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  • The Future of Poverty : Projecting the Impact of Climate Change on Global Poverty through 2050 (anglais)

    Climate change is increasingly acknowledged as a critical issue with far-reaching socioeconomic implications that extend well beyond environmental concerns. Among the most pressing challenges is its impact...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11173 Date du document: 15 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Fajardo-Gonzalez, Johanna,Nguyen, Minh Cong,Corral Rodas, Paul Andres

  • Exports, Labor Markets, and the Environment : Evidence from Brazil (anglais)

    What is the environmental impact of exports? Focusing on 2000–20, this paper combines customs, administrative, and census microdata to estimate employment elasticities with respect to exports. The findings...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11172 Date du document: 14 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Bezerra De Goes, Carlos Andre,Canozzi Conceicao, Otavio,Lara Ibarra, Gabriel,Lopez-Acevedo, Gladys

  • From Theory to Practice : A Strategic AI Integration Model for Revenue Administrations (anglais)

    This paper presents a comprehensive strategic framework for integrating Artificial Intelligence (AI) into revenue administrations. The framework addresses the challenges of implementing AI without a structured...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 203119 Date du document: 10 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Junquera-Varela, Raul Felix,Krsul, Ivan,Calderón, Vladimir,Ghaleb, Joey Raymond,Lucas, Cristian

  • From Tailwinds to Headwinds : Emerging and Developing Economies in the Twenty-First Century (anglais)

    The first quarter of the twenty-first century has been transformative for emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). These economies now account for about 45 percent of global GDP, up from about...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11169 Date du document: 10 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Balatti Mozzanica, Mirco,Kose, Ayhan,Mckinnon, Kate Frances,Palombo, Edoardo,Sugawara, Naotaka,Verduzco Bustos, Guillermo,Vorisek, Dana

  • The Asymmetric Bank Distress Amplifier of Recessions (anglais)

    One defining feature of financial crises, evident in U.S. and international data, is asymmetric bank distress—concentrated losses on a subset of banks. This paper proposes a model in which shocks to borrowers’...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11170 Date du document: 10 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Kim, Dohan

  • Intergenerational Income Mobility around the World : A New Database (anglais)

    This paper introduces a new global database with estimates of intergenerational income mobility for 87 countries, covering 84 percent of the world’s population. This marks a notable expansion of the cross-country...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11166 Date du document: 7 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Munoz, Ercio,Van der Weide, Roy

  • Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) Exposure Indices Methodological Note (anglais)

    The EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) aims to level the playing field by applying the same carbon price faced by domestic producers under the Emission Trading System to the emissions embodied...

    Type de document: Document de travail Numéro du rapport: 202614 Date du document: 1 juillet 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Maliszewska, Maryla,Fischer, Carolyn,Jung, Euijin,Chepeliev, M.

  • Just Transition Tool for Private Sector Activities (anglais)

    The transition to a low-carbon, climate-resilient economy is urgently needed to mitigate the profound impacts of climate change. However, this essential transition presents one of the greatest socioeconomic...

    Type de document: Rapport Numéro du rapport: 202326 Date du document: 30 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Calice, Pietro,Miralles Murciego, Graciela


  • Inequality, Education, and Occupational Change in the Philippines (anglais)

    Despite significant progress in reducing poverty, the Philippines continues to face high inequality, which stayed elevated in the early 2000s as the economy grew. Although inequality has gradually declined...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11163 Date du document: 30 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Belghith, Nadia Belhaj Hassine,Fernandez, Francine Claire Chang,Lavin, Benjamin Aaron

  • Climate Change Negotiations under the Shadow of History (anglais)

    Climate change is a global challenge requiring unprecedented levels of collective action. In this context, this paper asks: do appeals to historical responsibility facilitate or hinder collective action?...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11160 Date du document: 30 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Banuri,Sheheryar,Nguyen,Ha M.,Sergenti, Ernest John

  • Soaring Food Prices Threaten Recent Economic Gains in the EU (anglais)

    The surge in food prices following the 2021 economic rebound has become a significant concern for households, particularly low-income ones, in Bulgaria, Croatia, Poland, and Romania. Food price inflation...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11159 Date du document: 30 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Robayo, Monica,Lucchetti, Leonardo Ramiro,Delgado-Prieto,Lukas,Badiani-Magnusson, Reena

  • Antitrust Enforcement and Firm Performance : Evidence from Colombia’s Sugar Market (anglais)

    This paper examines the impact of two interventions by Colombia's competition authority to enforce competition in the sugar market on firm performance in downstream sectors. Using an exogenous identification...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11155 Date du document: 26 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Sampi, James,Vostroknutova, Ekaterina

  • Expansionary Fiscal Consolidation Under Sovereign Risk (anglais)

    This paper develops a sovereign default model with capital accumulation, long-term debt, and fiscal rules with two distortions: debt dilution and private underinvestment. Fiscal rules generate a long-run...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11156 Date du document: 26 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Esquivel,Carlos,Samano Penaloza, Agustin


  • Crowding Out and Banking Crises (anglais)

    This paper studies the effect of government issuance on firm issuance during banking crises using transaction-level bond and loan data from 66 countries between 1991 and 2017. Governments rarely issue...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11145 Date du document: 12 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Hernando Kaminsky, Pablo Daniel

  • Do Formal Loans Boost SME Performance ? Key Takeaways from a Meta-Analysis (anglais)

    This paper conducts a meta-analysis of 24 studies evaluating the impact of formal loans on small and medium-sized enterprise performance. Using a Bayesian hierarchical model, the paper estimates that formal...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11140 Date du document: 5 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Bruhn, Miriam,Ortega Hernandez,Johan Andrey,Ruiz Ortega, Claudia

  • Global Poverty Revisited Using 2021 PPPs and New Data on Consumption (anglais)

    Recent improvements in survey methodologies have increased measured consumption in many low- and lower-middle-income countries that now collect a more comprehensive measure of household consumption. Faced...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11137 Date du document: 3 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Foster, Elizabeth Mary,Jolliffe, Dean Mitchell,Lara Ibarra, Gabriel,Lakner, Christoph,Tetteh Baah, Samuel Kofi

  • Industrial Policy under Constraints: Evidence from Pakistan’s Export Subsidy Schemes (anglais)

    This paper investigates the impact of an export promotion policy consisting of ad-valorem subsidies for a set of targeted products, on the performance of Pakistani exports in the textile sector. The findings...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11136 Date du document: 3 juin 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Lovo,Stefania,Varela, Gonzalo J.

  • From Patriarchy to Policy: Norms, Votes, and Gender Equal Laws (anglais)

    Legal institutions play an important role in shaping gender equality in economic domains, from inheritance to labor markets. But where do gender equal laws come from? Using cross-country data on social...

    Type de document: Document de travail de recherche sur les politiques Numéro du rapport: WPS11135 Date du document: 29 mai 2025 Mode de publication: Disclosed Auteur: Bussolo, Maurizio,Rexer, Jonah Matthew,Hu, Lynn