\1i*N 01( 1 I\ k(JI \ I ,( \IPI I'A'f. 141F kRlF\ \ 'E.. OFFICIAL 08 March, 2018 DOCUMENTS Dr. Jim Yong Kim President The World Bank Group The World Bank 1818 H Street NW Washington, DC 20433 USA Letter of Development Policy Dear President Kim, On behalf of the Government and people of Grenada, I write to request the approval of the "Grenada Blue Growth Development Policy Credit" in support of fiscal sustainability and the transition to a blue economy. This Letter of Development Policy sets out the Government's reform programme, which includes policy actions to be supported by the Development Policy Credit. Economic Context Grenada experienced a prolonged period of socioeconomic difficulties in the decade 2003-2012. The economy was buffeted by consecutive hurricanes in 2004 and 2005, the international food and fuel price increases of 2007 and the global economic and financial crisis of 2008. The effects of these exogenous shocks precipitated a period of significant economic weakness, which became especially acute in 2009-2012. The economy contracted by 6.6 percent in 2009 (the largest ever GDP decline since records began in 1977) and at an annual average rate of 0.3 percent in ensuing three years ending 2012. The economic depression heightened unemployment, with the rate increasing from 18 percent in 2005 to 32.2 percent in 2013. Public finances became increasingly strained as the fiscal imbalances progressively worsened. The primary deficit as a ratio of GDP deteriorated from a surplus of 2.4 percent in 2004 to a deficit of 3.5 percent in 2013, while public debt rose from 94.2 percent of GDP to 107.8 percent of GDP over the same period. The acute fiscal imbalances necessitated a restructuring of public debt, which was officially announced by the Government in March 2014. Furthermore, in the context of acute macroeconomic weaknesses, financial sector challenges intensified. The rate of growth in credit to the private sector was on a downward spiral from 2007, becoming negative in 2013, while the non-performing loans ratio reached 13.8 percent at end-2013, a 7.6 percentage points increase relative to the ratio at end-December 2004. External imbalances also rose, the financing of which contributed to the build up in external debt from 40.0 percent of GDP in 2007 to 144.5 percent of GDP in 2012. Grenada's economic and fiscal situation was unsustainable and required urgent and potent policy correction. Therefore, the Government, in collaboration with its social partners, developed a comprehensive home-grown structural adjustment programme (HGSAP), which was completed in November 2013. The HGSAP was officially endorsed by the International Monetary Fund through a three-year Extended Credit Facility (ECF) programme that commenced in January 2014. The HGSAP was also supported by other development partners including the World Bank, the Caribbean Development Bank and the European Union. The broad objectives of the HGSAP were to restore fiscal and debt sustainability, build resilience, improve competitiveness and strengthen the financial sector. Grenada completed six successful reviews of the ECF programme over the period December 2014 to March 2017 and by its official end in May 2017, there had been a marked turnaround in Grenada's economic and fiscal situation. Economic growth accelerated from 2.4 percent in 2013 to 4.5 percent in 2017 and averaged 4.8 percent over that five-year period. The unemployment rate fell by 8 percentage points to 23.4 percent over the five-year period and public finances improved markedly. In 2015, Grenada recorded its first primary surplus in a decade; primary surpluses were recorded in each year since then, averaging 4.1 percent of GDP over the period 2015-2017. As an upshot, public debt was reduced from its peak of 107.8 percent in 2013 to 81.3 percent in 2017; the successful completion of the debt restructuring exercise also aided the reduction. Financial sector conditions also improved with the ratio of non-performing loans to total loans being halved during the five-year period and growth in private sector credit returning. External imbalances narrowed and the stock of external debt declined by 15.7 percentage points to 127.0 percent over the five-year period. The Government's Reform Programme As part of the HGSAP, several reforms (legislative and non-legislative) were implemented to strengthen public finance; boost economic growth, modernise the public sector, enhance social protection, and build resilience to environmental shocks. Public Finance Reforms * Public Finance Management Act No. 17 of 2015 - In broad terms, the main objectives of the Act are to strengthen the fiscal framework and improve transparency and accountability in the management of public finances. The Act came into force in June 2015 and the Regulations were finalised in August 2015. 