The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 Implementation Status & Results Tanzania Zanzibar Basic Education Improvement Project (P102262) Public Disclosure Copy Operation Name: Zanzibar Basic Education Improvement Project (P102262) Project Stage: Implementation Seq.No: 12 Status: ARCHIVED Archive Date: 17-May-2013 Country: Tanzania Approval FY: 2007 Product Line: IBRD/IDA Region: AFRICA Lending Instrument: Specific Investment Loan Implementing Agency(ies): Key Dates Board Approval Date 24-Apr-2007 Original Closing Date 31-Jul-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date 05-May-2011 Last Archived ISR Date 25-Dec-2012 Effectiveness Date 29-Jan-2008 Revised Closing Date 30-Nov-2013 Actual Mid Term Review Date 06-Jun-2011 Project Development Objectives Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The development objective is to improve completion of lower secondary education with successful performance among students. Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project? Yes No Component(s) Component Name Component Cost Increase enrolment through provision of infrastructure 35.10 Improve quality through teacher training, curriculum reform, and provision of learning materials 12.10 Overall Ratings Previous Rating Current Rating Progress towards achievement of PDO Moderately Unsatisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Satisfactory Moderately Satisfactory Public Disclosure Copy Overall Implementation Progress (IP) Overall Risk Rating Implementation Status Overview The Project has been under implementation since July 1, 2007 and overall implementation progress is Moderately Satisfactory. All activities except for training under Component 2 are expected to be completed prior to the original project closing date of July 31, 2013. On Component 1 related to infrastructure, overall implementation progress is Satisfactory. Implementation of all four sub-components forming this operation are on track and all remaining construction works are expected to be completed prior to the project original closing date of July 31, 2013. Current progress of school construction, which accounts for 64% of the total credit, indicates that 18 schools are completed, which is 70% of the 26 schools (total number under this project). All of these 18 schools (12 schools in Pemba and 6 schools in Unguja) are already fully functional. The total enrollments in all 18 schools are 6,880 students, equivalent to 81% of enrollment capacity. The construction of remaining 8 schools (30% of 26 schools) will be completed by April 2013. As reflected in the disbursement chart, implementation progress of this operation has picked up significantly in the last two years and has been able to offset the lost time which was caused by extensive delays Page 1 of 6 The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 during the start of the project (the various causes of those early delays are reflected in the earlier ISRs). On Component 2 related to quality enhancing interventions, implementation of all earmarked activities have been completed except two which are ongoing. These two activities include the procurement of remaining textbooks, which is currently at printing stage by the publisher (the delivery expected in July - September, 2013, two months before revised project closing of November 30, 2013); and the training of the last cohort of 1,800 teachers, which will take an additional four months (October 2013) to complete (one month before Public Disclosure Copy the revised closing date of November 30, 2013). Over the project implementation period, the Government has made considerable effort in executing the Project efficiently, with the aim of improving value for resources spent. In particular (a) under Component 1 (civil work component), the Government was able to reduce the scope of the original design of the secondary schools which were too extensive. The Government was able to focus on just the core school facilities such as classrooms, laboratories, administration blocks and school utilities, reducing facilities such as hostels (which were deemed not necessary in an small island state); (b) meeting the target of constructing/ rehabilitating 26 (100%) schools with all essential facilities to provide conducive teaching and learning environment in record time and thereby keeping construction costs contained; and (c) the Government (through the on-going final procuring process for textbooks) will be able to procure all textbooks for 1 - 4 grades instead for only the planned 2 grades (5 and 6). Currently about 92% of project implementation timeline has elapsed, while 82% of the US$42 million equivalent credit has been disbursed, with almost 100% committed in various contracts. Locations Country First Administrative Division Location Planned Actual Tanzania Zanzibar Urban/West Region Zanzibar Urban/West Region Tanzania Zanzibar North Region Zanzibar North Region Tanzania Zanzibar Central/South Region Zanzibar Central/South Region Tanzania Zanzibar Urban/West Region Stone Town Tanzania Pemba South Region Pemba South Region Tanzania Pemba North Region Pemba North Region Results Project Development Objective Indicators Public Disclosure Copy Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Numbers of pupils, disaggregated by gender, Text Value 2007 2012 n.a 2013 taking the Certificate of Secondary Education T:7250, F:3708, M:3542 T:19680 Examination (CSEE) given at the end of lower Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 secondary education. Comments New data only available after April 30, 2013. Page 2 of 6 The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 Numbers of pupils, disaggregated by gender, Text Value 2007 2012 n.a 2013 passing the Examination (CSEE) at the end of T:6135 T:17908 lower secondary education. Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 31-Jul-2013 Public Disclosure Copy Comments New data only available after April 30, 2013. Number of pupils, disaggregated by gender, Number Value 1402.00 3739.00 passing the Certificate of Secondary Education Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 Examination (CSEE) in Div. III or better Comments The Ministry to furnish gender disaggregated data by April 30, 2013. New data only available after April 30, 2013. Students enrolled in secondary (number of Text Value 2007 2012 n.a 2013 girls and boys) T:79074 T:105182 Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 Comments The Ministry to furnish gender disaggregated data by April 30, 2013. New data only available after April 30, 2013. Lower Secondary completion rate: Number of Text Value 2007 2012 2012 pupils taking the CSEE/population aged 17 T:27% n.a. T:49% years(projected) F:28% F:49% M:26% M:49% Date 15-Feb-2013 Comments The Ministry to furnish gender disaggregated data by April 30, 2013. New data only available after April 30, 2013. Public Disclosure Copy Intermediate Results Indicators Indicator Name Core Unit of Measure Baseline Current End Target Percentage of secondary physics teachers Percentage Value 39.00 57.00 65.00 qualified to