FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY Report No: PAD3000 INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION PROJECT APPRAISAL DOCUMENT ON A PROPOSED GRANT IN THE AMOUNT OF SDR 25.3 MILLION (US$35 MILLION EQUIVALENT) TO THE REPUBLIC OF HAITI FOR A STRENGTHENING DISASTER RISK MANAGEMENT AND CLIMATE RESILIENCE PROJECT April 25, 2019 Social, Urban, Rural And Resilience Global Practice Latin America And Caribbean Region This document is being made publicly available prior to Board consideration. This does not imply a presumed outcome. This document may be updated following Board consideration and the updated document will be made publicly available in accordance with the Bank’s policy on Access to Information. CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS (Exchange Rate Effective March 31, 2019) Haitian Gourdes Currency Unit = (HTG) HTG 84.10 = US$1 US$ 1 = SDR 0.72033135 FISCAL YEAR October 1 - September 30 Regional Vice President: Axel van Trotsenburg Country Director: Anabela Abreu Senior Global Practice Director: Ede Jorge Ijjasz-Vasquez Practice Manager: Ming Zhang Task Team Leader(s): Claudia Ruth Soto Orozco, Roland Alexander Bradshaw ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS BTB Technical Bureau for Buildings (Bureau Technique du Bâtiment) Administrative Council of the Communal Section (Conseil d’Administration des Sections CASEC Communales) CBO Community Based Organization CCPC Municipal Civil Protection Committees (Comités Communaux de Protection Civile) CDPC Department Civil Protection Committees (Comités Départementaux de Protection Civile) CERC Contingent Emergency Response Component CNIGS National Center for Geospatial Information (Centre National de l’Information Géospatiale) CPF Country Partnership Framework DPC Civil Protection Directorate (Direction de la Protection Civile) DRM Disaster Risk Management PROReV Emergency Bridge Reconstruction and Vulnerability Reduction Project (EBRVRP) ERDMP Emergency Recovery and Disaster Risk Management Project ERR Internal Rate of Return ESMF Environmental and Social Management Framework ESMPS Environmental and Social Management Plans EU European Union EWS Early Warning System FCV Fragility, Conflict and Violence GDP Gross Domestic Product GIS Geographic Information System GoH Government of Haiti GRM Grievance Redress Mechanism IIERP Infrastructure and Institutions Emergency Recovery Project ISM Implementation Support Missions MDOD Delegated Implementing Agencies (Maître d’Ouvrage Délégué) MDUR Municipal Development and Urban Resilience Project Ministry of National Education and Vocational Training (Ministère de l’Éducation Nationale MENFP et de la Formation Professionnelle) Ministry of Interior and Local Authorities (Ministère de l’Intérieur et des Collectivités MICT Territoriales) Ministry of Planning and External Cooperation (Ministère de la Planification et de la MPCE Coopération Externe) Ministry of Public Works, Transport and Communications (Ministère des Travaux Publics, MTPTC Transports et Communications) MTR Mid-Term Review NDC Nationally Determined Contribution NPV Net Present Value Action Plan for National Recovery and Development of Haiti (Plan National d’Action pour la PARDH Reconstruction et le Développement d’Haïti) PDO Project Development Objective PEQH Providing an Education of Quality in Haiti Project PIU Project Implementation Unit PPSD Project Procurement Strategy for Development Port-au-Prince Neighborhood Housing Reconstruction Project (Projet de Reconstruction des PREKAD Quartiers Défavorisés de Port-au Prince) PRGRD (or Disaster Risk Management and Reconstruction Project (Projet de Reconstruction et de DRMRP) Gestion des Risques et Désastres) Urban Community Driven Development Project (Projet de Développement Participatif PRODEPUR Urbain) PSDH Strategic Development Plan of Haiti (Plan Stratégique de Développement d’Haïti) RAP Resettlement Action Plan RPF Resettlement Policy Framework SCD Systematic Country Diagnostic National Disaster Risk Management System (Système National de Gestion des Risques et SNGRD Désastres) Permanent Secretariat of Disaster Risk Management (Secrétariat Permanent de Gestion SPGRD des Risques et des Désastres) TA Technical Assistance VAWG Sexual violence against women and girls WMO World Meteorological Organization The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) TABLE OF CONTENTS DATASHEET ........................................................................................................................... 1 I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT ...................................................................................................... 6 A. Country Context................................................................................................................................ 6 B. Sectoral and Institutional Context .................................................................................................... 7 C. Relevance to Higher Level Objectives............................................................................................. 11 II. PROJECT DESCRIPTION.................................................................................................. 11 A. Project Development Objective ..................................................................................................... 11 B. Project Components ....................................................................................................................... 12 C. Project Beneficiaries ....................................................................................................................... 15 D. Results Chain .................................................................................................................................. 16 E. Rationale for Bank Involvement and Role of Partners ................................................................... 17 F. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design .................................................................... 18 III. IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS ............................................................................ 19 A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements .......................................................................... 19 B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements......................................................................... 19 C. Sustainability................................................................................................................................... 20 IV. PROJECT APPRAISAL SUMMARY ................................................................................... 20 A. Technical, Economic, and Financial Analysis............................................................................... 20 B. Fiduciary ...................................................................................................................................... 23 C. Safeguards................................................................................................................................... 24 V. KEY RISKS ..................................................................................................................... 28 VI. RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND MONITORING ................................................................... 30 ANNEX 1: Implementation Arrangements and Support Plan .......................................... 38 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) DATASHEET BASIC INFORMATION BASIC_INFO_TABLE Country(ies) Project Name Haiti Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project Project ID Financing Instrument Environmental Assessment Category Investment Project P165870 B-Partial Assessment Financing Financing & Implementation Modalities [ ] Multiphase Programmatic Approach (MPA) [✓] Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) [ ] Series of Projects (SOP) [✓] Fragile State(s) [ ] Disbursement-linked Indicators (DLIs) [ ] Small State(s) [ ] Financial Intermediaries (FI) [ ] Fragile within a non-fragile Country [ ] Project-Based Guarantee [ ] Conflict [ ] Deferred Drawdown [ ] Responding to Natural or Man-made Disaster [ ] Alternate Procurement Arrangements (APA) Expected Approval Date Expected Closing Date 16-May-2019 30-Apr-2025 Bank/IFC Collaboration No Proposed Development Objective(s) The Project Development Objective is to improve: (i) early warning and emergency evacuation capacity in selected municipalities in high climate risk-prone areas, and (ii) the provision of and accessibility to safe havens. Page 1 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) Components Component Name Cost (US$, millions) Strengthening Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Response Capacity; and 8.00 Promoting Building Regulation and Resilient Construction Practices Construction and Rehabilitation of “Safe Havens” 23.00 Contingent Emergency Response 0.00 Project Management and Implementation Support 4.00 Organizations Borrower: Ministry of Economy and Finance Implementing Agency: Ministry of Interior and Local authorities PROJECT FINANCING DATA (US$, Millions) SUMMARY -NewFin1 Total Project Cost 35.00 Total Financing 35.00 of which IBRD/IDA 35.00 Financing Gap 0.00 DETAILS -NewFinEnh1 World Bank Group Financing International Development Association (IDA) 35.00 IDA Grant 35.00 IDA Resources (in US$, Millions) Credit Amount Grant Amount Guarantee Amount Total Amount National PBA 0.00 10.00 0.00 10.00 Crisis Response Window 0.00 25.00 0.00 25.00 (CRW) Page 2 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) Total 0.00 35.00 0.00 35.00 Expected Disbursements (in US$, Millions) WB Fiscal Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Annual 0.00 4.50 4.50 7.00 10.00 7.00 2.00 Cumulative 0.00 4.50 9.00 16.00 26.00 33.00 35.00 INSTITUTIONAL DATA Practice Area (Lead) Contributing Practice Areas Social, Urban, Rural and Resilience Global Education Practice Climate Change and Disaster Screening This operation has been screened for short and long-term climate change and disaster risks Gender Tag Does the project plan to undertake any of the following? a. Analysis to identify Project-relevant gaps between males and females, especially in light of Yes country gaps identified through SCD and CPF b. Specific action(s) to address the gender gaps identified in (a) and/or to improve women or Yes men's empowerment c. Include Indicators in results framework to monitor outcomes from actions identified in (b) Yes SYSTEMATIC OPERATIONS RISK-RATING TOOL (SORT) Risk Category Rating 1. Political and Governance ⚫ High 2. Macroeconomic ⚫ Substantial 3. Sector Strategies and Policies ⚫ Substantial 4. Technical Design of Project or Program ⚫ Moderate Page 3 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) 5. Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability ⚫ Substantial 6. Fiduciary ⚫ High 7. Environment and Social ⚫ Substantial 8. Stakeholders ⚫ Substantial 9. Other 10. Overall ⚫ Substantial COMPLIANCE Policy Does the project depart from the CPF in content or in other significant respects? [ ] Yes [✓] No Does the project require any waivers of Bank policies? [ ] Yes [✓] No Safeguard Policies Triggered by the Project Yes No Environmental Assessment OP/BP 4.01 ✔ Performance Standards for Private Sector Activities OP/BP 4.03 ✔ Natural Habitats OP/BP 4.04 ✔ Forests OP/BP 4.36 ✔ Pest Management OP 4.09 ✔ Physical Cultural Resources OP/BP 4.11 ✔ Indigenous Peoples OP/BP 4.10 ✔ Involuntary Resettlement OP/BP 4.12 ✔ Safety of Dams OP/BP 4.37 ✔ Projects on International Waterways OP/BP 7.50 ✔ Projects in Disputed Areas OP/BP 7.60 ✔ Legal Covenants Page 4 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) Sections and Description IDA Financing Agreement Schedule 2, Section I.E- MDOD: For purposes of carrying out Component 2 of the Project, the Recipient shall no later than four (4) months after the Effective Date, contract at least one MDOD in accordance with the Procurement Regulations Conditions Type Description Disbursement IDA Financing Agreement Schedule 2, Section III.B 1(a): No withdrawal shall be made under Category (3), for Emergency Expenditures under Component 3 of the Project, unless and until the Association is satisfied, and has notified the Recipient of its satisfaction,that all of the following conditions have been met in respect of said Emergency Expenditures: (i) the Recipient has determined that an Eligible Emergency has occurred, has furnished to the Association a request to include said Eligible Emergency under Component 3 of the Project in order to respond to said Eligible Emergency, and the Association has agreed with such determination, accepted said request and notified the Recipient thereof; (ii) the Recipient has prepared and disclosed all safeguards instruments required for said Eligible Emergency, and the Recipient has implemented any actions which are required to be taken under said instruments, all in accordance with the provisions of the Financing Agreement; (iii) the Coordinating Authority has adequate staff and resources, in accordance with the provisions of the Financing Agreement, for the purposes of said activities; and (iv) the Recipient has adopted the Emergency Response Operations Manual in form, substance and manner acceptable to the Association and the provisions of the Emergency Response Operations Manual are fully current in accordance with the provisions of the Financing Agreement, so as to be appropriate for the inclusion and implementation Component3 of the Project; Type Description Disbursement IDA Financing Agreement Schedule 2, Section III.B 1(b): No withdrawal shall be made under Category (5) unless the pertinent RAP has been prepared, consulted, adopted and published by the Recipient in form and substance satisfactory to the Association, and in accordance with the Financing Agreement. Page 5 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) I. STRATEGIC CONTEXT A. Country Context 1. Haiti’s geography, people, and history provide it with many opportunities. The third largest Caribbean nation by area and population (11 million in 2017), Haiti benefits from proximity and access to major markets, a young labor force, a dynamic diaspora, and substantial geographic, historical, and cultural assets. The country possesses untapped markets and a pent-up demand for the private sector to explore, including agribusiness, light manufacturing, and tourism1. 2. Haiti is the poorest country in the Western hemisphere, with a GDP per capita of only US$766 in 20172. According to the 2014 Poverty Assessment completed by the Government of Haiti (GoH, the Government) and the World Bank, the proportion of Haiti’s population living in extreme poverty declined from 31 percent to 24 percent from 2000 to 2012. Historically, political violence and instability have been both a symptom and a driver of fragility in Haiti. Recurrent episodes of institutional instability and civil unrest have severely impaired its progress in poverty reduction. 3. Haiti is highly exposed to natural hazards primarily hurricanes, floods and earthquakes3. Over 93 percent of its surface and more than 96 percent of the population are exposed to two or more hazards. Hydro-meteorological hazards are related to the precipitation caused by northern polar fronts, tropical cyclones (mainly from June to November), and waves. El Niño/El Niño-Southern Oscillation episodes have tended to delay the arrival of the rainy season, creating drought conditions, and increasing the number and intensity of hurricanes. Additionally, the interaction of the Caribbean and North American tectonic plates causes seismic hazards. Other secondary hazards include landslides, torrential debris flows, soil liquefaction, and tsunamis. The Great South (Grand Sud), which includes the Grande Anse, Nippes and Sud Departments, is greatly exposed to hurricane and related flood hazards, and the Nord and Nord Ouest Departments are highly exposed to floods and tsunami. 4. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and severity of hydro-meteorological hazards. Climate projections for the Caribbean estimate that temperatures could rise from between 0.5 to 2.3°C by 20604, possibly leading to cyclonic events of increased duration and intensity. According to the climate change simulations of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program, for each 1°C increase in sea surface temperatures, rainfall caused by hurricanes may rise by 6 to 17 percent and surface wind speeds of the strongest hurricanes by 1 to 8 percent5. In addition, the dry season will likely intensify further with an increase of between 8 percent to 19 percent of the present duration. Likewise, increases in maximum temperatures have led to greater propensity for extreme rainfall events and flash floods in recent years; this pattern is expected to worsen with the effects of climate change. 5. The human and economic impacts of disasters have been extremely severe, given Haiti’s exposure to hydrometeorological and seismic hazards, the high vulnerability of its infrastructure, the unplanned urban expansion, and institutional fragility. Between 1961 and 2012, the country experienced more than 180 disasters, which caused the 1 Country Partnership Framework for the Republic of Haiti FY16-FY19 (Report No. 98132-HT). 2 World Bank national accounts data, and OECD National Accounts data files 2016. 3 Haiti Country Risk Profile, World Bank 2018. 4 Haiti’s First National Communication for UNFCCC, Haiti Ministry of Environment. 5 Climate Risk and Adaptation Country Profile: Haiti, Vulnerability, Risk Reduction, and adaptation to Climate Change, World Bank, GFDRR, Climate Investment funds, 2011. Page 6 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) death of more than 240,000 people6, including the death of about 220,000 people after the 2010 earthquake. In 2016, Hurricane Matthew affected over two million people, resulted in over 500 deaths and displaced 175,000 people. Between 1976 and 2012, damages and losses associated with hydro-meteorological events alone amounted on average to the equivalent of almost two percent of annual GDP. Hurricane Matthew resulted in estimated damages and losses equivalent to around 32 percent of GDP and the 2010 earthquake destroyed the equivalent of about 120 percent of GDP. The potential future maximum losses from hurricanes and earthquakes occurring within a 250-year return period7 are estimated at US$1.6 billion (13.3 percent of 2016 GDP) and US$2.41 billion (27.5 percent of 2016 GDP), respectively8. B. Sectoral and Institutional Context Sectoral Context 6. Following the 2010 earthquake, the GoH identified Disaster Risk Management (DRM) as a key cross-cutting and multi-sectoral priority. The 2010 Action Plan for National Recovery and Development of Haiti (PARDH) outlines “preparation for the hurricane season and disaster risk management” as a priority. The Government’s 2012 Strategic Development Plan (PSDH) prioritizes the improvement of DRM through better land-use planning under its first pillar. Haiti’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), submitted to the UNFCCC9 in September 2015, focuses on both adaptation to climate change and mitigation actions for the 2016-2030 period. Considering the prevalence of vulnerability and heavy casualties incurred during the major disasters, the Government has prioritized emergency response and preparedness as a major national priority, with a particular emphasis on saving lives. 7. In order to reduce the number of fatalities, as well as economic damages and losses caused by disasters, Haiti needs to address critical gaps in: (i) emergency preparedness and response to adverse hydrometeorological events, and (ii) vulnerability reduction of infrastructure in relation to earthquake hazards. The proposed Strengthening Disaster Risk Management and Climate Resilience Project (the Project) provides a combination of activities aimed at addressing these gaps. Regarding hydrometeorological hazards, project activities will focus on strengthening emergency preparedness and response capacity at the municipal level, improving early warning systems, and expanding the network of emergency evacuation shelters. Regarding earthquake hazards, dedicated technical assistance (TA) on safe construction practices will contribute to reducing the vulnerability of infrastructure. 8. To ensure effective preparedness and response to hydrometeorological hazards, emergency evacuation capacity at the municipal level needs to improve. The backbone of Haiti’s emergency preparedness and response function is a network of well-organized volunteer organizations, or Municipal Civil Protection Committees (Comités Communaux de Protection Civile – CCPC), comprised of community members10. A total of 140 CCPCs (one CCPC per municipality), have been created covering the entire country. These CCPCs comprise 3,500 trained volunteers that have been instrumental in evacuating the population and saving lives after the major natural disasters, most recently during 6 An event is considered a disaster by the EM-DAT database if: (i) it caused at least 10 deaths; (ii) affected at least 100 people; (iii) caused an emergency declaration, or (iv) led to a call for international assistance. Source: “Diagnostic on the Economic and Fiscal Impact of Disasters in Haiti” World Bank 2014. 