Documents et rapports

Complexity Management in Macrosocial Modeling (anglais)

In quantitative modeling, "complexity management" means aligning a model's complexity with its intended use. Insufficient complexity can lead to weak predictions and misguided decisions, while excess complexity...

Poverty and Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Shocks in Argentina : Summary report (anglais)

In the context of the COVID-19 crisis, any action to adapt to future climate change impacts needs to consider poverty and fiscal implications. The COVID-19 crisis put significant pressure on government...

Natural Disasters, Poverty, and Inequality : New Metrics for Fairer Policies (anglais)

Conventional risk assessments underestimate the human and macroeconomic costs of disasters, leading to inefficient risk management strategies. This happens because conventional assessments focus on asset...

Argentina - Poverty and Macro Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks (espagnol)

Argentina - Poverty and Macro Economic Impacts of Climate Shocks (anglais)

Estimating Flood Exceedance Curves in Argentina (anglais)

Estimating flood frequency, severity, and distribution are key risk assessment tasks. Detailed exceedance curves provide policymakers, insurers, and communities with crucial information about potential...

Overlooked : Examining the Impact of Disasters and Climate Shocks on Poverty in the Europe and Central Asia Region (anglais)

When a disaster strikes, it not only affects households’ physical assets, but also their income levels and ability to contribute to the local economy. Critically, these socio-economic disparities shape...

Revised Estimates of the Impact of Climate Change on Extreme Poverty by 2030 (anglais)

Thousands of scenarios are used to provide updated estimates for the impacts of climate change on extreme poverty in 2030. The range of the number of people falling into poverty due to climate change is...

Socioeconomic Resilience in Sri Lanka: Natural Disaster Poverty and Wellbeing Impact Assessment (anglais)

Traditional risk assessments use asset losses as the main metric to measure the severity of a disaster. This paper proposes an expanded risk assessment based on a framework that adds socioeconomic resilience...

Socio-Economic Resilience in Sri Lanka : Natural Disaster Poverty and Wellbeing Impact Assessment (anglais)

Sri Lanka has enjoyed rapid progress on poverty reduction and shared prosperity since the cessation of decades-long conflict in 2009. Effective disaster risk management (DRM) strategies are essential to...

Measuring Natural Risks in the Philippines : Socioeconomic Resilience and Wellbeing Losses (anglais)

Traditional risk assessments use asset losses as the main metric to measure the severity of a disaster. This paper proposes an expanded risk assessment based on a framework that adds socioeconomic resilience...

Impact of program cancellation due to conflict in South Sudan : a chapter of the South Sudan poverty assessment 2017 (anglais)

The impact of unintended program cancellations on the economic, psychological and behavioral wellbeing of beneficiaries are not well understood. In highly fragile and insecure countries, such as South...

Building back better : achieving resilience through stronger, faster, and more inclusive post-disaster reconstruction (anglais)

The 2017 Unbreakable report made the case that disaster losses disproportionately affect poor people. The Caribbean hurricane season of 2017 was a tragic illustration of this. Two category 5 hurricanes...