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  • Trade Elasticities in Aggregate Models : Estimates for 191 Countries (anglais)

    Armington’s insight that imports and domestically produced goods were imperfect substitutes has unleashed extensive estimates of the associated trade elasticity, primarily for developed countries. This...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10490 Date du document: 20 juin 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Devarajan,Shantayanan,Go,Delfin Sia,Robinson,Sherman

  • Traders' Dilemma : Developing Countries' Response to Trade Disputes (anglais)

    If trade tensions between the United States and certain trading partners escalate into a full-blown trade war, what should developing countries do? Using a global, general-equilibrium model, this paper...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8640 Date du document: 7 novembre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Devarajan,Shantayanan,Go,Delfin Sia,Lakatos,Csilla,Robinson,Sherman,Thierfelder,Karen E.

  • Global inequality in a more educated world (anglais)

    In developing countries, younger and better-educated cohorts are entering the workforce. This developing world-led education wave is altering the skill composition of the global labor supply, and impacting...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8135 Date du document: 30 juin 2017 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ahmed, S. Amer,Bussolo,Maurizio,Vargas Da Cruz,Marcio Jose,Go,Delfin Sia,Osorio-Rodarte,Israel

  • Assessing the global economic and poverty effects of antimicrobial resistance (anglais)

    This paper assesses the potential impact of antimicrobial resistance on global economic growth and poverty. The analysis uses a global computable general equilibrium model and a microsimulation framework...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8133 Date du document: 30 juin 2017 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ahmed,Syud Amer,Baris,Enis,Go,Delfin Sia,Lofgren,Hans Lennart,Osorio-Rodarte,Israel,Thierfelder,Karen E.


  • China's slowdown and rebalancing: potential growth and poverty impacts on Sub-Saharan Africa (anglais)

    This paper explores the economic impacts of two related tracks of China's expected transformation—economic slowdown and rebalancing away from investment toward consumption—and estimates the spillovers...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS7666 Date du document: 10 mai 2016 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Lakatos,Csilla,Maliszewska,Maryla,Osorio-Rodarte,Israel,Go,Delfin Sia



  • How significant is Africa's demographic dividend for its future growth and poverty reduction ? (anglais)

    Africa will be undergoing substantial demographic changes in the coming decades with the rising working age share of its population. The opportunity of African countries to convert these changes into demographic...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS7134 Date du document: 1 décembre 2014 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ahmed, S. Amer,Vargas Da Cruz,Marcio Jose,Go,Delfin Sia,Maliszewska,Maryla,Osorio-Rodarte,Israel

  • Budget rules and resource booms : a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium analysis (anglais)

    This paper develops a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to analyze and derive simple budget rules in the face of volatile public revenue from natural resources in a low-income country like Niger...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS6984 Date du document: 1 juillet 2014 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Devarajan,Shantayanan,Dissou,Yazid,Go,Delfin Sia,Robinson,Sherman

  • Dutch disease and spending strategies in a resource-rich low-income country - the case of Niger (anglais)

    This paper examines spending plans suggested by the recent literature regarding Dutch disease and examines their implications to Niger relative to its expanding mineral sector. The key to the benefits...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS6691 Date du document: 1 novembre 2013 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Go,Delfin Sia,Robinson,Sherman,Thierfelder,Karen E.,Utz,Robert Johann

  • Stress-testing Africa's recent growth and poverty performance (anglais)

    After an impressive acceleration in growth and poverty reduction since the mid-1990s, many African countries continue to register robust growth in the aftermath of the global financial crisis. Will this...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS6517 Date du document: 1 juin 2013 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Devarajan,Shantayanan,Go,Delfin Sia,Maliszewska,Maryla,Osorio-Rodarte,Israel,Timmer,Hans

  • The World Bank research observer 27 (2) (anglais)

    This issue of the World Bank research observer contains the following articles: the odds of achieving the MDGs; the challenges of bankruptcy reform; school feeding programs and development: are we framing...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 80525 Date du document: 1 août 2012 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Alderman,Harold H.,Bundy,Donald A. P.,Cirmizi,Elena,Go,Delfin Sia,Klapper,Leora,Pagiola,Stefano P.,Quijada,Jose Alejandro,Uttamchandani,Mahesh,Whittington,Dale,Wright,Brian D.

  • Assessing the odds of achieving the MDGs (anglais)

    How many countries are on target to achieve the Millennium Development Goals by 2015? How many countries are off target, and how far are they from the goals? And what factors are essential for improving...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS5825 Date du document: 1 octobre 2011 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Go,Delfin Sia,Quijada,Jose Alejandro

  • Global monitoring report 2010 : the MDGs after the crisis (anglais)

    What is the human cost of the global economic crisis? How many people will the crisis prevent from escaping poverty, and how many will remain hungry? How many more infants will die? Are children being...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 54438 Date du document: 4 mai 2010 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Go,Delfin Sia


  • Tax policy to reduce carbon emissions in south Africa (anglais)

    Noting that South Africa may be one of the few African countries that could contribute to mitigating climate change, the authors explore the impact of a carbon tax relative to alternative energy taxes...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS4933 Date du document: 1 mai 2009 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Devarajan,Shantayanan,Go,Delfin Sia,Robinson,Sherman,Thierfelder,Karen E.

  • Wage subsidy and labor market flexibility in south Africa (anglais)

    In this paper, the authors use a highly disaggregate general equilibrium model to analyze the feasibility of a wage subsidy to unskilled workers in South Africa, isolating and estimating its potential...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS4871 Date du document: 1 mars 2009 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Go,Delfin Sia,Kearney,Marna,Korman,Vijdan,Robinson,Sherman,Thierfelder,Karen E.

  • Africa at a turning point? Growth, aid, and external shocks (anglais)

    This book is a collection of essays that seeks to answer three interrelated sets of questions about Africa's recent growth recovery. The first set of essays addresses questions about the drivers and durability...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 43976 Date du document: 14 avril 2008 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Go,Delfin Sia,Page,John,Arbache,Jorge Saba,Korman,Vijdan,Ye,Xiao,Chuhan-Pole,Punam,Fitzpatrick,Brendan,Devarajan,Shantayanan,Robinson,Sherman,Thierfelder,Karen E.,Lofgren,Hans Lennart,Diaz-Bonilla,Carolina,Ratha,Dilip Kumar,Mohapatra,Sanket,Plaza,Sonia,Raddatz Kiefer,Claudio Enrique,Devlin,Julia C.,Lewin,Michael,Ranaweera,Thilakaratna,Budina,Nina Todorova,Van Wijnbergen,Sweder,Andriamihaja,Noro Aina,Vecchi,Giovanni,Essama-Nssah, B.,Kearney,Marna

  • Is Africa's economy at a turning point? (anglais)

    In this paper, Arbache, Go, and Page examine the recent acceleration of growth in Africa. Unlike the past, the performance is now registered broadly across several types of countries-particularly the oil-exporting...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS4519 Date du document: 1 février 2008 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arbache,Jorge Saba,Go,Delfin Sia,Page,John