7 Indicative of an extreme event. 8 Haiti Country Disaster Risk Profile, World Bank 2017. 9 United Nation Framework Convention on Climate Change. 10 Community members include private citizens, brigadiers, nurses, church leaders, members of community-based organization (CBOs), members of the Administrative Council of the Communal Section (CASECs), dignitaries, teachers, local police and officials from the municipalities. Page 7 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) Hurricane Matthew. Despite the significant progress made in recent years11, CCPCs still require significant support to maintain and improve capacities. CCPCs’ ability to operate is vulnerable to high volunteer turnover, as the volunteers are not entitled to benefits, insurance, or reimbursement of expenses. Therefore, a continuous and substantial capacity building effort is necessary to maintain CCPCs in the highest categories12. In addition to ensuring regular training and mobilization, the key areas in which CCPCs need strengthening include: (i) coordination with municipal authorities in contingency planning and sharing risk information; (ii) shelter management, and (iii) project management. The Project will strengthen the CCPCs’ preparedness and response capacity. 9. For CCPCs to evacuate communities efficiently during adverse hydrometeorological events, Haiti’s Early Warning System (EWS) needs to be strengthened, and behavioral insights need to be incorporated into the community mobilization process. Emergency plans and protocols of EWS at the national level need to be systematized in standard operating procedures and formally coordinated between the national, departmental and municipal levels. In addition, communities should be adequately informed of the seriousness of a predicted weather event in a way that is easy to understand, and guided as to where the shelters are located. A behavioral study conducted during project preparation, to better understand the behavioral, social, and structural barriers to the response to early warning systems13, confirmed that evacuation orders and the use of shelters are not followed partly because of people’s preferences and beliefs. Some people do not evacuate because either they do not have the logistical or financial resources, or no shelter is available in their community. Others prefer not to evacuate, because they: (i) do not trust the messenger (in this case, CCPC); (ii) underestimate the hurricane risk level; (iii) feel safer at home than in a public space that may not have proper operating norms; (iv) are concerned about shelters becoming overcrowded and lacking in basic services, and/or (v) fear losing their livestock, as the shelters have no room for animals. Shelters also have limited management and oversight during evacuation, which increases the risk of gender-based violence for women. The Project will strengthen EWS, and the safety and services management at the shelters, integrating these behavioral insights in the project interventions. 10. The most critical gap in preparing and responding to adverse hydrometeorological events is the lack of safe and resilient “safe havens”14 for the evacuation of populations at risk. Shelters in the municipalities most heavily affected by Hurricane Matthew did not withstand the hurricane’s winds (a significant portion of the shelters were either damaged or destroyed), while the population in Haiti’s remote areas simply did not have access to any shelter15. When shelters/safe havens were available, they were often either too crowded or lacked basic emergency needs (food, water, first aid) and links to medical facilities. A study on shelter coverage for the population in areas highly exposed to flood and hurricane hazards in the Grand Sud revealed that of the 41 municipalities, 12 have barely adequate shelter coverage, 24 have inadequate coverage, and five are inadequately covered in a serious manner. The international DRM support in the past, including World Bank assistance under the ongoing Disaster Risk Management and Reconstruction Project (PRGRD), has not expanded shelters significantly due to factors such as capacity constraints at the Civil Protection Directorate (Direction de la Protection Civile, DPC), land availability and lack of financing. A major focus of the Project is to expand 11 The World Bank has provided sustained support to the strengthening of CCPCs through the Emergency Recovery and Disaster Risk Management Projects (ERDMP), and the ongoing Disaster Risk Management and Reconstruction Project (PRGRD). 12 The Civil Protection Directorate’s (DPC’s) mid-term evaluation of PRGRD support to CCPCs revealed a substantial improvement of CCPCs’ scores, based on three main criteria: (i) length of existence of the CCPCs; (ii) organizational strength, and (iii) functional capacity. Of the 21 “Average” CCPCs, 14 are in the departments targeted by the Project. 13 Using Behavioral Insights to Improve Disaster Risk Management in Haiti, World Bank 2018 (unpublished) Mind, Behavior, and Development Unit, GP Poverty in collaboration with GSURR. 14 “Safe havens” refer to emergency evacuation structures that are used up to 72 hours after an adverse natural event. They are also called shelters. This type of “emergency shelters” should be differentiated from shelters that may be used to accommodate people for much more than 72 hours. 15 Half of the CCPCs interviewed after Hurricane Matthew reported that the registered loss of life occurred mostly in remote areas which have less access to information and shelters. Page 8 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) the network of resilient and safe emergency shelters in high risk areas, including the provision of basic services in these shelters. 11. The adoption of safer construction practices can significantly reduce the vulnerability of infrastructure to earthquake disasters and possible disaster damages with relatively low additional cost. Haiti has not been able to reduce the vulnerability of its infrastructure (both public and private buildings), including residential buildings, through the application and enforcement of building regulations. Building regulations are not enforced due to the financial constraints and difficulty of attracting and retaining qualified personnel to provide advisory services to home builders, oversee construction works and enforce code provisions. The Technical Bureau for Buildings (Bureau Technique du Bâtiment, BTB) under the Ministry of Public Works, Transport and Communications (Ministère des Travaux Publics, Transports et Communications, MTPTC) has been effective in disseminating safe construction practices to both public and private sector builders16, and the Project aims to strengthen and expand its dissemination program. Institutional Context 12. The Ministry of Interior and Local Authorities (Ministère de l’Intérieur et des Collectivités Territoriales, MICT) has the institutional mandate for Civil Protection. The DPC under the MICT has departmental and municipal representation including 10 Departmental Civil Protection Committees (Comités Départementaux de Protection Civile, CDPCs), and 140 CCPCs. Due to its “lower” status as a Directorate (a non-autonomous entity), the DPC has historically been granted very limited direct operational budget. It typically relies on international funding and a broad network of local level CCPC volunteers to fulfill its critical responsibilities of preparedness and emergency response. 13. The National Disaster Risk Management System (Système National de Gestion des Risques et Désastres, SNGRD), which was established to handle emergency operations and manage disaster risk, is an ad hoc structure operating without a legal framework. The Permanent Secretariat of Disaster Risk Management (Secrétariat Permanent de Gestion des Risques et des Désastres, SPGRD) oversees overall inter-sectoral coordination. SNGRD is a multisectoral system, however the low level of representation and the limited technical capacities and budget from each sector limits its operationalization and the integration of DRM across the Government. 14. A new Disaster Risk Management Law is currently under consideration by Parliament. Upon its approval, this Law would elevate the DPC to an autonomous entity and formally establish the SNGRD. World Bank Support for DRM in Haiti 15. The Project continues the World Bank’s long-term engagement in support of Haiti’s DRM efforts, in the context of Fragility, Conflict and Violence (FCV), and incorporates lessons learned from previous assistance. The World Bank has provided continuous support to Haiti’s DRM sector through TA and projects, including the Emergency Bridge Reconstruction and Vulnerability Reduction Project (PROReV), and the ongoing activities of the Strengthening Hydromet Services Project (Hydromet), the Municipal Development and Urban Resilience Project (MDUR), and the Disaster Risk Financing Technical Assistance. Activities related to the strengthening of EWS under the Project would complement those currently being provided under the Hydromet Project and the ongoing PRGRD, as recurrent episodes of institutional 16 This BTB database was established after the 2010 earthquake for affected buildings in Port-au-Prince. The evaluation revealed the high vulnerability of self-constructed housing, which led to the development of the various safe construction norms that are now being used. The BTB uses these tools as the basis for its training programs. The BTB’s training are widely open where the constructobus reaches a wide audience, a including private actor, at the local level. Page 9 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) instability and civil unrest, together with severe capacity constraints, has affected the implementation of both of these ongoing projects. The ongoing cross-sectoral DRM engagement, both TA and financial and technical assistance under investment projects, has allowed for extensive stakeholder consultations with ministries at the national level, as well as with the municipal and community levels. These consultations have informed preparation of the Project, as elaborated below. 