Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) AFRICA | Africa | Water Global Practice | IBRD/IDA | Investment Project Financing | FY 2015 | Seq No: 4 | ARCHIVED on 27-Dec-2016 | ISR26459 | Implementing Agencies: Zambezi River Authority Key Dates Key Project Dates Bank Approval Date:09-Dec-2014 Effectiveness Date:20-Aug-2015 Planned Mid Term Review Date:30-Mar-2018 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:-- Original Closing Date:28-Feb-2025 Revised Closing Date:28-Feb-2025 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The Project Development Objective is to assist in improving the safety and reliability of the Kariba Dam. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? No PHRPDODEL Components Name Component 1: Institutional and Project Management:(Cost $70.30 M) Component 2: Plunge Pool Reshaping:(Cost $99.30 M) Component 3: Spillway Refurbishment:(Cost $124.60 M) Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Moderately Satisfactory  Moderately Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Substantial  Substantial Implementation Status and Key Decisions 12/27/2016 Page 1 of 5 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) The project is proceeding in accordance with agreed milestones. The Technical Services and Supervision Consultant commenced in January 2016 and is providing a more predictable timeline with clearly defined deliverables which have been achieved. This included preparation and submission of the Techno-Economic Optimization Study along with the Detailed Design Review Reports for the Plunge Pool Reshaping and the Spillway Refurbishment. The Plunge Pool tenders have been evaluated and award of contract is expected in early 2017. The recent drought and low levels of the Kariba reservoir reduce the risk of spilling and provides an opportunity to accelerate implementation of the works. The Spillway Refurbishment is anticipating a delay in the award of contract from June to October 2017. This is due to an improved concept that is expected to result in an accelerated implementation schedule for the works with predicted time and cost savings. Efforts will be made to expedite procurement review processes in order to address the delay. The Panel of Experts for both Dam Safety and Environmental and Social continue to be in place and meeting regularly to provide support with the Zambezi River Authority. Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance  --  Moderate  Moderate Macroeconomic  --  Low  Low Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Low  Low Technical Design of Project or Program  --  High  High Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability  --  Moderate  Moderate Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Substantial  Substantial Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Substantial  Substantial Results Project Development Objective Indicators PHINDPDOTBL  Number of people benefitting in the project area through risk reduction and avoided disaster (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Dam break analysis 3,000,000 3,000,000 at risk from under implementation people no Value -- failure and informing detailed longer at risk assessment. from failure Date 27-Feb-2015 31-May-2016 04-Nov-2016 28-Feb-2025 12/27/2016 Page 2 of 5 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) PHINDPDOTBL  Emergency Preparedness Plan adopted and operationalized (Yes/No, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value N Y Y Y Date 27-Feb-2015 31-May-2016 04-Nov-2016 28-Feb-2025 Overall Comments Intermediate Results Indicators PHINDIRITBL  Emergency Preparedness Plan Updated (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Existing EPP limits Updated EPP Reviewed by TS&S Value operations due to dam -- adopted and Consultants safety concerns operationalized Date 27-Feb-2015 31-May-2016 04-Nov-2016 27-Feb-2025 PHINDIRITBL  Dam Break Analysis Completed and Integrated into the EPP (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Flood inundation and Limited information Value -- Ongoing risk maps available integrated into EPP Date 27-Feb-2015 31-May-2016 04-Nov-2016 27-Feb-2025 PHINDIRITBL  Plunge Pool: Volume Excavated (Cubic Meter(m3), Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 0.00 -- 0.00 300,000.00 Date 27-Feb-2015 -- 04-Nov-2016 27-Feb-2020 12/27/2016 Page 3 of 5 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) PHINDIRITBL  Spillway: Gates Refurbished (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The TS&S Consultant has been appointed, Detailed Design Review Report completed with recommendation for an 6 gates Value 0 gates refurbished -- alternative design that refurbished will save time and money. Pre-Qualification Document review and Bidding Documents under preparation. Date 27-Feb-2015 31-May-2016 04-Nov-2016 27-Feb-2025 PHINDIRITBL  Spillway: Rule Curve (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target The rule curve will be reviewed and revised as part of the ongoing process of the preparation for the works. The TS&S Rule curve Rule curve reduced by Value -- Consultant has restored to full 3.5m completed the initial supply level review associated with the plunge pool and the design review report is being prepared for the spillway refurbishment. Date 27-Feb-2015 -- 04-Nov-2016 27-Feb-2025 Overall Comments Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed P146515 IDA-55630 Effective USD 75.00 75.00 0.00 1.25 67.19 2% P146515 TF-19029 Effective USD 20.00 20.00 0.00 0.16 19.84 1% 12/27/2016 Page 4 of 5 Public Disclosure Copy Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kariba Dam Rehabilitation Project (RI) (P146515) Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P146515 IDA-55630 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 28-Feb-2025 28-Feb-2025 P146515 TF-19029 Effective 09-Dec-2014 20-Feb-2015 20-Aug-2015 30-Sep-2019 30-Sep-2019 Cumulative Disbursements Restructuring History There has been no restructuring to date. Related Project(s) There are no related projects. 12/27/2016 Page 5 of 5 Public Disclosure Copy