agro-processing) is complete. The action plans were submitted to the OAG for verification. IN00669921 ►Key elements of the action plans are incorporated in NEP JPC (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 Skills assessments and action plans for two sectors, Transport & Logistics (T&L) and Manufacturing (agro- processing) is complete. RDB-CSO is developing the NEP JPC for FY 2019/20 reflecting key elements Comments from the action plans for these two sectors. IN00669923 ►Skills Development and Employment Promotion Strategy as a follow-on to the NEP is approved by Cabinet (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 RDB-CSO has now contracted an external firm, Dalberg, to support preparation of the NSDEPS. Relevant stakeholder consultations on the inception report are ongoing. RDB-CSO is encourage to consider a more Comments realistic timeline for preparing the NSDEPS, so as to ensure adequate quality assurance of the Strategy by a small technical group constituted for the purpose. Ensure provision of quality training programs with market relevance IN00669917 ►Number of accredited new or updated programs taught by staff participating in industry attachments in the selected economic sectors. (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 For the new energy programs, UR has identified relevant companies and institutions where selected staff will undertake industrial attachment between April and September 2019. Staff attachment in T&L and Agro- processing related companies and institutions will depend on development of new and updated programs in Comments these areas, and the roll out of the same. RDB-CSO can help facilitate RP’s access to companies to set up similar attachments for RP staff. IN00669920 ►Percentage of new or updated programs with a modularized design aligned with the REQF in the selected economic sectors (Percentage, Custom) 4/22/2019 Page 6 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 The REQF was approved. However, the guidelines are still under review. The four energy programs were developed following a modularized design and in accordance with the required DACUM process and the Comments current REQF framework. The program interventions are informing further improvements for the REQF guidelines. Expanding opportunities for continuous upgrading of job relevant skills for sustained employability IN00669915 ►Number of graduates of SDF supported programs by window (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 9,000.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 This indicator is on track. First cohort of 5,875 SDF trainees were recruited and placed with various service Comments providers. IN00669919 ►BRD Loan Recovery Management Information System is operational (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 The BRD team is finalizing improvements for the EFMIS and its functionality. The OAG verification report of December 2018 pointed out the need for BRD to complete data entry in the EFMIS for the 1980-2015 loan Comments beneficiaries. IN00669922 ►Number of loan recipients from the 1980 – 2015 cohort who are repaying loans that are registered in the loan recovery MIS (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 10,000.00 10,000.00 17,197.00 25,000.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 According to BRD, 7,197 student loan beneficiaries have been traced through the new system, and Comments approximately US$ 4,255,847 recovered from these students. IN00669924 ►Number of students receiving loans for long-term training (% female, % STEM) (Number, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 7,607.00 8,668.00 8,668.00 9,370.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 Comments Number will be updated in next FY 2019/2020 4/22/2019 Page 7 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Capacity building for implementation IN00669916 ►Capacity building for targeted entities in five areas, each with progress milestones, is completed (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 30-Sep-2020 RDB-CSO prepared a consolidated 3-year plan with milestones (training targets), which was verified by the Comments OAG and accepted by the Bank. Implementation of the plan is ongoing. Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 Strengthened Pillar 1 (skills development) of the NEP, as evidenced by the implementation of a JPC that integrates the results of the sector level action plans (Intermediate Outcome, 25.00, 12000000%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value No No No Yes Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- .This DLR is on track. Skills assessments reports and related action plans for two sectors, Transport & Logistics (T&L) and Manufacturing (agro-processing) is now complete. RDB-CSO is developing the NEP JPC reflecting key elements of the these action plans for incorporation in the NEP JPC for FY 2019/20. RDB-CSO Comments has also contracted an external firm, Dalberg, to support preparation of the NSDEPS, which is a follow on to the National Employment Program, 2015-19. RDE-CSO has been advised to follow a more realistic timeline for preparing the NSDEPS, so as to enable adequate quality assurance for the Strategy. ►DLI 2 New or updated programs accredited for occupations in at least one of the selected economic sectors (Intermediate Outcome, 30.50, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value 13.00 13.00 17.00 3.00 Date -- 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- This indicator is on track. Four new programs were finalized and accredited. New and updated programs are being development based on the completed skills assessments for two sectors, Transport & Logistics (T&L) Comments and Manufacturing (agro-processing). ►DLI 3 Number of accredited new or updated programs taught by staff participating in industry attachments in the selected economic sectors (Intermediate Outcome, 5.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value 13.00 13.00 13.00 -- 4/22/2019 Page 8 of 9 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Rwanda Priority Skills for Growth (PSG) (P252350) Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- For the new energy programs, UR has identified relevant companies and institutions where selected staff will undertake industrial attachment between April and September 2019. Staff attachment in T&L and Agro- Comments processing related companies and institutions will depend on development of new and updated programs in these areas, and the roll out of the same. ►DLI 4 Number of graduates of Skills Development Fund (SDF) supported programs by window (Intermediate Outcome, 24.50, 17346939%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 -- Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- This indicator is on track. About 5,875 trainees are recruited under the first call of teh SDF. These are Comments expected to graduate from July 2019 on wards-the training programs differ in duration. ►DLI 5 Improved sustainability of financing for long term training programs as measured by student loan recovery (Intermediate Outcome, 25.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value 16.00 16.00 17.00 11.00 Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- BRD is still working on the students’ loan management information system. According to BRD, 7,197 student loan beneficiaries have been traced through the new system, and approximately US$ 4,255,847 recovered Comments from these students. ►DLI 6 Capacity building for targeted entities in five areas, each with progress milestones, is completed (Intermediate Outcome, 10.00, 0%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) March 2020 Value No No No -- Date 05-Jul-2017 14-Sep-2018 21-Mar-2019 -- The indicator is on track. RDB-CSO prepared a consolidated 3-year plan with milestones (training targets), Comments which was verified by the OAG and accepted by the Bank. Implementation of the plan is ongoing. 4/22/2019 Page 9 of 9