16. The ongoing PRGRD (US$80 million including the US$20 million AF) has successfully helped to reduce the vulnerability of the transport network through rehabilitation of damaged critical transport infrastructure and risk reduction investments. The PRGRD has also been instrumental in developing disaster preparedness and emergency response capacities for civil protection, expanding and providing efficient training to the CCPC network, and disseminating risk information for effective decision-making. The PRGRD has successfully brought all CCPCs in the country to a minimum of level 2 certification. It has also supported the development of the first national DRM open-data platform (Haitidata.org), which has provided access to LiDAR, orthophoto, satellite imagery, and a digital elevation model for the country. PRGRD is also supporting the development of the first sectoral DRM plans in the country, focused on the education and health sectors. The planned pilot emergency shelter programs have been delayed mainly because of DPC’s capacity constraints related to planning and implementing infrastructure interventions, especially post-Hurricane Matthew. Due to these constraints several activities were reoriented to focus on the rehabilitation of emergency shelters. Despite delays, the PRGRD has now initiated the rehabilitation program for 12 shelters affected by Hurricane Matthew. 17. The scope of the Project builds upon the experience of the PRGRD and other World Bank-supported DRM activities. It integrates lessons learned, and leverages innovative approaches to improve implementation in several areas. First, it will increase provision and access to new resilient shelter infrastructure within existing public spaces, in particular school compounds, thereby also reducing the vulnerability of school infrastructure to natural hazards. Second, it will involve the beneficiary communities at the design stage, and throughout the shelter construction process to promote ownership and commitment in shelter management. Third, it will integrate innovative approaches with respect to EWS and shelter activities by addressing behavioral insights to address the social, physical and behavioral barriers to evacuation that are at the root of the high death tolls from predictable natural events. Fourth, building upon the successful training of CCPCs under the PRGRD17, the Project will further deepen the CCPCs’ evacuation, communication and shelters management capacities to better serve communities, and their integration with municipalities. It will also support the development of institutional tools to empower DPC’s structures and municipalities to absorb the CCPC function through the establishment of sustainable structures outside of project financing. Fifth, the Project would put emphasis on the development and approval of standard operating procedures that are applicable at the national, department and local levels18, including protocols for EWS to help CCPCs evacuate communities. Sixth, to address the significant delays in the implementation of shelter rehabilitations under PRGRD due to technical capacity limitations within the Project Implementation Unit (PIU), the Project will supplement its technical capacity with delegated implementation agencies. Finally, the Project would simplify the PRGRD’s institutional arrangements, by limiting project implementation responsibilities to those carried out by one implementing agency only. 17 The CCPC training curriculum includes standardized capacity building on: Preparedness and emergency management (protection of population, contingency plans, early warning, evacuation procedures, emergency communication), leadership, logistics, post-disaster damage evaluations and needs analysis, shelters management (including identification of new shelters), risk mapping, risk education and outreach. CCPC training also support the development of contingency plans for the municipalities. 18 Hydromet focuses on improving climate information to feed into EWS, PRGRD focuses on the alert dissemination equipment and the project focuses on ensuring the existence of reliable Standard Procedures to conduct evacuation based on climate information. Page 10 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) C. Relevance to Higher Level Objectives 18. Promoting shared prosperity and ending extreme poverty require the reduction of households’ vulnerability to shocks that trap them in (or push them into) poverty. Increasing the country’s resilience to natural hazards is consistent with the World Bank’s twin goals of eradicating extreme poverty and boosting shared prosperity. According to the 2014 Poverty Assessment, economic vulnerability is extensive in Haiti: almost 70 percent of the population is either poor or vulnerable to falling into poverty, and nearly 75 percent of all households are economically impacted by at least one shock each year, including adverse natural events. Catastrophic events disproportionally affect the poorest and marginal populations that settle in flood zones and coastal areas. Indeed, in the poorest departments (Grande Anse, Nord-Est, and Nord-Ouest), between 78 and 82 percent of the population affected by an adverse climatic shock is poor19. 19. The Project is aligned with Haiti’s national development priorities and with the World Bank Group’s Country Partnership Framework (CPF) for the Republic of Haiti for FY16-FY19. The Project is aligned with the Government’s 2010 Action Plan for National Recovery and Development of Haiti (PARDH), which outlines “preparation for the hurricane season and disaster risk management” and the Government’s 2012 Strategic Development Plan (PSDH), which prioritizes the improvement of DRM. The CPF places a strong emphasis on building resilience by supporting the GoH to prepare for and prevent natural disasters and strengthen climate resilience. The Project directly contributes to the achievement of two of the CPF’s objectives, Objective 8, Strengthen Natural Disaster Preparedness, and Objective 9, Improve Disaster Prevention and Strengthen Climate Resilience. II. PROJECT DESCRIPTION A. Project Development Objective PDO Statement The Project Development Objective (PDO) is to improve: (i) early warning and emergency evacuation capacity in selected municipalities in high climate risk-prone areas, and (ii) the provision of and accessibility to safe havens. PDO Level Indicators • Number of CCPCs with excellent competencies in emergency planning and management, in high climate risk-prone areas - Level 1 certification; • Improved National Early Warning and Communication System for Hydromet events based on approved and adopted standard protocols; • Increase in the number of people living in flood-risk areas who are covered by a shelter o Increase in the number of females living in flood-risk areas who are covered by a shelter 20. Section VI contains the complete Results Framework, including PDO-level indicators and intermediate results indicators by component, along with the corresponding baselines, intermediate, and end-of-project targets. 19 Investing in people to fight poverty in Haiti: Reflections for evidence-based policy making, World Bank 2014. Page 11 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) B. Project Components 21. The Project will finance technical assistance and infrastructure investments to improve the resilience of the Haitian population against hydro-meteorological hazards in five key departments. The total project cost is estimated at US$35 million, of which US$10 million will be financed under National PBA, and US$25 million will be financed under Crisis Response Window (CRW). The Project will comprise four components, as described below. Component 1: Strengthening Disaster Preparedness and Emergency Response Capacity and Promoting Building Regulation and Resilient Construction Practices (Total Cost US$8 million) Component 1 comprises two sub-components: (i) Strengthening Disaster Preparedness, and Emergency Response Capacity, and Disaster Risk Data Management, and (ii) Promoting Building Regulations and Resilient Construction Practices at the Local Level. Sub-Component 1.1 – Strengthening Disaster Preparedness, and Emergency Response Capacity, and Disaster Risk Data Management (Total Cost US$6.5 million) 22. This Sub-component will strengthen the 140 CCPCs’ emergency preparedness and response capacities20, improve EWS, and strengthen the management of the CCPC and shelter networks by, inter alia: (i) building the capacity of the country’s CCPCs through the provision of behaviorally-informed standardized training program to respond to disasters with integrated emergency response plans and protocols21; (ii) designing a national early warning system and communication strategy with approved and adopted protocols adapted to local conditions; (iii) carrying out school-based risk education technical assistance and simulation exercises targeted to children, teachers and school directors to encourage appropriate behavior22, and (iv) carrying out capacity building activities and development of risk data management tools23 for the DPC aimed at improving CCPCs’ and shelter management. All of these activities will include awareness raising on the long-term effects of climate change and the different adaptation and mitigation measures available. Sub-Component 1.2 - Promoting Building Regulations and More Resilient Construction Practices at the Local Level (Total Cost US$1.5 million) 23. This Sub-component will support the promotion of building regulation and resilient construction practices at the local level by, inter alia: (i) supporting BTB in providing technical training and advisory services in construction and supervision of building projects to local practitioners, and (ii) providing training and technical assistance to BTB selected 20 In order to maintain them to at least Level 2 certification and upgrade some of them to a Level 1 certification. 21 The CCPC training curriculum includes: preparedness and emergency management (protection of population, contingency planning, early warning, evacuation procedures, emergency communication, and first aid), leadership, logistics, post-disaster damage evaluations and needs analysis, shelter management (including identification of new shelters), risk mapping, risk education and outreach. The CCPC training also supports the development of contingency plans for the municipalities. 22 School-based risk education activities will be prioritized in the schools covered by the World Bank-financed Providing an Education of Quality in Haiti Project (PEQH) (P155191). These schools are being targeted by the PEQH on the curriculum strengthening side, which will facilitate piloting risk education activities. 