The International Commodity Markets Division (CM) of the World Bank started forecasting primary commodity prices more than two decades ago. The forecast accuracy, or forecast biases and informational efficiency, has been a major concern and the subject of occasional retrospective studies. This paper explores the relationship between commodity futures prices and price expectations. It focuses of the usefulness of futures prices as a short-term price...
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INFORMATION
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1990/06/30
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Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques
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WPS436
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1
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1
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2010/07/01
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Commodity price forecasts and futures prices
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future price
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