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  • How Do Rising US Interest Rates Affect Developing East Asian Economies? (anglais)

    This Brief examines the impact of US interest rate hikes on developing East Asian economies. The effect will depend on the underlying factors driving the changes in US interest rates. US interest rates...

    Type de document: Fiche Numéro du rapport: 182276 Date du document: 25 mai 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Fukuzawa,Daisuke,Islamaj,Ergys,Ruch,Franz Ulrich

  • Investment in Emerging Market and Developing Economy Regions : Trends, Prospects, and Policy Options (anglais)

    Investment growth slowed in the past decade in all emerging market and developing economy (EMDE) regions, but most sharply in East Asia and the Pacific (EAP) and the Middle East and North Africa (MNA)...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10369 Date du document: 16 mars 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Kenworthy,Philip George,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Vorisek,Dana Lauren,Wheeler,Collette Mari

  • The Past and Future of Regional Potential Growth : Hopes, Fears, and Realities (anglais)

    Potential growth slowed in most emerging market and developing economy (EMDE) regions in the past decade. The steepest slowdown occurred in the Middle East and North Africa (MNA), followed by East Asia...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10368 Date du document: 16 mars 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Kenworthy,Philip George,Kilic Celik,Sinem,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Wheeler,Collette Mari

  • Potential Growth : A Global Database (anglais)

    Potential growth—the rate of expansion an economy can sustain at full capacity and employment—is a critical driver of development progress. It is also a major input in the formulation of fiscal and monetary...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10354 Date du document: 10 mars 2023 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Kilic Celik,Sinem,Kose,Ayhan,Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte,Ruch,Franz Ulrich

  • How Do Rising U.S. Interest Rates Affect Emerging and Developing Economies ? It Depends (anglais)

    This paper examines the implications of different types of interest rate shocks in the United States for emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). It first classifies changes in U.S. interest rates...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS10258 Date du document: 8 décembre 2022 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arteta,Carlos,Kamin,Steven Brian,Ruch,Franz Ulrich

  • Pakistan Development Update : Financing the Real Economy (anglais)

    Economic momentum continued over July-December 2021 (H1 FY22) as indicators mostly signaled positive trends. With sustained improvement in community mobility and still-robust official remittance inflows...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 173421 Date du document: 31 mars 2022 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Aslam,Zehra,Zaheer,Namoos,Dijkman,Miquel,Chen,Derek Hung Chiat,Varela,Gonzalo J.,Ghumman,Adnan Ashraf,Muzaffari,Sayed Murtaza,Farooq,Aroub,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Khan,Rafay,Hasan,Fahad,Yasin,Noor,Lnu,Arsianti,Shahid,Ali

  • Demand and Supply Shocks : Evidence from Corporate Earning Calls (anglais)

    This paper quantifies global demand, supply, and uncertainty shocks and compares two major global recessions: the 2008–09 Great Recession and the COVID-19 pandemic. Two alternative approaches are used...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9922 Date du document: 1 février 2022 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Taskin,Temel

  • Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2021 : Competition and Firm Recovery Post-COVID-19 (Vol. 1 of 2) (russe)

    Although global economic activity is recovering and output in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) is expected to grow in 2021, containing COVID-19 remains a challenge in the region. Enterprise survey data for...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 164868 Date du document: 28 octobre 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Wheeler,Collette Mari,Norfleet,Julia Renee Roseman,Arteta,Carlos,Gandhi,Dhruv Devesh,Lokshin,Michael M.,Macadangdang,Maria Hazel,Mungai,Rose,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Wu,Haoyu,Burns,Andrew,Moorty,Lalita M.,Mahajan,Sandeep,Chakeri,Jasmin,Gain,Sandra Lynne,Karni,Barbara

  • Neutral Real Interest Rates in Inflation Targeting Emerging and Developing Economies (anglais)

    With close to 30 emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) using inflation targeting to determine monetary policy, and many of them for over 15 years, it is possible to create a meaningful measure...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS9711 Date du document: 23 juin 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Ruch,Franz Ulrich

  • Global Economic Prospects, June 2021 (anglais)

    The world economy is experiencing a very strong but uneven recovery, with many emerging market and developing economies facing obstacles to vaccination. The global outlook remains uncertain, with major...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 160157 Date du document: 1 juin 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Baffes,John,Guenette,Justin Damien,Ha,Jongrim,Inami,Osamu,Kabundi,Alain Ntumba,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Kilic Celik,Sinem,Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene,Kirby,Patrick Alexander,Nagle,Peter Stephen Oliver,Okou,Cedric Iltis Finafa,Quaglietti,Lucia,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Sugawara,Naotaka,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Vorisek,Dana Lauren,Wheeler,Collette Mari,Yamazaki,Takefumi

  • Demand and Supply Dynamics in East Asia During the COVID-19 Recession (anglais)

    The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic has devastated lives and damaged economies, requiring strong and decisive policy responses from governments. Developing the optimal short-term and long-term policy response...

    Type de document: Fiche Numéro du rapport: 159171 Date du document: 24 mai 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Islamaj,Ergys,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.