23 This will include support to the national risk data platform, HaitiData.org, and development and dissemination of data management tools and applications that will allow the DPC to inform, plan, prioritize, implement and monitor preparedness and response activities, including: (i) the use of interactive maps of hazards, evacuation routes, population, health facilities, and shelters, and (ii) the management and monitoring of shelter usage, capacity, and resource allocation for material and human resources needs. Page 12 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) staff in construction and supervision of building projects. More specifically, it will: (i) provide construction advice and training in safe construction practices to masons, homeowners, architects and engineers; (ii) disseminate guidelines and training material through the Constructobus program; (iii) develop a communication and outreach strategy; and (iv) raise awareness towards climate change and adaptation or mitigation measures applicable to construction works. For municipal staff, this Sub-component will provide technical assistance for: (i) construction planning; (ii) building code awareness, including promotion and enforcement; and (iii) awareness of building permits for construction, occupancy certification, and building inspection. The BTB will benefit from the shelter design and construction activities under Component 2 through training and dissemination of best practices. These activities will be complemented by a World Bank-executed TA to support the GoH in mainstreaming DRM in the education sector. Component 2: Construction and Rehabilitation of “Safe Havens” (Total Cost US$23 million) 24. This Component will finance: (i) the construction, reconstruction and/or rehabilitation of selected emergency shelters or “safe havens”, including those in schools, community centers, markets, and roadside annexes24, and the reinforcement of small road infrastructure acting as emergency walkways leading to safe havens, prioritized according to the methodology described in paragraph 25 below; (ii) the provision of improved basic services to these safe havens (compliant with climate change mitigation approaches)25; (iii) technical studies, including relevant engineering designs, technical audits, social and environmental safeguard instruments, and shelter activation and closure operating procedures for selected investments; (iv) training, technical assistance and communication activities aimed at achieving social mobilization and coordination of safe haven’s investments among all stakeholders participating in the Project; and (v) monitoring and supervision of works. Delegated Implementing Agencies (Maître d’Ouvrage Délégué – MDODs) will support communities, CCPCs and municipalities in the monitoring and supervision of works and improve communities’ engagement and preparedness, as described in paragraph 26 below. They will also facilitate coordination of shelter activities with those institutions responsible for the shelters’ buildings. A key criterion for the site selection of safe havens to be financed will be land availability within the shelters premises to allow for construction activities with minimal disruption of the shelters’ original function and increased security of its users. Technical assistance will be engaged to design guidelines for resilient construction, rehabilitation and maintenance of safe havens, as well as training activities and materials. 25. Methodology for prioritizing shelter investments. Priority for safe haven investments under Component 2 will be assigned to municipalities located in the departments of Nippes, Sud, Grande Anse, Nord Ouest and Nord, given their risk profile and the vulnerability of their population. The multi-criteria methodology developed by the DPC to prioritize shelter interventions, which combines GIS data and field information, will consider: (i) flood risk26; (ii) accessibility (3 km radius or about a 45 minute walk); (iii) risk/service ratio; (iv) existing shelter building characteristics, such as size, land availability, and level of destruction post-Matthew; (v) the level of the CCPC’s capacity; and (vi) the level of the municipality’s engagement in DRM27. A thorough field verification and consultation with stakeholders, in particular CCPCs, mayors, and other government partners (the Ministry of National Education and Vocational Training—MENFP--in 24 Roadside annexes, as referred in the MIT-Harvard study, can include small shelter infrastructure attached to bus stops or markets located by the side of a road 25 While generators may be provided for emergency situations in response to a major event, solar panels will be installed preferably for the day-to- day needs of the school. As part of climate change mitigation measures, the shelters’ design will promote enhanced indoor environmental quality and natural ventilation to reduce energy consumption as well as designs that optimize reliance on natural light to reduce the need for artificial lightning, 26 A 100-year return period flood event was used as it would be associated with floods caused by a high category hurricane. 27 Both CCPC capacity level and municipality engagement are evaluated following a defined methodology to assess level of certification each year Page 13 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) the case of schools), will complement this methodology to confirm the sites that will be financed under the Project. The Project will aim to construct or rehabilitate five to eight shelters in each of the five targeted Departments with an average capacity to provide safe haven to about 300 to 500 persons in each of them28. Field verification will be facilitated by the results of the comprehensive structural and functional assessment of existing shelters in the departments of Nippes, Grand-Anse and Sud conducted under PRGRD. 26. Community involvement and responsibilities for shelter construction, operation, management and maintenance. The shelter infrastructure will be coupled with a “my community, my shelter” program to improve community engagement and preparedness. The program will provide training for CCPCs, shelter management committees and the community at large. Technical assistance will support the design of protocols for the management of evacuees placed in emergency shelters, as well as the activation and closure of shelters. Community involvement campaigns, conducted by qualified MDODs that are specialized in social mobilization and knowledgeable of the Haitian context, will be launched early in project implementation and will be sustained throughout implementation. MDODs will be in charge of shelter construction and activities linked to social mobilization, information sharing, and community awareness. During emergencies, safe havens will serve as evacuation shelters, and will be managed by the DPC. Outside of an emergency situation, municipalities (or line ministries) to which the safe havens belong will remain responsible for operation and management, as well as maintenance activities. 27. Special provisions for school shelters. Integrating the shelter within the school complex will maximize the use of infrastructure investments with significant co-benefits, as it will provide improved education facilities for students, allow for regular maintenance of the structure, and help build ownership within the community. Operational procedures for school shelters will be developed to minimize the impact on the schools’ regular activity, and protect furniture and educational materials. Component 3: Contingent Emergency Response (CERC) (Initial Allocation: US$0 million) 28. This Component will finance the implementation of emergency works, rehabilitation, and associated assessments in the event of a natural disaster. In the event of an emergency, uncommitted funds from other components may be reallocated in accordance with an Emergency Action Plan prepared by GoH and the Contingent Emergency Response Component (CERC) implementation modalities. A dedicated chapter in the Project’s Operations Manual details guidelines and instructions to trigger a qualifying emergency and the use of funds under this Component. Uncommitted funds to be allocated to this component will be determined at the time of the emergency in agreement with the World Bank. Component 4: Project Management and Implementation Support (Total Cost US$4 million) 29. This Component will finance the costs related to overall project management and implementation support, including: (i) operating costs (including staff costs) and support for training in procurement, safeguards, monitoring and evaluation, technical and financial management; (ii) individual technical experts for project implementation, as needed; 28Rehabilitation and construction are two different types of interventions. More specifically, the Project will emphasize the construction of new shelter structures within existing public spaces, in particular schools. For these new structures, the design will be undertaken by an architecture and engineering firm and the construction will be managed by the MDOD. The Project will take advantage of the construction of shelters within schools to rehabilitate the remaining school buildings as needed. A special provision for rehabilitation works is foreseen in the MDOD contract. Rehabilitation works will be minimum in nature (light rehabilitation and not retrofit, and upgrade of functional aspects). Page 14 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) (iii) the project audit (including financial reporting); (iv) monitoring and evaluation, including the collection of socio- economic data and support for environmental and social safeguard supervision; (v) equipment (vehicles, furniture, and information and communication technology); and (vi) communication plan. C. Project Beneficiaries 30. Technical assistance activities with national coverage under Component 1 will benefit an estimated 10.9 million people (of whom 5.5 million are women). Shelter infrastructure investments under Component 2 will benefit an estimated 3.04 million people29, of whom 49 percent are estimated to be women30. Direct beneficiaries of each safe haven investment will be determined after site selection based on the population covered by the safe haven. 29 The 3.04 million beneficiary figure corresponds to the overall population of the five targeted departments, which will benefit from various activities, including CCPC training, construction practices dissemination and shelter provision. Direct beneficiaries from new shelter construction will range between 12,500 and 20,000 persons. 