The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) AFRICA | Kenya | Poverty and Equity Global Practice | Requesting Unit: AFCE2 | Responsible Unit: EA1PV IBRD/IDA | Program-for-Results Financing | FY 2016 | Team Leader(s): Utz Johann Pape Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 26-Dec-2019 | ISR39853 | Created by: Nduati Maina Kariuki on 08-Dec-2019 | Modified by: Nduati Maina Kariuki on 13-Dec-2019 Program Development Objectives Program Development Objective (from Program Appraisal Document) To support the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. Overall Ratings Name Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Satisfactory Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Satisfactory Satisfactory Implementation Status and Key Decisions The Kenyan Statistics Program-for-Results supports the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics to generate better and more accessible data to inform policy-makers and contribute to strengthening its capacity. The Program, funded with SDR 35.6 million (approximately US$ 50 million) by the World Bank, was approved September 10, 2015 and became effective February 10, 2016. The disbursement rate is expected to increase to 88 percent before the next implementation support review in June 2020. The Program's progress is assessed as satisfactory. Data on Financial Performance Disbursements (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P149718 IDA-57170 Effective USD 50.00 50.00 0.00 32.42 16.60 66% Key Dates (by loan) Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date P149718 IDA-57170 Effective 10-Sep-2015 02-Oct-2015 10-Feb-2016 31-Dec-2020 31-Dec-2020 12/26/2019 Page 1 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) DLI Disbursement Achievement Disbursed amount in Disbursement % DLI ID DLI Type Description Coc DLI Amount Status Coc for DLI Loan: IDA57170-001 Integrated program of Partially 1 Regular XDR 9,968,000.00 7,476,000.03 75 % economic surveys Achieved Integrated program of Partially 2 Regular XDR 11,392,000.00 7,818,845.74 69 % household surveys Achieved Strenthening of economic Partially 3 Regular XDR 4,984,000.00 2,842,519.06 57 % sector capacity Achieved Compilation of the IMF Partially 4 Regular XDR 2,136,000.00 1,068,000.00 50 % DQAF Achieved Partially 5 Regular Development of an ARC XDR 3,204,000.00 2,132,711.43 67 % Achieved Acess to official household Partially 6 Regular XDR 2,492,000.00 1,789,856.37 72 % survey data Achieved CRA Action plan, Fin Mgt Partially 7 Regular XDR 1,424,000.00 356,000.00 25 % and RM strength Achieved Program Action Plan Before Appraisal, the KNBS will apoint a Program Coordinator in the Office of the Director General to help facilitate, Action Description manage and monitor the implementation of the Program Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 30-Apr-2015 Completed Completion Measurement Comments A focal point will be appointed in the National Treasury to help ensure adequate Program budget provisions, to serve Action Description as a liaison person for stakeholders, and to help address cross-cutting issues related to Program implementation Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 31-Mar-2016 Completed Completion Measurement Comments To strengthen M&E practices, the KNBS will design and utilize a standardized templates that will be used across Action Description Directorates for Program monitoring purposes on the results framework, the DLIs and the PAPs 12/26/2019 Page 2 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Recurrent Yearly Completed Completion Measurement Comments To provide coordination oversight for the Program the GoK shall establish, within 3 months after the effectiveness Action Description date, a Program Steering Committee (PSC) comprising PS Planning, PS National Treasury and DG KNBS that will meet semi-annually Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 10-May-2016 Completed Completion Measurement Comments Provide adequate storage space with restricted access to procurement records to ensure records are maintained in a Action Description safe and secure environment Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 01-Jun-2016 In Progress Completion Measurement The KNBS is scheduled to move in 2019 into a new building with designated adequate storage space. Therefore, the Comments implementation of this program action point is postponed until the move into the new building is completed. All E-waste will be disposed via an approved recycling facility. Awareness and sensitization training for all managerial Action Description and director level KNBS staff on E-waste management practices will be conducted. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 01-Jun-2016 Completed Completion Measurement Comments Within 6 months following the procurement audit by PPOA (to take place during the operation’s lifespan), KNBS will Action Description prepare an action plan documenting compliance with PPOA review findings 12/26/2019 Page 3 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 30-Jun-2020 Not Yet Due Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Procurement planning integrated and aligned to the budgeting process Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Prepare Contracts Management Plan/Manual (CMP) outlining clear responsibilities, procedures and guidelines for Action Description contracts management; and integrate contract management and monitoring with FMIS Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Due Date 01-Jun-2016 In Progress Completion Measurement The setup of the FMIS was only recently completed, which is a prerequisite of this action point. The action point is Comments expected to be fulfilled in 2019. Planning and Budgeting: Align the KNBS annual budgeting process to the MTEF to ensure adequate funds for the Action Description program Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Recurrent Yearly In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Treasury Management and Funds Flow: Improve adequacy and timeliness of exchequer releases Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status 12/26/2019 Page 4 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Client Recurrent Semi-Annually In Progress Completion Measurement Comments The KNBS will establish a technical working group which will meet quarterly with development partner to facilitate Action Description effective coordination of TA activities Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Client Recurrent Quarterly In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Action Description Audit of the upgraded FMIS system for performance to ensure it continues to deliver. Source DLI# Responsibility Timing Timing Value Status Internal Auditor Recurrent Semi-Annually In Progress Completion Measurement Comments Risks Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating Political and Governance -- Substantial Substantial Macroeconomic -- Moderate Moderate Sector Strategies and Policies -- Substantial Substantial Technical Design of Project or Program -- Substantial Substantial Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability -- Substantial Substantial Fiduciary -- Moderate Moderate Environment and Social -- Low Low Stakeholders -- Moderate Moderate 12/26/2019 Page 5 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Other -- -- -- Overall -- Substantial Substantial Results PDO Indicators by Objectives / Outcomes Inform policy-makers IN00781519 ►Inform development strategies, policies and poverty reduction programs of the Government of Kenya (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Outdated poverty statistics Data production from and household survey KSPforR are used in the Poverty and labor data (2005/06) being used All three intermediate Value MTP-3 as well as for indicators were used to to infrom poverty reduction targets achieved proxy-means testing. inform MTP-3. targeting and resource allocations Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 11-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments Generate better data IN00781520 ►Produce regular poverty monitoring data and statistics (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Updated poverty numbers for 2015/16 are Poverty statistics are published. outdated (2005/06) and KCHS poverty there is insufficient estimates to be All five intermediate Value Poverty monitoring using capacity to monitor disseminated in first targets achieved the KCHS will be poverty at least once quarter of 2020. available by the end of every 3 years 2019. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 11-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00781583 ►Produce better real and external sector economic data (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Insufficient capacity to CPI and PPI series are CPI and PPI series are meet SDDS criteria in all being produced and will being produced and will All five intermediate Value real and external sector be available online in be available online in targets achieved data categories 2019. the first quarter of 2020. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 11-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments 12/26/2019 Page 6 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Generate more accessible data IN00781581 ►Improve access to official survey microdata (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target KCHS 1st year Microdata files not Agreed microdata is microdata to be All five intermediate Value available on-line and not available online. available in first quarter targets achieved freely obtainable of 2020. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 11-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments Strengthen the capacity of the KNBS IN00781582 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 55.60 55.60 69.00 Date 19-Aug-2015 17-May-2019 11-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments Intermediate Results Indicators by Results Areas Data gaps filled and capacity strengthened through the implementation of integrated survey programs IN00781584 ►Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Integrated Survey of SIP report is awaiting National Accounts source Services (ISS) competition of peer- All four intermediate Value data incomplete and partly conducted, report review process. Report targets achieved outdated produced and available will be available online online. in January 2020. Date 30-Jun-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 28-Jun-2019 Comments IN00781588 ►Improve Overall Statistical Capacity Score (SCI) (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 54.00 55.60 55.60 69.