2 * The Fiscal Responsibility Act No. 29 of 2015 (as amended) - The Act has four main objectives: (a) transparency in fiscal and financial affairs; (b) full and timely disclosure and wide publication of financial transactions and decisions; (c) reduction of public debt to a prudent and sustainable level; and (d) risk monitoring and management. Consistent with these objectives, rules are legislated for the primary balance, public debt, the wage bill, primary expenditure, and contingent liabilities related to public-private partnerships. An independent fiscal oversight body is also legislated. The Act came into force in January 2016 and there have been two amendments since then. * Public Debt Management Act No. 28 of 2015 (as amended) - The Act updates the legislative framework for the management of public debt to be consistent with achieving the requirements of the Fiscal Responsibility Act. The Act provides the legislative support to: (a) increase the efficiency of debt management; (b) better balance the costs and risks trade-offs of public sector borrowing; and (c) support the development of the domestic debt market. The Act was brought into force in June 2015 and there has been one amendment since then. The Regulations were finalised in August 2016. * Public Procurement and Disposal of Property Act No. 39 of 2014 (as amended) - The Act outlines clear policy and procedures for the disposal of Government's assets to improve transparency and accountability. The Act came into force in August 2014 and has been amended once. The Regulations were completed in September 2015. * Tax Administration Act No. 14 of 2016 - The main objectives of the Act are to strengthen the operation of tax administration and procedures in Grenada's tax laws and balance the powers of the Inland Revenue Division with the rights of taxpayers. The Act applies to all of the inland taxes. It was brought into force in May 2016. * Customs Act No. 9 of 2015 (as amended) - The broad aims of the Act are to strengthen Customs administration, streamline the tax incentive regime and improve risk management, among other objectives. The Act came into force in February 2015 and there have been three amendments since then. The Regulations were finalised in January 2018. * Tax Incentives Legislations: Several Tax Acts were amended in 2016, with a view to reducing/eliminating the discretionary granting of incentives, as well as incentivising investment and/or activity in certain priority sectors. Amendments were made to the Income Tax Act, the VAT Act, the Excise Tax Act, the Property Transfer Tax Act and the Stamp Tax Act. * Revenue-mobilisation measures - The main revenue reform was the reduction (effective January 2014) of the minimum income tax threshold from $60,000 to $36,000 annually and the introduction of a three-tiered marginal rate structure featuring: (i) a zero percent for persons with annual incomes of $36,000 or less; (ii) a 15.0 percent rate for persons with annual incomes between $36,001 and $60,000; and (iii) a 30.0 percent for income 3 earners above $60,000. Government lowered the rate for income earners in the $36,001-$60,000 tax bracket to 10.0 percent, effective January 2017. Other revenue-enhancing measures that took effect in 2015 included increases in the Petrol Tax and the Annual Stamp Tax, as well as the broadening of the VAT base to include all forms of accomodations. * Attrition Policy - With the expressed aims of controlling personnel expenditure and reducing the size of the public sector, an attrition policy was introduced in which no more than 3 persons were replaced for every 10 persons who retired from or exited the Public Service. The attrition policy was developed in 2013 following consultations with the Trade Unions and social partners. * Public Enterprise Reforms - In 2015, comprehensive reforms were implemented to (i) improve the oversight and monitoring of state-owned enterprises and statutory bodies; and (ii) strengthen their reporting regimes. The reforms are geared at enhancing operational efficiency, reducing fiscal risks, and improving overall governance. A new Performance Management Framework, which aims to support improved management and disclosure of financial and non-financial information and data, was implemented in 2016. A new dividends policy was also introduced in 2016. Growth-Enhancing Reforms With a view to laying a stronger foundation for growth and job creation over the medium term, important reforms were undertaken to improve the doing business environment and strengthen labour market conditions. With respect to the doing business environment, the Government passed legislation to reform the electricity sector, with the core objectives of: (i) reducing the high cost of electricity to help lower overall business costs; (ii) diversifying the country's energy mix; and (iii) improving the regulatory framework for the sector. The liberalisation of the electricity sector is expected to boosts Grenada's growth and competitiveness and expand opportunities for renewable energy production. The Public Utilities Regulatory Commission Act (2016) and the Electricity Supply Act (2016) were brought into force in August 2016. The amendment to the Investment Act of 2014, coupled with the amendments to individual Tax Acts made in 2015, were aimed at streamlining investment procedures, with a view to improving the business environment and enhancing Grenada's attractiveness as an investment destination. Additionally, the Grenada Industrial Development Corporation was strategically restructured to strengthen Grenada's investment readiness through improved investment facilitation and promotion. A new Bankruptcy and Insolvency Act was brought into force in August 2016, which is expected to modernise the legislative framework related to bankruptcy and insolvency of individuals and companies and by extension, improve the doing business environment. 