30 IHSI official projections for 2015 for the total population of the five targeted Departments (Sud, Nippes, Grande Anse, Nord and Nord-Ouest). Page 15 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) D. Results Chain Page 16 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) E. Rationale for Bank Involvement and Role of Partners 31. With its worldwide experience in DRM, as well as long and deep engagement in DRM in Haiti, the World Bank is in a unique position to support the GoH in addressing its DRM challenges. The Project’s design reflects lessons learned from World Bank experience in recent years (paragraph 34). The Project also benefits from local experience in Haiti, including a long-term partnership with the DPC and a cross-cutting dialogue with other sectors on DRM. For example, the Project has integrated engineering innovations to facilitate the economic recovery of the affected populations, such as better resilience to high wind speeds, water supply systems, separate sanitation facilities, separate spaces for women, and space for livestock. 32. All of the proposed investments are essential public services and institutional strengthening that cannot be financed directly by the private sector. The World Bank will provide adequate focus on financing structural and non- structural interventions, as well as operations and maintenance arrangements. Finally, World Bank’s safeguards policies will ensure that social and environmental aspects are addressed appropriately before, during, and after implementation. 33. The Project is a part of the larger effort by Haiti’s international partners in the DRM sector and ensures synergies and alignment with their interventions, namely: (i) Strengthening disaster risk governance at the central, departmental and local levels31. The European Union’s (EU) 2017 budget support program and the Haitian Program to Support State Reform (SB-II), include three indicators on DRM that are directly linked to the elevation of the DPC to a General Directorate and the overall establishment and strengthening of the SNGRD; (ii) Strengthening disaster preparedness, including Early Warning Systems32. The EU has invested around €22.2 million since 1998 under its disaster preparedness program to strengthen shelters and infrastructure to face recurring hurricanes, floods, and other natural hazards. Since 2011, the Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (OFDA)/United States Agency for International Development (USAID) has supported the International Organization for Migration (IOM) to pre-position emergency relief supplies in preparation for disasters during the rainy and hurricane seasons, as well as to develop the capacity of the GoH’s personnel to manage facilities and deploy emergency supplies. The Inter-American Development Bank (IDB) has invested more specifically in EWS; (iii) Disaster risk reduction33. Since 2018, the European Commission's humanitarian aid (EU-ECHO) has invested about €10 million to consolidate disaster risk reduction investments, including: rapid response capacities, disaster-resistant shelter techniques, shelter needs, and coordination across humanitarian operations; and (iv) Reinforcing disaster recovery mechanisms34 and Urban Resilience. USAID-OFDA and the World Bank are investing in urban resilience in the Port-au-Prince and Cap-Haitian areas, respectively. 31 WB, UNDP, AECID, USAID, Swiss Cooperation 32 WB, EU, IDB, ECHO, USAID-OFDA with IOM, Swiss Cooperation, Canadian Aid and WFP 33 WB, EU-Echo, USAID-OFDA, UNDP 34 Canadian Aid, UNDP Page 17 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) F. Lessons Learned and Reflected in the Project Design 34. The Project builds on the World Bank’s global experience in DRM technical assistance and projects, in particular in India and Bangladesh, countries that have successful experiences and have achieved extraordinary reductions in fatalities from extreme weather events. 35. Strengthening DRM at the local level and engagement of the community in DRM are effective strategies to reduce disaster related fatalities. Project design has integrated lessons learned from the past World Bank support to Haiti that emphasized the importance of community-driven development. Additionally, evidence from Bangladesh and India demonstrates the important benefits of involving local communities in infrastructure location and design to ensure better safety, sanitation and functionality of the shelters, while also keeping in mind the interests of women and vulnerable groups, as well as universal access issues. The IDB-financed National Early Warning Project (PNAP) revealed the need to involve the communities and CCPCs for the successful development and implementation of local early warning interventions. Various post-earthquake reconstruction projects financed by the World Bank have also demonstrated the importance of capacity building and dissemination of best construction practices at the local and community levels in improving the understanding of the building code and its application. 36. Lessons from the World Bank’s experience worldwide in the design and management of shelters have been reflected in the Project’s design to optimize the shelters’ structural and functional aspects. In a cyclone scenario with high speed winds and torrential rain, shelter design in India and Bangladesh has evolved to an inward-looking building that can be better insulated from the winds and rain. These experiences have also shown the importance of involving shelter management committees, and the institution to which the shelter belongs (e.g., the MENFP in the case of schools used as shelters) for effective shelter management and operation and maintenance. Involvement of these institutions from the inception stage, including the use of collaboratively generated Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) in the management of the shelter during an evacuation event, plays an important role in the success of such projects. 37. Weak implementation capacity can be strengthened by using Delegated Implementing Agencies (Maître d’Ouvrage Délégué – MDOD) for infrastructure projects. Various post-earthquake reconstruction projects financed by the World Bank have successfully utilized MDODs for the implementation of infrastructure sub-projects. This implementation approach, which combines oversight through a government agency with on the ground implementation by MDODs, combined with community outreach efforts during implementation has proven to be a realistic and effective way of delivering results in a challenging environment.35 MDODs have been successful in filling the technical capacity gaps of Government implementing agencies. 38. It is important to apply behavioral insights to support the design of better DRM interventions. Governments around the world are leveraging behavioral science to develop cost-effective policy tools that better reflect the complexities of human decision-making to change behavior. Studies have found that giving information to (or educating) the community does not necessarily lead to better disaster and emergency preparedness. How the risk is interpreted by individuals could determine the process and the level of disaster and emergency preparedness. The majority of studies show that people are more likely to evacuate when they have a good understanding of the severity of the storm, including its intensity, potential damage, location and timing of landfall, and rapidity of onset. Rules of thumb to help determine their personal risk, which is highly predictive of evacuation behavior, include: (i) whether neighbors are evacuating; and (ii) if businesses in the community are closing. While not a consistent predictor of evacuation, gender and children in the 35 See IEG upcoming Project Performance Assessment Report of the PREKAD -February 2019. Page 18 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) household may be important factors in decision making in the Haiti context. Some studies found that women with children are more likely to evacuate. III. IMPLEMENTATION ARRANGEMENTS A. Institutional and Implementation Arrangements 39. The Project will be implemented using the institutional framework, procurement, financial management and disbursement arrangements in place under PRGRD and other World Bank-financed projects. However, implementation arrangements will be simplified. The MICT, the sole ministry with responsibility for project implementation, will be in charge of the Project’s technical, fiduciary and safeguards aspects36. All project activities will be implemented by the Projects Coordination Unit (Unité de Coordination de Projets, UCP/MICT) under MICT’s DPC. Inter-agency working arrangements will be agreed at the beginning of the Project and will follow existing government guidelines. 40. UCP/MICT will be strengthened by: (i) the establishment of a Technical Unit specifically dedicated to the engineering and technical aspects of the Project’s Component 2; and (ii) the hiring of additional technical, operational and supervision staff, to acquire technical know-how in managing infrastructure construction and rehabilitation, fiduciary and safeguards, as well as coordinating multi-sectoral engagements37. Drawing lessons from PRGRD, the capacity of UCP/MICT will be further amplified by contracting MDODs - such as NGOs or international organizations - to whom it will delegate responsibility for day-to-day project management for the rehabilitation/construction of safe havens. A small number of MDODs will be used, as no single MDOD has sufficient human and financial resources to manage all of the Project’s shelter activities. The Project will utilize the on-going PRGRD project to advance the contracting of firms to frontload preparation of infrastructure investments. 41. The MDODs in charge of the implementation of Component 2 will be specifically qualified in the procurement of consulting services related to architectural and engineering, as well as the procurement of contracts for works under World Bank Guidelines. The MDODs will include an appropriate number of engineers and experienced construction technicians to ensure the effective management of multiple sub-projects, and to enforce the contractual commitments of consultants and contractors. Specific provisions will be included in the MDODs’ contracts to ensure compliance with the World Bank’s requirements on procurement, financial management, safeguards, and anti-corruption policies. The MDODs will be selected based on the eligibility criteria and selection process agreed with the World Bank, which are described in detail in the Project Operations Manual. B. Results Monitoring and Evaluation Arrangements 42. The UCP/MICT will count upon dedicated monitoring and evaluation (M&E) staff that will monitor project progress through a dedicated M&E system based on information from the MDODs. The GoH will prepare bi-annual progress reports in accordance with the format outlined in the Project Operations Manual. Progress reports will include information on PDO-level results indicators and intermediate outcome indicators, disbursements, financial management 36 Under the PRGRD the management of transport infrastructure rehabilitation is handled by the Unité de Coordination de Projet of the Ministry of Transport. 