Post-election violence is a common form of conflict, but its underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Using data from the 2007 Philippine mayoral elections, this paper provides evidence that post-election violence is particularly intense after narrow victories by incumbents. Using a density test, the study shows that incumbents were substantially more likely to win narrow victories than their challengers, a pattern consistent with electoral...
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INFORMATION
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2020/01/29
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Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques
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WPS9126
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1
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1
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2020/01/29
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Disclosed
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Narrow Incumbent Victories and Post-Election Conflict : Evidence from the Philippines
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Municipalities
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