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  • Is US Trade Policy Reshaping Global Supply Chains ? (anglais)

    This paper examines the reshaping of supply chains using detailed US 10-digit import data (tariff-line level) between 2017 and 2022. The results show that while US-China decoupling in bilateral trade is...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10593 Date du document: 31 octobre 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Freund,Caroline,Mattoo,Aaditya,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Trade Watch (February 2022) (anglais)

    The key messages of this newsletter include: (i) Merchandise trade strengthened in November 2021 despite persistent value-chain bottlenecks and logistics constraints; (ii) Services trade is finally closing...

    Type de document: Bulletin d’information Numéro du rapport: 168638 Date du document: 1 février 2022 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Arvis,Jean Francois,Dairabayeva,Karlygash Serikovna,Dubey,Pratyush,Gillson,Ian John Douglas,Mulabdic,Alen,Souza Muramatsu,Karen,Nyawo,Mike,Ulybina,Daria,Wellisz,Chris L,Nucifora,Antonio,Haddad,Mona E.

  • Turkey Economic Monitor : Sailing Against the Tide (anglais)

    Turkey’s economic performance has been a tale of two economies, overall high growth, matched by a deterioration in macro-financial conditions. Good progress in vaccination rollouts allowed Turkey to reopen...

    Type de document: Document de travail Numéro du rapport: 168595 Date du document: 1 février 2022 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Beck,Hans Anand,Yasar,Pinar,Atas,Erdem,Hollweg,Claire Honore,Baez Ramirez,Javier Eduardo,Celik,Cigdem,Ozen,Etkin,Berg,Gunhild,Mulabdic,Alen

  • Unleashing Central America’s Growth Potential : Cross-Cutting Themes (espagnol)

    Central America comprises a diverse set of countries, including two high-middle-income countries (Costa Rica and Panama), two of the poorest countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (Honduras and Nicaragua)...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 162273 Date du document: 2 septembre 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arenas,Guillermo Carlos,Campora,Natalia Leonor,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Lakatos,Csilla,Mulabdic,Alen,Yu, Shu,Ulku,Hulya,Zaourak,Gabriel Roberto

  • Unleashing Central America’s Growth Potential : Nicaragua (anglais)

    As the smallest economy in Central America, Nicaragua has undergone a structural transformation that has enabled the country to grow at a high pace since the mid-1990s. The objective of this study is to...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 162275 Date du document: 30 août 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ulku,Hulya,Zaourak,Gabriel Roberto,Arenas,Guillermo Carlos,Campora,Natalia Leonor,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Lakatos,Csilla,Mulabdic,Alen,Yu,Shu

  • Unleashing Central America’s Growth Potential : Cross-Cutting Themes (anglais)

    Central America comprises a diverse set of countries, including two high-middle-income countries (Costa Rica and Panama), two of the poorest countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (Honduras and Nicaragua)...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 162273 Date du document: 6 août 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arenas,Guillermo Carlos,Campora,Natalia Leonor,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Lakatos,Csilla,Mulabdic,Alen,Yu,Shu,Ulku,Hulya,Zaourak,Gabriel Roberto

  • Unleashing Central America’s Growth Potential : Honduras (anglais)

    Despite advances in the growth reform agenda in the last decade, Honduras remains the second-poorest country in Central America, with one of the lowest growth rates in income per capita. The objective...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 162274 Date du document: 30 juillet 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ulku,Hulya,Zaourak,Gabriel Roberto,Arenas,Guillermo Carlos,Campora,Natalia Leonor,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Lakatos,Csilla,Mulabdic,Alen,Yu,Shu

  • Natural Disasters and the Reshaping of Global Value Chains (anglais)

    To understand the longer term consequences of natural disasters for global value chains, this paper examines trade in the automobile and electronic sectors after the 2011 earthquake in Japan. Contrary...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9719 Date du document: 28 juin 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Freund,Caroline,Mattoo,Aaditya,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Trade Barriers in Government Procurement (anglais)

    This paper estimates trade barriers in government procurement, a market that accounts for 12 percent of world GDP. Using data from inter-country input-output tables in a gravity model, the paper finds...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9602 Date du document: 25 mars 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Mulabdic,Alen,Rotunno,Lorenzo

  • Gravity Model–Based Export Potential : An Application to Turkey (anglais)

    This paper presents a framework to study countries’ export potentials. It uses a gravity model to develop measures of export and trade policy potentials at the aggregate, bilateral, and industry levels...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9557 Date du document: 1 mars 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Mulabdic,Alen,Yasar,Pinar

  • Trade and Poverty in EU Regions : An Empirical Analysis (anglais)

    This study builds on recent efforts by the World Bank and the European Commission in generating detailed poverty estimates at detailed subnational levels (the EU Poverty Map). This information is combined...

    Type de document: Document de travail Numéro du rapport: 146875 Date du document: 1 janvier 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Mulabdic,Alen,Cieszkowsky,Ludmila,Signoret,Jose E.

  • Third-Country Effects of Regional Trade Agreements : A Firm-Level Analysis (anglais)

    Do regional trade agreements negatively impact non-members? This paper revisits this long-standing trade policy question using firm-level data and detailed information on the content of trade agreements...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9064 Date du document: 20 novembre 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Lee,Woori,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Is 3D Printing a Threat to Global Trade ? The Trade Effects You Didn't Hear About (anglais)

    In the mid-2000s, the production of hearing aids shifted almost entirely to 3D printing. Using difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods, this paper examines the effects of this shift on...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9024 Date du document: 25 septembre 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Freund,Caroline,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Are Banks Engines of Export ? Financial Structures and Export Dynamics (anglais)

    This paper studies the impact of financial structures on the dynamics of the export sector using rich data from over 60 countries. The results reveal that bank-oriented financial systems boost the size...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8621 Date du document: 25 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Minetti,Raoul,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele,Zhu,Susan

  • How Much Will the Belt and Road Initiative Reduce Trade Costs ? (anglais)

    This paper studies the impact of transport infrastructure projects of the Belt and Road Initiative on shipment times and trade costs. Based on a new data on completed and planned Belt and Road transport...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8614 Date du document: 15 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: De Soyres,Francois Michel Marie Raphael,Mulabdic,Alen,Murray,Siobhan,Rocha Gaffurri,Nadia Patrizia,Ruta,Michele

  • Global trade watch 2017 : trade defies policy uncertainty - will it last? (Vol. 1 of 2) (anglais)

    Trade rebounded in 2017, with trade volume growing at 4.3 percent in 2017—the fastest rate in6 years. The recovery of trade is not limited to a few regions but is widespread, suggesting that we may be...

    Type de document: Document de travail Numéro du rapport: 125930 Date du document: 1 mai 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Mattoo,Aaditya,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Effects of a Deeper Central European Free Trade Agreement (anglais)

    This paper studies the economic effects of ‘deepening’ the Central European Free Trade Agreement (CEFTA). It combines new information on the content of trade agreements with gravity model estimates of...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 169227 Date du document: 1 mars 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele

  • Trade creation and trade diversion in deep agreements (anglais)

    Preferential trade agreements have boomed in recent years and extended their reach well beyond tariff reduction, to cover policy areas such as investment, competition, and intellectual property rights...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8206 Date du document: 27 septembre 2017 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Mattoo,Aaditya,Mulabdic,Alen,Ruta,Michele