teach secondary school physics Date 30-Nov-2013 Comments Pupils/Classroom ratio in secondary education Number Value 83.00 73.00 92.00 Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 Page 3 of 6 The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 Comments Achievement is a results of additional classrooms from new schools constructed. Public Disclosure Copy Percentage of teachers teaching a secondary Percentage Value 59.00 79.00 65.00 level who are qualified to teach at the Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 secondary level Comments Percentage of teachers of mathematics who Percentage Value 28.00 47.00 65.00 are qualified to teach secondary school Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 mathematics Comments Percentage of secondary biology teachers Percentage Value 38.00 59.00 65.00 qualified to teach secondary school biology Date 30-Nov-2013 Comments Textbook/pupil ratio – Mathematics (Form 4) Number Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 Date 31-Dec-2006 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 Comments New data only available after April 30, 2013. Percentage of secondary chemistry teachers Percentage Value 43.00 62.00 65.00 qualified to teach secondary school chemistry Date 30-Nov-2013 Comments Direct project beneficiaries Number Value 0.00 79424.00 105182.00 Date 31-Dec-2007 29-Feb-2012 31-Jul-2013 Comments The Ministry to furnish gender disaggregated data on direct project beneficiaries by April 30, 2013 Female beneficiaries Percentage Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sub Type Supplemental Public Disclosure Copy Textbook/pupil ratio – Physics (Form 4) Number Value 0.00 Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments New data only available after April 30, 2013. Textbook/pupil ratio – English (Form 4) Number Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Mar-2013 31-Dec-2013 Comments New data only available after April 30, 2013. Page 4 of 6 The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 Textbook/pupil ratio – Kiswahili (Form 4) Number Value 0.00 0.00 1.00 Date 31-Dec-2007 15-Feb-2013 30-Nov-2013 Comments New data only available after Public Disclosure Copy April 30, 2013. Data on Financial Performance (as of 25-Apr-2013) Financial Agreement(s) Key Dates Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Original Closing Date Revised Closing Date P102262 IDA-42930 Effective 24-Apr-2007 25-Jun-2007 29-Jan-2008 31-Jul-2013 30-Nov-2013 Disbursements (in Millions) Project Ln/Cr/Tf Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed % Disbursed P102262 IDA-42930 Effective XDR 28.20 28.20 0.00 23.69 4.51 84.00 Disbursement Graph Public Disclosure Copy Key Decisions Regarding Implementation Upon Government’s request the project team has completed the restructuring process to: (1) allocate unallocated amount and reallocate savings across categories to finance critical activities that are in need of additional resources; (2) change PDO indicators target values; (3) add a new PDO indicator; and (4) extend the project closing date by four months. The proposed changes will not affect the formulation of the PDO. They will help to consolidate and strengthen various on-going activities across components and categories, complete all planned activities, and meet the PDO as measured by related outcome indicators. Page 5 of 6 The World Bank Report No: ISR10121 A key assumption made during project preparation had created a situation where PDO targets were unrealistically high. Initially, it had been assumed, given the Government's anticipated decision at the time to abolish Form II exams that 100% of students in Form II would transit into Form III. As a result, the targets of (i) students taking the CSEE exams (at the end of Form IV), (ii) passing the CSEE exams, and (iii) passing them with Div. I – III, as reflected by the Project Appraisal Document (PAD) indicator targets, were pitched quite Public Disclosure Copy high. Soon after the start of project implementation though, the Government decided not to abolish Form II exams and, instead continue using it as a process to assess student learning. In this situation, the Form II to Form III transition rates, with the bottleneck of Form II exams not being removed, have been less than 60% (but rising slowly), which impacted on all indicator targets related to the end of lower secondary education. Decreased, more realistic target values show better progress rates ( table below provides progress towards PDO achievement). The Government team also suggested adding a new PDO Indicator, to measure lower secondary completion rates, i.e., “The percentage of Certificate of Secondary Education Exam (CSEE) takers divided by the population aged 17 years� (the official graduation age for Form IV). This new indicator was included in order to measures lower secondary completion which is an objective of the project intervention and the indicator (measured as a %) is better able to capture the PDO (completion of lower secondary education). One advantage of this new indicator is that it will allow comparing completion rates over time and with other countries. The baseline value for this indicator was calculated using previous year’s data and projected target values set. The actual values show reasonable progress so far, as reflected in table 13 of AM. Changes to the PDO target values have been proposed for the purpose of setting targets, which are realistic and reflect actual situation in the sector. A new additional indictor was proposed in order to widen the project coverage by capturing wider outcomes in which the project has significantly contributed to its attainment despite not being included in the initial project design. Broadly these changes will contribute favorably to the attainment of overall end targets of the project outcomes. While 3 out of the 4 PDO indicators show reasonably good progress and are likely to be fully met, the absolute number of CSEE Div. I – III passers have actually declined. This decline is consistent with the national trend, which has prompted Government review of the trends. Some extraneous factors such as teachers resistance seem to be affecting the trend downwards, but a full Government report is expected by May end. It is worth noting that CSEE pass rates in Zanzibar are better than the national average. Furthermore, the rates are expected to improve towards targets with project inputs such as improved infrastructure, which is helping to reduce overcrowding. In addition, the Government is keen to pursue incentives and accountability reforms, drawing from recent decisions on these reforms in the mainland. Extension of Project Closing Date by four months, from July 31, 2013 to November 30, 2013. The changes were introduced to allow adequate time to (i) complete procurement processes of remaining textbook and instructional materials for grade 1-4 and (ii) conduct essential teachers training programs. Restructuring History Level two Approved on 22-Apr-2013 Related Projects There are no related projects. Public Disclosure Copy Page 6 of 6