Reliable estimates of economic welfare for small areas are valuable inputs into the design and evaluation of development policies. This paper compares the accuracy of point estimates and confidence intervals for small area estimates of wealth and poverty derived from four different prediction methods: linear mixed models, Cubist regression, extreme gradient boosting, and boosted regression forests. The evaluation draws samples from unit-level household...
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INFORMATION
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2023/03/08
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Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques
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WPS10348
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1
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2023/03/08
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Disclosed
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Improving Estimates of Mean Welfare and Uncertainty in Developing Countries
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