  • A Decade After the Global Recession : Lessons and Challenges for Emerging and Developing Economies (anglais)

    This year marks the tenth anniversary of the 2009 global recession. Most emerging market and developing economies weathered the global recession relatively well. However, following a short-lived initial...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 143705 Date du document: 14 avril 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Arteta,Carlos,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Koh,Wee Chian,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Sugawara,Naotaka,Terrones,Marco E.,Ye,Lei Sandy,Yu,Shu,Kose,M. Ayhan [Editor],Ohnsorge,Franziska [Editor]

  • From Recovery to Rebalancing : China’s Economy in 2021 (chinois)

    Following a collapse in the first quarter of 2020, economic activity in China has normalized faster than expected, aided by an effective pandemic-control strategy, strong policy support, and resilient...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: AUS0002026 Date du document: 10 janvier 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Zhao,Luan,Eckardt,Sebastian,Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Lugo,Maria Ana,Wang,Dewen,Yemtsov,Ruslan G.,Maliszewska,Maryla,Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Niu,Chiyu,Huang,Yang,Zhu,Linghui,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Zhang,Qiong,Li,Yusha,Wang,Xintian,Yang,Lubai

  • Global Economic Prospects, January 2021 (anglais)

    Although the global economy is emerging from the collapse triggered by COVID-19, the recovery is likely to be subdued, and global GDP is projected to remain well below its pre-pandemic trend for a prolonged...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 155531 Date du document: 1 janvier 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Baffes,John,Guenette,Justin Damien,Ha,Jongrim,Inami,Osamu,Kabundi,Alain Ntumba,Kasyanenko,Sergiy,Kilic Celik,Sinem,Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene,Kirby,Patrick Alexander,Matsuoka,Hideaki,Nagle,Peter Stephen Oliver,Okawa,Yohei,Okou,Cedric Iltis Finafa,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Steinbach,Max Rudibert,Sugawara,Naotaka,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Vorisek,Dana Lauren,Wheeler,Collette Mari,Yamazaki,Takefumi,Ye,Lei Sandy

  • Europe and Central Asia Economic Update, Fall 2021 : Competition and Firm Recovery Post-COVID-19 (Vol. 1 of 2) (anglais)

    Although global economic activity is recovering and output in Europe and Central Asia (ECA) is expected to grow in 2021, containing COVID-19 remains a challenge in the region. Enterprise survey data for...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 164868 Date du document: 1 janvier 2021 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Wheeler,Collette Mari,Norfleet,Julia Renee Roseman,Arteta,Carlos,Gandhi,Dhruv Devesh,Lokshin,Michael M.,Macadangdang,Maria Hazel,Mungai,Rose,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Wu,Haoyu,Burns,Andrew,Moorty,Lalita M.,Mahajan,Sandeep,Chakeri,Jasmin,Gain,Sandra Lynne,Karni,Barbara

  • From Recovery to Rebalancing : China’s Economy in 2021 (anglais)

    Following a collapse in the first quarter of 2020, economic activity in China has normalized faster than expected, aided by an effective pandemic-control strategy, strong policy support, and resilient...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: AUS0002026 Date du document: 1 décembre 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Zhao,Luan,Eckardt,Sebastian,Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Lugo,Maria Ana,Wang,Dewen,Yemtsov,Ruslan G.,Maliszewska,Maryla,Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Niu,Chiyu,Huang,Yang,Zhu,Linghui,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Zhang,Qiong,Li,Yusha,Wang,Xintian,Yang,Lubai

  • World Bank East Asia and Pacific Economic Update, October 2020 : From Containment to Recovery (Vol. 1 of 2) (anglais)

    COVID-19 has delivered a triple shock to the developing East Asia and Pacific (EAP) region: the pandemic itself, the economic impact of containment measures, and reverberations from the global recession...

    Type de document: Publication Numéro du rapport: 153414 Date du document: 30 septembre 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Chong,Yew Keat,Islamaj,Ergys,Mattoo,Aaditya,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Cao,Yu,Cloutier,Marie-Helene,Azevedo,Joao Pedro Wagner De,De Nicola,Francesca,Dewina,Reno,Eckardt,Sebastian,Gentilini,Ugo,Kehayova,Vera Vencheva,Khan,Shafaat Yar,Kilic Celik,Sinem,Kim,Young Eun,Le,Duong Trung,Loayza,Norman V.,Lugo,Maria Ana,Mason,Andrew D.,Saavedra Caballero,Fabiola,Somanathan,Aparnaa,Timmis,Jonathan David,Tran,Trang Thu,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Uochi,Ikuko,Wodon,Cecile

  • China Economic Update : Leaning Forward - COVID-19 and China’s Reform Agenda (anglais)

    Economic conditions in China have changed dramatically over the past six months. The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and measures taken to contain it have triggered a combined demand and supply shock...

    Type de document: Mises à jour et modélisation économiques Numéro du rapport: 151320 Date du document: 1 juillet 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Zhao,Luan,Eckardt,Sebastian,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Lugo,Maria Ana,Nair,Dinesh M.,Wang,Dewen,Yemtsov,Ruslan G.,Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Huang,Yang,Niu,Chiyu,Alawode,Abayomi A.,Islamaj,Ergys,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Lee,Woori,Han,Wei-000505642,Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Li,Yusha,Li,Yan - EEAM1

  • China Economic Update : Leaning Forward - COVID-19 and China’s Reform Agenda (chinois)

    Economic conditions in China have changed dramatically over the past six months. The COVID-19 (coronavirus) pandemic and measures taken to contain it have triggered a combined demand and supply shock...

    Type de document: Mises à jour et modélisation économiques Numéro du rapport: 151320 Date du document: 1 juillet 2020 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Zhao,Luan,Eckardt,Sebastian,Vashakmadze,Ekaterine T.,Lugo,Maria Ana,Nair,Dinesh M.,Wang,Dewen,Yemtsov,Ruslan G.,Chowdhury,Ibrahim Saeed,Huang,Yang,Niu,Chiyu,Alawode,Abayomi A.,Islamaj,Ergys,Ruch,Franz Ulrich,Lee,Woori,Han,Wei-000505642,Constantinescu,Ileana Cristina,Li,Yusha,Li,Yan - EEAM1