Documents et rapports

The Macroeconomic Implications of a Transition to Zero Net Emissions : A Modeling Framework (anglais)

Analyzing the macroeconomic consequences of a transition to a net-zero economy creates specific modeling challenges, including those related to the non-marginal nature of the required transformation, the...

Pollution and Labor Productivity : Evidence from Chilean Cities (anglais)

This paper investigates the effects of pollution on labor productivity in Chile. Data on fine particulate matter pollution in Chile were collected and matched to sectoral labor productivity at the city...

How Regulation and Enforcement of Competition Affects ICT Productivity : Evidence from Matched Regulatory-Production Surveys in Peru’s ICT Sector (anglais)

How the enforcement of competition regulation of information and communications technology affects growth depends on how well firms adapt to competitive pressure. This paper tests this empirically using...

Poverty and Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Shocks in Argentina : Summary report (anglais)

In the context of the COVID-19 crisis, any action to adapt to future climate change impacts needs to consider poverty and fiscal implications. The COVID-19 crisis put significant pressure on government...

Modeling the Macroeconomic Consequences of Natural Disasters : Capital Stock, Recovery Dynamics, and Monetary Policy (anglais)

Natural disasters can generate substantial damages to public and private sector infrastructure capital, generating macroeconomic losses through complex channels. To minimize the welfare impact of these...

Debt Vulnerability Analysis : A Multi-Angle Approach : Debt Vulnerability Analysis : A Multi-Angle (anglais)

Countries with high debt exposure are vulnerable to economic and financial shocks that could lead to sovereign defaults. This paper develops a methodology to identify countries that are at risk of debt...

Climate Modeling for Macroeconomic Policy : A Case Study for Pakistan (anglais)

As the effects of climate change become increasingly evident, the design and implementation of climate-aware policies have assumed a more central role in the macroeconomic policy debate. With this has...

Argentina - Poverty and Macro Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks (espagnol)

Argentina - Poverty and Macro Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks (anglais)

North Macedonia : Environmental Tax Reform Options and Outcomes (anglais)

This paper aims to contribute to the Government’s plans by highlighting key policy options for reforming the tax system to address environmental concerns. It does this through firstly assessing the existing...

North Macedonia - Environmental Tax Reform : Improving Environmental and Social Outcomes from Fossil Fuel Use - Updated Policy Note (anglais)

The Republic of North Macedonia continues to improve its environmental performance and the efficacy of its environmental regulation. As part of this effort, the World Bank is working with the Government...

Identification Properties for Estimating the Impact of Regulation on Markups and Productivity (anglais)

This paper addresses several shortcomings in the productivity and markup estimation literature. Using Monte-Carlo simulations, the analysis shows that the methods in Ackerberg, Caves and Frazer (2015)...

Macroeconomic Modeling of Managing Hurricane Damage in the Caribbean : The Case of Jamaica (anglais)

This paper describes a modeling methodology that embeds climate damages from natural disasters and risk management strategies into a macroeconomic model for Jamaica. The modeled damages take the form of...

Nowcasting Economic Activity in Times of COVID-19 : An Approximation from the Google Community Mobility Report (anglais)

This paper proposes a leading indicator, the "Google Mobility Index," for nowcasting monthly industrial production growth rates in selected economies in Latin America and the Caribbean. The index is constructed...

Fiscal Rules for the Western Balkans (anglais)

Policy toward fiscal rules is an important issue in the countries of the Western Balkans (Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Kosovo, Montenegro, North Macedonia, and Serbia). According to a rough estimate...

The World Bank Macro-Fiscal Model Technical Description (anglais)

This paper outlines the structure and economic foundation of the World Bank's macroeconomic and fiscal model (MFMod). MFMod consists of individual country models for 181 countries. The models are used...

Estimating and Calibrating MFMod : A Panel Data Approach to Identifying the Parameters of Data Poor Countries in the World Bank's Structural Macro Model (anglais)

This paper summarizes the World Bank's approach to identifying parameters for key equations in its macro structural model for countries where short sample sizes or major structural changes render traditional...

When the Cycle Becomes the Trend : The Emerging Market Experience with Fiscal Policy during the Last Commodity Super Cycle (anglais)

Fiscal buffers have shrunk across the world. This paper argues that limited fiscal room in emerging market economies today is partly due to the commodity super cycle of 2000-15. The super cycle created...

How does port efficiency affect maritime transport costs and trade ? evidence from Indian and western Pacific Ocean countries (anglais)

Would improvements in port performance increase trade in countries on the Indian and Western Pacific Oceans? Previous studies attempted to answer this question using ad hoc measures of port efficiency...