37 The Unité Centrale d’Exécution (UCE) of the Ministry of Public Works, Transport and Communication has the right technical reso urces and possesses the engineering knowledge that is required for such activities. The establishment of a Technical unit at UCP/MICT draws lesson for the weakness of the UCP/MICT in undertaking this technical role under the Project. Page 19 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) (including project financial reports and audits), procurement, social and environmental safeguards, updated annual plan of works and activities, and specific assessments of the impact of women’s participation in project design and implementation as well as the Grievance Redress Mechanism (GRM). Surveys will be carried out before, during (at midpoint) and immediately after conclusion of the safe haven works. A baseline for indicators will be established at the beginning of implementation. A Mid-Term Review (MTR) will be conducted no later than three years after the first disbursement. A final independent evaluation will be also conducted upon project completion to assess its overall achievements. A beneficiary survey will be conducted at the beginning of implementation and upon completion, and third-party technical audits will be conducted for quality assurance during the construction of shelters. C. Sustainability 43. CCPC capacity building. Sustainability of the CCPCs is of concern, given the DPC’s limited budget for emergency preparedness and response, and the absence of a legal framework for CCPCs. While there is limited financial commitment for a larger budget for DPC, there is a strong political will to strengthen and maintain the CCPCs. The GoH’s efforts will continue to focus on: (i) supporting DPC at the national level in developing tools for sustainable management of the CCPC network, including planning and strategic tools for the provision of dedicated budgets for CCPC training over the long term; (ii) supporting municipalities in assigning human resources and funding to DRM functions; and (iii) officially integrating CCPCs in municipalities’ organization and operations. These have already been successfully demonstrated in the Municipality of Cap-Haitien. 44. Shelter infrastructure. Lessons learned from other shelter programs have been incorporated in the Project’s design with a view to improve the sustainability of investments. Previous experiences have demonstrated that when shelters are built in schools, the buildings are in continuous use throughout the year, and upkeep and maintenance is improved because of the buildings’ dual purpose. After construction, DPC will turn the building over to its owner (the MENFP in the case of schools or municipalities in case of community centers or annexes of public markets) for continued operation and maintenance. DPC will include a shelter maintenance plan for the buildings’ use during emergencies. At the municipal level, CCPC will work with the respective municipality and the community to help with painting, small repairs and other minor maintenance. 45. Construction quality. The sustainability of infrastructure is closely related to the quality of works. The Project will aim to improve the quality of construction through the introduction of: (i) community monitoring systems for improved transparency and accountability during construction, and (ii) international best practices in safe haven designs. IV. PROJECT APPRAISAL SUMMARY A. Technical, Economic, and Financial Analysis 46. Strengthening of CCPC and DRM capacities at the local level. Capacity building of CCPCs is based on the experiences of ERDMP and PRGRD (which have developed the training modules) and the use of standard procedures for the creation and activation of CCPCs, as well as standardized roles and responsibilities of CCPCs across the country. Training modules have benefited from regular evaluations and updates. CCPC performance will be evaluated at the beginning and end of each training, based on a multicriteria methodology that encompasses emergency preparedness and response functions, planning aspects, risk understanding and disaster risk reduction. An external evaluation of the CCPC training program, to be conducted under the PRGRD, will directly inform the Project’s results indicators. Page 20 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) 47. Safe construction practices. Technical assistance to the MTPTC under the Project is a continuation of World Bank support after the 2010 earthquake, which included: (i) the training of engineers to conduct the post-earthquake structural assessment of about 450,000 buildings; (ii) the training of up to 15,000 masons on construction best practice; and (iii) the establishment of the BTB to strengthen the country’s administrative and operational framework for safer buildings. The Project will address the capacity strengthening of BTB, based on its comprehensive multi-year work plan and budget, and will adopt a learning-by-doing training approach to allow the BTB to be directly linked to the safe haven component activities. 48. Safe haven investments. This project activity stems from a technical and institutional dialogue between the GoH and the World Bank initiated in 2013 with the "Risk Ecology: Haiti Evacuation Systems Initiative" study, conducted by MIT/Harvard/Leibniz University in partnership with the UCP/MICT. This study highlights the merits of the use of schools (rural, public, vocational school, etc.,) or annexes to school buildings in a shelter strategy, and also recommends the use of community centers, roadside annexes and market annexes as possible shelter options. It has provided the technical basis for shelter activities under PRGRD, including the development of multi-functional shelter plans for various shelter scenarios and the rehabilitation of schools/shelters damaged after Hurricane Matthew. 49. Technical specifications for infrastructure design and procedures. The design of shelters will be based on international building codes in order to ensure that the structures are safe and resilient to hurricane and earthquake shocks. They will also consider the requirements and existing designs of the ministries responsible for the shelters. Haiti- specific Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) will be developed based on existing SOPs and will integrate best practices from multilateral agencies. 50. Climate co-benefits. Investments and institutional strengthening activities are aimed at building resilience to disasters, thus enhancing the capacity of the project-supported municipalities and departments to adapt to climate change. The Project’s interventions will bring significant benefits for the Government, communities and population by adapting to the consequences of climate change, especially the increased frequency and intensity of hydro- meteorological disasters. Activities under Component 1 integrate climate change into disaster plans and preparedness, and enhance construction practices to make buildings more resilient. Component 2 provides critical infrastructure for the population to cope with the increased frequency and severity of extreme events due to climate change. Climate change mitigation measures will be applied through a shift to solar energy to the extent possible, in place of generator- produced electricity. Shelter design will make the most of natural light to lower the needs for artificial lighting, promote enhanced indoor environmental quality through natural ventilation to reduce energy consumption, and make provision for ventilation and thermal comfort even when external power is not available. Shelter design will also incorporate rain water harvesting where possible. Furthermore, technical training provided to municipal staff in construction and supervision will include a module on raising awareness of climate change, and related mitigation measures. 51. Citizen engagement and community consultation prior to safe haven investments. The Project will carry out a validation of the proposed sites through extensive consultations with different stakeholders from institutions that own the shelters, municipalities, CCPCs, and other members of the community. These consultations will also clarify the role of CCPCs and shelter management committees (CCPC subgroup) in the management safe havens (site validation, monitoring of construction, involvement in maintenance, establishment of the clear linkages of safe havens to municipal contingency plans, etc.). A first consultation with CCPCs in the Grand Sud in November 2018 collected preliminary feedback from CCPCs on the safe haven construction and rehabilitation approach proposed by the Project, including the overall site selection criteria and the possible types of safe havens. It provided important recommendations to efficiently link CCPCs to safe haven investments. Page 21 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) 52. The Project’s primary benefits from better disaster preparedness and improved response systems are the expected reduction in loss of life and the indirect associated burden of disease (water and vector-borne diseases), reduction in socio-economic activities, and reduced damage and losses from disasters . Economic literature suggests that DRM benefits exceed investments38, based on three types of benefits: (i) avoided asset losses due to natural disasters; (ii) saved lives per year, considering the value of statistical life (reduced risk of premature death) and avoided injuries; and (iii) additional economic benefits. The Project’s economic analysis is based only on saved lives per year and reduced economic activities, as it is difficult to assess the reduction in future asset losses as a result of the introduction of weather-proof construction standards. 