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments 12/26/2019 Page 7 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Quality of key official statistical products and processes improved IN00781585 ►Compile the IMF data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target DQAF for 3 macro- DQAF for 3 macro- economic datasets is economic datasets is DQAF not compiled for DQAF compiled and available. DQAF for 4 available. DQAF for 4 Value any of the seven macro- published for 5 macro- macro-economic macro-economic economic datasets economic datasets datasets is being datasets is being compiled. compiled. Date 30-Jun-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments IN00781589 ►Proportion of Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS) requirements met or partially met (Percentage, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Value 72.00 88.00 88.00 100.00 Date 30-Jun-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments Dissemination practices strengthened and access to data improved IN00781586 ►Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target Develop and publish ARC for 6 data an ARC covering 10 categories is published. ARC for 8 data data categories of the Value ARC not used ARC for 8 data categories is published. Special Data categories is being Dissemination prepared. Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2020 Comments Management systems strengthened IN00781587 ►Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and record management systems (Text, Custom) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target CRA action plan has CRA action plan has been endorsed and been endorsed and CRA conducted and partially implemented partially implemented Both of the 2 endorsed action plan with complete Value with complete intermediate targets prepared by KNBS and implementation implementation expected achieved fully implemented expected by Q1 of by the end of 2019. FMIS 2020. FMIS is is operational. operational. 12/26/2019 Page 8 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) Date 31-Dec-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 30-Jun-2017 Comments Disbursement Linked Indicators DLI_IND_TABLE ►DLI 1 DLI 1: Implement an integrated program of economic surveys to fill National Accounts source data gaps (Intermediate Outcome, 14.00, 75%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 National Accounts source DLRs 1.1 and 1.2 DLRs 1.1, 1.2 and 1.3 Value -- data incomplete and partl achieved. achieved. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments ►DLI 2 DLI 2: Implement an integrated program of household surveys to fill key poverty, labor and socio-economic data gaps (Outcome, 16.00, 69%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Labor force, poverty and DLRs 2.0, 2.1 and 2.2 DLRs 2.0, 2.1 and 2.2 Value -- other key socio-economic achieved. achieved. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments ►DLI 3 DLI 3: Produce better real and external sector economic data (Outcome, 7.00, 57%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Insufficient capacity to meet DLRs 3.0, 3.1 and 3.2 DLRs 3.0, 3.1 and 3.2 Value -- SDDS criteria in all achieved. achieved. Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments ►DLI 4 DLI 4: Compile the IMF Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF) for five macro-economic datasets (Intermediate Outcome, 3.00, 50%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 DQAF compiled and DQAF not compiled for any DLRs 4.1 and 4.2 DLRs 4.1, 4.2 and 4.3 published for 5 Value of the seven macro-econo achieved. achieved. macro-economic datasets Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments 12/26/2019 Page 9 of 10 The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report Kenya Statistics Program for Results (P149718) ►DLI 5 DLI 5: Develop an Advance Release Calendar (ARC) and scale-up data coverage (Intermediate Outcome, 4.50, 67%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Publish an ARC covering 10 data ARC not used and DLRs 5.0, 5.1 and 5.2 DLRs 5.0, 5.1, 5.2, 5.3 categories of the Value Economic Surveys not achieved. and 5.4 achieved. Special Data digitized an Dissemination Standard (SDDS) Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments ►DLI 6 DLI 6: Improve access to official survey microdata (Outcome, 3.50, 71%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 KCHS 2018 Microdata files not available DLRs 6.1, 6.2 and 6.3 DLRs 6.1, 6.2 and 6.3 Value microdata available on-line and not free achieved. achieved. on-line Date 30-Jun-2014 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments ►DLI 7 DLI 7: Implement the Corruption Risk Assessment (CRA) action plan and strengthen financial and records management systems (Intermediate Outcome, 2.00, 25%) Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) Year 5: 2020 Value No CRA conducted. DLR 7.1 achieved. DLR 7.1 achieved. -- Date 30-Dec-2015 17-May-2019 10-Dec-2019 -- Comments 12/26/2019 Page 10 of 10