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  • Living with Debt : How Institutions Can Chart a Path to Recovery in Middle East and North Africa (anglais)

    Economies in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) remain in crisis. The World Bank estimates the regional output to have contracted 3.8 percent in 2020 and expects it to rebound by only 2.2 percent...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 157904 Date du document: 1 avril 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Gatti,Roberta V.,Lederman,Daniel,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Alturki,Sultan Abdulaziz M,Fan,Yuting,Islam,Asif Mohammed,Rojas Guzman,Claudio Jeremias

  • Productivity Loss and Misallocation of Resources in Southeast Asia (anglais)

    This paper examines within-sector resource misallocation in three Southeast Asian countries -- Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam. The methodology accounts for measurement error in revenues and costs. The...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9483 Date du document: 30 novembre 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: De Nicola,Francesca,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Loayza,Norman V.

  • Borrowing to Keep Up (with the Joneses) : Inequality, Debt, and Conspicuous Consumption (anglais)

    The quest for status is a powerful motivator, but does it affect inequality? This paper presents a novel lab experiment that was designed and conducted to identify the relationship between inequality...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9354 Date du document: 10 août 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Banuri,Sheheryar,Nguyen,Ha Minh

  • Contagious Protests (anglais)

    This paper explores the spillover of protests across countries using data on nonviolent and spontaneous demonstrations for 200 countries from 2000 to 2020. Using an autoregressive spatial model, the analysis...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9321 Date du document: 14 juillet 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Dama,Alou Adesse,Djankov,Simeon,Nguyen,Ha Minh

  • Reform Chatter and Democracy (anglais)

    This paper explores the dynamics of media chatter about economic reforms using text analysis from about a billion newspaper articles in 28 languages. The paper shows that the intensity of reform chatter...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9319 Date du document: 13 juillet 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Djankov,Simeon,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Yotzov,Ivan Victorov

  • Reversal of Fortune for Political Incumbents : Evidence from Oil Shocks (anglais)

    Using a new dataset of 207 national elections across 50 democracies, this paper is the first to systematically examine the effects of oil price shocks on incumbents’ political fortunes in developed oil-importing...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9287 Date du document: 22 juin 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Djankov,Simeon,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Yotzov,Ivan Victorov

  • Middle East and North Africa Economic Update, April 2020 : How Transparency Can Help the Middle East and North Africa (arabe)

    Due to the dual shocks of the spread of the virus and lower oil prices, World Bank economists expect output of MENA to decline in 2020. This is in sharp contrast to the growth forecast of 2.6 percent published...

    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 147545 Date du document: 30 avril 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Lederman,Daniel,Abou Harb,Amani,Elmallakh,Nelly Youssef Louis William,Fan,Yuting,Islam,Asif Mohammed,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Zouaidi,Marwane

  • Middle East and North Africa Economic Update, April 2020 : How Transparency Can Help the Middle East and North Africa (anglais)

    Due to the dual shocks of the spread of the virus and lower oil prices, World Bank economists expect output of MENA to decline in 2020. This is in sharp contrast to the growth forecast of 2.6 percent published...

    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 147545 Date du document: 9 avril 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Lederman,Daniel,Abou Harb,Amani,Elmallakh,Nelly Youssef Louis William,Fan,Yuting,Islam,Asif Mohammed,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Zouaidi,Marwane

  • The Financial Costs of the U.S.-China Trade Tensions : Evidence from East Asian Stock Markets (anglais)

    This paper examines the impacts of U.S.-China trade tensions via the lens of East Asian stock markets. Studying 10 indices of the main East Asian stock markets, it finds that announcements of "trade war"...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9068 Date du document: 26 novembre 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: De Nicola,Francesca,Kessler,Martin Dov Alfred,Nguyen,Ha Minh

  • Technology Adoption and the Middle-Income Trap : Lessons from the Middle East and East Asia (anglais)

    This paper documents the existence of a "middle-income trap" for the Middle East and North Africa region and contrasts the evidence with that of the East Asia and Pacific region. The results are two-folds...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8870 Date du document: 30 mai 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Fan,Yuting,Nguyen,Ha Minh

  • Labor Market Impacts and Responses : The Economic Consequences of a Marine Environmental Disaster (anglais)

    This paper examines the labor market impacts of a large-scale marine environmental crisis caused by toxic chemical contamination in Vietnam's central coast in 2016. Combining labor force surveys with satellite...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8827 Date du document: 22 avril 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Trung,Hoang Xuan,Le,Duong Trung,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Vuong,Nguyen Dinh Tuan

  • Reforms and External Imbalances : The Labor-Productivity Connection in the Middle East and North Africa (anglais)

    World Bank economists expect economic growth in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) to continue at a modest pace of about 1.5 to 3.5 percent during 2019-2021, with some laggards and a few emerging...

    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 135625 Date du document: 5 avril 2019 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Lederman,Daniel,Abou Harb,Amani,Fan,Yuting,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Mottaghi,Lili,Wood,Christina A.

  • On the Allocation of Resources in Developing East Asia and Pacific (anglais)

    Over the past decades, East Asia and Pacific's productivity has been gradually catching up with the frontier (the United States), with China leading the pack. Productivity growth has been driven by sustained...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8634 Date du document: 31 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: De Nicola,Francesca,Kehayova,Vera Vencheva,Nguyen,Ha Minh

  • Courts and Business Registration : Evidence from Serbia (anglais)

    This paper studies the effects of a reform in Serbia that transferred business registration from regional courts to a centralized agency. Using administrative data, the analysis employs a difference-in-difference...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS8611 Date du document: 11 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Bruhn,Miriam,Cho,Caleb Sungwoo,Marusic,Andreja,Nguyen,Ha Minh,Reyes,Jose Daniel,Tran,Trang Thu

  • A New Economy for the Middle East and North Africa (anglais)

    Economic growth in the MENA region is forecast to improve modestly, reaching an average of 2.6 percent in 2019-2020. Oil exporters will significantly benefit from higher oil prices and external oil demand...

    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 130143 Date du document: 1 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Mottaghi,Lili,Barone,Andrea,Abou Harb,Amani,Fan,Yuting,Karasapan,Omer M.,Matsunaga,Hideki,Nguyen,Ha Minh,De Soyres,Francois Michel Marie Raphael

  • A New Economy for the Middle East and North Africa (arabe)

    Economic growth in the MENA region is forecast to improve modestly, reaching an average of 2.6 percent in 2019-2020. Oil exporters will significantly benefit from higher oil prices and external oil demand...

    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 130143 Date du document: 1 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Mottaghi,Lili,Barone,Andrea,Abou Harb,Amani,Fan,Yuting,Karasapan,Omer M.,Matsunaga,Hideki,Nguyen,Ha Minh,De Soyres,Francois Michel Marie Raphael

  • Une Nouvelle Eonomie : Pour le Moyen-Orient et l’Afrique du Nord (français)

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    Type de document: Mémorandum économique sur un pays Numéro du rapport: 130143 Date du document: 1 octobre 2018 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arezki,Rabah,Mottaghi,Lili,Barone,Andrea,Abou Harb,Amani,Fan,Yuting,Karasapan,Omer M.,Matsunaga,Hideki,Nguyen,Ha Minh,De Soyres,Francois Michel Marie Raphael