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Machine Learning in International Trade Research : Evaluating the Impact of Trade Agreements (anglais)

Modern trade agreements contain a large number of provisions besides tariff reductions, in areas as diverse as services trade, competition policy, trade-related investment measures, or public procurement. Existing research has struggled with overfitting and severe multicollinearity problems when trying to estimate the effects of these provisions on trade flows. This paper builds on recent developments in the machine learning and variable selection...
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