4 Regarding labour market reforms, amendments were made to the 2006 Labour Code with the expressed objectives of promoting workers' rights, encouraging greater workforce participation, fostering good labour relations, and establishing protocols for workplace safety. These are all consistent with increasing labour productivity and by extension, economic growth and development. Public Sector Reforms The Public Service Management Reform Strategy 2017 - 2019 was approved by Cabinet in March 2017. The core objectives of the Strategy are to: (i) re-engineer the Public Service to strengthen the machinery of Government towards greater effectiveness and efficiencies; (ii) deploy and utilise human resources in the most optimal manner; (iii) pursue a strategic compensation management policy that is consistent with fiscal sustainability; and (iv) integrate Information and Communication Technology to enhance service delivery and create efficiencies in various Government operations. The Strategy is currently being implemented. Social Protection Reforms Grenada's flagship social protection programme- the Support for Education, Empowerment and Development Programme (SEED) was reformed in 2016. A new Management Information System and a beneficiary targeting instrument were introduced in 2016. The systematic means-testing approach has allowed new participants to be entered into the SEED Programme, while those assessed as being ineligible have been transitioned out of the programme. The means-testing approach has increased the efficiency of Government's social spending, as well as its overall social protection and social safety net system. Resilience Building Reforms Important reforms were undertaken to build resilience to climate change and environmental shocks. The National Climate Change Policy for Grenada, Carriacou and Petite Martinique 2017- 2021 and the National Adaptation Plan for Grenada, Carriacou and Petite Martinique 2017-2021 were completed in 2017. The overriding objectives of these strategic policy documents are to build climate resilience and facilitate climate-smart development. The Physical Planning and Control Act No. 23 of 2016 (as amended), which came into force in August 2016 provides the institutional and regulatory framework for the development of land and the construction of buildings. Accordingly, its provisions are intended to bolster the resilience of Grenada's social and economic infrastructure to natural hazards and climate change risks. The Act was amended once since coming into force. Grenada also developed a Blue Growth Master Plan and established a Blue Innovation Institute to preserve and enhance the quality and health of coastal ecosystems. Furthermore, key Marine Protected Areas have also been identified. Additionally, important projects were developed and implemented to enhance resilience at the community level with a focus on climate-smart 5 agriculture, rain water harvesting, recycling, renewable energy options and alternative livelihoods. Currently, a limited number of public investment project proposals are being screened for climate change risks using the CCORAL tool. We are working towards having 60.0 percent of all public infrastructure project proposals undergo advanced screening for climate change risks by 2020. In January of this year, Cabinet approved a policy to ban the importation of non-biodegradable products to facilitate optimal conditions for ecosystem restoration, rehabilitation and recovery. A ban on Styrofoam containers is to be effective as of August 1, 2018, while a ban on other non-biodegradable products is to take effect from February 1, 2019. Fiscal Reform Outcomes to Date Not only have there been marked improvements in key economic, fiscal and social indicators, but there have also been improvements in the institutional arrangements and systems that support public financial management. In relation to revenue, the Inland Revenue Division was restructured, with a view to enhancing revenue administration, taxpayer compliance and collections. A Large and Medium-size Taxpayer Services Unit, as well as a Small Taxpayers Service Unit were established and became operational in January 2016. This administrative enhancement, coupled with strong economic activity has underpinned the robust growth in current revenue, which averaged 11.7 percent over the period 2015-2017. With regards to expenditure, it declined by an annual average rate of 1.7 percent over the period 2015-2017. Aiding the expenditure containment has been the tight controls placed on the size of the Civil Service and by extension, the wage bill. Public employment (established and un-established workers plus other project employees) fell from 7,755 at end-December 2013 to 6,486 at end-September 2017. In keeping with the Government Finance Statistics Manual 2014, the annual Budgets for 2017 and 2018 were prepared in the new Chart of Accounts format. Additionally, the 2017 and 2018 Budgets were prepared within the context of the rules-based fiscal framework and the actual fiscal outturns in 2016 and 2017 were in line with the fiscal rules. Furthermore, the Fiscal Responsibility Oversight Committee became operational in August 2017 and its inaugural compliance report was laid in Parliament on November 27, 2017. Government's Commitment Notwithstanding the completion of the HGSAP, the Government remains committed to the principles of sound fiscal and economic management and will continue the implementation of policy and institutional reforms. The Government is particularly committed to deepening the reform agenda to accelerate inclusive growth, expand opportunities for empowerment and 6 employment, enhance public sector efficiency and effectiveness, reduce vulnerabilities, and strengthen resilience to economic and environmental shocks. Continued financial and technical support from the World Bank and other development partners is vital for the sustainability of reforms and to ensure that additional development dividends accrue to the people of Grenada over the medium-to-long term. Therefore, we trust that this request will receive the endorsement of the World Bank's Board of Directors. Yours faithfully, Dr. The onourable Keith C. Mitchell PRIME MINISTER AND MINISTER OF FINANCE 7