53. The economic analysis covers investments in safe-havens and shelters. A cost benefit analysis was carried out for the Project’s proposed shelter investments. The results indicate a net present value (NPV) of US$32.7 million at a 6 percent discount rate over 25 years, an economic rate of return (ERR) of 14 percent and a benefit/cost ratio greater than one. 54. A sensitivity analysis was carried out to determine the switching points for cost increments, benefit decrements, and equal cost increments and benefit decrements with discount rates ranging from 4 percent to 8 percent. The switching point when cost increments equal benefit decrements, discounted at 6 percent, is ±37 percent. The results are more sensitive to a decrease in benefits than to an increase in costs. 55. A scenario analysis was also carried out and the results are illustrated in Table 2: the base case scenario is discounted at 6 percent and relies on the estimates of costs and benefits; the pessimistic scenario is discounted at 8 percent and includes a 10 percent increase in economic costs and a 10 percent decrease in benefits; and the optimistic scenario is discounted at 4 percent and includes a reduction in economic costs by 10 percent and increase of benefits by 10 percent. The NPV is positive under all three scenarios and the ERR is 12 percent even in the pessimistic case. As such, the project investments in shelters are robust. Details of the economic analysis are available in the Project File. Table 2: Results of the Economic Analysis Key economic Indicators Project 25 years discounted at: 4% 6% 8% Scenario Optimistic Base Case Pessimistic Cost/Benefit Analysis NPV (US$ million) 64.0 32.7 12.6 ERR (%) 17 14 12 PV benefit/cost ratio 3.3 2.2 1.5 Switching point >cost = cost (±%) +231 +120 +47 3,000 Request for bids Open, limited, international, single All stage <3000 Request for bids Open, national, single None stage <1000 Request for limited, national or None quotations international, single stage Regardless of value DS Direct, single stage > 3 000 2. Goods Request for bids Open, limited, All >500 Request for international, single proposal stage Request for Bids / Open, limited, None <500 Request for international national, Page 42 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) World Bank Prior Contract Value Expenditure Procurement Review or as (Threshold) (US$, Market Approach Category Method Indicated in the thousands) Procurement Plan quotations single stage Regardless of value DS Direct, single stage > 500 3. Consultant >300 QCBS Open, International, All Services short list <300 QCBS, QBS, CQS, Open, national, short list All terms of FBS, LCS (according reference. to Procurement Plan) Regardless of value Direct Selection Direct > 300 Regardless of value IC Open, limited Regardless of value Direct Selection Direct > 100 Note: CQS = Selection Based on the Consultants’ Qualifications; DS = Direct Selection; FBS = Selection under a Fixed Budget; IC = Individual Consultant; LCS = Least-Cost Selection; QBS = Quality-Based Selection; QCBS = Quality- and Cost-Based Selection. 30. Procurement Risk Rating. The project procurement risk prior to the mitigation measures is “High”. The risk can be reduced to a residual rating of “Substantial” upon consideration of successful implementation of mitigation measures. The risks and mitigation measures are listed in table below. Table 2: Procurement Risks and Mitigation Measures Risk Description Description of Mitigation Risk Owner Lengthy process for site Use advance contracting for the preparation of the UCP/MICT identification and preparation of technical studies and the preparation the Bidding technical files documents Mediocre performance of Select qualified firms/ NGOs for MDODs and develop a UCP/MICT contractors and delay in the contract management system contract execution Poor Quality of the procurement UCP/MICT should agree with each MDOD on the standards UCP/ MICT documents at the MDOD level documents to be used to select sub-contractors and control the document Loss of documents - Archiving Provide details description on documents fillings, use STEP UCP/ MICT System to files procurement documents Failure to manage the MDOD Set in place a very good system to manage MDODs’ UCP/MICT contracts and the sub contract contracts and supervise activities on the sites Mis understanding of the new Training sessions for the procurement staffs Bank procurement framework Heavy workload Recruitment a second procurement Specialist who will UCP/MICT reinforce the procurement unit of the UCP/MICT to avoid delays in the implementation of the project 31. Procurement Plan. UCP/MICT prepared a detailed 18-month procurement plan of the Grant. The Procurement Plan will be updated in agreement with the Bank Team annually or as required to reflect the actual project implementation needs and improvements in institutional capacity. Page 43 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) II. Implementation Support Plan 32. The strategy for Project Implementation Support has been developed based on the nature of the Project and its risk profile, as identified in the SORT table and discussed in the Key Risks section. It will aim to focus on the areas where the UCP/MICT need to be further strengthened namely in financial management, procurement, and safeguards. The supervision strategy will use several tools to review progress and respond to implementation issues. Implementation support that will be provided on each of the risk elements of the SORT table are summarized below. 33. Political and Governance. The task team will provide close implementation support and adjust interventions as needed to minimize potential disruptions to the Project caused by political instability and governance factors. 34. Macroeconomic. The World Bank will provide close implementation support to the UCP/MICT in: (i) prioritizing intervention in existing public sites, and (ii) maintaining regular dialogue and coordination with institutions that will be responsible for the maintenance of each infrastructure investment. 35. Sector Strategies and Policies. The World Bank will provide dedicated TA to the DPC to support high level dialogue and strengthen sector strategies. 36. Institutional Capacity for Implementation and Sustainability. The World Bank will provide technical assistance and implementation support to strengthen the operational capacity of the UCP/MICT for project design, prioritization, management, and supervision. 37. Fiduciary. Capacity of UCP/MICT FM and procurement staff will be strengthened through TA and close and regular World Bank implementation support. More detailed mitigation measures for FM and procurement risks are presented in the previous section. 38. Social and Environmental. The World Bank will provide regular training to the PIU staff, as needed, on: (i) labor and health and safety issues; (ii) codes of conduct, including on addressing/preventing gender-based violence; (iii) gender-specific interventions; and (iv) climate change aspects of the Project. 39. Stakeholder. The World Bank will provide close implementation support the GoH to ensure that activities are implemented in a consultative manner and that conflict resolution mechanisms are effectively being used. 40. Implementation Support Missions (ISMs). The World Bank task team would undertake ISMs two or three times a year to review the project implementation performance and progress towards the achievement of the PDO. The World Bank may also undertake short technical missions and will keep regular contact with the UCP/MICT through telephone and videoconferencing. Given the fragile institutional context, the World Bank will more closely support the UCP/MICT in the early phases of the project, specifically: ▪ During the procurement process of MDODs and engineering design and construction firms; ▪ In the preparation and implementation throughout the Project of environmental and social documents considering the importance of an effective application of these instruments. Safeguards specialists will be included in semiannual missions and will ensure adequate trainings of the UCP/MICT staff, and ▪ Training to the UCP/MICT will also be provided by the World Bank’s FM and Procurement Specialists. Supervision of the FM arrangements and procurement would be conducted semi-annually and in response to project needs. Page 44 of 45 The World Bank Strengthening DRM and Climate Resilience Project (P165870) Fiduciary missions will focus on the performance of UCP/MICT in managing contracts, procurement and financial matters. 41. Mid-Term Review (MTR). An MTR will be conducted no later than three years after the first disbursement. It will include a comprehensive assessment of the progress in achieving Project’s objectives and will identify implementation issues that require adjustments. 42. Implementation Completion. Upon completion, an implementation review will be carried out to assess the Project’s achievement towards its PDOs, as reflected by the Key Indicators in its Results Framework. Table 3 below summarizes the proposed skill mix and number of staff weeks expected to be required during the project implementation. Table 3: Implementation support Plan and resource requirements Time Focus Skills needed First 12 months Procurement of the design firm and MDODs for TTLs, procurement and FM specialists, M&E the Construction and rehabilitation of “Safe specialists, civil engineers, institutional Havens” strengthening specialists, safeguards specialists, Technical assistance to strengthen the DRM specialists, IT specialists institutional structure of the DPC at all levels, risk education and communication, and risk data management. Until mid-term Support to the implementation of works TTLs, procurement and FM specialists, M&E review (year 2-3) specialists, civil engineers, institutional strengthening specialists, safeguards specialists, DRM specialists, IT specialists Mid-term review Mid- term review TTLs, procurement and FM specialists, M&E (year 3) specialists, civil engineers, institutional strengthening specialists, safeguards specialists, DRM specialists, IT specialists Following mid-term Continued support to implementation of TTLs, procurement and FM specialists, M&E review works, capacity building specialists, civil engineers, institutional strengthening specialists, safeguards specialists, DRM specialists, IT specialists Implementation Undertake the evaluation of the Project as TTLs, procurement and FM specialists, M&E Completion (year 5) part of the Implementation Completion specialists, civil engineers, institutional Report strengthening specialists, safeguards specialists, DRM specialists, IT specialists Page 45 of 45